Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for HLT in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every HLT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HLT in Gekko
NYSE: HLT
Hilton Worldwide (HLT) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$305.73+3.19 (+1.1%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryHilton (HLT) closes at $305.73, up 1.1%, with the stock sitting between its 50-day average of $319.67 and 200-day average of $314.18. The GekkoIndex reads 66, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 13.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $268.57. Longer-term returns show a 1-year gain of 14.8%, though the past month and three months are down 8.7% and 12.4% respectively, while six months are up 2.7%.
This week's coverage centers on ownership activity and labor developments. Nykredit A S disclosed a new $41.28 million position of 124,915 shares, and NewEdge Advisors LLC raised its stake by 69.4% to 11,833 shares valued at approximately $3.91 million. Several filings note director Chris Carr's sale of 439 shares for about $136,239, and insider Laura Fuentes's sale of 7,289 shares for approximately $2.26 million. Separately, Seattle Hilton workers ended an 85-day strike after ratifying a new contract covering wages and healthcare. Analyst consensus cited in coverage includes a "Moderate Buy" rating with price targets around $353 to $354.
Hilton's next earnings report is scheduled for 28 October 2026, 38 days out and before the open, placing it outside a typical 20-trading-day window. In the last eight quarters, Hilton beat estimates seven times, with an average absolute reaction of 2.4% and a -2.8% move after the last report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2.7% gain over five years, positive in three of them. Analyst coverage from 15 firms shows 10 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $353.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $305.73200-day averageGekko Fair Value $268.57
Key stats
- Market cap
- $68.81B
- P/E ratio
- 44.8
- Forward P/E
- 28.6
- EPS, TTM
- $6.75
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.10B
- Profit margin
- 31%
- Dividend yield
- 0.20%
- Beta
- 1.06
- Volume
- 2.93M avg 1.58M
- 1-year return
- +14.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5%
- 50-day average
- $319.67
- 200-day average
- $314.18
- Next earnings
- Oct 28 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 225.1M
Hilton Worldwide swing-trade checklist
Hilton Worldwide scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $305.73 sits between the 50-day ($319.67) and 200-day ($314.18) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
66, Accumulation
Reading 66 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
13.8% above
Price is 13.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 38 days
Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Hilton Worldwide stock chart and price history
Hilton Worldwide closed at $305.73 on Sep 18, 2026, +14.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $253.54 to $358.00.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −8.7%
- 3 months
- −12.4%
- 6 months
- +2.7%
- 1 year
- +14.8%
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About Hilton Worldwide
Hilton Worldwide runs, franchises, and leases hotels and resorts for travelers and property owners around the world. Its name is tied to a wide collection of lodging brands spanning luxury, lifestyle, full-service, extended-stay, and timeshare properties, including Waldorf Astoria, Conrad, DoubleTree, Hampton, Embassy Suites, and Hilton Grand Vacations, among many others, along with its Hilton Honors loyalty program.
The company works through two segments: Management and Franchise, and Ownership. Under these, it manages hotels on behalf of owners, licenses its brand names and trademarks to franchisees, and also holds direct ownership positions in some properties. Its reach extends across North, South, and Central America, including Caribbean nations, as well as Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region, serving hotel owners and guests across these markets.
Hilton Worldwide was founded in 1919 and is based in McLean, Virginia. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker HLT.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines
- Website
- hilton.com
Hilton Worldwide GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Hilton Worldwide’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.8 points over five sessions.
66Accumulation
Down 0.8 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 15 | +1.8% | +0.9% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 156 | +0.5% | +4.4% | ||
| Neutral | 436 | +0.4% | +1.3% | ||
| Distribution | 46 | −0.1% | −2.4% | ||
| Selling | 9 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average HLT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HLT price, zone by zone.Track HLT in Gekko
Is Hilton Worldwide stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Hilton Worldwide trades 13.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $268.57, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Hilton Worldwide shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$268.57
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
13.8% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HLT in Gekko
Hilton Worldwide insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Hilton Worldwide, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in HLT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for HLT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HLT in Gekko
Buybacks
Hilton Worldwide has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $966.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.40%
- Trailing four quarters
- $3.33B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold HLT.
0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Hilton Worldwide earnings: next date and track record
Hilton Worldwide reports on Oct 28, 2026, before the open (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 28, 2026
Expected before the open, 38 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.35
- Revenue estimate
- $3.37B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Hilton reported strong Q2 2026 results with RevPAR, adjusted EBITDA, and EPS exceeding expectations. System-wide RevPAR rose 3.9% YoY driven by U.S. demand recovery (business transient and group) and lift from the World Cup. Adjusted EBITDA rose 4.6% to $1.054 billion, management and franchise fees increased, and adjusted EPS was $2.29. The company highlighted disciplined development with strong signings and a record pipeline, expecting to return $3.5 billion to shareholders for the full year. Management introduced owner-focused initiatives (reduced loyalty fees, Project RISE) to support owner profitability. Regional outlook: U.S. RevPAR expected mid-single-digit growth for full-year 2026; Americas ex-U.S. low- to mid-single digits; Europe mid-single digits; Middle East & Africa still down (now expected down high-single to low-double digits). NUG (net unit growth) expected 6-7% for the year and sustainably going forward. Company reiterated visibility into back-end loaded supply openings. Risks noted include Middle East conflict impact, calendar shifts, and specific large hotel renovations reducing ownership EBITDA in 2026.
- Guidance
- Full-year 2026: return $3.5B to shareholders. U.S. RevPAR growth: mid-single digits for full-year 2026. Americas ex-U.S.: low- to mid-single digits RevPAR growth for full-year 2026. Europe: mid-single digits RevPAR growth for full-year 2026. Middle East & Africa: RevPAR down high-single to low-double digits for full-year 2026. NUG (system openings): 6-7% for full-year 2026 and they expect to sustain 6-7% in the foreseeable future. Adjusted EBITDA: implied guidance updated consistent with year-to-date results (no explicit numeric update beyond Q2 actual).
- Risks flagged
- Middle East conflict causing demand uncertainty in MEA region; unfavorable holiday shifts impacting leisure RevPAR; significant renovations/closures in ownership portfolio (Munich Park, Amsterdam, Tokyo) reducing EBITDA in 2026; macro uncertainty (Mexico impacts, FX) and one-time timing items that affect comparability.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $2.29 est $2.29 | $3.34B est $3.32B | −2.8% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $2.01 est $1.97 | $2.94B est $2.95B | −5.4% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $2.08 est $2.02 | $3.09B est $2.99B | −0.5% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $2.11 est $2.06 | $3.12B est $3.01B | +0.6% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $2.20 est $2.05 | $3.14B est $3.10B | −2.3% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $1.72 est $1.61 | $2.70B est $2.72B | +1.8% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $1.76 est $1.68 | $2.78B est $2.78B | +4.6% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | $1.92 est $1.84 | $2.87B est $2.90B | −1.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Hilton Worldwide stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Hilton Worldwide is $353.00, +15.5% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$353.00consensus 12-month target, +15.5% from the last close
Now $305.73Avg $353.00
Low $316High $390
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 | Truist Financial | $316 | +3.4% |
| Sep 10 | Truist Financial | $316 | +3.4% |
| Sep 2 | Wolfe Research | — | — |
| Aug 17 | Bernstein | $320 | +4.7% |
| Aug 13 | Deutsche Bank | $365 | +19.4% |
+4.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Hilton Worldwide seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Hilton Worldwide averaged +2.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.6% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, HLT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.
Hilton Worldwide market cap and key statistics
Hilton Worldwide’s market cap is $68.81B, with a P/E ratio of 44.8 and revenue of $5.10B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $68.81B
- P/E ratio
- 44.8
- Forward P/E
- 28.6
- EPS, TTM
- $6.75
- Gekko Fair Value
- $268.57
Trading
- Volume
- 2.93M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.58M
- 52-week high
- $358.00
- 52-week low
- $253.54
- Shares outstanding
- 225.1M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.10B
- Profit margin
- 31%
- Return on equity
- 0%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +14.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.06
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5%
- Dividend yield
- 0.20%
Hilton Worldwide stock news this week
Coverage of Hilton Worldwide this week reads positive: 9 positive, 6 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Nykredit A S Makes New $41.28 Million Investment in Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. $HLTMarketBeat, Sep 19
- Hilton Director Chris Carr Sells 439 SharesYahoo Finance, Sep 17
- Seattle Hilton workers end strikeAsian Hospitality, Sep 17
- NewEdge Advisors LLC Buys 4,848 Shares of Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. $HLTMarketBeat, Sep 16
- Insider Selling: Hilton Worldwide (NYSE:HLT) Insider Sells 7,289 SharesMarketBeat, Sep 16
- Hilton director Chris Carr sells $136,239 in HLT stockInvesting.com, Sep 15
Hilton Worldwide peers
Hilton Worldwide’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| ABNBAirbnb | Accumulation | 7.3% above |
| MARMarriott International | Accumulation | 16.3% above |
| RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises | Buying | 21.3% below |
| VIKViking | Accumulation | 17.2% below |
| CCLCarnival | Buying | 26.6% below |
| HHyatt Hotels | Buying | 35.5% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Hilton Worldwide stock FAQ
What is Hilton Worldwide’s market cap?
Hilton Worldwide’s market cap is $68.81B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $305.73, with 225.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 44.8.
What is the Hilton Worldwide stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Hilton Worldwide is $353.00, +15.5% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Hilton Worldwide stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Hilton Worldwide is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $305.73 is 13.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $268.57. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Hilton Worldwide report earnings next?
Hilton Worldwide is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.35 per share on revenue of $3.37B. Hilton Worldwide beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.4% on average across the report.
What is Hilton Worldwide’s 52-week high and low?
Hilton Worldwide’s 52-week high is $358.00 and its 52-week low is $253.54; it closed at $305.73 on Sep 18, 2026, +14.8% over the past year.
Is Hilton Worldwide stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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