NASDAQ: LUNR

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$12.86−0.33 (−2.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news centers on Intuitive Machines' expanding satellite manufacturing and a broader sector selloff that pulled space stocks lower together, with Rocket Lab, Redwire, and Intuitive Machines all declining even as the broader market held steady. Shares also moved higher on reports that NASA is close to announcing a bulk purchase of rocket launches for its planned moon base, while a separate item noted analyst target cuts following the Q2 2026 report, which showed revenue of $206.17 million against estimates, alongside a wider GAAP loss of 29 cents per share versus an expected 7-cent loss. Comparisons with AST SpaceMobile and Redwire also circulated, framing Intuitive Machines around its lunar infrastructure and NASA and Department of Defense delivery work.

LUNR closes at $12.86, down 2.5% on the day and below both its 50-day average of $15.45 and 200-day average of $20.24, with the shorter average also under the longer one. The one-month return stands at -10.4% and the three-month at -13.7%, while the one-year return is 0.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 66.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 5.3 over five days. The gap to Gekko Fair Value of $20.37 stands at -36.9%.

The next earnings date falls on 12 November 2026, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report produced a 12.2% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -6% over four years, rising in two of them, worth noting alongside a consensus target of $29.50 from covering analysts.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Intuitive Machines price vs fair value

$20.37$12.86Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $12.86200-day averageGekko Fair Value $20.37

Intuitive Machines quick facts

Market cap
$2.05B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
3,333.3
EPS, TTM
−$0.95
Revenue, TTM
$490.1M
Profit margin
-26.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.86
Volume
5.50M avg 8.45M
1-year return
+0.9%
Typical daily move
±7.3%
Typical 20-day move
±17.7%
50-day average
$15.45
200-day average
$20.24
Next earnings
Nov 12
Shares outstanding
161.4M
52-week range
$7.78$46.75

Intuitive Machines swing-trade checklist

Intuitive Machines scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $12.86 is below the 50-day ($15.45) and 200-day ($20.24) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.2, Accumulation

    Reading 66.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    36.9% below

    Price is 36.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 31 days

    Next report Nov 12, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −6.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −6% over 4 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Intuitive Machines stock chart and price history

Intuitive Machines closed at $12.86 on Oct 12, 2026, +0.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.78 to $46.75.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Intuitive Machines share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$20$30$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct12.86

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−10.4%
3 months
−13.7%
6 months
−47.3%
1 year
+0.9%
The full LUNR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LUNR in Gekko

Follow Intuitive Machines through every session

Put LUNR on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track LUNR in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Intuitive Machines

Intuitive Machines builds aerospace hardware and offers services that support robotic and crewed missions venturing to the Moon, Mars and other distant bodies in space. It is particularly associated with enabling lunar exploration efforts on behalf of its clients.

The company organizes its work across four areas: getting payloads and vehicles to the lunar surface, operations in orbit, gathering and delivering data from the Moon, and designing products and infrastructure for use in space. This structure lets it address different stages of a mission, from transport to the surface through to supporting equipment once there.

Intuitive Machines is headquartered in Houston, Texas, and was founded in 2013. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker LUNR.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & defense
Website
intuitivemachines.com

Intuitive Machines GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Intuitive Machines’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.3 points over five sessions.

010066.2Accumulation

Up 5.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying40−3.5%+1.5%+14.7%+39.6%
Accumulation (current zone)200+0.5%+1.4%+6.5%+22.1%
Neutral376+3.6%+6.2%+11.9%+22.3%
Distribution57+3.9%+18.2%+14.9%+18.1%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average LUNR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LUNR price, zone by zone.Track LUNR in Gekko

Is Intuitive Machines stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Intuitive Machines trades 36.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.37, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Intuitive Machines shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$20.37

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

36.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 38.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$20$13Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LUNR in Gekko

Intuitive Machines insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Intuitive Machines, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for LUNR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every LUNR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LUNR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in LUNR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for LUNR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LUNR in Gekko

Buybacks

Intuitive Machines has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2025
$20.70M
As a share of market cap
1.01%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold LUNR.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Intuitive Machines earnings: next date and track record

Intuitive Machines reports on Nov 12, 2026 (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports.

1 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.6%Nov ’24+29.8%Mar ’25+24.5%May ’25−6.6%Aug ’25−9.8%Nov ’25−1.5%Mar ’26−5.0%May ’26+12.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 13, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Intuitive Machines reported Q2 2026 revenue of $206 million, more than 4x year-over-year growth, with backlog of approximately $1.8 billion spanning civil, commercial, and national security customers. The company has over 80 spacecraft under contract and generated $1.7 billion in bookings year-to-date. Strategic acquisitions of Lanteris, KinetX, and Goonhilly/COMSAT have transformed LUNR into an integrated aerospace prime, expanding addressable market from $20 billion to over $150 billion.
Guidance
Management reaffirmed full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $900 million to $1 billion and expects positive adjusted EBITDA for the full year, supported by strong backlog visibility and continued bookings momentum.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 13, 2026−$0.29
est −$0.09
−220.9%$206.2M
est $212.3M
−2.9%+12.2%
May 14, 2026−$0.25
est −$0.04
−485.1%$186.7M
est $203.0M
−8.0%−5.0%
Mar 19, 2026−$0.04
est −$0.04
0.0%$44.79M
est $53.71M
−16.6%−1.5%
Nov 4, 2025−$0.06
est −$0.04
−50.0%$52.40M
est $67.95M
−22.9%−9.8%
Aug 7, 2025−$0.22
est −$0.06
−263.1%$50.31M
est $67.71M
−25.7%−6.6%
May 13, 2025−$0.11
est −$0.10
−10.0%$62.52M
est $65.12M
−4.0%+24.5%
Mar 24, 2025−$1.72
est −$0.08
−2,050.0%$54.66M
est $55.70M
−1.9%+29.8%
Nov 14, 2024$0.25
est −$0.01
+2,600.0%$58.48M
est $50.89M
+14.9%+5.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Intuitive Machines stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Intuitive Machines is $29.50, +129.4% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$29.50consensus 12-month target, +129.4% from the last close
Low $13High $39
Buy6
Hold0
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 30Bank of America SecuritiesSell, reiterated$13+1.1%
Aug 18Canaccord GenuityBuy, maintained$39+203.3%
Aug 17Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, reiterated$32+148.8%
Aug 14Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, reiterated$32+148.8%
Aug 14Roth MKMBuy, maintained$30+133.3%
+6.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−6.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 4 years
±7.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Intuitive Machines seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Intuitive Machines averaged −6.0% across the last 4 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.8%2022−19.1%2023+31.7%2024−21.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.3%3 of 4
Next 10 trading days−2.2%3 of 4
Next 15 trading days−3.8%2 of 4
Next 20 trading days−6.0%2 of 4
Next 30 trading days+3.9%2 of 4

For scale, LUNR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 17.7%.

Intuitive Machines market cap and key statistics

Intuitive Machines’s market cap is $2.05B and revenue of $490.1M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.05B
Forward P/E
3,333.3
EPS, TTM
−$0.95
Gekko Fair Value
$20.37

Trading

Volume
5.50M
Avg volume, 20 days
8.45M
52-week high
$46.75
52-week low
$7.78
Shares outstanding
161.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$490.1M
Profit margin
-26.6%
Return on equity
-30.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−81.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.86
Typical daily move
±7.3%
Typical 20-day move
±17.7%

Intuitive Machines peers

Intuitive Machines’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEGE Aerospace+0.3%Accumulation1.9% below
RTXRTX0.0%Accumulation10.9% below
BABoeing−1.0%Accumulation19.2% below
LMTLockheed Martin−0.2%Accumulation21.5% below
GDGeneral Dynamics+0.7%Accumulation8.6% below
HWMHowmet Aerospace−2.0%Accumulation3.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Intuitive Machines stock FAQ

What is Intuitive Machines’s market cap?

Intuitive Machines’s market cap is $2.05B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.86, with 161.4M shares outstanding.

What is the Intuitive Machines stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Intuitive Machines is $29.50, +129.4% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Intuitive Machines stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Intuitive Machines is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.86 is 36.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.37. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Intuitive Machines report earnings next?

Intuitive Machines is expected to report on Nov 12, 2026 (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.12 per share on revenue of $245.7M. Intuitive Machines beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.9% on average across the report.

What is Intuitive Machines’s 52-week high and low?

Intuitive Machines’s 52-week high is $46.75 and its 52-week low is $7.78; it closed at $12.86 on Oct 12, 2026, +0.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $136.00 on Feb 22, 2023.

Is Intuitive Machines stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Intuitive Machines the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.