Insider buying last 90 days
$498Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3 | David Moreno President | Purchase | $498K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NASDAQ: FTAI
FTAI Aviation (FTAI) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$167.10−7.96 (−4.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week FTAI Aviation announced the acquisition of 27 Boeing 737-700 aircraft from WestJet, including a sale-leaseback of 17 aircraft with Strategic Capital's second investment vehicle and the acquisition of 10 off-lease aircraft to support its Aerospace Products business. The company also extended its engine maintenance collaboration with GMF across Asia-Pacific under a five-year deal, though shares fell despite that announcement. FTAI was also mentioned alongside Microsoft and Howmet Aerospace on a segment covering "final trades."
FTAI closes at $167.10, down 4.5% on the day and below both its 50-day average of $201.51 and 200-day average of $235.75, with the 50-day sitting below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at -16.2% and its three-month return at -36.6%. The GekkoIndex reads 67.2, placing it in the Accumulation zone, up 8.2 over five sessions. Price sits 35.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $259.19.
FTAI next reports earnings on 26 October 2026, 27 days away, which falls inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last reported quarter saw an EPS miss versus estimate with a -7% reaction, against an average absolute reaction of 10.2%. Over the last 90 days, one open-market insider purchase valued at $498,143 has been recorded. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged a 9% return across 5 years, rising in 5 of them. Analyst coverage from 8 firms is entirely rated buy, with a consensus target of $364.10.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
FTAI Aviation price vs fair value
Close $167.10200-day averageGekko Fair Value $259.19
FTAI Aviation quick facts
- Market cap
- $17.14B
- P/E ratio
- 38.1
- Forward P/E
- 13.5
- EPS, TTM
- $4.59
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.11B
- Profit margin
- 15.9%
- Dividend yield
- 0.97%
- Beta
- 1.56
- Volume
- 1.67M avg 1.43M
- 1-year return
- −1.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±5.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.5%
- 50-day average
- $201.51
- 200-day average
- $235.75
- Next earnings
- Oct 26
- Shares outstanding
- 102.7M
FTAI Aviation swing-trade checklist
FTAI Aviation scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $167.10 is below the 50-day ($201.51) and 200-day ($235.75) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
67.2, Accumulation
Reading 67.2 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
35.5% below
Price is 35.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 27 days
Reports on Oct 26, 2026, 27 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+9.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
FTAI Aviation stock chart and price history
FTAI Aviation closed at $167.10 on Sep 28, 2026, −1.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $149.50 to $323.51.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −16.2%
- 3 months
- −36.6%
- 6 months
- −30.1%
- 1 year
- −1.9%
The full FTAI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FTAI in Gekko
Follow FTAI Aviation through every session
Put FTAI on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track FTAI in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About FTAI Aviation
FTAI Aviation owns and acquires essential equipment used in air travel and offshore energy work, helping keep goods and people moving around the world. The company is widely tied to its work in aircraft engines and leasing, supplying commercial aircraft and engines to airline and industry customers.
Its business is split into two main areas. One handles the leasing, management, and eventual sale of aviation equipment such as commercial planes and their engines to customers who need them. The other covers aircraft engines and aftermarket parts across their full lifecycle, from design and manufacturing through to maintenance and sale, serving customers who operate and service aircraft.
FTAI Aviation was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker FTAI.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Industry
- Aerospace & defense
- Website
- ftaiaviation.com
FTAI Aviation GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
FTAI Aviation’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 8.2 points over five sessions.
67.2Accumulation
Up 8.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 16 | +4.6% | +4.0% |
| Accumulation (current zone) | 169 | +2.9% | +7.1% |
| Neutral | 388 | +0.6% | +4.7% |
| Distribution | 85 | +0.8% | +3.8% |
| Selling | 14 | +5.2% | +9.4% |
Average FTAI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FTAI price, zone by zone.Track FTAI in Gekko
Is FTAI Aviation stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
FTAI Aviation trades 35.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $259.19, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what FTAI Aviation shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$259.19
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
35.5% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FTAI in Gekko
FTAI Aviation insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in FTAI Aviation worth $498K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in FTAI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for FTAI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FTAI in Gekko
Buybacks
FTAI Aviation has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2025
- $124.2M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.72%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds FTAI.
0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
FTAI Aviation earnings: next date and track record
FTAI Aviation reports on Oct 26, 2026 (27 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 26, 2026
27 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.53
- Revenue estimate
- $1.01B
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.2%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- FTAI Aviation reported strong Q2 2026 results across all three business segments. Aerospace Products increased CFM56 module production over 60% year-over-year, expanding total capacity to 3,000 modules annually. Market share grew from 12% to 14%. SCI launched the 2026 SPV targeting $6 billion raise, progressing toward $20 billion AUM goal. FTAI Power signed an anchor hyperscaler customer for its proprietary Mod-1 product ahead of Q4 commercial launch.
- Guidance
- Management targets 25% CFM56 market share and 100 Mod-1 units annually at full capacity. The 2026 SPV targets $6 billion in raises, putting AUM over halfway to the $20 billion goal within two years. FTAI Power commercial launch expected Q4 2026.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $1.13 est $1.32 | $953.1M est $895.3M | −7.0% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $1.46 est $1.60 | $830.7M est $749.8M | +15.6% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $1.24 est $1.25 | $662.0M est $693.1M | +2.0% |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $1.10 est $1.21 | $667.1M est $658.8M | −1.4% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $1.65 est $1.26 | $676.2M est $568.9M | +26.3% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $1.02 est $0.88 | $502.1M est $504.8M | −20.4% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.88 est $0.82 | $498.8M est $494.8M | −2.5% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $0.76 est $0.77 | $465.8M est $422.5M | −6.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
FTAI Aviation stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for FTAI Aviation is $364.10, +117.9% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$364.10consensus 12-month target, +117.9% from the last close
Now $167.10Avg $364.10
Low $290High $375
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | Jefferies | $325 | +94.5% |
| Sep 16 | Barclays | $310 | +85.5% |
| Sep 16 | Jefferies | $325 | +94.5% |
| Sep 15 | Barclays | $310 | +85.5% |
| Sep 11 | Jefferies | $325 | +94.5% |
+7.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+9.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
FTAI Aviation seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, FTAI Aviation averaged +9.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +4.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +4.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +9.0% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +12.3% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, FTAI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.5%.
FTAI Aviation market cap and key statistics
FTAI Aviation’s market cap is $17.14B, with a P/E ratio of 38.1 and revenue of $3.11B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $17.14B
- P/E ratio
- 38.1
- Forward P/E
- 13.5
- EPS, TTM
- $4.59
- Gekko Fair Value
- $259.19
Trading
- Volume
- 1.67M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.43M
- 52-week high
- $323.51
- 52-week low
- $149.50
- Shares outstanding
- 102.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.11B
- Profit margin
- 15.9%
- Return on equity
- 174.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −28.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.56
- Typical daily move
- ±5.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.5%
- Dividend yield
- 0.97%
FTAI Aviation stock news this week
5 headlines about FTAI Aviation from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- FTAI Acquires 27 Boeing 737-700 Aircraft from WestJetGlobeNewsWire, Sep 28
- Microsoft, Howmet Aerospace, FTAI Aviation And An Energy Stock On CNBC's ‘Final Trades'Benzinga, Sep 24
- FTAI Aviation Ltd. $FTAI Shares Acquired by State Street CorpDefense World, Sep 24
- FTAI Aviation Stock Falls Despite 5-Year Asia-Pacific Maintenance DealBenzinga, Sep 23
- GMF and FTAI Strengthen Collaboration in Engine Maintenance Business Across Asia-PacificGlobeNewsWire, Sep 23
FTAI Aviation peers
FTAI Aviation’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GEGE Aerospace | Accumulation | 0.8% below |
| RTXRTX | Accumulation | 12.0% below |
| BABoeing | Buying | 22.4% below |
| LMTLockheed Martin | Accumulation | 19.7% below |
| HWMHowmet Aerospace | Accumulation | 3.2% below |
| GDGeneral Dynamics | Accumulation | 9.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
FTAI Aviation stock FAQ
What is FTAI Aviation’s market cap?
FTAI Aviation’s market cap is $17.14B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $167.10, with 102.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 38.1.
What is the FTAI Aviation stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for FTAI Aviation is $364.10, +117.9% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is FTAI Aviation stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate FTAI Aviation is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $167.10 is 35.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $259.19. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does FTAI Aviation report earnings next?
FTAI Aviation is expected to report on Oct 26, 2026 (27 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.53 per share on revenue of $1.01B. FTAI Aviation beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.2% on average across the report.
What is FTAI Aviation’s 52-week high and low?
FTAI Aviation’s 52-week high is $323.51 and its 52-week low is $149.50; it closed at $167.10 on Sep 28, 2026, −1.9% over the past year.
Is FTAI Aviation stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See FTAI Aviation the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.