NYSE: BWXT

BWX Technologies (BWXT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$134.35−4.12 (−3.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

BWXT hit a new 52-week low of $135.26 this week, extending a stretch of analyst downgrades even as the stock carries a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating with an average price target of $213.75. BNP Paribas Exane lowered its price target from $190 to $165 while keeping a neutral rating, and separately trimmed its earnings estimate by 3-4% ahead of the company's investor day on 29 September. On a more constructive note, Fitch Ratings assigned BWX Technologies an inaugural investment-grade rating of BBB with a Stable Outlook, with the revolving credit facility rated BBB+ and senior notes due 2028 and 2029 rated BBB.

Shares closed at $134.35, down 3% on the day and sitting below both the 50-day ($159.46) and 200-day ($190.54) moving averages, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 72, placing BWXT in the Buying zone, and the price stands 12.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $153.27.

Earnings are next due on 2 November 2026, 34 days out, falling outside a typical 20-trading-day hold. Congress recorded 4 buys and 0 sells in the past 90 days, and options activity shows 1 unusual signal in the last 30 days, with call premium of $455,850 against no put premium. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +7.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

BWX Technologies price vs fair value

$153.27$134.35Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $134.35200-day averageGekko Fair Value $153.27

BWX Technologies quick facts

Market cap
$12.31B
P/E ratio
35.9
Forward P/E
27
EPS, TTM
$3.86
Revenue, TTM
$3.51B
Profit margin
10.1%
Dividend yield
0.75%
Beta
0.74
Volume
1.29M avg 1.10M
1-year return
−23.8%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$159.46
200-day average
$190.54
Next earnings
Nov 2 after close
Shares outstanding
91.62M
52-week range
$133.90$241.82

BWX Technologies swing-trade checklist

BWX Technologies scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $134.35 is below the 50-day ($159.46) and 200-day ($190.54) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    72, Buying

    Reading 72 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    12.3% below

    Price is 12.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 4 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 34 days

    Next report Nov 2, 2026, 34 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

BWX Technologies stock chart and price history

BWX Technologies closed at $134.35 on Sep 28, 2026, −23.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $133.90 to $241.82.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
BWX Technologies share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$125$150$175$200$225NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep134.35

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−13.8%
3 months
−29.0%
6 months
−33.7%
1 year
−23.8%
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About BWX Technologies

BWX Technologies makes and sells nuclear components, working across the United States, Canada and other international markets. It is widely recognized for supplying precision naval and nuclear parts, including reactors, nuclear fuel and assemblies, much of this tied to national defense and propulsion programs, as well as for producing equipment used in commercial nuclear power generation.

The company organizes its work into three groups. One builds naval and defense-related nuclear components, fabricates missile launch tubes for submarines, and handles the processing of uranium-bearing materials, while also supplying fuel elements to research reactors at universities and national laboratories. A second group serves commercial nuclear power plants with steam generators, fuel handling systems, pressure vessels and related equipment, alongside engineering, inspection and maintenance services, and it also supplies medical radioisotopes and radiopharmaceuticals. A third group supports nuclear materials processing, environmental remediation, and broader operating and technology work tied to nuclear reactors.

The company traces its origins to 1867 under the name The Babcock & Wilcox Company and took on its present name, BWX Technologies, in June 2015. It is headquartered in Lynchburg, Virginia, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker BWXT.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & defense
Website
bwxt.com

BWX Technologies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

BWX Technologies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72, in the Buying zone, up 5.4 points over five sessions.

010072Buying

Up 5.4 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)9Too few readings yet
Accumulation242−0.2%−0.3%+0.1%+3.6%
Neutral314+0.6%+1.5%+3.4%+6.5%
Distribution99+2.3%+4.0%+5.1%+10.2%
Selling8Too few readings yet

Average BWXT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BWXT price, zone by zone.Track BWXT in Gekko

Is BWX Technologies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

BWX Technologies trades 12.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $153.27, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what BWX Technologies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$153.27

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

12.3% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BWXT in Gekko

BWX Technologies insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BWX Technologies, and members of Congress disclosed 4 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BWXT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BWXT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BWXT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

4trades disclosed: 4 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
April Delaney
House, MD, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 10
traded Aug 3
April McClain Delaney
House, MD, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 4
traded Jul 30
April McClain Delaney
House, MD, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 4
traded Jul 27
April McClain Delaney
House, MD, purchase
Purchase$15,001 - $50,000Aug 4
traded Jul 24

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

BWX Technologies has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2025
$30.00M
As a share of market cap
0.24%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 23, $456K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds BWXT.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

BWX Technologies earnings: next date and track record

BWX Technologies reports on Nov 2, 2026, after the close (34 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.6%Nov ’24+2.7%Feb ’25−4.0%May ’25+21.7%Aug ’25−6.2%Nov ’25−1.1%Feb ’26−4.7%May ’26+2.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
BWX Technologies reported a strong Q2 2026 with revenue of $902 million (up 18% YoY, 9% organic), adjusted EBITDA growth of 7% and adjusted EPS of $1.07 (up 5%). Management highlighted continued momentum in commercial nuclear and national security markets, a belief in a multi-decade secular growth cycle for nuclear, and strategic strengthening via the announced sale of the medical business (legacy BWXT medical and portions of Kinectrics stable isotope business) for $750M with potential upside to $800M. The company raised full-year free cash flow guidance by $30M to $345M–$360M, reaffirmed ~6% of sales capex for the year (with potential to approach 7% in future years), and signaled continued investment in U.S. commercial capacity. Segment commentary: Government Operations showed modest revenue growth and margin expansion driven by operational performance; Commercial Operations delivered robust growth but guidance for the segment was modestly lowered to reflect investments in U.S. commercial capacity. Management reiterated several potential demand drivers including SMR and large reactor opportunities (AP1000, X300, BWRX-300), naval shipbuilding cadence (Ford-class and potential battleship program), Project Janus (NNSA competition), TRISO fuel demand (early stage and uncertain), and possible expansion of enrichment capabilities. The company emphasized supply chain and labor management are currently stable, and highlighted M&A as a priority for redeploying divestiture proceeds.
Guidance
Raised full-year free cash flow guidance by $30M to $345M–$360M. Full-year capital expenditures expected at approximately 6% of sales with potential to approach 7% in future years as commercial capacity and advanced nuclear/fuel capabilities are expanded. Commercial operations guidance modestly lowered from ~14% to ~13% (context: segment growth and investments). No 2027 guidance provided; management expects to provide further detail later in the year. Other forward-looking items include continued pursuit of new reactor equipment orders (management expects at least one new order by year-end) and Project Janus award timing (expected later this year).
Risks flagged
Uncertainties remain around nascent markets (TRISO fuel demand and timing), outcome and timing of Project Janus (NNSA) and other government awards, the timing and scale of commercial reactor orders (utilities waiting on government SPV deals), potential variability in supply chain and skilled labor availability as demand surges, and commercial viability/cost implications of building fully U.S.-sourced enrichment plants. The medical business sale includes contingent economics to reach up to $800M and will result in a retained minority interest and ongoing services exposure. Standard forward-looking statement and SEC risk disclosures apply.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 3, 2026$1.07
est $1.01
+5.9%$901.6M
est $902.4M
−0.1%+2.2%
May 4, 2026$1.12
est $0.93
+21.0%$860.2M
est $837.5M
+2.7%−4.7%
Feb 23, 2026$1.08
est $0.89
+22.0%$885.8M
est $837.5M
+5.8%−1.1%
Nov 3, 2025$1.00
est $0.85
+17.2%$866.3M
est $793.4M
+9.2%−6.2%
Aug 4, 2025$1.02
est $0.79
+29.1%$764.0M
est $794.0M
−3.8%+21.7%
May 5, 2025$0.91
est $0.77
+19.0%$682.3M
est $645.7M
+5.7%−4.0%
Feb 24, 2025$0.92
est $0.81
+13.1%$746.3M
est $653.2M
+14.3%+2.7%
Nov 4, 2024$0.83
est $0.77
+7.8%$672.0M
est $658.8M
+2.0%−4.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

BWX Technologies stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BWX Technologies is $222.07, +65.3% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$222.07consensus 12-month target, +65.3% from the last close
Low $181High $253
Buy9
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21Northland SecuritiesBuy, maintained$250+86.1%
Sep 14GuggenheimBuy, initiated$192+42.9%
Sep 3JefferiesBuy, initiated$181+34.7%
Aug 27Northland SecuritiesBuy, maintained$250+86.1%
Aug 26BTIGBuy, maintained$235+74.9%
+7.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

BWX Technologies seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, BWX Technologies averaged +7.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.8%2021+9.9%2022−1.3%2023+13.9%2024+12.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.4%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+9.2%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.4%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.0%4 of 5

For scale, BWXT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.

BWX Technologies market cap and key statistics

BWX Technologies’s market cap is $12.31B, with a P/E ratio of 35.9 and revenue of $3.51B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$12.31B
P/E ratio
35.9
Forward P/E
27
EPS, TTM
$3.86
Gekko Fair Value
$153.27

Trading

Volume
1.29M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.10M
52-week high
$241.82
52-week low
$133.90
Shares outstanding
91.62M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.51B
Profit margin
10.1%
Return on equity
28.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+14.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.74
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
Dividend yield
0.75%

BWX Technologies stock news this week

Coverage of BWX Technologies this week reads positive: 8 positive, 3 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

BWX Technologies peers

BWX Technologies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEGE Aerospace−1.0%Accumulation0.8% below
RTXRTX−0.1%Accumulation12.0% below
BABoeing−4.3%Buying22.4% below
LMTLockheed Martin−0.2%Accumulation19.7% below
HWMHowmet Aerospace−1.2%Accumulation3.2% below
GDGeneral Dynamics−0.2%Accumulation9.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

BWX Technologies stock FAQ

What is BWX Technologies’s market cap?

BWX Technologies’s market cap is $12.31B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $134.35, with 91.62M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 35.9.

What is the BWX Technologies stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BWX Technologies is $222.07, +65.3% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is BWX Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate BWX Technologies is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $134.35 is 12.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $153.27. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does BWX Technologies report earnings next?

BWX Technologies is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, after the market closes (34 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.19 per share on revenue of $967.3M. BWX Technologies beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.9% on average across the report.

What is BWX Technologies’s 52-week high and low?

BWX Technologies’s 52-week high is $241.82 and its 52-week low is $133.90; it closed at $134.35 on Sep 28, 2026, −23.8% over the past year.

Is BWX Technologies stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in BWX Technologies?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in BWX Technologies over the last 30 days, with $456K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 23, 2026 with $456K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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