NYSE: YSS

York Space Systems (YSS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$6.83−0.28 (−3.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

York Space Systems this week drew a wave of securities class action reminders from multiple law firms, with a lead plaintiff deadline set for October 30, 2026 tied to the company's January 2026 IPO and the period between January 29 and May 11, 2026. Alongside this legal overhang, York was also awarded two Space Force Space Data Network task orders, covering multi-vendor interoperability and Space Exchange Point integration planning.

Shares closed at $6.83, down 3.9% on the day, sitting well below the 50-day moving average of $9.42 and near the 52-week low of $6.67, with one-month, three-month and six-month returns of -13.3%, -67.9% and -79.8% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 68.5, placing YSS in the Accumulation zone, while the stock trades 40.5% below the Gekko Fair Value of $11.48.

Over the next 20 trading days, the main scheduled catalyst is the next earnings report on 2 December 2026, which falls outside this window; the prior report on 13 August 2026 showed an EPS miss against estimate with a -1% reaction, and no quarter in the trailing four has produced a beat. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity is recorded in their respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Analyst coverage spans 13 firms, with 5 at buy and 8 at hold, and a consensus target of $14.85. The pending litigation deadline of October 30, 2026 remains a date worth noting alongside the stock's elevated typical daily and 20-day move of 8.3% and 24.5%.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

York Space Systems price vs fair value

$11.48$6.83Jan ’26Jun ’26Oct ’26
Close $6.83Gekko Fair Value $11.48

York Space Systems quick facts

Market cap
$897.4M
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$2.22
Revenue, TTM
$405.0M
Profit margin
-50.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
—
Volume
2.23M avg 3.51M
1-year return
—
Typical daily move
±8.3%
Typical 20-day move
±24.5%
50-day average
$9.42
200-day average
—
Next earnings
Dec 2
Shares outstanding
137.4M
52-week range
$6.67$44.54

York Space Systems swing-trade checklist

York Space Systems scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 3 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendno data

    No data

    Not enough price history for both moving averages.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.5, Accumulation

    Reading 68.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    40.5% below

    Price is 40.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 51 days

    Next report Dec 2, 2026, 51 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

York Space Systems stock chart and price history

York Space Systems closed at $6.83 on Oct 12, 2026, inside a 52-week range of $6.67 to $44.54.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
York Space Systems share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$20$30$40MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct6.83

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−13.3%
3 months
−67.9%
6 months
−79.8%
The full YSS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open YSS in Gekko

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About York Space Systems

York Space Systems builds spacecraft and the software that runs them, serving national security, government and commercial customers across the United States. Its work spans the space ecosystem from design through operation, giving customers hardware and software meant to support missions over their full lifecycle. The company is particularly associated with its satellite platforms, offered under the S-CLASS, LX-CLASS and M-CLASS lines, which are built to suit different needs within the space market.

Beyond manufacturing spacecraft, York Space Systems designs, produces, integrates and operates them, including managing constellations of satellites once they are in service. Its software is built to let customers integrate varied payloads onto its platforms and to carry shared components across different spacecraft lines, with additional software-enabled services supporting customers' operations. Its customer base includes space and defense primes as well as government and commercial buyers.

The company traces its founding to 2012 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado. It was previously known as Yellowstone Midco Holdings II, LLC before adopting the York Space Systems name in January 2026. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker YSS.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & defense
Website
yorkspacesystems.com

York Space Systems GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

York Space Systems’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.9 points over five sessions.

010068.5Accumulation

Up 2.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying40−3.6%−7.4%−8.1%+19.5%
Accumulation (current zone)79−2.4%−2.5%−3.7%−14.1%
Neutral44−2.9%−4.7%−16.2%−46.5%
Distribution6Too few readings yet
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average YSS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the YSS price, zone by zone.Track YSS in Gekko

Is York Space Systems stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

York Space Systems trades 40.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.48, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what York Space Systems shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$11.48

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

40.5% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 49.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$11$7Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open YSS in Gekko

York Space Systems insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for York Space Systems, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for YSS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every YSS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open YSS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in YSS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for YSS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open YSS in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold YSS.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

York Space Systems earnings: next date and track record

York Space Systems reports on Dec 2, 2026 (51 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 0 of its last 4 reports.

0 of 4reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.6%average move across the report
1 of 3reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+15.8%Mar ’26−14.9%May ’26−1.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 13, 2026 AI summary

What they said
York Space Systems reported a solid Q2 2026: revenue of $92.5M (up 10% YoY), backlog of $592M, an identified pipeline exceeding $11.5B and potential unawarded contracts of $1.85B. Management highlighted 21 launched satellites during the quarter, eight contract wins year-to-date with an 88% win rate, two recent task order wins and an expanded national security customer base. Gross margin improved to 24% (up 13 percentage points YoY) driven by post-launch operations and newer, higher-margin programs; contribution margin rose to 42%. The company completed two acquisitions since the last call (including ALL.SPACE) and noted those will add revenue and backlog (to be reflected in Q3). Management reiterated the strategic benefits of inventory build to shorten delivery times and improve win probability. They discussed the government shift from ad-hoc large RFPs to IDIQs, which delays near-term revenue conversion but creates a pipeline that can accelerate with task orders in 2027 and beyond. During Q&A, management was upbeat about wins and pipeline but acknowledged supply chain constraints and timing shifts that pushed some revenue from 2026 into 2027. Financial commentary emphasized continued mid-20% gross margins for the remainder of 2026 and that the company is monitoring vendor/supply chain risks.
Guidance
Management expects gross margin to remain in the mid-20% range for the balance of 2026. They did not provide explicit 2026 revenue or 2027 financial guidance on this call, but stated some revenue was pushed into 2027 due to IDIQ timing and supply chain constraints. No 2027 margin guidance was provided.
Risks flagged
Supply chain issues causing satellite deliveries and associated revenue to shift into 2027; change in U.S. government procurement to IDIQs that delays near-term revenue recognition (timing risk); dependency on government budgets and the timing of task orders; limited disclosure around specific vendor risks; integration risks from recent acquisitions (e.g., ALL.SPACE).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 13, 2026−$0.31
est −$0.19
−63.2%$92.55M
est $89.42M
+3.5%−1.0%
May 14, 2026−$0.12
est −$0.11
−7.9%$106.3M
est $109.9M
−3.3%−14.9%
Mar 19, 2026−$0.28
est −$0.18
−55.6%$105.3M
est $102.7M
+2.6%+15.8%
Dec 3, 2025−$0.19—$90.80M——
Nov 17, 2025−$0.03
est $0.00
————
Dec 31, 2024−$0.03————

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

York Space Systems stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for York Space Systems is $14.85, +117.4% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$14.85consensus 12-month target, +117.4% from the last close
Low $11High $18
Buy5
Hold8
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 8BarclaysHold, initiated$11+61.1%
Oct 7CitiBuy, maintained$13+90.3%
Sep 14GuggenheimHold, initiated——
Sep 10CitiBuy, maintained$13+90.3%
Aug 31Wells FargoBuy, maintained$17+148.9%
−3.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±8.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

York Space Systems market cap and key statistics

York Space Systems’s market cap is $897.4M and revenue of $405.0M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$897.4M
EPS, TTM
−$2.22
Gekko Fair Value
$11.48

Trading

Volume
2.23M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.51M
52-week high
$44.54
52-week low
$6.67
Shares outstanding
137.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$405.0M
Profit margin
-50.1%
Return on equity
-9.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±8.3%
Typical 20-day move
±24.5%

York Space Systems peers

York Space Systems’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEGE Aerospace+0.3%Accumulation1.9% below
RTXRTX0.0%Accumulation10.9% below
BABoeing−1.0%Accumulation19.2% below
LMTLockheed Martin−0.2%Accumulation21.5% below
GDGeneral Dynamics+0.7%Accumulation8.6% below
HWMHowmet Aerospace−2.0%Accumulation3.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

York Space Systems stock FAQ

What is York Space Systems’s market cap?

York Space Systems’s market cap is $897.4M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $6.83, with 137.4M shares outstanding.

What is the York Space Systems stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for York Space Systems is $14.85, +117.4% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is York Space Systems stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate York Space Systems is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $6.83 is 40.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.48. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does York Space Systems report earnings next?

York Space Systems is expected to report on Dec 2, 2026 (51 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.25 per share on revenue of $89.98M. York Space Systems beat the earnings estimate in 0 of its last 4 reports, moving 10.6% on average across the report.

What is York Space Systems’s 52-week high and low?

York Space Systems’s 52-week high is $44.54 and its 52-week low is $6.67; it closed at $6.83 on Oct 12, 2026.

Is York Space Systems stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 3 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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