NYSE: HWM

Howmet Aerospace (HWM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$213.56−9.56 (−4.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Howmet Aerospace's recent swings trace back to third-quarter results that beat analyst estimates on both adjusted earnings per share and revenue, accompanied by raised full-year 2026 guidance and an initial outlook for the next period. The stock rose 6.9% on 2 November and climbed a further 5.46% on 3 November, with KeyCorp upgrading its rating to Overweight alongside the earnings beat. Analyst reaction since has been mixed on price targets: BTIG cut its target to $280 from $340 while keeping a Buy rating, citing a valuation multiple reset across commercial aerospace and defense, and Jefferies lowered its target to $350 from $370 while maintaining its own Buy rating. Implied volatility has also been noted as surging on certain HWM options contracts.

Despite the post-earnings pop, HWM closed at $213.56, down 4.3% on the day and below both its 50-day average of $226.05 and 200-day average of $248.60, with the 50-day itself under the 200-day. The GekkoIndex sits at 59.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, while price trades 2.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $208.59.

The next earnings date falls on 11 February 2027, 98 days out and beyond a typical 20-day hold. Over the last 30 days, one unusual options signal has been recorded, with call premium of $2,085,080 against put premium of $1,076,625. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Howmet Aerospace price vs fair value

$213.56$208.59Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $213.56200-day averageGekko Fair Value $208.59

Howmet Aerospace quick facts

Market cap
$84.92B
P/E ratio
39.1
Forward P/E
31.3
EPS, TTM
$5.45
Revenue, TTM
$9.73B
Profit margin
21.1%
Dividend yield
0.25%
Beta
1.30
Volume
5.95M avg 4.31M
1-year return
+3.3%
Typical daily move
±5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
50-day average
$226.05
200-day average
$248.60
Next earnings
Feb 11
Shares outstanding
397.7M
52-week range
$183.52$310.00

Howmet Aerospace swing-trade checklist

Howmet Aerospace scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $213.56 is below the 50-day ($226.05) and 200-day ($248.60) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.1, Neutral

    Reading 59.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.4% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.4% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 98 days

    Next report Feb 11, 2027, 98 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Howmet Aerospace stock chart and price history

Howmet Aerospace closed at $213.56 on Nov 4, 2026, +3.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $183.52 to $310.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Howmet Aerospace share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$175$200$225$250$275$300DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct213.56

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.8%
3 months
−26.3%
6 months
−16.7%
1 year
+3.3%
The full HWM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HWM in Gekko

Follow Howmet Aerospace through every session

Put HWM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Howmet Aerospace

Howmet Aerospace designs and manufactures precision metal parts used in jet engines, industrial turbines, and heavy trucks, serving customers in the aerospace and transportation fields. It has built its name on producing components such as engine blades, ring-shaped turbine parts, fasteners, and forged wheels that go into aircraft, vehicles, and industrial equipment.

The business is divided into four segments. One makes turbine blades and rolled metal rings along with other rotating and structural engine parts. Another produces fastening hardware for aircraft, commercial trucks, and general industrial use. A third supplies titanium bars and processed metal stock for aerospace and defense work, plus forged aluminum and nickel parts and machined assemblies. The fourth makes forged aluminum wheels for heavy trucks and other commercial vehicles. Howmet sells to customers in countries including the United States, Japan, France, Germany, Britain, Mexico, Italy, Canada, Poland, and China.

Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Howmet traces its roots back to 1888, when it began under the name Arconic Inc. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker HWM.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & defense
Website
howmet.com

Howmet Aerospace GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Howmet Aerospace’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.1, in the Neutral zone, down 9.9 points over five sessions.

010059.1Neutral

Down 9.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying13−1.3%−2.4%−2.3%+27.7%
Accumulation123+0.9%+3.1%+7.8%+21.0%
Neutral (current zone)454+1.1%+1.9%+3.7%+10.1%
Distribution96+1.0%+2.0%+4.1%+8.3%
Selling11+1.2%+4.2%+7.7%+10.2%

Average HWM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HWM price, zone by zone.Track HWM in Gekko

Is Howmet Aerospace stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Howmet Aerospace trades 2.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $208.59, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Howmet Aerospace shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$208.59

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

2.4% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.0% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$209$223Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HWM in Gekko

Howmet Aerospace insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Howmet Aerospace, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for HWM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every HWM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HWM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in HWM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for HWM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HWM in Gekko

Buybacks

Howmet Aerospace has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$500.0M
As a share of market cap
0.59%
Trailing four quarters
$1.36B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 66% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 21, $3.16M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold HWM.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Howmet Aerospace earnings: next date and track record

Howmet Aerospace reports on Feb 11, 2027 (98 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.9%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+8.9%Nov ’24+4.2%Feb ’25+11.2%May ’25−4.1%Jul ’25+1.2%Oct ’25+8.4%Feb ’26+5.5%May ’26−3.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Howmet Aerospace reported Q2 2026 revenue up 24% YoY (21% organic), with EBITDA margin expanding 340bps to 32.1%. EPS grew 46% YoY to $1.33, exceeding guidance highs. Free cash flow reached $479M in Q2 and ~$840M for H1. Commercial aerospace grew 28%, gas turbines surged 38%, driven by data center electricity demand. $600M in share repurchases completed H1 2026, plus $186M debt retired.
Guidance
Management raised full-year outlook following strong H1 performance with 20% organic growth. CAM acquisition synergies expected to become noticeable in 2027. Commercial transportation recovery underway with sequential wheel volumes up 7%.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$1.33
est $1.23
+8.1%$2.55B
est $2.43B
+4.9%−3.3%
May 7, 2026$1.22
est $1.11
+10.3%$2.31B
est $2.24B
+3.3%+5.5%
Feb 12, 2026$1.05
est $0.95
+10.7%$2.17B
est $2.12B
+2.1%+8.4%
Oct 30, 2025$0.95
est $0.91
+4.4%$2.09B
est $2.04B
+2.3%+1.2%
Jul 31, 2025$0.91
est $0.87
+4.4%$2.05B
est $2.01B
+2.3%−4.1%
May 1, 2025$0.86
est $0.78
+10.8%$1.94B
est $1.94B
0.0%+11.2%
Feb 13, 2025$0.74
est $0.72
+2.8%$1.89B
est $1.88B
+0.6%+4.2%
Nov 6, 2024$0.81
est $0.65
+24.6%$1.84B
est $1.85B
−0.9%+8.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Howmet Aerospace stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Howmet Aerospace is $296.29, +38.7% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$296.29consensus 12-month target, +38.7% from the last close
Low $230High $375
Buy16
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 3KeyBancBuy, upgraded$237+11.0%
Nov 2BTIGBuy, maintained$280+31.1%
Nov 2Wells FargoHold, reiterated$255+19.4%
Nov 1JefferiesBuy, maintained$350+63.9%
Oct 30Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$300+40.5%
+3.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Howmet Aerospace seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Howmet Aerospace averaged +5.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−6.3%2021+6.9%2022+7.1%2023+19.3%2024−5.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.4%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.6%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.4%3 of 5

For scale, HWM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.6%.

Howmet Aerospace market cap and key statistics

Howmet Aerospace’s market cap is $84.92B, with a P/E ratio of 39.1 and revenue of $9.73B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$84.92B
P/E ratio
39.1
Forward P/E
31.3
EPS, TTM
$5.45
Gekko Fair Value
$208.59

Trading

Volume
5.95M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.31M
52-week high
$310.00
52-week low
$183.52
Shares outstanding
397.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$9.73B
Profit margin
21.1%
Return on equity
37.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+49.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.30
Typical daily move
±5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
Dividend yield
0.25%

Howmet Aerospace stock news this week

Coverage of Howmet Aerospace this week reads positive: 13 positive, 4 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Howmet Aerospace peers

Howmet Aerospace’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEGE Aerospace+0.9%Neutral9.8% above
RTXRTX+0.4%Neutral7.7% below
BABoeing0.0%Accumulation16.1% below
LMTLockheed Martin−3.2%Neutral12.7% below
GDGeneral Dynamics−1.4%Neutral3.3% below
NOCNorthrop Grumman−0.9%Neutral26.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Aerospace & defense

Howmet Aerospace stock FAQ

What is Howmet Aerospace’s market cap?

Howmet Aerospace’s market cap is $84.92B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $213.56, with 397.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 39.1.

What is the Howmet Aerospace stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Howmet Aerospace is $296.29, +38.7% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 16 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Howmet Aerospace stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Howmet Aerospace is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $213.56 is 2.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $208.59. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Howmet Aerospace report earnings next?

Howmet Aerospace is expected to report on Feb 11, 2027 (98 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.46 per share on revenue of $2.76B. Howmet Aerospace beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.9% on average across the report.

What is Howmet Aerospace’s 52-week high and low?

Howmet Aerospace’s 52-week high is $310.00 and its 52-week low is $183.52; it closed at $213.56 on Nov 4, 2026, +3.3% over the past year.

Is Howmet Aerospace stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Howmet Aerospace?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Howmet Aerospace over the last 30 days, with $2.09M of flagged premium in calls and $1.08M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 21, 2026 with $3.16M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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