Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for HLT in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every HLT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HLT in Gekko
NYSE: HLT
Hilton Worldwide (HLT) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$376.53+12.70 (+3.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeHilton closed the week higher after presenting a development pipeline of approximately 543,000 rooms, requiring about $715 million in Hilton investment versus more than $75 billion from third parties. Analyst commentary also featured prominently: Bank of America Securities reaffirmed a Buy rating with a $375.00 price target, UBS maintained a Buy rating with a $413.00 target, and Citigroup raised its price target to $400 from $335 while keeping a Neutral rating. A separate piece noted plans to return $3.5 billion to shareholders in 2026 and a third-quarter system-wide RevPAR rise of 5.8% year over year. Director filings showing deferred share unit awards to Marissa A. Mayer and Elizabeth A. Smith were also disclosed but were background to the pipeline and analyst news.
The stock closed at $376.53, up 3.5%, sitting above both its 50-day ($327.40) and 200-day ($321.92) averages, with the 50-day above the 200-day, and near its 52-week high of $377.76. The GekkoIndex reads 45.3, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 5.3 over five periods. Price stands 31.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $286.42.
The next earnings date is 10 February 2027, 97 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +5.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. The gap to Gekko Fair Value and the Neutral GekkoIndex reading are worth noting alongside the consensus target of $365.19.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Hilton Worldwide price vs fair value
Close $376.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $286.42
Hilton Worldwide quick facts
- Market cap
- $83.78B
- P/E ratio
- 48.2
- Forward P/E
- 33.3
- EPS, TTM
- $7.57
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.18B
- Profit margin
- 32.8%
- Dividend yield
- 0.17%
- Beta
- 1.07
- Volume
- 2.00M avg 1.96M
- 1-year return
- +45.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5%
- 50-day average
- $327.40
- 200-day average
- $321.92
- Next earnings
- Feb 10 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 222.5M
Hilton Worldwide swing-trade checklist
Hilton Worldwide scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $376.53 is above the 50-day ($327.40) and 200-day ($321.92) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
45.3, Neutral
Reading 45.3 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
31.5% above
Price is 31.5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 97 days
Next report Feb 10, 2027, 97 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+5.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Hilton Worldwide stock chart and price history
Hilton Worldwide closed at $376.53 on Nov 4, 2026, +45.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $256.24 to $377.76.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +16.7%
- 3 months
- +16.9%
- 6 months
- +17.1%
- 1 year
- +45.3%
The full HLT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HLT in Gekko
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About Hilton Worldwide
Hilton Worldwide runs, franchises, and leases hotels and resorts for travelers and property owners around the world. Its name is tied to a wide collection of lodging brands spanning luxury, lifestyle, full-service, extended-stay, and timeshare properties, including Waldorf Astoria, Conrad, DoubleTree, Hampton, Embassy Suites, and Hilton Grand Vacations, among many others, along with its Hilton Honors loyalty program.
The company works through two segments: Management and Franchise, and Ownership. Under these, it manages hotels on behalf of owners, licenses its brand names and trademarks to franchisees, and also holds direct ownership positions in some properties. Its reach extends across North, South, and Central America, including Caribbean nations, as well as Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region, serving hotel owners and guests across these markets.
Hilton Worldwide was founded in 1919 and is based in McLean, Virginia. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker HLT.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines
- Website
- hilton.com
Hilton Worldwide GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Hilton Worldwide’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 45.3, in the Neutral zone, down 5.3 points over five sessions.
45.3Neutral
Down 5.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 15 | +1.8% | +0.9% | ||
| Accumulation | 169 | +0.6% | +4.7% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 453 | +0.5% | +1.3% | ||
| Distribution | 51 | −0.1% | −2.4% | ||
| Selling | 9 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average HLT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HLT price, zone by zone.Track HLT in Gekko
Is Hilton Worldwide stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Hilton Worldwide trades 31.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $286.42, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Hilton Worldwide shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$286.42
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
31.5% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 22.1% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HLT in Gekko
Hilton Worldwide insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Hilton Worldwide, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in HLT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for HLT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HLT in Gekko
Buybacks
Hilton Worldwide has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
- $846.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.01%
- Trailing four quarters
- $3.41B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold HLT.
0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Hilton Worldwide earnings: next date and track record
Hilton Worldwide reports on Feb 10, 2027, before the open (97 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 10, 2027
Expected before the open, 97 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.43
- Revenue estimate
- $3.35B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Hilton reported strong Q2 2026 results with RevPAR, adjusted EBITDA, and EPS exceeding expectations. System-wide RevPAR rose 3.9% YoY driven by U.S. demand recovery (business transient and group) and lift from the World Cup. Adjusted EBITDA rose 4.6% to $1.054 billion, management and franchise fees increased, and adjusted EPS was $2.29. The company highlighted disciplined development with strong signings and a record pipeline, expecting to return $3.5 billion to shareholders for the full year. Management introduced owner-focused initiatives (reduced loyalty fees, Project RISE) to support owner profitability. Regional outlook: U.S. RevPAR expected mid-single-digit growth for full-year 2026; Americas ex-U.S. low- to mid-single digits; Europe mid-single digits; Middle East & Africa still down (now expected down high-single to low-double digits). NUG (net unit growth) expected 6-7% for the year and sustainably going forward. Company reiterated visibility into back-end loaded supply openings. Risks noted include Middle East conflict impact, calendar shifts, and specific large hotel renovations reducing ownership EBITDA in 2026.
- Guidance
- Full-year 2026: return $3.5B to shareholders. U.S. RevPAR growth: mid-single digits for full-year 2026. Americas ex-U.S.: low- to mid-single digits RevPAR growth for full-year 2026. Europe: mid-single digits RevPAR growth for full-year 2026. Middle East & Africa: RevPAR down high-single to low-double digits for full-year 2026. NUG (system openings): 6-7% for full-year 2026 and they expect to sustain 6-7% in the foreseeable future. Adjusted EBITDA: implied guidance updated consistent with year-to-date results (no explicit numeric update beyond Q2 actual).
- Risks flagged
- Middle East conflict causing demand uncertainty in MEA region; unfavorable holiday shifts impacting leisure RevPAR; significant renovations/closures in ownership portfolio (Munich Park, Amsterdam, Tokyo) reducing EBITDA in 2026; macro uncertainty (Mexico impacts, FX) and one-time timing items that affect comparability.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $2.29 est $2.29 | $3.34B est $3.32B | −2.8% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $2.01 est $1.97 | $2.94B est $2.95B | −5.4% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $2.08 est $2.02 | $3.09B est $2.99B | −0.5% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $2.11 est $2.06 | $3.12B est $3.01B | +0.6% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $2.20 est $2.05 | $3.14B est $3.10B | −2.3% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $1.72 est $1.61 | $2.70B est $2.72B | +1.8% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $1.76 est $1.68 | $2.78B est $2.78B | +4.6% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | $1.92 est $1.84 | $2.87B est $2.90B | −1.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Hilton Worldwide stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Hilton Worldwide is $365.19, −3.0% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$365.19consensus 12-month target, −3.0% from the last close
Now $376.53Avg $365.19
Low $316High $421
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | Citi | $400 | +6.2% |
| Nov 2 | UBS | $413 | +9.7% |
| Nov 2 | Bank of America Securities | $375 | −0.4% |
| Oct 29 | Freedom Capital Markets | $382 | +1.5% |
| Oct 29 | Argus Research | $410 | +8.9% |
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Hilton Worldwide seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Hilton Worldwide averaged +5.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +4.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +4.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +5.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.0% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, HLT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.
Hilton Worldwide market cap and key statistics
Hilton Worldwide’s market cap is $83.78B, with a P/E ratio of 48.2 and revenue of $5.18B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $83.78B
- P/E ratio
- 48.2
- Forward P/E
- 33.3
- EPS, TTM
- $7.57
- Gekko Fair Value
- $286.42
Trading
- Volume
- 2.00M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.96M
- 52-week high
- $377.76
- 52-week low
- $256.24
- Shares outstanding
- 222.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.18B
- Profit margin
- 32.8%
- Return on equity
- 0%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +33.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.07
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5%
- Dividend yield
- 0.17%
Hilton Worldwide stock news this week
Coverage of Hilton Worldwide this week reads positive: 11 positive, 6 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Hilton presents development pipeline of approximately 543,000 roomsVZ VermögensZentrum, Nov 4
- Hilton Director Marissa Mayer Awarded 175 Deferred Share Units at No CostKalkine Media, Nov 4
- Bank of America Securities Reaffirms Their Buy Rating on Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT)The Globe and Mail, Nov 4
- A fully vested 175-unit stock award goes to Hilton (HLT) director Marissa A. Mayer.Stock Titan, Nov 3
- Paid 210 stock units in fees, Hilton (HLT) director Elizabeth A. Smith reports 23,544 shares.Stock Titan, Nov 3
- Hilton: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term InvestorsThe Motley Fool, Nov 3
Hilton Worldwide peers
Hilton Worldwide’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MARMarriott International | Distribution | 37.0% above |
| ABNBAirbnb | Neutral | 15.8% above |
| RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises | Distribution | 9.3% above |
| CCLCarnival | Distribution | 10.3% above |
| VIKViking | Neutral | 3.2% below |
| HHyatt Hotels | Neutral | 26.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Hilton Worldwide stock FAQ
What is Hilton Worldwide’s market cap?
Hilton Worldwide’s market cap is $83.78B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $376.53, with 222.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 48.2.
What is the Hilton Worldwide stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Hilton Worldwide is $365.19, −3.0% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Hilton Worldwide stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Hilton Worldwide is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $376.53 is 31.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $286.42. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Hilton Worldwide report earnings next?
Hilton Worldwide is expected to report on Feb 10, 2027, before the market opens (97 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.43 per share on revenue of $3.35B. Hilton Worldwide beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.4% on average across the report.
What is Hilton Worldwide’s 52-week high and low?
Hilton Worldwide’s 52-week high is $377.76 and its 52-week low is $256.24; it closed at $376.53 on Nov 4, 2026, +45.3% over the past year.
Is Hilton Worldwide stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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