Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for PAYX in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every PAYX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PAYX in Gekko
NASDAQ: PAYX
Paychex (PAYX) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$118.71+3.06 (+2.6%)
Gekko Brief
Nov 4 closePaychex closed at $118.71 on 4 November 2026, +2.6% on the day. The price sits above both the 50-day ($112.29) and 200-day ($103.52) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $85.45 to $127.98. The GekkoIndex reads 49.6, in the Neutral zone, down 10.3 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $130.47, so the price is 9% below it.
The next earnings report is due on 18 December 2026, 43 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 7 times, with an average move of 4.4% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +3.9% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
16 firms rate the stock: 1 buy, 13 hold and 2 sell, with a consensus target of $114.57. A typical daily move is about 3.1%, and a typical 20-day move about 4.2%. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 items read supportive and 0 read as a headwind.
A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.
Paychex price vs fair value
Close $118.71200-day averageGekko Fair Value $130.47
Paychex quick facts
- Market cap
- $42.26B
- P/E ratio
- 22.9
- Forward P/E
- 18.8
- EPS, TTM
- $5.04
- Revenue, TTM
- $6.60B
- Profit margin
- 27.4%
- Dividend yield
- 4.05%
- Beta
- 0.80
- Volume
- 3.19M avg 2.91M
- 1-year return
- +3.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.2%
- 50-day average
- $112.29
- 200-day average
- $103.52
- Next earnings
- Dec 18
- Shares outstanding
- 356.0M
Paychex swing-trade checklist
Paychex scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $118.71 is above the 50-day ($112.29) and 200-day ($103.52) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
49.6, Neutral
Reading 49.6 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
9.0% below
Price is 9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 43 days
Next report Dec 18, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Paychex stock chart and price history
Paychex closed at $118.71 on Nov 4, 2026, +3.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $85.45 to $127.98.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +17.5%
- 3 months
- −1.2%
- 6 months
- +29.9%
- 1 year
- +3.1%
The full PAYX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PAYX in Gekko
Follow Paychex through every session
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About Paychex
Paychex provides human capital management services, helping smaller and mid-sized businesses handle payroll, human resources, employee benefits, and insurance needs. It is widely recognized for its payroll processing capabilities, which include tax administration, wage payments, and compliance support for tasks like new-hire reporting and garnishment handling.
Beyond payroll, Paychex offers retirement plan administration, cloud-based HR software for functions such as time tracking and recruitment, and a range of insurance products covering areas like workers' compensation and health benefits. The company also supports business operations through services like payroll funding, unemployment insurance administration, and financial wellness resources. Its customer base consists mainly of small and medium-sized businesses located in the United States, Europe, and India, and it reaches these clients primarily through its own direct sales force rather than third-party channels.
Paychex was established in 1971 and operates out of Rochester, New York. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker PAYX.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Data processing services
- Website
- paychex.com
Paychex GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Paychex’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.6, in the Neutral zone, down 10.3 points over five sessions.
49.6Neutral
Down 10.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 50 | −1.0% | +0.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 253 | +0.1% | −1.6% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 372 | +0.1% | +0.8% | ||
| Distribution | 16 | −1.3% | −0.5% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average PAYX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PAYX price, zone by zone.Track PAYX in Gekko
Is Paychex stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Paychex trades 9.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $130.47, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Paychex shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$130.47
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
9.0% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.4% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PAYX in Gekko
Paychex insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Paychex, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in PAYX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for PAYX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PAYX in Gekko
Buybacks
Paychex has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $1.00B, Jan 20, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended May 31, 2026
- $249.4M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.59%
- Trailing four quarters
- $611.0M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold PAYX.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Paychex earnings: next date and track record
Paychex reports on Dec 18, 2026 (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Dec 18, 2026
43 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.30
- Revenue estimate
- $1.62B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Sep 23, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Paychex reported Q1 fiscal 2027 results with 6% total revenue growth, driven by strong PEO and Insurance Solutions performance, alongside double-digit growth in operating income and EPS. The company is advancing three strategic pillars: AI/data leadership, go-to-market evolution, and advisory differentiation. Their AI engine WISE now processes 50+ trillion proprietary data points, prevented ~90% of payroll errors in a 50,000-business pilot, and automated payroll processing increased nearly 20%.
- Guidance
- Management did not provide specific numerical guidance in this excerpt but signaled continued focus on expanding earnings over time through AI integration, go-to-market evolution, and advisory differentiation. Momentum in broker partnerships and referral channels expected to support ongoing growth.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | $1.34 est $1.32 | $1.63B est $1.63B | −11.3% |
| Jun 24, 2026 | $1.32 est $1.31 | $1.61B est $1.60B | −1.3% |
| Mar 25, 2026 | $1.71 est $1.67 | $1.81B est $1.78B | +3.3% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | $1.26 est $1.23 | $1.56B est $1.55B | +0.6% |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $1.22 est $1.20 | $1.54B est $1.54B | −3.5% |
| Jun 25, 2025 | $1.19 est $1.19 | $1.43B est $1.44B | −7.4% |
| Mar 26, 2025 | $1.49 est $1.48 | $1.51B est $1.51B | +5.3% |
| Dec 19, 2024 | $1.14 est $1.13 | $1.32B est $1.31B | +2.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Paychex stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Paychex is $114.57, −3.5% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$114.57consensus 12-month target, −3.5% from the last close
Now $118.71Avg $114.57
Low $96High $150
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | UBS | $120 | +1.1% |
| Oct 26 | UBS | $120 | +1.1% |
| Sep 28 | UBS | $115 | −3.1% |
| Sep 28 | Robert W. Baird | $110 | −7.3% |
| Sep 25 | Morgan Stanley | $109 | −8.2% |
+0.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Paychex seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Paychex averaged +3.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.8% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, PAYX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.2%.
Paychex market cap and key statistics
Paychex’s market cap is $42.26B, with a P/E ratio of 22.9 and revenue of $6.60B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $42.26B
- P/E ratio
- 22.9
- Forward P/E
- 18.8
- EPS, TTM
- $5.04
- Gekko Fair Value
- $130.47
Trading
- Volume
- 3.19M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.91M
- 52-week high
- $127.98
- 52-week low
- $85.45
- Shares outstanding
- 356.0M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $6.60B
- Profit margin
- 27.4%
- Return on equity
- 47.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +13.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.80
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.2%
- Dividend yield
- 4.05%
Paychex stock news this week
Coverage of Paychex this week reads positive: 4 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- International Assets Investment Management LLC Purchases 15,102 Shares of Paychex, Inc. $PAYXDefense World, Nov 4
- Paychex, Inc. $PAYX Stock: Bank Julius Baer & Co. Ltd Zurich Grows HoldingsDefense World, Nov 4
- Paychex, Inc. (1PAYX.MI) Seasonal returns chart - Yahoo FinanceYahoo Finance Singapore, Nov 4
- Paychex stock steadies as small-business job growth holds firmad-hoc-news.de, Nov 3
- $100,000 in HP and Paychex Could Pay Over $4,000 a Year in Dividends24/7 Wall Street, Nov 3
- Paychex, Inc. (P1AY34.SA) Seasonal returns chartYahoo Finance UK, Nov 1
Paychex peers
Paychex’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| VRSKVerisk Analytics | Neutral | 12.2% below |
| JJacobs Solutions | Distribution | 21.1% above |
| TYLTyler Technologies | Distribution | 8.8% above |
| GDDYGoDaddy | Neutral | 5.8% below |
| AKAMAkamai Technologies | Accumulation | 36.1% below |
| IRENIREN | Accumulation | 55.1% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Paychex stock FAQ
What is Paychex’s market cap?
Paychex’s market cap is $42.26B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $118.71, with 356.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.9.
What is the Paychex stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Paychex is $114.57, −3.5% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 13 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Paychex stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Paychex is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $118.71 is 9.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $130.47. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Paychex report earnings next?
Paychex is expected to report on Dec 18, 2026 (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.30 per share on revenue of $1.62B. Paychex beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.4% on average across the report.
What is Paychex’s 52-week high and low?
Paychex’s 52-week high is $127.98 and its 52-week low is $85.45; it closed at $118.71 on Nov 4, 2026, +3.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $161.24 on Jun 6, 2025.
Is Paychex stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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