NASDAQ: RRR

Red Rock Resorts (RRR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$50.18+0.67 (+1.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Red Rock Resorts confirmed it will release third-quarter 2026 results on 3 November and hold its conference call the same day, formalizing the date already flagged by the earnings calendar. Separately, a comparative piece weighed RRR against Motorsport Games (MSGM) on value grounds within the gaming sector, though it offered no new company-specific news. Neither item speaks to operations or guidance directly, leaving the stock's recent moves tied mainly to broader price action rather than fresh disclosures.

RRR closed at $50.18, up 1.4% on the day, but remains below both its 50-day average of $56.15 and 200-day average of $58.96, with the shorter average also under the longer one, underscoring a sustained downtrend. Returns over one, three and six months stand at -10.2%, -21.6% and -11.2% respectively, with the one-year return at -12.7%. The GekkoIndex reads 62.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 11.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $56.72.

The next earnings date is 27 October 2026, after the close, falling inside the typical 20-trading-day holding window and representing a key catalyst given the prior quarter's -7.1% reaction despite an EPS beat of $0.67 versus $0.51 estimated. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality data show a 3.1% average 20-day gain across 5 years, with gains in 4 of those years. The consensus among 14 analysts stands at 12 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $73.28.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Red Rock Resorts price vs fair value

$56.72$50.18Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $50.18200-day averageGekko Fair Value $56.72

Red Rock Resorts quick facts

Market cap
$2.93B
P/E ratio
17.8
Forward P/E
16.3
EPS, TTM
$2.83
Revenue, TTM
$2.00B
Profit margin
8.4%
Dividend yield
2.03%
Beta
1.41
Volume
515,693 avg 1.17M
1-year return
−12.7%
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±7%
50-day average
$56.15
200-day average
$58.96
Next earnings
Oct 27 after close
Shares outstanding
59.13M
52-week range
$47.50$68.99

Red Rock Resorts swing-trade checklist

Red Rock Resorts scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $50.18 is below the 50-day ($56.15) and 200-day ($58.96) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.4, Accumulation

    Reading 62.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    11.5% below

    Price is 11.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 15 days

    Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 15 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Red Rock Resorts stock chart and price history

Red Rock Resorts closed at $50.18 on Oct 12, 2026, −12.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $47.50 to $68.99.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Red Rock Resorts share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$55$60$65NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct50.18

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−10.2%
3 months
−21.6%
6 months
−11.2%
1 year
−12.7%
The full RRR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RRR in Gekko

Follow Red Rock Resorts through every session

Put RRR on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Red Rock Resorts

Red Rock Resorts builds and runs casino and entertainment venues across the United States, with its business concentrated in the Las Vegas area. It holds a mix of larger resort-style properties and smaller neighborhood casinos in that market, and it also provides management services to Graton Resort & Casino in northern California. As of the end of 2021, its Las Vegas holdings included thousands of slot machines, hundreds of table games, and several thousand hotel rooms.

The company carries out its operations mainly through ownership stakes in Station Holdco and Station LLC, and it organizes its activities into two segments: one covering its Las Vegas properties and the other covering its Native American management work. This structure reflects a split between properties it directly owns and operates versus a facility it manages on behalf of others.

Red Rock Resorts traces its history back to a Las Vegas, Nevada business founded in 1976, which operated for many years as Station Casinos Corp before taking its current name in January 2016. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker RRR.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines
Website
redrockresorts.com

Red Rock Resorts GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Red Rock Resorts’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.3 points over five sessions.

010062.4Accumulation

Down 0.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying44+1.3%+0.4%+1.1%+12.7%
Accumulation (current zone)233−0.2%−0.6%−0.3%+4.4%
Neutral351+0.2%+0.6%+0.5%−1.8%
Distribution48−1.0%−1.3%−2.0%−3.3%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average RRR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RRR price, zone by zone.Track RRR in Gekko

Is Red Rock Resorts stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Red Rock Resorts trades 11.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $56.72, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Red Rock Resorts shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$56.72

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

11.5% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$57$50Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RRR in Gekko

Red Rock Resorts insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Red Rock Resorts, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RRR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RRR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RRR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RRR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RRR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RRR in Gekko

Buybacks

Red Rock Resorts has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$38.34M
As a share of market cap
1.31%
Trailing four quarters
$149.3M

From company filings.

Red Rock Resorts earnings: next date and track record

Red Rock Resorts reports on Oct 27, 2026, after the close (15 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.2%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−5.9%Nov ’24+2.3%Feb ’25+2.6%May ’25+9.7%Jul ’25−10.5%Oct ’25−1.0%Feb ’26−2.8%Apr ’26−7.1%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Red Rock Resorts reported Q2 2026 Las Vegas net revenue of $503.2M (down 2% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA of $227.5M (down 5% YoY) at a 45.2% margin. Consolidated net revenue was $510.3M with adjusted EBITDA of $208M, down 9.3% YoY. Results represent the second-highest Q2 performance in company history. Operating free cash flow was $100M ($0.95/share) in Q2, with $206.7M YTD. Durango expansion remains on schedule for H2 2027 opening.
Guidance
Management expects ~$8M one-time anniversary/brand marketing expense in Q3 corporate expense. Durango North expansion remains on track for H2 2027. Management expressed confidence in continued Las Vegas locals market growth driven by Southwest Las Vegas residential expansion.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$0.67
est $0.51
+32.4%$510.3M
est $500.1M
+2.0%−7.1%
Apr 29, 2026$0.73
est $0.54
+35.2%$507.3M
est $505.6M
+0.3%−2.8%
Feb 10, 2026$0.75
est $0.41
+82.9%$511.8M
est $503.5M
+1.6%−1.0%
Oct 28, 2025$0.68
est $0.36
+88.9%$475.6M
est $479.5M
−0.8%−10.5%
Jul 29, 2025$0.95
est $0.40
+137.5%$526.3M
est $477.2M
+10.3%+9.7%
May 1, 2025$0.80
est $0.55
+45.5%$497.9M
est $495.9M
+0.4%+2.6%
Feb 11, 2025$0.76
est $0.48
+58.3%$495.7M
est $490.2M
+1.1%+2.3%
Nov 7, 2024$0.49
est $0.37
+32.4%$468.0M
est $461.7M
+1.4%−5.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Red Rock Resorts stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Red Rock Resorts is $73.28, +46.0% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$73.28consensus 12-month target, +46.0% from the last close
Low $61High $78
Buy12
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12CitiBuy, maintained$69+37.5%
Oct 9BarclaysBuy, maintained$74+47.5%
Oct 6Deutsche Bank Buy, maintained$73+45.5%
Sep 9Texas Capital SecuritiesBuy, initiated$72+43.5%
Sep 2Wolfe ResearchBuy, initiated$73+45.5%
−0.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Red Rock Resorts seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Red Rock Resorts averaged +3.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−8.6%2021+11.9%2022+0.9%2023+7.2%2024+3.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.0%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.1%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.1%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.0%3 of 5

For scale, RRR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7%.

Red Rock Resorts market cap and key statistics

Red Rock Resorts’s market cap is $2.93B, with a P/E ratio of 17.8 and revenue of $2.00B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.93B
P/E ratio
17.8
Forward P/E
16.3
EPS, TTM
$2.83
Gekko Fair Value
$56.72

Trading

Volume
515,693
Avg volume, 20 days
1.17M
52-week high
$68.99
52-week low
$47.50
Shares outstanding
59.13M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.00B
Profit margin
8.4%
Return on equity
108.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−29.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.41
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±7%
Dividend yield
2.03%

Red Rock Resorts stock news this week

2 headlines about Red Rock Resorts from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Red Rock Resorts peers

Red Rock Resorts’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ABNBAirbnb−2.2%Neutral8.1% above
MARMarriott International+0.9%Neutral25.1% above
RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises+1.0%Neutral8.8% below
HLTHilton Worldwide+0.5%Neutral19.5% above
CCLCarnival+1.6%Neutral7.6% below
VIKViking−0.5%Accumulation17.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Red Rock Resorts stock FAQ

What is Red Rock Resorts’s market cap?

Red Rock Resorts’s market cap is $2.93B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $50.18, with 59.13M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 17.8.

What is the Red Rock Resorts stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Red Rock Resorts is $73.28, +46.0% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Red Rock Resorts stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Red Rock Resorts is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $50.18 is 11.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $56.72. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Red Rock Resorts report earnings next?

Red Rock Resorts is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, after the market closes (15 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.45 per share on revenue of $478.3M. Red Rock Resorts beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.2% on average across the report.

What is Red Rock Resorts’s 52-week high and low?

Red Rock Resorts’s 52-week high is $68.99 and its 52-week low is $47.50; it closed at $50.18 on Oct 12, 2026, −12.7% over the past year.

Is Red Rock Resorts stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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