NYSE: AMTM

Amentum (AMTM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$18.49−0.70 (−3.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Amentum shares touched a 52-week low of $19.18 this week amid a broader six-month decline, though coverage notes that recent Q3 2026 results exceeded expectations and included a significant NASA contract win. Brokerage sentiment remains mixed: an average rating of "Hold" reflects one sell, seven hold and five buy ratings among thirteen brokerages tracked, alongside separate analyst figures showing 3 buy and 5 hold ratings among 8 firms with a consensus target of $29.58, implying 60% upside.

The stock closed at $18.49, down 3.6% on the day, and sits below both its 50-day average of $21.05 and 200-day average of $25.79, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Returns over the past month, three months, six months and one year are all negative, ranging from -9.5% to -28.4%. The GekkoIndex reads 67.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 47.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.07.

Looking ahead, the next earnings date falls on 23 November 2026, 55 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. The prior report on 10 August showed adjusted EPS of $0.64 against a $0.59 estimate, yet the stock reacted with a 9.4% move, in line with its average absolute reaction of 9.4%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows, and there are no billionaire holders recorded, against one trailblazer holder. Seasonal history is insufficient for a seasonal read.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Amentum price vs fair value

$35.07$18.49Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $18.49200-day averageGekko Fair Value $35.07

Amentum quick facts

Market cap
$4.51B
P/E ratio
23.1
Forward P/E
7.5
EPS, TTM
$0.83
Revenue, TTM
$14.13B
Profit margin
1.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
—
Volume
1.18M avg 1.67M
1-year return
−17.3%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%
50-day average
$21.05
200-day average
$25.79
Next earnings
Nov 23 before open
Shares outstanding
244.5M
52-week range
$18.48$38.11

Amentum swing-trade checklist

Amentum scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $18.49 is below the 50-day ($21.05) and 200-day ($25.79) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.2, Accumulation

    Reading 67.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    47.3% below

    Price is 47.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 55 days

    Next report Nov 23, 2026, 55 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Amentum stock chart and price history

Amentum closed at $18.49 on Sep 28, 2026, −17.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $18.48 to $38.11.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Amentum share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25$30$35NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep18.49

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.5%
3 months
−8.6%
6 months
−28.4%
1 year
−17.3%
The full AMTM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AMTM in Gekko

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About Amentum

Amentum supplies technology-based services to government bodies and commercial clients, with particular recognition for its work supporting defense, intelligence, and energy programs. Its offerings span testing and oversight of missile defense systems, IT and engineering support for defense and space customers, and technical work for energy clients that includes installation, decommissioning, and environmental cleanup.

The company runs through two segments. Critical Mission Solutions covers the missile defense, space, defense engineering, and energy-related work described above, along with technical consulting. Cyber & Intelligence handles cyber training and data analytics for government personnel, plus communication systems and aerial mapping used in national security work, along with other technical support for U.S. defense and intelligence agencies.

Amentum was established on November 26, 2019, and its headquarters are in Chantilly, Virginia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AMTM.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & defense
Website
amentum.com

Amentum GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Amentum’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.9 points over five sessions.

010067.2Accumulation

Up 3.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+1.9%+5.1%+3.8%−1.9%
Accumulation (current zone)224−0.3%−1.1%−0.7%+1.5%
Neutral231−0.1%0.0%−0.9%−3.0%
Distribution6Too few readings yet
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average AMTM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AMTM price, zone by zone.Track AMTM in Gekko

Is Amentum stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Amentum trades 47.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.07, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Amentum shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$35.07

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

47.3% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AMTM in Gekko

Amentum insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Amentum, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AMTM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AMTM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AMTM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AMTM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AMTM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AMTM in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds AMTM.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Amentum earnings: next date and track record

Amentum reports on Nov 23, 2026, before the open (55 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−6.7%Dec ’24+11.2%Feb ’25−3.3%May ’25+5.1%Aug ’25+23.7%Nov ’25−14.6%Feb ’26−0.9%May ’26−9.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Amentum's Q3 FY2026 earnings call conveyed a mixed but overall constructive picture: revenue of $3.5 billion came in slightly below expectations due to protest delays, NASA in-sourcing and lower-margin material volume, but operational execution drove stronger-than-expected profitability, margin expansion and free cash flow. Adjusted EBITDA was $290 million (8.3% margin), adjusted diluted EPS was $0.67 (up 20% YoY) and free cash flow was $135 million. Management reported strong business development momentum: net bookings of $3.9 billion, book-to-bill of 1.1x for the quarter and trailing 12-month 1.3x, ending backlog of $48 billion and funded backlog up 10% YoY to $6.2 billion, with $32 billion pending awards. Management emphasized progress on deleveraging (net leverage ~3x), capital allocation discipline (M&A, buybacks, debt paydown), and strategic shifts toward higher-margin, technology-enabled and fixed-price work—particularly highlighting nuclear energy and critical digital infrastructure as growth engines. Management provided preliminary FY2027 outlook with ~92% revenue visibility from existing/follow-on work and mid-single-digit portfolio growth excluding NASA impacts, while acknowledging a ~3% revenue impact from NASA in-sourcing. Answers in Q&A were candid and confident, noting near-term headwinds (protests, procurement delays, materials timing, NASA) but expressing conviction in margin and cash generation and long-term opportunity (nuclear, digital, national security transformations).
Guidance
Revised FY'26 guidance (directional, not full numeric detail on this call): revenue updated to reflect near-term delays (Q3 revenue slightly below prior expectations), but raised expectations for adjusted EBITDA and adjusted diluted EPS based on YTD outperformance. Preliminary FY'27 expectations: portfolio growing at a mid-single-digit rate excluding NASA; management expects ~92% of FY'27 revenue to come from existing or follow-on work; NASA in-sourcing is modeled as a ~3% headwind to revenue (with a smaller EBITDA impact). Q4 FY'26 expected to be consistent with year-to-date trends (~2% growth at midpoint for Q4) and remains the seasonally highest revenue quarter.
Risks flagged
Near-term risks noted: award and procurement delays and protests (~$175 million of near-term new business delays), NASA in-sourcing (~3% revenue headwind), materials and non-labor volume timing impacting revenue and margins, corrective actions/protests on new awards, uncertainty from government procurement changes (executive order favoring fixed-price work causing slower award cadence), potential budget uncertainty/continuing resolution early in FY'27. Additionally, legacy low- to no-margin base operations (about 1% of revenue) are being exited, and the company faces typical program execution and conversion risks.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 10, 2026$0.64
est $0.59
+8.5%$3.49B
est $3.57B
−2.3%−9.4%
May 11, 2026$0.61
est $0.57
+6.8%$3.48B
est $3.47B
+0.3%−0.9%
Feb 9, 2026$0.54
est $0.53
+1.9%$3.24B
est $3.32B
−2.6%−14.6%
Nov 24, 2025$0.63
est $0.59
+6.6%$3.93B
est $3.61B
+8.6%+23.7%
Aug 5, 2025$0.04
est $0.31
−87.1%$3.56B
est $3.62B
−1.5%+5.1%
May 6, 2025$0.02
est $0.26
−92.3%$3.49B
est $3.51B
−0.6%−3.3%
Feb 4, 2025$0.51
est $0.45
+12.5%$3.42B
est $3.44B
−0.7%+11.2%
Dec 16, 2024$0.47
est $0.25
+88.0%$2.21B
est $3.41B
−35.2%−6.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Amentum stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Amentum is $29.58, +60.0% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$29.58consensus 12-month target, +60.0% from the last close
Low $26High $40
Buy3
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 20Goldman SachsHold, maintained——
Aug 20Goldman SachsHold, reiterated$24+29.8%
Aug 17J.P. MorganHold, reiterated$26+40.6%
Aug 12BTIGBuy, maintained$30+62.2%
Aug 12Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$30+62.2%
−0.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Amentum market cap and key statistics

Amentum’s market cap is $4.51B, with a P/E ratio of 23.1 and revenue of $14.13B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.51B
P/E ratio
23.1
Forward P/E
7.5
EPS, TTM
$0.83
Gekko Fair Value
$35.07

Trading

Volume
1.18M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.67M
52-week high
$38.11
52-week low
$18.48
Shares outstanding
244.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$14.13B
Profit margin
1.4%
Return on equity
4.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+575.0%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%

Amentum stock news this week

3 headlines about Amentum from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Amentum peers

Amentum’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEGE Aerospace−1.0%Accumulation0.8% below
RTXRTX−0.1%Accumulation12.0% below
BABoeing−4.3%Buying22.4% below
LMTLockheed Martin−0.2%Accumulation19.7% below
HWMHowmet Aerospace−1.2%Accumulation3.2% below
GDGeneral Dynamics−0.2%Accumulation9.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Amentum stock FAQ

What is Amentum’s market cap?

Amentum’s market cap is $4.51B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $18.49, with 244.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 23.1.

What is the Amentum stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Amentum is $29.58, +60.0% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Amentum stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Amentum is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $18.49 is 47.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.07. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Amentum report earnings next?

Amentum is expected to report on Nov 23, 2026, before the market opens (55 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.66 per share on revenue of $3.70B. Amentum beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.4% on average across the report.

What is Amentum’s 52-week high and low?

Amentum’s 52-week high is $38.11 and its 52-week low is $18.48; it closed at $18.49 on Sep 28, 2026, −17.3% over the past year.

Is Amentum stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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