NYSE: RCL

Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$333.15+19.98 (+6.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Royal Caribbean's week was dominated by the announced $3 billion joint venture with Sandals Resorts, under which the company will acquire a 50% equity interest in Sandals and Beaches Resorts, a deal expected to close in early 2027 and described as combining its cruise lines with Sandals' all-inclusive Caribbean properties. This followed Q3 2026 results in which revenue grew 9% year over year and earnings came in 4% above guidance, supported by an 8% capacity increase and net yields up 0.6%. The company also launched a Cyber Season promotional sale running from November 6 to December 7, offering discounts up to $1,000 off select cruises.

Shares closed at $333.15, up 6.4%, sitting above both the 50-day average of $273.63 and the 200-day average of $287.14. The GekkoIndex reads 44.5, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, down 3.1 over five periods. Price stands 9.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $304.93.

The next earnings date falls on 4 February 2027, 91 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Smart-money and options signals show no recorded activity in their respective windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 6.2% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, positive in 4 of them. Analyst coverage includes 18 buy ratings against 2 holds among 20 firms, with a consensus target of $353.12.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Royal Caribbean Cruises price vs fair value

$333.15$304.93Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $333.15200-day averageGekko Fair Value $304.93

Royal Caribbean Cruises quick facts

Market cap
$89.11B
P/E ratio
19
Forward P/E
14.9
EPS, TTM
$16.90
Revenue, TTM
$19.14B
Profit margin
23.8%
Dividend yield
1.79%
Beta
1.86
Volume
2.56M avg 2.10M
1-year return
+19.9%
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±10.2%
50-day average
$273.63
200-day average
$287.14
Next earnings
Feb 4
Shares outstanding
267.5M
52-week range
$222.22$356.39

Royal Caribbean Cruises swing-trade checklist

Royal Caribbean Cruises scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $333.15 sits between the 50-day ($273.63) and 200-day ($287.14) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    44.5, Distribution

    Reading 44.5 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    9.3% above

    Price is 9.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 91 days

    Next report Feb 4, 2027, 91 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Royal Caribbean Cruises stock chart and price history

Royal Caribbean Cruises closed at $333.15 on Nov 4, 2026, +19.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $222.22 to $356.39.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Royal Caribbean Cruises share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$225$250$275$300$325$350DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct333.15

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+15.4%
3 months
+3.9%
6 months
+16.0%
1 year
+19.9%
The full RCL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RCL in Gekko

Follow Royal Caribbean Cruises through every session

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About Royal Caribbean Cruises

Royal Caribbean Cruises operates passenger ships that carry travelers to roughly a thousand ports of call worldwide. It is best known for the Royal Caribbean International brand, alongside additional cruise lines under its umbrella, offering vacationers a range of itineraries and onboard experiences across the globe.

The company runs through a portfolio of separate cruise brands, including Celebrity Cruises, Azamara, and Silversea Cruises, each catering to its own segment of travelers. Together these lines make up a fleet of vessels that sail on voyages to destinations spanning multiple continents, with revenue coming from passengers booking cruise trips across these different brands.

Founded in 1968, Royal Caribbean Cruises is headquartered in Miami, Florida. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker RCL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines
Website
rclinvestor.com

Royal Caribbean Cruises GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Royal Caribbean Cruises’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 44.5, in the Distribution zone, down 3.1 points over five sessions.

010044.5Distribution

Down 3.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying43+1.0%+3.1%+6.5%+19.6%
Accumulation203+0.5%+1.7%+3.5%+8.5%
Neutral398+1.0%+1.4%+2.8%+6.8%
Distribution (current zone)52+0.6%+1.3%+2.4%+7.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average RCL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RCL price, zone by zone.Track RCL in Gekko

Is Royal Caribbean Cruises stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Royal Caribbean Cruises trades 9.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $304.93, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Royal Caribbean Cruises shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$304.93

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

9.3% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 18.8% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$305$313Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RCL in Gekko

Royal Caribbean Cruises insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Royal Caribbean Cruises, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RCL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RCL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RCL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RCL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RCL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RCL in Gekko

Buybacks

Royal Caribbean Cruises has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$199.0M
As a share of market cap
0.22%
Trailing four quarters
$1.95B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold RCL.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Royal Caribbean Cruises earnings: next date and track record

Royal Caribbean Cruises reports on Feb 4, 2027 (91 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+13.6%Jan ’25−0.6%Apr ’25−5.9%Jul ’25−12.6%Oct ’25+11.3%Jan ’26+4.5%Apr ’26+6.1%Jul ’26+6.3%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
RCL reported Q3 2026 revenue growth of 9% YoY with earnings 4% above guidance, driven by 8% capacity increase and net yields up 0.6% (60bps above guidance). Strong closing demand and onboard revenue supported results across 2.7 million vacations. RCL announced a ~$3B acquisition of a 50% stake in Sandals and Beaches Resorts at 10x forward EBITDA, expected to be immediately earnings accretive and expand wallet share from ~22% to ~50% of guest vacation spend.
Guidance
Full-year 2026 guidance was raised following Q3 outperformance. The Sandals/Beaches deal is expected to be immediately accretive to earnings while maintaining leverage targets. Management expressed accelerating demand momentum across its brand portfolio.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 27, 2026$6.57
est $6.38
+3.0%$5.59B
est $5.61B
−0.3%+6.3%
Jul 28, 2026$4.21
est $3.97
+6.0%$4.83B
est $4.82B
+0.3%+6.1%
Apr 30, 2026$3.60
est $3.20
+12.6%$4.45B
est $4.46B
−0.3%+4.5%
Jan 29, 2026$2.80
est $2.79
+0.4%$4.26B
est $4.26B
−0.1%+11.3%
Oct 28, 2025$5.75
est $5.69
+1.1%$5.14B
est $5.17B
−0.5%−12.6%
Jul 29, 2025$4.38
est $4.09
+7.1%$4.54B
est $4.55B
−0.3%−5.9%
Apr 29, 2025$2.71
est $2.55
+6.3%$4.00B
est $4.01B
−0.4%−0.6%
Jan 28, 2025$1.63
est $1.50
+8.7%$3.76B
est $3.76B
0.0%+13.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Royal Caribbean Cruises stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises is $353.12, +6.0% from the last close, from 20 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$353.12consensus 12-month target, +6.0% from the last close
Low $298High $425
Buy18
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 20 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 28BarclaysBuy, maintained$350+5.1%
Oct 28SusquehannaBuy, reiterated$360+8.1%
Oct 28Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$415+24.6%
Oct 28Freedom Capital MarketsBuy, upgraded$379+13.8%
Oct 28Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$379+13.8%
+2.4%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+6.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Royal Caribbean Cruises seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Royal Caribbean Cruises averaged +6.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−24.8%2021+8.6%2022+26.4%2023+20.3%2024+3.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.8%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.8%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.2%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.2%3 of 5

For scale, RCL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.2%.

Royal Caribbean Cruises market cap and key statistics

Royal Caribbean Cruises’s market cap is $89.11B, with a P/E ratio of 19 and revenue of $19.14B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$89.11B
P/E ratio
19
Forward P/E
14.9
EPS, TTM
$16.90
Gekko Fair Value
$304.93

Trading

Volume
2.56M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.10M
52-week high
$356.39
52-week low
$222.22
Shares outstanding
267.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$19.14B
Profit margin
23.8%
Return on equity
41.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+12.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.86
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±10.2%
Dividend yield
1.79%

Royal Caribbean Cruises stock news this week

Coverage of Royal Caribbean Cruises this week reads positive: 10 positive, 6 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Royal Caribbean Cruises peers

Royal Caribbean Cruises’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MARMarriott International+0.4%Distribution37.0% above
ABNBAirbnb+1.8%Neutral15.8% above
HLTHilton Worldwide+1.1%Neutral31.5% above
CCLCarnival+4.4%Distribution10.3% above
VIKViking+3.8%Neutral3.2% below
HHyatt Hotels+0.2%Neutral26.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines

Royal Caribbean Cruises stock FAQ

What is Royal Caribbean Cruises’s market cap?

Royal Caribbean Cruises’s market cap is $89.11B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $333.15, with 267.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.

What is the Royal Caribbean Cruises stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises is $353.12, +6.0% from the last close. Of the 20 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 18 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Royal Caribbean Cruises stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Royal Caribbean Cruises is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $333.15 is 9.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $304.93. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Royal Caribbean Cruises report earnings next?

Royal Caribbean Cruises is expected to report on Feb 4, 2027 (91 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.59 per share on revenue of $4.67B. Royal Caribbean Cruises beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.6% on average across the report.

What is Royal Caribbean Cruises’s 52-week high and low?

Royal Caribbean Cruises’s 52-week high is $356.39 and its 52-week low is $222.22; it closed at $333.15 on Nov 4, 2026, +19.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $366.50 on Aug 29, 2025.

Is Royal Caribbean Cruises stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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