Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for RDW in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Redwire completes the launch of the final pair of ROSA solar array wings to the International Space Station, wrapping up a multi-year power modernization effort, while separate coverage this week examines the growing scale of its defense business through Edge Autonomy and its expansion into microgravity pharmaceutical work via the PIL-BOX platform and a licensing agreement with ExesaLibero Pharma. The stock also moved alongside broader market pressure, falling with other space and industrial names amid a sector-wide sell-off tied to rising Treasury yields, climbing oil prices, and reports of Middle East conflict escalation.
RDW closes at $9.22, down 3.8%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $11.27 and 200-day average of $11.13, with a one-month return of -13.2% and a 52-week range of $4.87 to $26.64. The GekkoIndex reads 66.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.62.
Redwire's next earnings report lands 4 November, 22 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 5 August showed an EPS beat with an 11.3% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality for this calendar stretch has averaged +3.2% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, with gains in 3 of them. Analyst coverage from 9 firms shows 6 buy, 2 hold, and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $14.69.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Redwire scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
Averages disagree
Close $9.22 sits between the 50-day ($11.27) and 200-day ($11.13) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart66.9, Accumulation
Reading 66.9 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex26.9% below
Price is 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair valueNo data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart moneyReports in 23 days
Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+3.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Redwire closed at $9.22 on Oct 12, 2026, −4.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.87 to $26.64.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put RDW on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Redwire builds hardware and software used to design, navigate, and operate spacecraft, serving government and commercial customers across the United States, Europe, and other regions. Its offerings include sensors and avionics such as star trackers and sun sensors for spacecraft navigation, camera systems, and payloads for infrared imaging, space situational awareness, and positioning and timing. The company also supplies a digital engineering software suite for modeling and simulating spacecraft components, whole vehicles, and satellite constellations in a cloud-based setting.
The business is organized into two segments, Space and Defense Tech. Beyond its core space hardware and software, Redwire produces microgravity payloads, radio frequency systems and antennas, spacecraft platforms, and facilities for in-space manufacturing and biotechnology, along with uncrewed airborne systems. Its defense-related work covers autonomous systems, optical sensors, energy solutions, and reconnaissance capabilities, with customers that include U.S. defense and federal civilian agencies as well as allied governments.
Redwire was founded in 2010 and is based in Jacksonville, Florida. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker RDW.
Redwire’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.6 points over five sessions.
Up 4.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 24 | +1.7% | +14.4% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 193 | 0.0% | +7.2% | ||
| Neutral | 386 | +2.8% | +10.6% | ||
| Distribution | 78 | +3.8% | +4.7% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average RDW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
Redwire trades 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.62, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Redwire shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$12.62
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
26.9% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.4% below the estimate.
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Redwire, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
No open-market insider purchases were filed for RDW in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
No trades in RDW were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Redwire has been buying back its own shares.
From company filings.
Redwire reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports.
Nov 4, 2026
Expected after the close, 23 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | −$0.19 est −$0.16 | $117.1M est $107.1M | +11.3% |
| May 6, 2026 | −$0.40 est −$0.16 | $96.97M est $105.9M | +6.0% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | −$0.58 est −$0.16 | $108.8M est $98.78M | +13.4% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | −$0.29 est −$0.12 | $103.4M est $129.7M | −14.0% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | −$1.41 est −$0.11 | $61.76M est $82.79M | −35.6% |
| May 12, 2025 | −$0.09 est −$0.20 | $61.40M est $73.85M | +0.7% |
| Mar 10, 2025 | −$1.38 est −$0.18 | $69.56M est $74.82M | −14.5% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | −$0.21 est −$0.15 | $68.64M est $74.55M | +6.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Redwire is $14.69, +59.3% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | Roth MKM | $20 | +116.9% |
| Sep 14 | Guggenheim | — | — |
| Sep 14 | Guggenheim | — | — |
| Aug 30 | Bank of America Securities | $8 | −13.2% |
| Aug 10 | Canaccord Genuity | $15 | +62.7% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Redwire averaged +3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +5.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +5.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −4.2% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, RDW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 17.3%.
Redwire’s market cap is $2.20B and revenue of $426.3M over the last twelve months.
Coverage of Redwire this week reads positive: 10 positive, 3 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
Redwire’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GEGE Aerospace | Accumulation | 1.9% below |
| RTXRTX | Accumulation | 10.9% below |
| BABoeing | Accumulation | 19.2% below |
| LMTLockheed Martin | Accumulation | 21.5% below |
| GDGeneral Dynamics | Accumulation | 8.6% below |
| HWMHowmet Aerospace | Accumulation | 3.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Redwire’s market cap is $2.20B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $9.22, with 250.0M shares outstanding.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Redwire is $14.69, +59.3% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Redwire is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $9.22 is 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.62. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Redwire is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.11 per share on revenue of $126.6M. Redwire beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.7% on average across the report.
Redwire’s 52-week high is $26.64 and its 52-week low is $4.87; it closed at $9.22 on Oct 12, 2026, −4.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $26.66 on Jan 31, 2025.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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