NASDAQ: RKLB

Rocket Lab (RKLB) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$52.37−2.06 (−3.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Rocket Lab heads into its Q3 report, due on 9 November, with coverage split between its growth story and its valuation. Several pieces highlight record backlog and surging revenue alongside a stock that sits near its 52-week low, with one noting a 27.3% decline and pointing to margin pressure and premium valuation as open questions. Shares also moved on sector-wide pressure tied to the 10-year Treasury easing to 4.9%, which weighed on Rocket Lab alongside peers Oklo and Archer Aviation, while separate coverage noted Rocket Lab climbing 5% alongside gains for Intuitive Machines and SpaceX on NASA-related news. A Form 13F filing showed D.A. Davidson and CO. increasing its stake during the third quarter.

The stock closed at $52.37, down 3.8%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $63.25 and 200-day average of $79.25, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The one-month return stands at -30.2% and the three-month return at -30.8%. The GekkoIndex reads 66.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 5 points recently. The gap to Gekko Fair Value of $78.01 stands at -32.9%.

Earnings arrive after the close on 9 November, four days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report showed an EPS beat with a -3.4% reaction. Over the last 30 days, 3 unusual options signals appeared, with call premium of $4.6 million against put premium of $378,264. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +9.1% over 5 years, rising in just 1 of them.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Rocket Lab price vs fair value

$78.01$52.37Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $52.37200-day averageGekko Fair Value $78.01

Rocket Lab quick facts

Market cap
$31.34B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
909.1
EPS, TTM
−$0.26
Revenue, TTM
$769.1M
Profit margin
-21.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
3.18
Volume
18.64M avg 18.37M
1-year return
−14.6%
Typical daily move
±7.2%
Typical 20-day move
±15.2%
50-day average
$63.25
200-day average
$79.25
Next earnings
Nov 9 after close
Shares outstanding
598.5M
52-week range
$37.57$151.00

Rocket Lab swing-trade checklist

Rocket Lab scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $52.37 is below the 50-day ($63.25) and 200-day ($79.25) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.1, Accumulation

    Reading 66.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    32.9% below

    Price is 32.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 4 days

    Reports on Nov 9, 2026, 4 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +9.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9.1% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Rocket Lab stock chart and price history

Rocket Lab closed at $52.37 on Nov 4, 2026, −14.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $37.57 to $151.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Rocket Lab share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$75$100$125$150DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct52.37

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−30.2%
3 months
−30.8%
6 months
−38.1%
1 year
−14.6%
The full RKLB chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RKLB in Gekko

Follow Rocket Lab through every session

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About Rocket Lab

Rocket Lab designs and builds vehicles and hardware for reaching and operating in space, serving customers in the space and defense fields. It is recognized for the Electron small launch vehicle and the Photon satellite platform, both of which it designs, manufactures and sells, and it is also developing the larger Neutron launch vehicle, built to carry payloads of up to eight tons.

Its work extends beyond building rockets and satellites. The company runs launches remotely, engineers and assembles spacecraft components and subsystems for its own Photon line as well as for other commercial spacecraft, and offers on-orbit services such as managing entire satellite constellations. Its customers include commercial businesses, large aerospace contractors, and government agencies.

Rocket Lab is based in Long Beach, California, and traces its founding to 2006. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker RKLB.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & defense
Website
rocketlabcorp.com

Rocket Lab GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Rocket Lab’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 5 points over five sessions.

010066.1Accumulation

Up 5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying32+3.1%+4.3%+18.6%+21.9%
Accumulation (current zone)191−0.7%+0.4%+2.7%+25.2%
Neutral400+3.4%+6.6%+14.5%+36.9%
Distribution71+5.8%+10.1%+14.4%+36.0%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average RKLB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RKLB price, zone by zone.Track RKLB in Gekko

Is Rocket Lab stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Rocket Lab trades 32.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.01, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Rocket Lab shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$78.01

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

32.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 36.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$78$54Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RKLB in Gekko

Rocket Lab insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Rocket Lab, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RKLB in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RKLB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RKLB in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RKLB were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RKLB, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RKLB in Gekko

Buybacks

Rocket Lab has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2021
$30.36M
As a share of market cap
0.10%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

3signals, 92% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 30, $901K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds RKLB.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Rocket Lab earnings: next date and track record

Rocket Lab reports on Nov 9, 2026, after the close (4 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+27.4%Nov ’24−3.6%Feb ’25−8.0%May ’25+1.3%Aug ’25−0.8%Nov ’25−1.6%Feb ’26+24.6%May ’26−3.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Rocket Lab reported record Q2 2026 revenue of $234 million, up 62% year-over-year and $34 million above the prior quarter record. The company signed over $1 billion in new contracts including a record $266 million Space Force contract for 18 suborbital missions. Backlog reached $2.36 billion. Strategic acquisitions of Mynaric and Motiv closed, and Rocket Lab announced plans to acquire Iridium Communications to enter the space applications market.
Guidance
The Iridium acquisition, once closed, will add a 66-satellite constellation with 2.5 million subscribers and approximately $870 million in annual revenue. Management targets expansion into IoT, direct-to-device, PNT defense, and aviation markets.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 10, 2026−$0.06
est −$0.07
+14.3%$234.1M
est $231.6M
+1.1%−3.4%
May 7, 2026−$0.02
est −$0.07
+70.2%$200.3M
est $189.6M
+5.6%+24.6%
Feb 26, 2026−$0.09
est −$0.10
+8.9%$179.7M
est $176.8M
+1.6%−1.6%
Nov 10, 2025$0.01
est −$0.10
+110.1%$155.0M
est $151.8M
+2.1%−0.8%
Aug 7, 2025−$0.10
est −$0.10
−5.0%$144.5M
est $135.4M
+6.7%+1.3%
May 8, 2025−$0.12
est −$0.11
−12.6%$122.6M
est $121.4M
+1.0%−8.0%
Feb 27, 2025−$0.10
est −$0.09
−11.1%$132.4M
est $130.6M
+1.4%−3.6%
Nov 12, 2024−$0.10
est −$0.09
−6.7%$104.8M
est $102.3M
+2.5%+27.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Rocket Lab stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Rocket Lab is $102.15, +95.1% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$102.15consensus 12-month target, +95.1% from the last close
Low $67High $132
Buy15
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 4Citizens JMPBuy, reiterated$90+71.9%
Nov 4Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, reiterated$122+133.0%
Oct 19Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, reiterated——
Oct 19Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$105+100.5%
Oct 16NeedhamBuy, maintained$120+129.1%
+2.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+9.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±7.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Rocket Lab seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Rocket Lab averaged +9.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−17.4%2021−19.9%2022+2.3%2023+104.5%2024−20.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.2%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.1%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days+11.5%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days+9.1%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days+16.0%1 of 5

For scale, RKLB’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 15.2%.

Rocket Lab market cap and key statistics

Rocket Lab’s market cap is $31.34B and revenue of $769.1M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$31.34B
Forward P/E
909.1
EPS, TTM
−$0.26
Gekko Fair Value
$78.01

Trading

Volume
18.64M
Avg volume, 20 days
18.37M
52-week high
$151.00
52-week low
$37.57
Shares outstanding
598.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$769.1M
Profit margin
-21.5%
Return on equity
-7.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
3.18
Typical daily move
±7.2%
Typical 20-day move
±15.2%

Rocket Lab peers

Rocket Lab’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GEGE Aerospace+0.9%Neutral9.8% above
RTXRTX+0.4%Neutral7.7% below
BABoeing0.0%Accumulation16.1% below
LMTLockheed Martin−3.2%Neutral12.7% below
GDGeneral Dynamics−1.4%Neutral3.3% below
HWMHowmet Aerospace−3.5%Neutral2.4% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Aerospace & defense

Rocket Lab stock FAQ

What is Rocket Lab’s market cap?

Rocket Lab’s market cap is $31.34B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $52.37, with 598.5M shares outstanding.

What is the Rocket Lab stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Rocket Lab is $102.15, +95.1% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Rocket Lab stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Rocket Lab is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $52.37 is 32.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.01. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Rocket Lab report earnings next?

Rocket Lab is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026, after the market closes (4 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.07 per share on revenue of $257.2M. Rocket Lab beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.8% on average across the report.

What is Rocket Lab’s 52-week high and low?

Rocket Lab’s 52-week high is $151.00 and its 52-week low is $37.57; it closed at $52.37 on Nov 4, 2026, −14.6% over the past year.

Is Rocket Lab stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and smart money), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Rocket Lab?

Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in Rocket Lab over the last 30 days, with $4.57M of flagged premium in calls and $378K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 30, 2026 with $901K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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