Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for RCL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every RCL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RCL in Gekko
NYSE: RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$245.81−3.93 (−1.6%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryRoyal Caribbean Cruises closed at $245.81, down 1.6%, with the stock sitting below both its 50-day average of $289.28 and its 200-day average of $287.61. The GekkoIndex reads 74.6, placing the stock in the Buying zone, while shares trade 21.3% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $312.34. Trailing returns show declines of 18.2% over one month, 21.3% over three months, and 23.9% over one year.
This week's news centers on financing and ownership shifts. Royal Caribbean completed a $1.25 billion debt offering described as routine refinancing, though coverage notes debt obligations maturing in 2027 and 2028 alongside ongoing capital needs for new ships and destination projects. Institutional activity was mixed: Baird Financial Group reduced its stake by 55.7% and Corient Private Wealth cut its position by 59.5%, while Bank of America Corp DE acquired a new stake of 1,011,972 shares valued at approximately $321.3 million. Separately, the company declared a dividend of $1.50 per share, payable 8 October 2026, with a forward yield near 2.38%.
Looking ahead, earnings are due 27 October 2026, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window; the last report on 28 July showed EPS of $4.21 against a $3.97 estimate, with a 6.1% price reaction. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded one buy and no sales. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.7% decline over five years, higher in two of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $245.81200-day averageGekko Fair Value $312.34
Key stats
- Market cap
- $65.93B
- P/E ratio
- 15.2
- Forward P/E
- 12.1
- EPS, TTM
- $16.18
- Revenue, TTM
- $18.68B
- Profit margin
- 23.5%
- Dividend yield
- 2.00%
- Beta
- 1.75
- Volume
- 3.18M avg 1.92M
- 1-year return
- −23.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.9%
- 50-day average
- $289.28
- 200-day average
- $287.61
- Next earnings
- Oct 27
- Shares outstanding
- 267.5M
Royal Caribbean Cruises swing-trade checklist
Royal Caribbean Cruises scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $245.81 sits between the 50-day ($289.28) and 200-day ($287.61) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
74.6, Buying
Reading 74.6 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
21.3% below
Price is 21.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 37 days
Next report Oct 27, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−1.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.7% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Royal Caribbean Cruises stock chart and price history
Royal Caribbean Cruises closed at $245.81 on Sep 18, 2026, −23.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $232.10 to $356.39.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −18.2%
- 3 months
- −21.3%
- 6 months
- −9.6%
- 1 year
- −23.9%
The full RCL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RCL in Gekko
Follow Royal Caribbean Cruises through every session
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About Royal Caribbean Cruises
Royal Caribbean Cruises operates passenger ships that carry travelers to roughly a thousand ports of call worldwide. It is best known for the Royal Caribbean International brand, alongside additional cruise lines under its umbrella, offering vacationers a range of itineraries and onboard experiences across the globe.
The company runs through a portfolio of separate cruise brands, including Celebrity Cruises, Azamara, and Silversea Cruises, each catering to its own segment of travelers. Together these lines make up a fleet of vessels that sail on voyages to destinations spanning multiple continents, with revenue coming from passengers booking cruise trips across these different brands.
Founded in 1968, Royal Caribbean Cruises is headquartered in Miami, Florida. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker RCL.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines
- Website
- rclinvestor.com
Royal Caribbean Cruises GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Royal Caribbean Cruises’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 74.6, in the Buying zone, up 0.2 points over five sessions.
74.6Buying
Up 0.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 28 | +1.3% | +3.6% | ||
| Accumulation | 201 | +0.3% | +4.3% | ||
| Neutral | 380 | +0.9% | +2.8% | ||
| Distribution | 52 | +0.6% | +2.4% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average RCL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RCL price, zone by zone.Track RCL in Gekko
Is Royal Caribbean Cruises stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Royal Caribbean Cruises trades 21.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $312.34, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Royal Caribbean Cruises shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$312.34
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
21.3% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RCL in Gekko
Royal Caribbean Cruises insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Royal Caribbean Cruises, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Aug 12 traded Jul 7 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Royal Caribbean Cruises has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $199.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.30%
- Trailing four quarters
- $1.95B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold RCL.
0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Royal Caribbean Cruises earnings: next date and track record
Royal Caribbean Cruises reports on Oct 27, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 27, 2026
37 days away
- EPS estimate
- $6.35
- Revenue estimate
- $5.59B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- RCL reported Q2 2026 results exceeding expectations, with revenue growing 6% YoY and adjusted EPS coming in $0.33 above guidance. Net yields rose 1.2%, beating guidance by 100 basis points, driven by strong close-in demand and onboard revenue in Caribbean. The company returned over $600 million to investors via dividends and buybacks. Middle East conflict modestly pressured European summer bookings. Mahahual, Mexico destination project faces timeline delays due to ongoing government stakeholder consultations.
- Guidance
- Full year yield guidance reaffirmed at 1.75%-2.25% growth despite Middle East headwinds. Capacity growth of 6.6% expected to deliver approximately double-digit absolute revenue growth and double-digit EPS improvement for full year 2026.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $4.21 est $3.97 | $4.83B est $4.82B | +6.1% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $3.60 est $3.20 | $4.45B est $4.46B | +4.5% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $2.80 est $2.79 | $4.26B est $4.26B | +11.3% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $5.75 est $5.69 | $5.14B est $5.17B | −12.6% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $4.38 est $4.09 | $4.54B est $4.55B | −5.9% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $2.71 est $2.55 | $4.00B est $4.01B | −0.6% |
| Jan 28, 2025 | $1.63 est $1.50 | $3.76B est $3.76B | +13.6% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | $5.20 est $5.03 | $4.89B est $4.89B | +2.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Royal Caribbean Cruises stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises is $346.92, +41.1% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$346.92consensus 12-month target, +41.1% from the last close
Now $245.81Avg $346.92
Low $300High $415
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 | Bernstein | $355 | +44.4% |
| Sep 9 | Citi | $362 | +47.3% |
| Aug 26 | Bernstein | $355 | +44.4% |
| Aug 11 | Bernstein | $355 | +44.4% |
| Aug 5 | Morgan Stanley | $300 | +22.0% |
+3.6%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−1.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Royal Caribbean Cruises seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Royal Caribbean Cruises averaged −1.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −5.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −3.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −1.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +1.7% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, RCL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.9%.
Royal Caribbean Cruises market cap and key statistics
Royal Caribbean Cruises’s market cap is $65.93B, with a P/E ratio of 15.2 and revenue of $18.68B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $65.93B
- P/E ratio
- 15.2
- Forward P/E
- 12.1
- EPS, TTM
- $16.18
- Gekko Fair Value
- $312.34
Trading
- Volume
- 3.18M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.92M
- 52-week high
- $356.39
- 52-week low
- $232.10
- Shares outstanding
- 267.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $18.68B
- Profit margin
- 23.5%
- Return on equity
- 44.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −4.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.75
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.9%
- Dividend yield
- 2.00%
Royal Caribbean Cruises stock news this week
Coverage of Royal Caribbean Cruises this week reads positive: 14 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Royal Caribbean’s (RCL) $1.25B Debt Deal Hides A Bigger StoryInsider Monkey, Sep 19
- Baird Financial Group Inc. Reduces Position in Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. $RCLMarketBeat, Sep 19
- Corient Private Wealth LP Sells 31,912 Shares of Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. $RCLMarketBeat, Sep 18
- Royal Caribbean Group stock outperforms competitors on strong trading dayMarketWatch, Sep 17
- Royal Caribbean Group's Dividend AnalysisYahoo Finance Singapore, Sep 17
- Investors Heavily Search Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL): Here is What You Need to KnowZacks Investment Research, Sep 17
Royal Caribbean Cruises peers
Royal Caribbean Cruises’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| ABNBAirbnb | Accumulation | 7.3% above |
| MARMarriott International | Accumulation | 16.3% above |
| HLTHilton Worldwide | Accumulation | 13.8% above |
| VIKViking | Accumulation | 17.2% below |
| CCLCarnival | Buying | 26.6% below |
| HHyatt Hotels | Buying | 35.5% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Royal Caribbean Cruises stock FAQ
What is Royal Caribbean Cruises’s market cap?
Royal Caribbean Cruises’s market cap is $65.93B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $245.81, with 267.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.2.
What is the Royal Caribbean Cruises stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises is $346.92, +41.1% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Royal Caribbean Cruises stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Royal Caribbean Cruises is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $245.81 is 21.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $312.34. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Royal Caribbean Cruises report earnings next?
Royal Caribbean Cruises is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $6.35 per share on revenue of $5.59B. Royal Caribbean Cruises beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.1% on average across the report.
What is Royal Caribbean Cruises’s 52-week high and low?
Royal Caribbean Cruises’s 52-week high is $356.39 and its 52-week low is $232.10; it closed at $245.81 on Sep 18, 2026, −23.9% over the past year.
Is Royal Caribbean Cruises stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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