Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AVAV in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AVAV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AVAV in Gekko
NASDAQ: AVAV
AeroVironment (AVAV) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$147.23−4.82 (−3.2%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryAeroVironment shares slipped this week after the company's fiscal Q1 2027 report showed revenue of $480 million, up 6% year-over-year, with non-GAAP adjusted EPS of $0.59 and a funded backlog reaching a record $1.5 billion. The quarter also included a $464.8 million U.S. Army contract for the LOCUST X3 laser weapon system and an international LOCUST order, alongside an Army Long-Range Reconnaissance contract. Despite this, investor sentiment weighed on the stock following unchanged full-year guidance and a target cut from Argus to $148.00, and a shareholder rights law firm disclosed it is investigating potential claims on behalf of long-term stockholders.
AVAV closed at $147.23, down 3.2%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $158.78 and 200-day average of $203.26, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 60.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 19.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $182.95.
The next earnings date falls on 8 December 2026, 70 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last 30 days, one unusual options signal was recorded, with call premium of $896,665 against put premium of $65,720. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 9.4% return over 5 years, rising in 5 of them. Analyst coverage shows 15 buy ratings and 2 hold among 17 firms, with a consensus target of $219.35.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
AeroVironment price vs fair value
Close $147.23200-day averageGekko Fair Value $182.95
AeroVironment quick facts
- Market cap
- $7.45B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 55.3
- EPS, TTM
- −$4.05
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.00B
- Profit margin
- -10.1%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.41
- Volume
- 1.09M avg 2.26M
- 1-year return
- −51.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±6.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.8%
- 50-day average
- $158.78
- 200-day average
- $203.26
- Next earnings
- Dec 8 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 50.82M
AeroVironment swing-trade checklist
AeroVironment scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $147.23 is below the 50-day ($158.78) and 200-day ($203.26) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
60.5, Accumulation
Reading 60.5 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
19.5% below
Price is 19.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 70 days
Next report Dec 8, 2026, 70 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+9.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9.4% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
AeroVironment stock chart and price history
AeroVironment closed at $147.23 on Sep 28, 2026, −51.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $135.20 to $417.86.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −3.3%
- 3 months
- +5.9%
- 6 months
- −20.2%
- 1 year
- −51.2%
The full AVAV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AVAV in Gekko
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About AeroVironment
AeroVironment builds and maintains robotic systems used by government and commercial customers around the world. It is best known for its unmanned aerial vehicles, which include the aircraft themselves, integrated payloads, ground control equipment and other support gear, along with tactical missile systems and unmanned ground vehicles.
The company organizes its work into unmanned aircraft systems, tactical missile systems, medium unmanned aircraft systems, and high altitude pseudo-satellite systems. Its main customers for unmanned aircraft, missile systems and ground vehicles are agencies of the U.S. Department of Defense and allied foreign governments. Beyond selling the vehicles themselves, AeroVironment supports small unmanned aircraft with spare parts, swappable payloads, batteries and chargers, repair work, and customer service, as well as handheld controllers and related accessories. It also works on high-altitude, long-endurance unmanned aircraft designed to operate like satellites.
AeroVironment was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker AVAV.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Industry
- Aerospace & defense
- Website
- avinc.com
AeroVironment GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
AeroVironment’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.6 points over five sessions.
60.5Accumulation
Up 4.6 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 37 | +1.6% | +8.7% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 259 | −0.1% | +3.0% | ||
| Neutral | 303 | +1.5% | +2.1% | ||
| Distribution | 66 | +0.2% | +0.2% | ||
| Selling | 7 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AVAV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AVAV price, zone by zone.Track AVAV in Gekko
Is AeroVironment stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
AeroVironment trades 19.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $182.95, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what AeroVironment shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$182.95
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
19.5% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AVAV in Gekko
AeroVironment insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AeroVironment, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AVAV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AVAV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AVAV in Gekko
Buybacks
AeroVironment has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Oct 26, 2024
- $111K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 93% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 12, $962K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold AVAV.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
AeroVironment earnings: next date and track record
AeroVironment reports on Dec 8, 2026, after the close (70 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Dec 8, 2026
Expected after the close, 70 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.40
- Revenue estimate
- $512.1M
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Sep 9, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- AeroVironment reported Q1 FY2027 revenue of $480 million (record quarter), adjusted EBITDA of ~$46 million, and bookings of $683 million. Funded backlog reached a record $1.5 billion, up 37% year-over-year. Autonomous Systems contributed $346M (72%) and Space/Cyber/Directed Energy contributed $134.5M (28%) of revenue. Key wins included a $117M Army Long-Range Reconnaissance contract and a $30M German Puma procurement.
- Guidance
- Management reaffirmed FY2027 revenue guidance of $2.125B-$2.225B and adjusted EBITDA guidance of $305M-$325M. Both business segments are tracking toward annual growth goals supported by domestic and international program wins.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | $0.59 est $0.22 | $480.5M est $451.9M | −1.1% |
| Jun 29, 2026 | $1.84 est $1.53 | $641.6M est $556.0M | +19.7% |
| Mar 10, 2026 | $0.64 est $0.68 | $408.0M est $475.5M | −8.6% |
| Dec 9, 2025 | $0.44 est $0.80 | $472.5M est $469.5M | −13.2% |
| Sep 9, 2025 | $0.32 est $0.37 | $454.7M est $437.6M | +4.3% |
| Jun 24, 2025 | $1.61 est $1.38 | $275.1M est $241.5M | +22.9% |
| Mar 4, 2025 | $0.30 est $0.72 | $167.6M est $242.4M | −4.9% |
| Dec 4, 2024 | $0.47 est $0.68 | $188.5M est $181.8M | −14.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
AeroVironment stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AeroVironment is $219.35, +49.0% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$219.35consensus 12-month target, +49.0% from the last close
Now $147.23Avg $219.35
Low $170High $285
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | Bank of America Securities | $185 | +25.7% |
| Sep 17 | Clear Street | $247 | +67.8% |
| Sep 17 | KeyBanc | $220 | +49.4% |
| Sep 17 | Goldman Sachs | $285 | +93.6% |
| Sep 16 | Jefferies | $204 | +38.6% |
+3.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+9.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
AeroVironment seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, AeroVironment averaged +9.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +4.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +7.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +7.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +9.4% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +10.0% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, AVAV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.8%.
AeroVironment market cap and key statistics
AeroVironment’s market cap is $7.45B and revenue of $2.00B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $7.45B
- Forward P/E
- 55.3
- EPS, TTM
- −$4.05
- Gekko Fair Value
- $182.95
Trading
- Volume
- 1.09M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.26M
- 52-week high
- $417.86
- 52-week low
- $135.20
- Shares outstanding
- 50.82M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.00B
- Profit margin
- -10.1%
- Return on equity
- -4.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +175.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.41
- Typical daily move
- ±6.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.8%
AeroVironment stock news this week
Coverage of AeroVironment this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 2 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- AeroVironment slips as investors weigh unchanged outlook and recent target cutsQuiver Quantitative, Sep 26
- AeroVironment stock reports 6 percent revenue growth in fiscal Q1AD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- What AeroVironment’s (AVAV) $464.8 Million Laser Contract Means for Its Defense Growth OutlookInsider Monkey, Sep 24
- AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Stock ForecastsYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 24
- AVAV vs. RTX: Which Aerospace-Defense Stock Offers More Potential?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 24
- AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Options Chain - Yahoo FinanceYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 23
AeroVironment peers
AeroVironment’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GEGE Aerospace | Accumulation | 0.8% below |
| RTXRTX | Accumulation | 12.0% below |
| BABoeing | Buying | 22.4% below |
| LMTLockheed Martin | Accumulation | 19.7% below |
| HWMHowmet Aerospace | Accumulation | 3.2% below |
| GDGeneral Dynamics | Accumulation | 9.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
AeroVironment stock FAQ
What is AeroVironment’s market cap?
AeroVironment’s market cap is $7.45B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $147.23, with 50.82M shares outstanding.
What is the AeroVironment stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AeroVironment is $219.35, +49.0% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is AeroVironment stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate AeroVironment is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $147.23 is 19.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $182.95. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does AeroVironment report earnings next?
AeroVironment is expected to report on Dec 8, 2026, after the market closes (70 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.40 per share on revenue of $512.1M. AeroVironment beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.1% on average across the report.
What is AeroVironment’s 52-week high and low?
AeroVironment’s 52-week high is $417.86 and its 52-week low is $135.20; it closed at $147.23 on Sep 28, 2026, −51.2% over the past year.
Is AeroVironment stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in AeroVironment?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in AeroVironment over the last 30 days, with $897K of flagged premium in calls and $66K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 12, 2026 with $962K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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