NYSE: KRMN

Karman (KRMN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$33.68−2.01 (−5.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Karman has fallen to new 52-week lows this week, with shares touching $33.99 and down 52% year-to-date and 65% over six months, according to recent reporting that also flagged a low PEG ratio and projected net income growth. RBC cut its price target on Karman to $70 from $85 on 28 September while maintaining an Outperform rating, even as the firm has been presenting at a Morgan Stanley conference and Guggenheim initiated coverage with a Buy rating. A director purchase of 275 shares at $36.79, worth $10,117.25, was also disclosed on 21 September.

Karman closed at $33.68, down 5.6% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $46.44 and 200-day average of $69.50, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 65.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 35.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $52.07.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 5 November, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window; the prior report on 6 August showed an EPS beat of $0.14 versus $0.13 expected, with a 5.6% reaction. Smart money activity over the past 90 days includes one insider purchase and one billionaire holder. Analyst coverage from 9 firms shows 8 buy ratings and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $89.70. Nine firms cover the stock, and typical 20-day price swings have run 17.4%.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Karman price vs fair value

$52.07$33.68Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $33.68200-day averageGekko Fair Value $52.07

Karman quick facts

Market cap
$4.46B
P/E ratio
120.4
Forward P/E
41.3
EPS, TTM
$0.29
Revenue, TTM
$589.6M
Profit margin
6.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
—
Volume
3.69M avg 4.28M
1-year return
−50.0%
Typical daily move
±7.6%
Typical 20-day move
±17.4%
50-day average
$46.44
200-day average
$69.50
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
132.5M
52-week range
$32.20$118.38

Karman swing-trade checklist

Karman scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $33.68 is below the 50-day ($46.44) and 200-day ($69.50) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.9, Accumulation

    Reading 65.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    35.3% below

    Price is 35.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Karman stock chart and price history

Karman closed at $33.68 on Sep 28, 2026, −50.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $32.20 to $118.38.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Karman share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$60$80$100$120NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep33.68

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−29.0%
3 months
−28.5%
6 months
−59.9%
1 year
−50.0%
The full KRMN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open KRMN in Gekko

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About Karman

Karman builds hardware that supports missile defense work, space missions, hypersonic vehicles, and launch systems, focusing on engineering, testing, and manufacturing rather than research alone. Much of what it produces falls into flight hardware made from metals and composites, plus the smaller assemblies that connect into larger systems. The company has become known for supplying parts that must hold up under extreme aerospace conditions.

Its main business runs through the Karman Space and Defense division, which handles a range of hardware categories: structures that protect and release payloads, sections that link stages of a rocket aerodynamically, and units tied to propulsion. Through this division, Karman serves programs across defense and space efforts that require this kind of specialized equipment.

Founded in 2020, Karman is headquartered in Huntington Beach, California. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker KRMN.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & defense
Website
karman-sd.com

Karman GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Karman’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.9, in the Accumulation zone, down 6.2 points over five sessions.

010065.9Accumulation

Down 6.2 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying21−3.2%−2.2%+6.0%−1.7%
Accumulation (current zone)133+1.3%+1.8%+3.4%+3.6%
Neutral201+0.7%+1.8%+4.0%+18.0%
Distribution46+0.5%+1.4%+0.8%−1.9%
Selling0Not available

Average KRMN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KRMN price, zone by zone.Track KRMN in Gekko

Is Karman stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Karman trades 35.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $52.07, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Karman shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$52.07

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

35.3% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KRMN in Gekko

Karman insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Karman worth $1.01M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.01Min 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 18Stinnett David
director
Purchase27,000$1.01M

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in KRMN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for KRMN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KRMN in Gekko

Buybacks

Karman has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2024
$41K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds KRMN.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Karman earnings: next date and track record

Karman reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 4 reports.

1 of 4reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.4%average move across the report
2 of 5reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+13.8%Apr ’25−5.8%Aug ’25−11.4%Nov ’25−15.5%Mar ’26+5.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Karman Space and Defense reported record Q2 FY26 results with quarterly revenue of $182 million, non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of $55 million, and record backlog of $1.3 billion. Sequential revenue growth was 20.4% quarter-over-quarter and 24.4% year-over-year organic growth. Key milestones include record quarterly bookings of nearly $500 million, S&P Small Cap 600 Index inclusion, a 200,000 sq ft Salt Lake City factory, and a European expansion via Walker Precision Engineering acquisition.
Guidance
Management has 95% visibility to the midpoint of full year revenue guidance based on current backlog. Strong organic growth rates are expected to continue, with material weakness remediation controls fully implemented by end of 2026.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.14
est $0.13
+7.7%$182.1M
est $180.1M
+1.1%+5.6%
Mar 25, 2026$0.11
est $0.11
0.0%$134.5M
est $132.6M
+1.4%−15.5%
Nov 6, 2025$0.10
est $0.11
−10.5%$121.8M
est $118.1M
+3.1%−11.4%
Aug 7, 2025$0.10
est $0.11
−9.1%$115.1M
est $105.2M
+9.4%−5.8%
Apr 8, 2025$0.01—$91.24M
est $91.30M
−0.1%+13.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Karman stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Karman is $89.70, +166.3% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$89.70consensus 12-month target, +166.3% from the last close
Low $37High $100
Buy8
Hold0
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 27RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$70+107.8%
Sep 14GuggenheimBuy, initiated$63+87.1%
Sep 11Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$80+137.5%
Sep 10William BlairBuy, maintained——
Sep 2William BlairBuy, maintained——
+3.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±7.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Karman market cap and key statistics

Karman’s market cap is $4.46B, with a P/E ratio of 120.4 and revenue of $589.6M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.46B
P/E ratio
120.4
Forward P/E
41.3
EPS, TTM
$0.29
Gekko Fair Value
$52.07

Trading

Volume
3.69M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.28M
52-week high
$118.38
52-week low
$32.20
Shares outstanding
132.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$589.6M
Profit margin
6.3%
Return on equity
9.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+111.8%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±7.6%
Typical 20-day move
±17.4%

Karman stock news this week

Coverage of Karman this week reads negative: 0 positive, 1 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

Karman peers

Karman’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEGE Aerospace−1.0%Accumulation0.8% below
RTXRTX−0.1%Accumulation12.0% below
BABoeing−4.3%Buying22.4% below
LMTLockheed Martin−0.2%Accumulation19.7% below
HWMHowmet Aerospace−1.2%Accumulation3.2% below
GDGeneral Dynamics−0.2%Accumulation9.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Karman stock FAQ

What is Karman’s market cap?

Karman’s market cap is $4.46B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $33.68, with 132.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 120.4.

What is the Karman stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Karman is $89.70, +166.3% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Karman stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Karman is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $33.68 is 35.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $52.07. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Karman report earnings next?

Karman is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.15 per share on revenue of $193.1M. Karman beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 4 reports, moving 10.4% on average across the report.

What is Karman’s 52-week high and low?

Karman’s 52-week high is $118.38 and its 52-week low is $32.20; it closed at $33.68 on Sep 28, 2026, −50.0% over the past year.

Is Karman stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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