NASDAQ: MAR

Marriott International (MAR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$424.87+8.49 (+2.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Marriott this week is mostly surrounded by insider share-sale filings, including proposed sales from CEO Anthony Capuano and officers Rena Hozore Reiss and Benjamin T. Breland, tied to vested stock grants and compensation rather than any operational development. Beyond these filings, the company opened its 800th property in Asia Pacific excluding China, the Luxury Collection resort La Résidence Phou Vao in Luang Prabang, marking its debut in Laos, and was highlighted in a momentum-stock screen. A related earnings report from Marriott Vacations Worldwide, a separate entity, showed strong contract sales and raised EBITDA guidance.

Marriott (MAR) closed at $424.87, up 2% on the day, with the stock above both its 50-day average of $363.86 and 200-day average of $357.49, reflecting a supportive trend after returns of 17.6% over one month and 61% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 42, placing it in the Distribution zone, down 6.5 over five periods. Price sits 37% above Gekko Fair Value of $310.15.

The next earnings date falls on 9 February 2027, 96 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears within their respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point has averaged a 6.7% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus among 18 firms shows 7 buy and 11 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $390.81.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Marriott International price vs fair value

$424.87$310.15Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $424.87200-day averageGekko Fair Value $310.15

Marriott International quick facts

Market cap
$109.4B
P/E ratio
41.5
Forward P/E
30
EPS, TTM
$10.03
Revenue, TTM
$7.39B
Profit margin
35%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.14
Volume
1.79M avg 1.50M
1-year return
+61.0%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$363.86
200-day average
$357.49
Next earnings
Feb 9 before open
Shares outstanding
260.8M
52-week range
$263.51$433.30

Marriott International swing-trade checklist

Marriott International scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $424.87 is above the 50-day ($363.86) and 200-day ($357.49) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    42, Distribution

    Reading 42 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    37.0% above

    Price is 37% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 96 days

    Next report Feb 9, 2027, 96 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Marriott International stock chart and price history

Marriott International closed at $424.87 on Nov 4, 2026, +61.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $263.51 to $433.30.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Marriott International share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$300$350$400DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct424.87

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+17.6%
3 months
+18.1%
6 months
+18.3%
1 year
+61.0%
The full MAR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MAR in Gekko

Follow Marriott International through every session

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About Marriott International

Marriott International operates in the hospitality space, managing, franchising and licensing accommodations that range from hotels to residential units and timeshare properties around the world. It is known for housing a large stable of brand names under one roof, including JW Marriott, The Ritz-Carlton, W Hotels, Sheraton, Westin and Courtyard, among others, giving travelers a range of options at different price points and styles.

The company organizes its business into a North America segment, covering the United States and Canada, alongside a set of international divisions that handle operations elsewhere. Through franchising and licensing arrangements as well as direct management, it extends its brand portfolio across a large number of properties spanning many countries and territories.

Marriott International traces its founding back to 1927 and runs its headquarters out of Bethesda, Maryland. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker MAR.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines
Website
marriott.com

Marriott International GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Marriott International’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 42, in the Distribution zone, down 6.5 points over five sessions.

010042Distribution

Down 6.5 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying24+0.5%+1.7%+2.0%+12.9%
Accumulation188+0.1%+0.4%+2.4%+5.4%
Neutral421+0.8%+1.2%+1.5%+2.4%
Distribution (current zone)53−1.3%−0.9%−1.2%+2.0%
Selling11+2.3%+3.4%+3.3%+6.9%

Average MAR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MAR price, zone by zone.Track MAR in Gekko

Is Marriott International stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Marriott International trades 37.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $310.15, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Marriott International shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$310.15

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

37.0% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 15.3% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$310$416Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MAR in Gekko

Marriott International insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Marriott International, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MAR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MAR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MAR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MAR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MAR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MAR in Gekko

Buybacks

Marriott International has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$1.12B
As a share of market cap
1.02%
Trailing four quarters
$3.62B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds MAR.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Marriott International earnings: next date and track record

Marriott International reports on Feb 9, 2027, before the open (96 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.2%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.3%Nov ’24−4.6%Feb ’25+3.5%May ’25+1.4%Aug ’25+7.3%Nov ’25+8.3%Feb ’26−0.7%May ’26−7.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Marriott Q2 2026 delivered above-expectation results with global RevPAR up 3.4%, U.S./Canada RevPAR up 5% (highest in 13 quarters), and luxury RevPAR surging 9%. Net rooms grew 4.5% YoY to over 1.8M rooms across 10,000+ properties. Pipeline hit a record 629,000 rooms with record H1 signings. Middle East conflict weighed on international results, with EMEA RevPAR down 5% and Middle East RevPAR falling 43%.
Guidance
Marriott raised full-year 2026 global RevPAR growth guidance to 3%-3.5%, up from prior range, citing broad-based demand strength. Net rooms growth now expected toward the low end of 4.5%-5% range due to Middle East construction delays.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 3, 2026$3.19
est $3.08
+3.6%$7.07B
est $7.19B
−1.7%−7.4%
May 6, 2026$2.72
est $2.55
+6.7%$6.65B
est $6.59B
+1.0%−0.7%
Feb 10, 2026$2.58
est $2.61
−1.1%$6.69B
est $6.67B
+0.3%+8.3%
Nov 4, 2025$2.47
est $2.38
+3.8%$6.49B
est $6.46B
+0.5%+7.3%
Aug 5, 2025$2.65
est $2.61
+1.5%$6.74B
est $6.67B
+1.1%+1.4%
May 6, 2025$2.32
est $2.25
+3.1%$6.26B
est $6.19B
+1.2%+3.5%
Feb 11, 2025$2.45
est $2.37
+3.4%$6.43B
est $6.40B
+0.4%−4.6%
Nov 4, 2024$2.26
est $2.31
−2.2%$6.26B
est $6.28B
−0.3%−0.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Marriott International stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Marriott International is $390.81, −8.0% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$390.81consensus 12-month target, −8.0% from the last close
Low $360High $463
Buy7
Hold11
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 3Mizuho SecuritiesHold, maintained$428+0.7%
Nov 3Deutsche Bank Hold, maintained$420−1.1%
Nov 3Robert W. BairdHold, maintained$414−2.6%
Nov 3Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$456+7.3%
Nov 3BarclaysHold, maintained$409−3.7%
−1.2%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+6.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Marriott International seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Marriott International averaged +6.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−8.6%2021+8.8%2022+6.0%2023+11.1%2024+12.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.5%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.9%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.8%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.7%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.2%4 of 5

For scale, MAR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.

Marriott International market cap and key statistics

Marriott International’s market cap is $109.4B, with a P/E ratio of 41.5 and revenue of $7.39B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$109.4B
P/E ratio
41.5
Forward P/E
30
EPS, TTM
$10.03
Gekko Fair Value
$310.15

Trading

Volume
1.79M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.50M
52-week high
$433.30
52-week low
$263.51
Shares outstanding
260.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$7.39B
Profit margin
35%
Return on equity
14.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+4.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.14
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Marriott International stock news this week

Coverage of Marriott International this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Marriott International peers

Marriott International’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ABNBAirbnb+1.8%Neutral15.8% above
RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises+3.5%Distribution9.3% above
HLTHilton Worldwide+1.1%Neutral31.5% above
CCLCarnival+4.4%Distribution10.3% above
VIKViking+3.8%Neutral3.2% below
HHyatt Hotels+0.2%Neutral26.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines

Marriott International stock FAQ

What is Marriott International’s market cap?

Marriott International’s market cap is $109.4B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $424.87, with 260.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 41.5.

What is the Marriott International stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Marriott International is $390.81, −8.0% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Marriott International stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Marriott International is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $424.87 is 37.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $310.15. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Marriott International report earnings next?

Marriott International is expected to report on Feb 9, 2027, before the market opens (96 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.07 per share on revenue of $7.18B. Marriott International beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.2% on average across the report.

What is Marriott International’s 52-week high and low?

Marriott International’s 52-week high is $433.30 and its 52-week low is $263.51; it closed at $424.87 on Nov 4, 2026, +61.0% over the past year.

Is Marriott International stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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