Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AIR in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AIR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AIR in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryAAR reports first quarter fiscal 2027 results, posting earnings per share of $1.49 against a consensus estimate of $1.30, a beat of $0.19, alongside a 12.67% return on equity and a 5.67% net margin. The company also agreed to acquire a controlling interest in MRO Holdings, a deal described as adding more than $1 billion in revenue and expanding consolidated adjusted EBITDA margins from approximately 12% to 16% before synergies. The move follows AAR's 2026 Annual Meeting, where directors were elected and the 2026 Stock Plan was approved.
AIR closes at $115.09, down 0.9% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $132.30 and 200-day average of $116.95, after falling 15.3% over one month and 18.9% over three months, though still up 39.2% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 65.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price stands 16.3% below the Gekko Fair Value of $137.46.
Earnings are due 29 September 2026 after the close, landing inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; AAR has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute price reaction of 9% around results, though the last reaction was -0.7%. Seasonally, the 20 trading days following this point in the calendar have averaged a 3.3% gain over 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Six covering analysts carry a consensus target of $145.20, implying 26.2% upside from current levels.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
AAR price vs fair value
Close $115.09200-day averageGekko Fair Value $137.46
AAR quick facts
- Market cap
- $4.59B
- P/E ratio
- 23.8
- Forward P/E
- 21.3
- EPS, TTM
- $4.87
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.31B
- Profit margin
- 5.7%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.11
- Volume
- 566,532 avg 415,937
- 1-year return
- +39.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.1%
- 50-day average
- $132.30
- 200-day average
- $116.95
- Next earnings
- Sep 29 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 40.26M
AAR swing-trade checklist
AAR scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $115.09 sits between the 50-day ($132.30) and 200-day ($116.95) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
65.9, Accumulation
Reading 65.9 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
16.3% below
Price is 16.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports today
Reports on Sep 29, 2026, today — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+3.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
AAR stock chart and price history
AAR closed at $115.09 on Sep 28, 2026, +39.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $76.10 to $154.00.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −15.3%
- 3 months
- −18.9%
- 6 months
- +7.3%
- 1 year
- +39.2%
The full AIR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AIR in Gekko
Follow AAR through every session
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About AAR
AAR provides support services and equipment to commercial aviation operators, along with government and defense customers around the world. It is widely recognized for its aftermarket aviation work, covering parts distribution, inventory management, and a broad range of maintenance, repair, and overhaul capabilities. Beyond upkeep of aircraft, the company handles engineering support, structural repairs, avionics installation, and refurbishment of airframes, as well as servicing landing gears, wheels, and brakes.
The company is structured around two main areas of work. One centers on aviation aftermarket support, including leasing and sale of aircraft components, warranty processing, and supply chain logistics built for defense agencies. The other, its expeditionary services division, focuses on moving equipment and personnel for governments and non-governmental organizations, while also designing and manufacturing transport pallets, containers, shelters, and command and control systems. Its customer base spans passenger and cargo airlines, regional carriers, business aviation operators, manufacturers, leasing companies, other aftermarket firms, and military organizations, reached largely through its own staff and international sales representatives.
AAR was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Wood Dale, Illinois. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AIR.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Industry
- Aerospace & defense
- Website
- aarcorp.com
AAR GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
AAR’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.9, in the Accumulation zone, down 5.1 points over five sessions.
65.9Accumulation
Down 5.1 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 20 | +0.9% | +10.9% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 176 | +1.5% | +7.8% | ||
| Neutral | 399 | +0.2% | +0.4% | ||
| Distribution | 73 | +1.2% | +2.8% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AIR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AIR price, zone by zone.Track AIR in Gekko
Is AAR stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
AAR trades 16.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $137.46, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what AAR shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$137.46
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
16.3% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AIR in Gekko
AAR insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AAR, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AIR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AIR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AIR in Gekko
Buybacks
AAR has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended May 31, 2025
- $10.10M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.22%
From company filings.
AAR earnings: next date and track record
AAR reports on Sep 29, 2026, after the close (today), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Sep 29, 2026
Expected after the close, today
- EPS estimate
- $1.30
- Revenue estimate
- $882.4M
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | $1.53 est $1.41 | — | −0.7% |
| Mar 24, 2026 | $1.25 est $1.21 | $845.1M est $812.6M | +14.5% |
| Jan 6, 2026 | $1.18 est $1.02 | $795.3M est $763.6M | +3.8% |
| Sep 23, 2025 | $1.08 est $0.98 | $739.6M est $689.3M | +6.1% |
| Jul 16, 2025 | $1.16 est $1.00 | $754.5M est $695.8M | +16.0% |
| Mar 27, 2025 | $0.99 est $0.96 | $678.2M est $695.8M | −18.0% |
| Jan 7, 2025 | $0.90 est $0.84 | $686.1M est $679.9M | +8.0% |
| Sep 23, 2024 | $0.85 est $0.82 | $661.7M est $645.6M | −4.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
AAR stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AAR is $145.20, +26.2% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$145.20consensus 12-month target, +26.2% from the last close
Now $115.09Avg $145.20
Low $145High $155
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | RBC Capital | $145 | +26.0% |
| Sep 14 | Guggenheim | — | — |
| Jul 27 | Truist Financial | $145 | +26.0% |
| Jul 27 | Truist Financial | $145 | +26.0% |
| Jul 26 | Jefferies | $155 | +34.7% |
+7.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
AAR seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, AAR averaged +3.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +10.3% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, AIR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.1%.
AAR market cap and key statistics
AAR’s market cap is $4.59B, with a P/E ratio of 23.8 and revenue of $3.31B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $4.59B
- P/E ratio
- 23.8
- Forward P/E
- 21.3
- EPS, TTM
- $4.87
- Gekko Fair Value
- $137.46
Trading
- Volume
- 566,532
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 415,937
- 52-week high
- $154.00
- 52-week low
- $76.10
- Shares outstanding
- 40.26M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.31B
- Profit margin
- 5.7%
- Return on equity
- 12.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +32.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.11
- Typical daily move
- ±4.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.1%
AAR stock news this week
Coverage of AAR this week reads positive: 5 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- AAR (NYSE:AIR) Releases Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By $0.19 EPSMarketBeat, Sep 28
- AAR buys $1.8 billion controlling stake in MRO Holdings, WSJ reportsInvesting.com, Sep 28
- AAR reports first quarter fiscal year 2027 resultsPRNewsWire, Sep 28
- AAR accelerates its aftermarket platform strategy by agreeing to acquire a controlling interest in MRO HoldingsPRNewsWire, Sep 28
- AAR Corp Earnings Preview: What I Expect From The Upcoming Quarterly ResultsSeeking Alpha, Sep 28
- What To Expect From AAR’s (AIR) Q3 EarningsTradingView, Sep 28
AAR peers
AAR’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GEGE Aerospace | Accumulation | 0.8% below |
| RTXRTX | Accumulation | 12.0% below |
| BABoeing | Buying | 22.4% below |
| LMTLockheed Martin | Accumulation | 19.7% below |
| HWMHowmet Aerospace | Accumulation | 3.2% below |
| GDGeneral Dynamics | Accumulation | 9.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
AAR stock FAQ
What is AAR’s market cap?
AAR’s market cap is $4.59B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $115.09, with 40.26M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 23.8.
What is the AAR stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AAR is $145.20, +26.2% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is AAR stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate AAR is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $115.09 is 16.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $137.46. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does AAR report earnings next?
AAR is expected to report on Sep 29, 2026, after the market closes (today). Analysts expect earnings of $1.30 per share on revenue of $882.4M. AAR beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 9% on average across the report.
What is AAR’s 52-week high and low?
AAR’s 52-week high is $154.00 and its 52-week low is $76.10; it closed at $115.09 on Sep 28, 2026, +39.2% over the past year.
Is AAR stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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