NYSE: JOBY

Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$6.11−0.21 (−3.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news for Joby centers on operational milestones and insider selling. The company completed its first autonomous flight across the United States, covering 3,199 miles without human input, while also continuing eVTOL flight demonstrations at Dallas-Fort Worth airport that are feeding real-world data to the FAA. Separately, several insiders, including the CEO, CFO, and a director, sold shares under pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plans between August and September, including a policy chief transaction disclosed in a filing where options were exercised at $0.87 per share and shares sold at $6.35. Coverage also compared Joby with peer Archer Aviation on business strategy and revenue positioning.

The stock closed at $6.11, down 3.3% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $7.14 and 200-day average of $9.76, with the shorter average also below the longer one. Returns over one month, three months, and six months stand at -14.5%, -29.2%, and -24.6% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 66.1, placing it in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 22.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $7.87.

Over the next 20 trading days, the main scheduled event is earnings on 4 November, 36 days away, falling outside this window. Historical seasonality from this point in the calendar shows a 20-day average return of -5.2% across 5 years, with gains in 2 of those years. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Analyst views remain split, with consensus target of $10.68 reflecting a range of buy, hold, and sell ratings across 6 firms.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Joby Aviation price vs fair value

$7.87$6.11Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $6.11200-day averageGekko Fair Value $7.87

Joby Aviation quick facts

Market cap
$6.01B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$0.99
Revenue, TTM
$116.3M
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.68
Volume
22.48M avg 25.23M
1-year return
−61.5%
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±12.1%
50-day average
$7.14
200-day average
$9.76
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
996.3M
52-week range
$5.93$19.98

Joby Aviation swing-trade checklist

Joby Aviation scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $6.11 is below the 50-day ($7.14) and 200-day ($9.76) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.1, Accumulation

    Reading 66.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    22.4% below

    Price is 22.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −5.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −5.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Joby Aviation stock chart and price history

Joby Aviation closed at $6.11 on Sep 28, 2026, −61.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $5.93 to $19.98.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Joby Aviation share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$15$20NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep6.11

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.5%
3 months
−29.2%
6 months
−24.6%
1 year
−61.5%
The full JOBY chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open JOBY in Gekko

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About Joby Aviation

Joby Aviation designs electric aircraft capable of taking off and landing vertically, aimed at short-distance air travel on demand. The company works toward offering a service where passengers could summon flights the way they might book a ride, positioning its aircraft as the core of that future network.

Joby Aviation covers multiple stages of the process itself, from building the aircraft to preparing the systems needed to operate a flight service, rather than relying solely on outside partners for each piece.

Joby Aviation was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Santa Cruz, California. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker JOBY.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & defense
Website
jobyaviation.com

Joby Aviation GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Joby Aviation’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.2 points over five sessions.

010066.1Accumulation

Up 2.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+0.1%−0.8%+4.7%+0.7%
Accumulation (current zone)306+0.4%+0.4%+1.1%+2.7%
Neutral304+0.5%+1.3%+3.3%+12.4%
Distribution35+4.2%+7.7%+6.7%+14.1%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average JOBY share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the JOBY price, zone by zone.Track JOBY in Gekko

Is Joby Aviation stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Joby Aviation trades 22.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $7.87, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Joby Aviation shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$7.87

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

22.4% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open JOBY in Gekko

Joby Aviation insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Joby Aviation, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for JOBY in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every JOBY insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open JOBY in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in JOBY were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for JOBY, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open JOBY in Gekko

Buybacks

Joby Aviation has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2022
$85K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold JOBY.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Joby Aviation earnings: next date and track record

Joby Aviation reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

0.0%Nov ’24+3.8%Feb ’25+4.6%May ’25−11.5%Aug ’25−3.0%Nov ’25+5.2%Feb ’26+18.7%May ’26+3.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Joby Aviation's Q2 2026 call focused on operational progress toward commercial service, highlighted by imminent eIPP flights in Texas, strong performance from the newly acquired Blade business, and ongoing production ramp-up for conforming aircraft. Management confirmed a cash balance of ~$2.3 billion, Q2 cash use of ~$202 million, and first-half cash use within their prior guidance of $340M-$370M. They reported Q2 revenue of $39 million (primarily Blade), noted improvements in manufacturing nonconformance rates, and stated that at least two aircraft are targeted to come off the production line later this year. Strategic partnerships (Atoms for vertiports, ASI for ATC modernization) and potential Toyota equity (~$250M expected by year-end/early next year to Joby Inc.) were highlighted as de-risking elements for infrastructure and financing. Management emphasized the potential of hydrogen propulsion long-term and discussed defense opportunities, while acknowledging the additional near-term workload from the eIPP program and certification activities.
Guidance
Targets and forward-looking items mentioned: - Intend to complete first eIPP flights in Texas next month. - Continue to target carrying first (nonpaying) passengers this year, progressing to paying passengers over time. - First-half 2026 cash use guidance reaffirmed: $340M to $370M (they reported $365M excluding Ohio purchase). - At least two aircraft targeted to come off the production line in the back half of the year. - Toyota incremental $250M equity investment expected to go to Joby Inc. by end of year or early next year. - Management stated they raised guidance (no explicit revenue/earnings figures disclosed on the call).
Risks flagged
Risks and challenges mentioned or implied: - Certification and regulatory risk (Stage 5 activities, potential delays). - Operational burden: eIPP program may add short-term workload and strain resources despite potential long-term certification benefits. - Production constraints and aircraft availability limiting near-term Blade expansion. - Dependence on strategic partnerships and municipal/FAA cooperation for eIPP and vertiport deployment. - Market and macro sensitivity are implied (seasonality and event-driven Blade demand); typical forward-looking statement risks as noted in SEC filings.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026−$0.25
est −$0.23
−8.7%$38.64M
est $30.20M
+28.0%+3.3%
May 5, 2026−$0.12
est −$0.21
+42.9%$24.25M
est $20.17M
+20.2%+18.7%
Feb 25, 2026−$0.20
est −$0.20
0.0%$30.84M
est $16.18M
+90.6%+5.2%
Nov 5, 2025−$0.26
est −$0.19
−35.6%$22.57M
est $3.40M
+563.7%−3.0%
Aug 6, 2025−$0.24
est −$0.18
−33.3%$15K
est $181K
−91.7%−11.5%
May 7, 2025−$0.11
est −$0.18
+38.9%—
est $699K
—+4.6%
Feb 26, 2025−$0.19
est −$0.19
0.0%$55K
est $45K
+22.9%+3.8%
Nov 6, 2024−$0.21
est −$0.20
−6.7%$28K
est $52K
−46.5%0.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Joby Aviation stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Joby Aviation is $10.68, +74.8% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$10.68consensus 12-month target, +74.8% from the last close
Low $7High $18
Buy2
Hold2
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25Canaccord GenuityHold, maintained$11.50+88.2%
Sep 21H.C. WainwrightBuy, reiterated$18+194.6%
Aug 11H.C. WainwrightBuy, maintained$18+194.6%
Aug 10Cantor FitzgeraldHold, maintained$8+30.9%
Aug 7J.P. MorganSell, maintained$7+14.6%
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−5.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Joby Aviation seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Joby Aviation averaged −5.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−9.0%2021+0.9%2022−18.8%2023+4.8%2024+1.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.4%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−5.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−6.4%0 of 5

For scale, JOBY’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 12.1%.

Joby Aviation market cap and key statistics

Joby Aviation’s market cap is $6.01B and revenue of $116.3M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.01B
EPS, TTM
−$0.99
Gekko Fair Value
$7.87

Trading

Volume
22.48M
Avg volume, 20 days
25.23M
52-week high
$19.98
52-week low
$5.93
Shares outstanding
996.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$116.3M
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
-65.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.68
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±12.1%

Joby Aviation peers

Joby Aviation’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEGE Aerospace−1.0%Accumulation0.8% below
RTXRTX−0.1%Accumulation12.0% below
BABoeing−4.3%Buying22.4% below
LMTLockheed Martin−0.2%Accumulation19.7% below
HWMHowmet Aerospace−1.2%Accumulation3.2% below
GDGeneral Dynamics−0.2%Accumulation9.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Joby Aviation stock FAQ

What is Joby Aviation’s market cap?

Joby Aviation’s market cap is $6.01B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $6.11, with 996.3M shares outstanding.

What is the Joby Aviation stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Joby Aviation is $10.68, +74.8% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Joby Aviation stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Joby Aviation is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $6.11 is 22.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $7.87. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Joby Aviation report earnings next?

Joby Aviation is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.26 per share on revenue of $37.17M. Joby Aviation beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.

What is Joby Aviation’s 52-week high and low?

Joby Aviation’s 52-week high is $19.98 and its 52-week low is $5.93; it closed at $6.11 on Sep 28, 2026, −61.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $20.95 on Aug 4, 2025.

Is Joby Aviation stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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