NYSE: HWM

Howmet Aerospace (HWM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Howmet Aerospace Inc. Electronic technology sector, aerospace & defense industry. Market cap $91.89B.

$229.67+3.91 (+1.7%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Howmet Aerospace trades at $229.67, up 1.7% on the day, with the close sitting below both the 50-day average of $267.63 and the 200-day average of $246.77. The GekkoIndex reads 67.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 3% below Gekko Fair Value of $236.87.

This week's coverage centers on Howmet's competitive standing within aerospace and defense, alongside a fresh analyst call. Guggenheim initiated coverage with a buy rating and a $350 price target, citing competitive positioning and secular tailwinds in commercial aerospace, defense, and power generation, along with expectations for EBITDA margin expansion. Separate coverage points to rising defense aerospace revenues tied to demand for F-35 and legacy fighter jet spares, and comparisons of Howmet's stock performance against peers RTX and LMT. Howmet also disclosed a $70 million expansion of its Wichita Falls manufacturing facility, adding 100,000 square feet and 230 new full-time jobs, with local officials approving $5.275 million in support funding.

Looking ahead, the next earnings report is scheduled for 29 October 2026, 39 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The last report on 6 August showed EPS of $1.33 against an estimate of $1.23, with an average absolute reaction of 5.9% historically. Analyst consensus stands at 14 buy and 2 hold ratings among 16 firms, with a consensus target of $337.74. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 0.6% across 5 years, rising in 1 of them, worth noting given the current gap to Gekko Fair Value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $229.67200-day averageGekko Fair Value $236.87

Key stats

Market cap
$91.89B
P/E ratio
49
Forward P/E
35.7
EPS, TTM
$4.61
Revenue, TTM
$9.12B
Profit margin
20.5%
Dividend yield
0.21%
Beta
1.19
Volume
4.54M avg 3.90M
1-year return
+23.9%
Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
50-day average
$267.63
200-day average
$246.77
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
398.8M
52-week range
$182.78$310.00

Howmet Aerospace swing-trade checklist

Howmet Aerospace scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $229.67 sits between the 50-day ($267.63) and 200-day ($246.77) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.5, Accumulation

    Reading 67.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.0% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 39 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +0.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.6% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Howmet Aerospace stock chart and price history

Howmet Aerospace closed at $229.67 on Sep 18, 2026, +23.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $182.78 to $310.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−19.0%
3 months
−17.3%
6 months
−1.4%
1 year
+23.9%
The full HWM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HWM in Gekko

Follow Howmet Aerospace through every session

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About Howmet Aerospace

Howmet Aerospace designs and manufactures precision metal parts used in jet engines, industrial turbines, and heavy trucks, serving customers in the aerospace and transportation fields. It has built its name on producing components such as engine blades, ring-shaped turbine parts, fasteners, and forged wheels that go into aircraft, vehicles, and industrial equipment.

The business is divided into four segments. One makes turbine blades and rolled metal rings along with other rotating and structural engine parts. Another produces fastening hardware for aircraft, commercial trucks, and general industrial use. A third supplies titanium bars and processed metal stock for aerospace and defense work, plus forged aluminum and nickel parts and machined assemblies. The fourth makes forged aluminum wheels for heavy trucks and other commercial vehicles. Howmet sells to customers in countries including the United States, Japan, France, Germany, Britain, Mexico, Italy, Canada, Poland, and China.

Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Howmet traces its roots back to 1888, when it began under the name Arconic Inc. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker HWM.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & defense
Website
howmet.com

Howmet Aerospace GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Howmet Aerospace’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.7 points over five sessions.

010067.5Accumulation

Down 4.7 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying4Too few readings yet
Accumulation (current zone)97+2.0%+5.7%+12.7%+21.5%
Neutral454+1.1%+1.9%+3.9%+12.6%
Distribution96+1.0%+2.0%+4.1%+8.3%
Selling11+1.2%+4.2%+7.7%+10.2%

Average HWM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HWM price, zone by zone.Track HWM in Gekko

Is Howmet Aerospace stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Howmet Aerospace trades 3.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $236.87, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Howmet Aerospace shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$236.87

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

3.0% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HWM in Gekko

Howmet Aerospace insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Howmet Aerospace, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for HWM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every HWM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HWM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in HWM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for HWM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HWM in Gekko

Buybacks

Howmet Aerospace has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$300.0M
As a share of market cap
0.33%
Trailing four quarters
$1.06B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold HWM.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Howmet Aerospace earnings: next date and track record

Howmet Aerospace reports on Oct 29, 2026 (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.9%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+8.9%Nov ’24+4.2%Feb ’25+11.2%May ’25−4.1%Jul ’25+1.2%Oct ’25+8.4%Feb ’26+5.5%May ’26−3.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Howmet Aerospace reported Q2 2026 revenue up 24% YoY (21% organic), with EBITDA margin expanding 340bps to 32.1%. EPS grew 46% YoY to $1.33, exceeding guidance highs. Free cash flow reached $479M in Q2 and ~$840M for H1. Commercial aerospace grew 28%, gas turbines surged 38%, driven by data center electricity demand. $600M in share repurchases completed H1 2026, plus $186M debt retired.
Guidance
Management raised full-year outlook following strong H1 performance with 20% organic growth. CAM acquisition synergies expected to become noticeable in 2027. Commercial transportation recovery underway with sequential wheel volumes up 7%.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$1.33
est $1.23
+8.1%$2.55B
est $2.43B
+4.9%−3.3%
May 7, 2026$1.22
est $1.11
+10.3%$2.31B
est $2.24B
+3.3%+5.5%
Feb 12, 2026$1.05
est $0.95
+10.7%$2.17B
est $2.12B
+2.1%+8.4%
Oct 30, 2025$0.95
est $0.91
+4.4%$2.09B
est $2.04B
+2.3%+1.2%
Jul 31, 2025$0.91
est $0.87
+4.4%$2.05B
est $2.01B
+2.3%−4.1%
May 1, 2025$0.86
est $0.78
+10.8%$1.94B
est $1.94B
0.0%+11.2%
Feb 13, 2025$0.74
est $0.72
+2.8%$1.89B
est $1.88B
+0.6%+4.2%
Nov 6, 2024$0.81
est $0.65
+24.6%$1.84B
est $1.85B
−0.9%+8.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Howmet Aerospace stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Howmet Aerospace is $337.74, +47.1% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$337.74consensus 12-month target, +47.1% from the last close
Low $300High $375
Buy14
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 14GuggenheimBuy, initiated$350+52.4%
Sep 14Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$350+52.4%
Sep 14Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$350+52.4%
Sep 10Argus ResearchBuy, maintained$300+30.6%
Sep 2Deutsche Bank Buy, maintained$343+49.3%
+12.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Howmet Aerospace seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Howmet Aerospace averaged +0.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.1%2021−3.8%2022−4.0%2023+9.0%2024−0.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days0.0%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.5%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.6%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.2%3 of 5

For scale, HWM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.4%.

Howmet Aerospace market cap and key statistics

Howmet Aerospace’s market cap is $91.89B, with a P/E ratio of 49 and revenue of $9.12B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$91.89B
P/E ratio
49
Forward P/E
35.7
EPS, TTM
$4.61
Gekko Fair Value
$236.87

Trading

Volume
4.54M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.90M
52-week high
$310.00
52-week low
$182.78
Shares outstanding
398.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$9.12B
Profit margin
20.5%
Return on equity
34.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+33.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.19
Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
Dividend yield
0.21%

Howmet Aerospace stock news this week

Coverage of Howmet Aerospace this week reads positive: 5 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Howmet Aerospace peers

Howmet Aerospace’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEGE Aerospace+0.2%Buying2.3% below
RTXRTX+0.5%Buying12.1% below
BABoeing+0.7%Buying17.4% below
LMTLockheed Martin−0.7%Accumulation19.7% below
GDGeneral Dynamics−0.7%Accumulation6.6% below
NOCNorthrop Grumman+0.7%Accumulation25.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Howmet Aerospace stock FAQ

What is Howmet Aerospace’s market cap?

Howmet Aerospace’s market cap is $91.89B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $229.67, with 398.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 49.

What is the Howmet Aerospace stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Howmet Aerospace is $337.74, +47.1% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Howmet Aerospace stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Howmet Aerospace is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $229.67 is 3.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $236.87. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Howmet Aerospace report earnings next?

Howmet Aerospace is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.36 per share on revenue of $2.58B. Howmet Aerospace beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.9% on average across the report.

What is Howmet Aerospace’s 52-week high and low?

Howmet Aerospace’s 52-week high is $310.00 and its 52-week low is $182.78; it closed at $229.67 on Sep 18, 2026, +23.9% over the past year.

Is Howmet Aerospace stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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