NYSE: ACHR

Archer Aviation (ACHR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$4.69−0.27 (−5.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news centers on Archer's planned acquisition of Wisk Aero, Insitu and SkyGrid from Boeing, a deal management has framed as expanding the company beyond eVTOL air taxis into defense and AI-related aerospace, with closing anticipated by year-end. Analyst activity also featured, with Barclays issuing an Overweight call that coincided with a 5% share move, while coverage repeatedly compared Archer's dual defense-and-air-taxi strategy against Joby Aviation's revenue-generating ridesharing approach. Separate commentary noted Archer's Hawthorne Airport hub plans for a Los Angeles air-taxi network and highlighted continued investor interest from ARK Invest alongside broader sector volatility tied to a trade-secret verdict against Joby.

Shares closed at $4.69, down 5.4% on the day, sitting below both the 50-day average of $5.59 and the 200-day average of $6.11, with the shorter average also under the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 67.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 27.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $6.50. The 52-week range spans $4.30 to $14.62, with the one-year return at -63%.

Over the next 20 trading days, Archer reports earnings on 5 November, inside this holding window, following a prior quarter where results matched estimates and the stock reacted by 21.5%. Seasonality over five years shows a -9.1% average move from this point, with gains in 2 of those years. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Analyst consensus among 7 firms stands at 6 buy and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $11.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Archer Aviation price vs fair value

$6.50$4.69Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $4.69200-day averageGekko Fair Value $6.50

Archer Aviation quick facts

Market cap
$3.56B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$1.09
Revenue, TTM
$6.90M
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
3.27
Volume
25.92M avg 25.78M
1-year return
−63.0%
Typical daily move
±5.6%
Typical 20-day move
±15.9%
50-day average
$5.59
200-day average
$6.11
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
770.0M
52-week range
$4.30$14.62

Archer Aviation swing-trade checklist

Archer Aviation scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $4.69 is below the 50-day ($5.59) and 200-day ($6.11) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.2, Accumulation

    Reading 67.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    27.8% below

    Price is 27.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −9.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −9.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Archer Aviation stock chart and price history

Archer Aviation closed at $4.69 on Oct 12, 2026, −63.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.30 to $14.62.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Archer Aviation share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$4$6$8$10$12NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct4.69

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−15.9%
3 months
−3.3%
6 months
−13.9%
1 year
−63.0%
The full ACHR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ACHR in Gekko

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About Archer Aviation

Archer Aviation designs, builds, and operates electric aircraft that take off and land vertically, aimed at moving passengers through cities by air. The company's work centers on eVTOL technology, a category of flight built around electric propulsion and short, vertical takeoffs rather than the long runways traditional planes need.

The business spans the full lifecycle of these aircraft, from engineering and manufacturing through to running flight operations, positioning it across the chain of getting electric air vehicles into actual use for passenger travel.

Archer Aviation traces back to 2018 and was originally set up under the name Atlas Crest Investment Corp. before adopting its present identity. It operates out of Palo Alto, California, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker ACHR.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & defense
Website
archer.com

Archer Aviation GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Archer Aviation’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.4 points over five sessions.

010067.2Accumulation

Down 3.4 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+3.1%+4.9%+5.2%+12.4%
Accumulation (current zone)301+0.2%+0.1%+3.1%+16.5%
Neutral299+0.5%+1.3%+1.7%+1.7%
Distribution36+4.2%+6.8%+8.6%+7.6%
Selling10−3.2%−0.7%+7.2%−0.8%

Average ACHR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ACHR price, zone by zone.Track ACHR in Gekko

Is Archer Aviation stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Archer Aviation trades 27.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $6.50, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Archer Aviation shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$6.50

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

27.8% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 1.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$7$5Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ACHR in Gekko

Archer Aviation insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Archer Aviation, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ACHR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ACHR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ACHR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ACHR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ACHR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ACHR in Gekko

Buybacks

Archer Aviation has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2023
$2.30M
As a share of market cap
0.06%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ACHR.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Archer Aviation earnings: next date and track record

Archer Aviation reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+21.2%Nov ’24+8.2%Feb ’25+26.7%May ’25+5.5%Aug ’25−14.5%Nov ’25−5.6%Mar ’26−1.4%May ’26+21.5%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Archer announced a strategic transaction with Boeing to acquire Wisk Aero, Insitu and SkyGrid in exchange for Boeing taking a strategic equity stake, anticipating close by year-end. Management positioned the deal as a major inflection point that diversifies Archer from an eVTOL-only company into a broader aerospace, defense and AI platform spanning air taxis (Midnight), unmanned aircraft systems (Halo/Thunder and Insitu product lines) and aviation-focused AI (ZEE/SkyGrid). Insitu is described as a profitable business generating >$200M in revenue annually and expected to provide near-term revenue and cash flow. Archer reiterated that Midnight (its piloted-to-autonomy air taxi) remains core and on the certification path, with substantial piloted testing completed and expectations to progress to full transition later this year and eIPP operations in Los Angeles later this year. The Halo/Thunder dual-tilt hybrid platform (developed with Anduril) is targeted for first flight next year, customer deliveries in 2029 and scaling in 2030. Management emphasized synergies across platforms, IP-sharing with Boeing on autonomy/flight controls, the ability for defense programs to provide nearer-term revenue, and commercial software (ZEE) early deployments and monetization opportunities.
Guidance
Qualitative/timeline guidance: anticipate closing the Boeing transaction by year-end; Halo/Thunder targeted to be in the air next year, customer deliveries in 2029 and scaling in 2030; initial eIPP operations later this year; ZEE early deployments and software revenue opportunities (management indicated potential for software revenue/profitability in the near term). No explicit quantitative revenue or EPS guidance provided on the call.
Risks flagged
Transaction and integration risks (exploratory integration period and realization of synergies); regulatory and certification risk (FAA certification process described as rigorous); timing risks around first flight, deliveries and scaling; dependence on defense contract wins and macro demand for ISR; execution risk in scaling Insitu manufacturing and commercializing ZEE/SkyGrid; potential uncertainty around Boeing partnership specifics and future collaboration scope.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 10, 2026−$0.34
est −$0.34
0.0%$5.00M
est $1.94M
+157.6%+21.5%
May 11, 2026−$0.28
est −$0.24
−18.3%$1.60M
est $1.66M
−3.8%−1.4%
Mar 2, 2026−$0.26
est −$0.17
−54.7%$300K
est $1.40M
−78.6%−5.6%
Nov 6, 2025−$0.12
est −$0.30
+60.3%—
est $400K
—−14.5%
Aug 11, 2025−$0.27
est −$0.19
−42.1%—
est $2.61M
—+5.5%
May 12, 2025−$0.13
est −$0.28
+52.9%—
est $1.83M
—+26.7%
Feb 27, 2025−$0.47
est −$0.40
−17.5%$9.40M
est $100K
+9,300.0%+8.2%
Nov 7, 2024−$0.24
est −$0.24
0.0%—
est $200K
—+21.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Archer Aviation stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Archer Aviation is $11.00, +134.5% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$11.00consensus 12-month target, +134.5% from the last close
Low $8High $18
Buy6
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 8BarclaysBuy, upgraded$8+70.6%
Aug 17Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, reiterated$11+134.5%
Aug 16Goldman SachsHold, maintained$8+70.6%
Aug 12Canaccord GenuityBuy, reiterated$12+155.9%
Aug 11Raymond JamesBuy, reiterated——
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−9.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Archer Aviation seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Archer Aviation averaged −9.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−23.2%2021+1.5%2022−0.6%2023+19.0%2024−31.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.4%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−5.3%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.7%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−9.1%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.2%2 of 5

For scale, ACHR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 15.9%.

Archer Aviation market cap and key statistics

Archer Aviation’s market cap is $3.56B and revenue of $6.90M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.56B
EPS, TTM
−$1.09
Gekko Fair Value
$6.50

Trading

Volume
25.92M
Avg volume, 20 days
25.78M
52-week high
$14.62
52-week low
$4.30
Shares outstanding
770.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.90M
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
-44.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
3.27
Typical daily move
±5.6%
Typical 20-day move
±15.9%

Archer Aviation peers

Archer Aviation’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEGE Aerospace+0.3%Accumulation1.9% below
RTXRTX0.0%Accumulation10.9% below
BABoeing−1.0%Accumulation19.2% below
LMTLockheed Martin−0.2%Accumulation21.5% below
GDGeneral Dynamics+0.7%Accumulation8.6% below
HWMHowmet Aerospace−2.0%Accumulation3.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Archer Aviation stock FAQ

What is Archer Aviation’s market cap?

Archer Aviation’s market cap is $3.56B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $4.69, with 770.0M shares outstanding.

What is the Archer Aviation stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Archer Aviation is $11.00, +134.5% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Archer Aviation stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Archer Aviation is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $4.69 is 27.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $6.50. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Archer Aviation report earnings next?

Archer Aviation is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.34 per share on revenue of $3.57M. Archer Aviation beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.1% on average across the report.

What is Archer Aviation’s 52-week high and low?

Archer Aviation’s 52-week high is $14.62 and its 52-week low is $4.30; it closed at $4.69 on Oct 12, 2026, −63.0% over the past year.

Is Archer Aviation stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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