Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NCLH in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every NCLH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NCLH in Gekko
NYSE: NCLH
Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$14.31−0.30 (−2.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNorwegian Cruise Line's stock has been under pressure this week from a wave of analyst caution around 2027 demand, most notably JPMorgan cutting its price target on NCLH to $13 from $17 while maintaining a Neutral rating. This came even as the company pointed to strong post-pandemic booking demand and continued its experience-driven strategy, including a Whitney Houston tribute and other entertainment planned for the new ship, Norwegian Aura. The stock also drew attention for trading above its 52-week low following Q2 2026 results that had beaten adjusted EPS estimates.
Shares closed at $14.31, down 2.1% on the day, and remain below both the 50-day average of $17.14 and the 200-day average of $19.56, with the shorter average below the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 69.1, placing NCLH in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 22.3% below the Gekko Fair Value of $18.42.
The next earnings report is set for 4 November 2026, before the open, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 30 days there has been 1 unusual options signal, with put premium of $1,313,620 well above call premium of $98,005. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -1% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them, worth noting alongside the current analyst mix of 4 buy and 14 hold ratings among 18 firms.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Norwegian Cruise Line price vs fair value
Close $14.31200-day averageGekko Fair Value $18.42
Norwegian Cruise Line quick facts
- Market cap
- $6.57B
- P/E ratio
- 8.6
- Forward P/E
- 8.5
- EPS, TTM
- $1.65
- Revenue, TTM
- $10.15B
- Profit margin
- 7.5%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.88
- Volume
- 23.28M avg 18.04M
- 1-year return
- −42.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.9%
- 50-day average
- $17.14
- 200-day average
- $19.56
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 459.2M
Norwegian Cruise Line swing-trade checklist
Norwegian Cruise Line scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $14.31 is below the 50-day ($17.14) and 200-day ($19.56) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
69.1, Accumulation
Reading 69.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
22.3% below
Price is 22.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyheadwind
Leans bearish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−1.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Norwegian Cruise Line stock chart and price history
Norwegian Cruise Line closed at $14.31 on Sep 28, 2026, −42.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $13.63 to $26.09.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −14.1%
- 3 months
- −34.7%
- 6 months
- −22.6%
- 1 year
- −42.8%
The full NCLH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NCLH in Gekko
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About Norwegian Cruise Line
Norwegian Cruise Line runs cruise vacations for travelers around the world, sailing through North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and other regions. The company brings together three separate brands under one roof: Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises and Regent Seven Seas Cruises. It is known for offering trips of widely varying length, from short three-day getaways to voyages lasting as long as 180 days, covering destinations such as the Mediterranean, the Greek Isles, Scandinavia, Russia, Alaska, Hawaii, the South Pacific, Australia, New Zealand, Africa, India, South America, the Panama Canal and the Caribbean.
Bookings reach customers through independent retail and travel advisors, direct onboard sales, and dedicated services built for meetings, incentive travel and private charters. As of the end of 2021 the company operated 28 ships with roughly 59,150 berths available to guests.
Norwegian Cruise Line was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker NCLH.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines
- Website
- nclhltd.com
Norwegian Cruise Line GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Norwegian Cruise Line’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.1, in the Accumulation zone, down 3 points over five sessions.
69.1Accumulation
Down 3 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 58 | −0.4% | +4.7% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 208 | +0.2% | +2.0% | ||
| Neutral | 375 | +0.2% | −1.3% | ||
| Distribution | 30 | −0.4% | +7.3% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average NCLH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NCLH price, zone by zone.Track NCLH in Gekko
Is Norwegian Cruise Line stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Norwegian Cruise Line trades 22.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.42, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Norwegian Cruise Line shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$18.42
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
22.3% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NCLH in Gekko
Norwegian Cruise Line insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Norwegian Cruise Line, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in NCLH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for NCLH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NCLH in Gekko
Buybacks
Norwegian Cruise Line has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
- $2K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 7% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 11, $1.41M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
3of the funds Gekko tracks hold NCLH.
2added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Norwegian Cruise Line earnings: next date and track record
Norwegian Cruise Line reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected before the open, 36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.89
- Revenue estimate
- $2.86B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.5%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) reported solid Q2 2026 results, with top-line growth of 5% driven by increased capacity days, adjusted EBITDA of $666 million (beating guidance by $34 million), adjusted net income of $222 million and adjusted EPS of $0.48 (above guidance). Net yield in Q2 declined 2.6%, 100 bps better than initial expectations, while adjusted net cruise cost excluding fuel fell 50 bps to $163. Management announced approximately $225 million of annualized savings and cash benefits to date ($125 million prior quarter + $100 million identified this quarter) and signaled further cost-efficiency opportunities. The company emphasized execution issues—particularly marketing and revenue management at the Norwegian brand—as the primary cause of weaker demand and booking curves, not product quality. Management is undertaking organizational and commercial changes (new marketing/ revenue leadership, revised media and pricing strategies, island/waterpark activations) and expects these initiatives to take time to translate into demand/revenue improvements. They reiterated that industry fundamentals remain strong but that the near-term backdrop is challenging. Guidance provided reflects soft demand: full-year net yield expected at the low end of the prior guidance (~down ~5% on a constant currency basis), Q3 net yields expected down ~8.9% with load factor ~104%, and a cautious outlook into early 2027 with management forecasting negative yields for the first half of 2027 but sequential improvement in the back half and normalization around 2028.
- Guidance
- Full-year net yield expected at the low end of prior guidance, approximately -5% (constant currency). Q3 net yield guidance: approximately -8.9% with load factor ~104%. Company expects the back half of 2026 remains pressured and limited runway for marketing actions to materially benefit 2026. For 2027: management expects negative yields in the first half (primarily Q1) with acceleration and sequential improvement in the back half of 2027; 2028 expected to approach normalized performance. Announced ~$225M of annualized savings (combined over two quarters) and identified additional cost efficiencies; adjusted EBITDA for Q2 was $666M and adjusted EPS $0.48.
- Risks flagged
- Near-term demand softness and suboptimal booking curves, particularly for European sailings; execution risk around marketing, revenue management, and re-training customer/travel agent expectations; sensitivity to geopolitical events (conflict affecting North American bookings to Europe) and airfares; macro volatility affecting booking cadence; timing risk that initiatives (marketing, baseloading/pricing changes, island activations) will take multiple quarters to materially benefit results.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $0.43 est $0.34 | $2.64B est $2.65B | −10.7% |
| May 4, 2026 | $0.23 est $0.14 | $2.33B est $2.36B | −9.9% |
| Mar 2, 2026 | $0.28 est $0.26 | $2.24B est $2.34B | −14.2% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $1.20 est $1.16 | $2.94B est $2.34B | −16.1% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.51 est $0.52 | $2.52B est $3.02B | +4.7% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $0.07 est $0.09 | $2.13B est $2.56B | −6.4% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $0.26 est $0.10 | $2.11B est $2.19B | −9.3% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $0.99 est $0.94 | $2.81B est $2.11B | +4.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Norwegian Cruise Line stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Norwegian Cruise Line is $20.20, +41.2% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$20.20consensus 12-month target, +41.2% from the last close
Now $14.31Avg $20.20
Low $13High $25
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | Deutsche Bank | — | — |
| Sep 24 | J.P. Morgan | $13 | −9.2% |
| Sep 24 | Truist Financial | $16 | +11.8% |
| Sep 14 | Bernstein | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Citi | $22 | +53.7% |
+2.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Norwegian Cruise Line seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Norwegian Cruise Line averaged −1.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −2.9% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −2.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −1.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +1.7% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, NCLH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.9%.
Norwegian Cruise Line market cap and key statistics
Norwegian Cruise Line’s market cap is $6.57B, with a P/E ratio of 8.6 and revenue of $10.15B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $6.57B
- P/E ratio
- 8.6
- Forward P/E
- 8.5
- EPS, TTM
- $1.65
- Gekko Fair Value
- $18.42
Trading
- Volume
- 23.28M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 18.04M
- 52-week high
- $26.09
- 52-week low
- $13.63
- Shares outstanding
- 459.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $10.15B
- Profit margin
- 7.5%
- Return on equity
- 36.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +616.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.88
- Typical daily move
- ±4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.9%
Norwegian Cruise Line stock news this week
Coverage of Norwegian Cruise Line this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 7 neutral and 4 negative headlines.
- Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings stock at USD 14.61 on September 25, 2026AD HOC NEWS, Sep 28
- NCLH Stock Holds Support As Analysts Trim Price TargetsStocksToTrade, Sep 25
- Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to KnowYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 25
- Norwegian Cruise Line stock last at USD 14.40 in New York tradingAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- Norwegian Cruise Line stock slips 0.8 percent before the bellAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- Will Whitney Houston Tribute Change Norwegian Cruise Line Stock NarrativeSimply Wall Street, Sep 24
Norwegian Cruise Line peers
Norwegian Cruise Line’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MARMarriott International | Neutral | 22.2% above |
| ABNBAirbnb | Accumulation | 1.5% above |
| HLTHilton Worldwide | Neutral | 17.8% above |
| RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises | Accumulation | 21.7% below |
| VIKViking | Buying | 21.0% below |
| CCLCarnival | Accumulation | 23.0% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Norwegian Cruise Line stock FAQ
What is Norwegian Cruise Line’s market cap?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s market cap is $6.57B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $14.31, with 459.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.6.
What is the Norwegian Cruise Line stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Norwegian Cruise Line is $20.20, +41.2% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 14 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Norwegian Cruise Line stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Norwegian Cruise Line is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $14.31 is 22.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.42. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Norwegian Cruise Line report earnings next?
Norwegian Cruise Line is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.89 per share on revenue of $2.86B. Norwegian Cruise Line beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.5% on average across the report.
What is Norwegian Cruise Line’s 52-week high and low?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s 52-week high is $26.09 and its 52-week low is $13.63; it closed at $14.31 on Sep 28, 2026, −42.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $29.45 on Nov 5, 2021.
Is Norwegian Cruise Line stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 3 as headwinds (trend, smart money and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Norwegian Cruise Line?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Norwegian Cruise Line over the last 30 days, with $98K of flagged premium in calls and $1.31M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 11, 2026 with $1.41M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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