Oct 12 close
This week's activity around Target Hospitality centers on two open-market sales by Arrow Holdings and MFA Global, who sold a combined 11 million shares at $18.40 per share on October 1, alongside a Form 13D/A and a Form 4 filing dated 11 October. Separately, commentary has pointed to a hammer chart pattern suggesting the stock has found support, along with upward earnings estimate revisions, while another piece highlighted the company's growth profile in financials.
TH closed at $18.84, up 2.3%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $18.47 and its 200-day average of $14.28, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 60.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 7.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $17.49.
Looking ahead, Target Hospitality reports earnings on 5 November, 24 days away, placing the release inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw an EPS beat with a 0.7% reaction. Smart money activity over the last 90 days includes 2 insider purchases totaling $375,158. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -2.8% across 5 years, rising in 2 of those years. Analyst consensus across 6 firms rates the stock a buy, with a consensus target of $25.20, representing 33.8% upside from current levels.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Target Hospitality scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $18.84 is above the 50-day ($18.47) and 200-day ($14.28) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart60.3, Accumulation
Reading 60.3 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex7.7% above
Price is 7.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair valueLeans bullish
Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases.
See smart moneyReports in 24 days
Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings−2.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Target Hospitality closed at $18.84 on Oct 12, 2026, +147.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $5.97 to $21.76.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put TH on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Target Hospitality provides temporary housing and related hospitality services across North America. It runs a network of lodging communities, around 15,528 beds spread over 27 locations, most of which it owns outright, with one leased and one managed on behalf of others. Alongside accommodation, it handles the surrounding services that keep a workforce community running, including meals and catering, housekeeping, grounds and facility upkeep, security, laundry, recreational programs and concierge support.
The business is organized into four segments: Hospitality & Facilities Services - South, Hospitality & Facilities Services - Midwest, Government, and TCPL Keystone. Its customer base centers on the U.S. government and government contractors, together with companies involved in natural resource development and energy infrastructure, who rely on it to house and support crews at remote or project-based sites.
Target Hospitality traces back to 1978 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker TH.
Target Hospitality’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.2 points over five sessions.
Up 0.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 43 | +3.1% | +15.7% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 167 | +1.9% | +7.7% | ||
| Neutral | 418 | +0.6% | +1.0% | ||
| Distribution | 51 | −1.2% | +4.8% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average TH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
Target Hospitality trades 7.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $17.49, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Target Hospitality shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$17.49
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
7.7% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 15.0% above the estimate.
Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in Target Hospitality worth $375K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
$375Kin 2 open-market purchases
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | Schrenk Troy C. officer: Chief Commercial Officer | Purchase | $125K |
| Sep 16 | Archer James Bradley director, officer: Director and CEO and President | Purchase | $250K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
No trades in TH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Target Hospitality has been buying back its own shares.
From company filings.
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold TH.
Target Hospitality reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Nov 5, 2026
Expected before the open, 24 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | −$0.09 est −$0.11 | $85.46M est $79.30M | +0.7% |
| May 11, 2026 | −$0.10 est −$0.08 | $72.78M est $73.20M | +14.0% |
| Mar 11, 2026 | −$0.12 est −$0.07 | $89.78M est $85.83M | +21.6% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | −$0.01 est −$0.04 | $99.36M est $85.20M | −17.0% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | −$0.15 est −$0.11 | $61.61M est $85.30M | +15.8% |
| May 19, 2025 | −$0.04 est −$0.02 | $69.90M est $59.43M | +2.1% |
| Mar 26, 2025 | $0.13 est $0.07 | $83.69M est $73.00M | +9.6% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | $0.20 est $0.12 | $95.19M est $80.10M | +6.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Target Hospitality is $25.20, +33.8% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 | Morgan Stanley | $25 | +32.7% |
| Sep 9 | Stifel Nicolaus | $26 | +38.0% |
| Sep 8 | Oppenheimer | $27 | +43.3% |
| Aug 27 | Stifel Nicolaus | $26 | +38.0% |
| Aug 27 | Northland Securities | $25 | +32.7% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Target Hospitality averaged −2.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.8% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −2.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | 0.0% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, TH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.4%.
Target Hospitality’s market cap is $1.88B and revenue of $347.4M over the last twelve months.
Coverage of Target Hospitality this week reads neutral: 0 positive, 3 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
Target Hospitality’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| ABNBAirbnb | Neutral | 8.1% above |
| MARMarriott International | Neutral | 25.1% above |
| RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises | Neutral | 8.8% below |
| HLTHilton Worldwide | Neutral | 19.5% above |
| CCLCarnival | Neutral | 7.6% below |
| VIKViking | Accumulation | 17.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Target Hospitality’s market cap is $1.88B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $18.84, with 97.93M shares outstanding.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Target Hospitality is $25.20, +33.8% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Target Hospitality is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $18.84 is 7.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $17.49. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Target Hospitality is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.00 per share on revenue of $118.4M. Target Hospitality beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.9% on average across the report.
Target Hospitality’s 52-week high is $21.76 and its 52-week low is $5.97; it closed at $18.84 on Oct 12, 2026, +147.6% over the past year.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, gekkoindex and smart money) and 3 as headwinds (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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