Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MCRI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MCRI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MCRI in Gekko
NASDAQ: MCRI
Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$115.09+0.75 (+0.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week’s coverage centers on Monarch Casino & Resort confirming it will report third-quarter 2026 results after market close on 27 October, with a conference call to follow. Separately, shares crossed above the 200-day moving average, a technical point noted alongside commentary on the stock’s prior run and earlier fair-value analysis that had flagged it as undervalued.
MCRI closed at $115.09, up 0.7%, sitting between its 50-day average of $120.80 and its 200-day average of $111.38, reflecting a mixed trend. The stock is down 5.6% over one month and 8.4% over three months, though it remains up 17.5% over six months and over the past year, within a 52-week range of $88.13 to $135.93. The GekkoIndex reads 64.7, placing MCRI in the Accumulation zone, up 4.3 over five days. Price sits 10.9% above the Gekko Fair Value of $103.74.
Earnings arrive on 27 October, 14 days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period; the prior quarter saw EPS of $1.58 against a $1.12 estimate and an 18.3% reaction, with 7 beats in the last 8 quarters and an average absolute reaction of 6.7%. Seasonality from this point has averaged a 9% move over 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 1 buy and 3 hold ratings with a $126.50 target. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Monarch Casino & Resort price vs fair value
Close $115.09200-day averageGekko Fair Value $103.74
Monarch Casino & Resort quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.06B
- P/E ratio
- 18.5
- Forward P/E
- 17
- EPS, TTM
- $6.24
- Revenue, TTM
- $562.0M
- Profit margin
- 20.4%
- Dividend yield
- 1.02%
- Beta
- 1.41
- Volume
- 118,519 avg 172,444
- 1-year return
- +17.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.1%
- 50-day average
- $120.80
- 200-day average
- $111.38
- Next earnings
- Oct 27
- Shares outstanding
- 17.92M
Monarch Casino & Resort swing-trade checklist
Monarch Casino & Resort scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $115.09 sits between the 50-day ($120.80) and 200-day ($111.38) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
64.7, Accumulation
Reading 64.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
10.9% above
Price is 10.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 15 days
Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 15 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+9.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Monarch Casino & Resort stock chart and price history
Monarch Casino & Resort closed at $115.09 on Oct 12, 2026, +17.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $88.13 to $135.93.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −5.6%
- 3 months
- −8.4%
- 6 months
- +17.5%
- 1 year
- +17.5%
The full MCRI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MCRI in Gekko
Follow Monarch Casino & Resort through every session
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About Monarch Casino & Resort
Monarch Casino & Resort operates two hotel and casino properties through its subsidiaries: the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada, and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Colorado. Both sites combine gaming floors with hotel rooms, dining, spa facilities and event space, giving the company a presence in two distinct regional gaming markets.
The Atlantis property includes a gaming area with slot and video poker machines and table games such as blackjack, craps and roulette, along with a sports book, keno lounge and poker room. Guests can choose from hundreds of rooms, multiple restaurants and coffee shops, a large spa with an indoor pool, retail shops, a family entertainment area and banquet and meeting space. The Black Hawk location similarly pairs a sizable gaming floor with bars, lounges, dining venues, guest suites, a concierge lounge, a spa and pool complex, retail space, meeting areas and a multi-level parking structure serving visitors to the resort.
Monarch Casino & Resort was established in 1972 and is headquartered in Reno, Nevada. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker MCRI.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines
- Website
- monarchcasino.com
Monarch Casino & Resort GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Monarch Casino & Resort’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.3 points over five sessions.
64.7Accumulation
Up 4.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 32 | −0.3% | +1.8% |
| Accumulation (current zone) | 152 | +0.5% | +2.4% |
| Neutral | 436 | +0.8% | +2.5% |
| Distribution | 52 | −1.3% | −3.4% |
| Selling | 10 | −1.2% | −3.7% |
Average MCRI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MCRI price, zone by zone.Track MCRI in Gekko
Is Monarch Casino & Resort stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Monarch Casino & Resort trades 10.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $103.74, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Monarch Casino & Resort shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$103.74
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
10.9% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 12.0% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MCRI in Gekko
Monarch Casino & Resort insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Monarch Casino & Resort, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MCRI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MCRI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MCRI in Gekko
Buybacks
Monarch Casino & Resort has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $212K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.01%
- Trailing four quarters
- $70.65M
From company filings.
Monarch Casino & Resort earnings: next date and track record
Monarch Casino & Resort reports on Oct 27, 2026 (15 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 27, 2026
15 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.86
- Revenue estimate
- $147.9M
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.7%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | $1.58 est $1.12 | — | +18.3% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | $1.25 est $1.36 | — | +1.8% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $1.69 est $1.57 | — | −4.4% |
| Jul 22, 2025 | $1.44 est $1.18 | — | +2.7% |
| Apr 15, 2025 | $1.07 est $1.00 | — | +1.1% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $1.36 est $1.13 | — | +9.7% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | $1.47 est $1.37 | — | +6.3% |
| Jul 24, 2024 | $1.19 est $1.11 | — | +9.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Monarch Casino & Resort stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Monarch Casino & Resort is $126.50, +9.9% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$126.50consensus 12-month target, +9.9% from the last close
Now $115.09Avg $126.50
Low $114High $147
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9 | Texas Capital Securities | $147 | +27.7% |
| Jul 21 | CBRE | — | — |
| Jul 21 | Stifel Nicolaus | $128 | +11.2% |
| Jul 21 | Wells Fargo | $114 | −0.9% |
| Jul 14 | Wells Fargo | $116 | +0.8% |
+2.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+9.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Monarch Casino & Resort seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Monarch Casino & Resort averaged +9.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +7.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +9.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +11.3% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, MCRI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.1%.
Monarch Casino & Resort market cap and key statistics
Monarch Casino & Resort’s market cap is $2.06B, with a P/E ratio of 18.5 and revenue of $562.0M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.06B
- P/E ratio
- 18.5
- Forward P/E
- 17
- EPS, TTM
- $6.24
- Gekko Fair Value
- $103.74
Trading
- Volume
- 118,519
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 172,444
- 52-week high
- $135.93
- 52-week low
- $88.13
- Shares outstanding
- 17.92M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $562.0M
- Profit margin
- 20.4%
- Return on equity
- 20.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +23.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.41
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.1%
- Dividend yield
- 1.02%
Monarch Casino & Resort stock news this week
Coverage of Monarch Casino & Resort this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Monarch Casino & Resort Q3 2026 Earnings Date and EstimatesMarketBeat, Oct 10
- Monarch Casino sets October 27 results date for Monarch Casino stockAD HOC NEWS, Oct 8
- Monarch Casino to release Q3 2026 earnings after market close on Oct 27Pluang, Oct 7
- Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results ReleaseQuiver Quantitative, Oct 7
- Monarch Casino & Resort to Report 2026 Third Quarter Results After Market Close on October 27The Manila Times, Oct 7
- Monarch Casino & Resort (NASDAQ:MCRI) Shares Break Above 200-Day Moving Average – What’s Next?Defense World, Oct 7
Monarch Casino & Resort peers
Monarch Casino & Resort’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| ABNBAirbnb | Neutral | 8.1% above |
| MARMarriott International | Neutral | 25.1% above |
| RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises | Neutral | 8.8% below |
| HLTHilton Worldwide | Neutral | 19.5% above |
| CCLCarnival | Neutral | 7.6% below |
| VIKViking | Accumulation | 17.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Monarch Casino & Resort stock FAQ
What is Monarch Casino & Resort’s market cap?
Monarch Casino & Resort’s market cap is $2.06B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $115.09, with 17.92M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.5.
What is the Monarch Casino & Resort stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Monarch Casino & Resort is $126.50, +9.9% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Monarch Casino & Resort stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Monarch Casino & Resort is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $115.09 is 10.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $103.74. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Monarch Casino & Resort report earnings next?
Monarch Casino & Resort is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (15 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.86 per share on revenue of $147.9M. Monarch Casino & Resort beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.7% on average across the report.
What is Monarch Casino & Resort’s 52-week high and low?
Monarch Casino & Resort’s 52-week high is $135.93 and its 52-week low is $88.13; it closed at $115.09 on Oct 12, 2026, +17.5% over the past year.
Is Monarch Casino & Resort stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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