NYSE: DCO

Ducommun (DCO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$168.73−1.83 (−1.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week, Ducommun draws fresh analyst attention following its recent earnings beat, with EPS of $1.18 against an estimate of $0.98 and revenue of $224.49 million, up 11% year over year. Guggenheim initiated coverage with a "buy" rating and a $246 price target, while sell-side brokerages collectively assign a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating with an average 12-month target of $192.60. Separately, shares crossed above their 200-day moving average, closing at $173.15 after touching a high of $176.39, well above the $161.22 long-term average at that time.

Ducommun now trades at $168.73, down 1.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $179.01 and 200-day average of $148.95. The stock's one-year return stands at 74.1%, though the past month shows a decline of 2.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 61, placing it in the Accumulation zone, and price sits 3.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $163.17.

Over the next 20 trading days, the main event is the earnings report due 5 November, 24 days away, which falls inside a typical 20-day holding window. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 6.8% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus from 6 firms shows 5 buy ratings, 1 hold rating and a consensus target of $212, implying 25.6% upside.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Ducommun price vs fair value

$168.73$163.17Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $168.73200-day averageGekko Fair Value $163.17

Ducommun quick facts

Market cap
$2.55B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
31.6
EPS, TTM
−$1.85
Revenue, TTM
$865.1M
Profit margin
-2.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.04
Volume
118,085 avg 212,785
1-year return
+74.1%
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%
50-day average
$179.01
200-day average
$148.95
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
15.10M
52-week range
$84.76$210.39

Ducommun swing-trade checklist

Ducommun scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $168.73 sits between the 50-day ($179.01) and 200-day ($148.95) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61, Accumulation

    Reading 61 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.4% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.4% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ducommun stock chart and price history

Ducommun closed at $168.73 on Oct 12, 2026, +74.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $84.76 to $210.39.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ducommun share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$75$100$125$150$200NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct168.73

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.3%
3 months
0.0%
6 months
+19.6%
1 year
+74.1%
The full DCO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DCO in Gekko

Follow Ducommun through every session

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About Ducommun

Ducommun works as an engineering and manufacturing partner for industries that demand highly precise hardware, chiefly aerospace and defense along with industrial and medical customers in the United States. It has built its name on turning difficult design challenges into finished components and systems used in aircraft, spacecraft, and other technically demanding equipment.

Its activities fall under two business segments. Electronic Systems makes wiring and cable assemblies, interconnect hardware, printed circuit board assemblies, and more elaborate electronic and electromechanical sub-assemblies, plus items like lightning protection systems, radar enclosures, aircraft electronics racks, shipboard control housings, switches, control panels, and motion-control motors, while also lending engineering help in designing, integrating, and testing aerospace systems. Structural Systems shapes and assembles metal parts from aluminum, titanium, and Inconel into finished aerospace structures, including winglets, engine parts, and fuselage panels, and produces bonded metal and composite assemblies such as wing spoilers, large fuselage sections, helicopter rotor blades, flight control surfaces, and ammunition handling equipment. These products reach commercial and military aircraft of both fixed-wing and rotary-wing types, space programs, and industrial and medical users.

Ducommun dates back to 1849 and keeps its headquarters in Santa Ana, California. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker DCO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & defense
Website
ducommun.com

Ducommun GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ducommun’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61, in the Accumulation zone, up 3 points over five sessions.

010061Accumulation

Up 3 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying16+2.4%+2.2%+3.3%+17.4%
Accumulation (current zone)136+1.2%+2.4%+5.1%+16.7%
Neutral457+1.0%+1.9%+3.6%+10.0%
Distribution70+0.4%+2.1%+6.1%+12.2%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average DCO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DCO price, zone by zone.Track DCO in Gekko

Is Ducommun stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ducommun trades 3.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $163.17, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ducommun shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$163.17

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

3.4% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 22.1% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$163$171Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DCO in Gekko

Ducommun insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ducommun, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DCO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DCO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DCO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DCO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DCO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DCO in Gekko

Buybacks

Ducommun has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 4, 2026
$13.20M
As a share of market cap
0.52%

From company filings.

Ducommun earnings: next date and track record

Ducommun reports on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away).

Ducommun stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ducommun is $212.00, +25.6% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$212.00consensus 12-month target, +25.6% from the last close
Low $200High $246
Buy5
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 9GuggenheimBuy, initiated$246+45.8%
Oct 7CitiBuy, maintained$228+35.1%
Sep 21Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$209+23.9%
Sep 17Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$201+19.1%
Sep 17RBC CapitalHold, maintained$200+18.5%
+5.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ducommun seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Ducommun averaged +6.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.4%2021+22.8%2022+4.3%2023+7.6%2024−1.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.5%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.6%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.4%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.1%3 of 5

For scale, DCO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.9%.

Ducommun market cap and key statistics

Ducommun’s market cap is $2.55B and revenue of $865.1M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.55B
Forward P/E
31.6
EPS, TTM
−$1.85
Gekko Fair Value
$163.17

Trading

Volume
118,085
Avg volume, 20 days
212,785
52-week high
$210.39
52-week low
$84.76
Shares outstanding
15.10M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$865.1M
Profit margin
-2.4%
Return on equity
-3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+56.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.04
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%

Ducommun stock news this week

Coverage of Ducommun this week reads positive: 3 positive, 0 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Ducommun peers

Ducommun’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEGE Aerospace+0.3%Accumulation1.9% below
RTXRTX0.0%Accumulation10.9% below
BABoeing−1.0%Accumulation19.2% below
LMTLockheed Martin−0.2%Accumulation21.5% below
GDGeneral Dynamics+0.7%Accumulation8.6% below
HWMHowmet Aerospace−2.0%Accumulation3.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Ducommun stock FAQ

What is Ducommun’s market cap?

Ducommun’s market cap is $2.55B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $168.73, with 15.10M shares outstanding.

What is the Ducommun stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ducommun is $212.00, +25.6% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ducommun stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ducommun is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $168.73 is 3.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $163.17. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ducommun report earnings next?

Ducommun is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.15 per share on revenue of $221.9M.

What is Ducommun’s 52-week high and low?

Ducommun’s 52-week high is $210.39 and its 52-week low is $84.76; it closed at $168.73 on Oct 12, 2026, +74.1% over the past year.

Is Ducommun stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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