NYSE: RDW

Redwire (RDW) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$9.22−0.36 (−3.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Redwire completes the launch of the final pair of ROSA solar array wings to the International Space Station, wrapping up a multi-year power modernization effort, while separate coverage this week examines the growing scale of its defense business through Edge Autonomy and its expansion into microgravity pharmaceutical work via the PIL-BOX platform and a licensing agreement with ExesaLibero Pharma. The stock also moved alongside broader market pressure, falling with other space and industrial names amid a sector-wide sell-off tied to rising Treasury yields, climbing oil prices, and reports of Middle East conflict escalation.

RDW closes at $9.22, down 3.8%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $11.27 and 200-day average of $11.13, with a one-month return of -13.2% and a 52-week range of $4.87 to $26.64. The GekkoIndex reads 66.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.62.

Redwire's next earnings report lands 4 November, 22 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 5 August showed an EPS beat with an 11.3% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality for this calendar stretch has averaged +3.2% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, with gains in 3 of them. Analyst coverage from 9 firms shows 6 buy, 2 hold, and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $14.69.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Redwire price vs fair value

$12.62$9.22Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $9.22200-day averageGekko Fair Value $12.62

Redwire quick facts

Market cap
$2.20B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$1.43
Revenue, TTM
$426.3M
Profit margin
-57.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
3.13
Volume
8.62M avg 13.76M
1-year return
−4.5%
Typical daily move
±7.5%
Typical 20-day move
±17.3%
50-day average
$11.27
200-day average
$11.13
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
250.0M
52-week range
$4.87$26.64

Redwire swing-trade checklist

Redwire scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $9.22 sits between the 50-day ($11.27) and 200-day ($11.13) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.9, Accumulation

    Reading 66.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    26.9% below

    Price is 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Redwire stock chart and price history

Redwire closed at $9.22 on Oct 12, 2026, −4.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.87 to $26.64.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Redwire share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$5$15$20$25NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct9.22

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−13.2%
3 months
−5.3%
6 months
−7.7%
1 year
−4.5%
The full RDW chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RDW in Gekko

Follow Redwire through every session

Put RDW on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Redwire

Redwire builds hardware and software used to design, navigate, and operate spacecraft, serving government and commercial customers across the United States, Europe, and other regions. Its offerings include sensors and avionics such as star trackers and sun sensors for spacecraft navigation, camera systems, and payloads for infrared imaging, space situational awareness, and positioning and timing. The company also supplies a digital engineering software suite for modeling and simulating spacecraft components, whole vehicles, and satellite constellations in a cloud-based setting.

The business is organized into two segments, Space and Defense Tech. Beyond its core space hardware and software, Redwire produces microgravity payloads, radio frequency systems and antennas, spacecraft platforms, and facilities for in-space manufacturing and biotechnology, along with uncrewed airborne systems. Its defense-related work covers autonomous systems, optical sensors, energy solutions, and reconnaissance capabilities, with customers that include U.S. defense and federal civilian agencies as well as allied governments.

Redwire was founded in 2010 and is based in Jacksonville, Florida. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker RDW.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & defense
Website
rdw.com

Redwire GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Redwire’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.6 points over five sessions.

010066.9Accumulation

Up 4.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying24+1.7%+5.3%+14.4%+53.5%
Accumulation (current zone)1930.0%+1.7%+7.2%+22.3%
Neutral386+2.8%+6.0%+10.6%+19.7%
Distribution78+3.8%+2.3%+4.7%+15.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average RDW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RDW price, zone by zone.Track RDW in Gekko

Is Redwire stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Redwire trades 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.62, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Redwire shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$12.62

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

26.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.4% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$13$10Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RDW in Gekko

Redwire insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Redwire, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RDW in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RDW insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RDW in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RDW were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RDW, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RDW in Gekko

Buybacks

Redwire has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$1K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Redwire earnings: next date and track record

Redwire reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports.

1 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.4%Nov ’24−14.5%Mar ’25+0.7%May ’25−35.6%Aug ’25−14.0%Nov ’25+13.4%Feb ’26+6.0%May ’26+11.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Redwire (RDW) reported record Q2 2026 revenue of $117.1 million, up 89.6% year-over-year and 20.7% sequentially. Record contracted backlog reached $542.1 million with a strong book-to-bill ratio of 1.42. Cash position hit a record $557.8 million. Strategic initiatives include a new microgravity center in Indiana, a 164,000 sq ft Huntsville expansion, and continued M&A screening following 11 completed acquisitions.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence in H2 2026 based on record backlog of $542.1 million. The Huntsville facility expansion is expected to complete in Q4 2027. Capital allocation framework targets balance sheet strength, internal capacity investment, and accretive M&A.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026−$0.19
est −$0.16
−21.6%$117.1M
est $107.1M
+9.3%+11.3%
May 6, 2026−$0.40
est −$0.16
−150.0%$96.97M
est $105.9M
−8.5%+6.0%
Feb 25, 2026−$0.58
est −$0.16
−262.5%$108.8M
est $98.78M
+10.1%+13.4%
Nov 5, 2025−$0.29
est −$0.12
−141.7%$103.4M
est $129.7M
−20.2%−14.0%
Aug 6, 2025−$1.41
est −$0.11
−1,181.8%$61.76M
est $82.79M
−25.4%−35.6%
May 12, 2025−$0.09
est −$0.20
+54.5%$61.40M
est $73.85M
−16.9%+0.7%
Mar 10, 2025−$1.38
est −$0.18
−666.7%$69.56M
est $74.82M
−7.0%−14.5%
Nov 6, 2024−$0.21
est −$0.15
−40.0%$68.64M
est $74.55M
−7.9%+6.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Redwire stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Redwire is $14.69, +59.3% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$14.69consensus 12-month target, +59.3% from the last close
Low $8High $20
Buy6
Hold2
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16Roth MKMBuy, maintained$20+116.9%
Sep 14GuggenheimHold, initiated——
Sep 14GuggenheimHold, initiated——
Aug 30Bank of America SecuritiesSell, reiterated$8−13.2%
Aug 10Canaccord GenuityBuy, reiterated$15+62.7%
+7.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±7.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Redwire seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Redwire averaged +3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+32.2%2021+1.8%2022−6.7%2023+13.0%2024−24.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.8%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.3%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.2%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.2%2 of 5

For scale, RDW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 17.3%.

Redwire market cap and key statistics

Redwire’s market cap is $2.20B and revenue of $426.3M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.20B
EPS, TTM
−$1.43
Gekko Fair Value
$12.62

Trading

Volume
8.62M
Avg volume, 20 days
13.76M
52-week high
$26.64
52-week low
$4.87
Shares outstanding
250.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$426.3M
Profit margin
-57.3%
Return on equity
-18.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
3.13
Typical daily move
±7.5%
Typical 20-day move
±17.3%

Redwire peers

Redwire’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEGE Aerospace+0.3%Accumulation1.9% below
RTXRTX0.0%Accumulation10.9% below
BABoeing−1.0%Accumulation19.2% below
LMTLockheed Martin−0.2%Accumulation21.5% below
GDGeneral Dynamics+0.7%Accumulation8.6% below
HWMHowmet Aerospace−2.0%Accumulation3.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Redwire stock FAQ

What is Redwire’s market cap?

Redwire’s market cap is $2.20B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $9.22, with 250.0M shares outstanding.

What is the Redwire stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Redwire is $14.69, +59.3% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Redwire stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Redwire is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $9.22 is 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.62. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Redwire report earnings next?

Redwire is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.11 per share on revenue of $126.6M. Redwire beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.7% on average across the report.

What is Redwire’s 52-week high and low?

Redwire’s 52-week high is $26.64 and its 52-week low is $4.87; it closed at $9.22 on Oct 12, 2026, −4.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $26.66 on Jan 31, 2025.

Is Redwire stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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