Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for KTOS in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every KTOS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KTOS in Gekko
NASDAQ: KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$44.07−1.55 (−3.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryKratos moved this week on a mix of company news and analyst commentary. The company raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $1.75–$1.81 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $173–$176 million, citing strong Q2 organic growth and backlog, and separately announced the promotion of Bill Wilson to President of its C5ISR Systems Division. Coverage also noted a "Moderate Buy" consensus from 23 Wall Street brokerages with an average price target of $98.06, alongside a report of CFO Deanna Lund selling 7,000 shares for $341,460.00, and commentary comparing Kratos to peer drone maker Draganfly.
The stock closed at $44.07, down 3.4%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $51.56 and 200-day average of $69.62, with the shorter average below the longer one. Over the past month shares are down 17.9%, and the 52-week range spans $43.09 to $134.00. The GekkoIndex reads 68.9, placing KTOS in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 36.6% below the Gekko Fair Value of $69.50.
Kratos next reports earnings on 3 November 2026, 35 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. Its last report beat estimates, with EPS of $0.15 against a $0.06 estimate and a 12.5% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.2% gain over five years, rising in 3 of those years, a pattern worth noting given the stock's recent decline.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions price vs fair value
Close $44.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $69.50
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions quick facts
- Market cap
- $8.26B
- P/E ratio
- 276.6
- Forward P/E
- 45.3
- EPS, TTM
- $0.17
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.52B
- Profit margin
- 2%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.11
- Volume
- 4.54M avg 3.84M
- 1-year return
- −47.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.2%
- 50-day average
- $51.56
- 200-day average
- $69.62
- Next earnings
- Nov 3 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 187.7M
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions swing-trade checklist
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $44.07 is below the 50-day ($51.56) and 200-day ($69.62) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
68.9, Accumulation
Reading 68.9 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
36.6% below
Price is 36.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 35 days
Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions stock chart and price history
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions closed at $44.07 on Sep 28, 2026, −47.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $43.09 to $134.00.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −17.9%
- 3 months
- −6.1%
- 6 months
- −38.7%
- 1 year
- −47.7%
The full KTOS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open KTOS in Gekko
Follow Kratos Defense & Security Solutions through every session
Put KTOS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track KTOS in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions works mainly as a contractor to the United States Department of Defense, supplying equipment and services for military and security applications. It is perhaps best recognized for its work on unmanned aerial, ground, and maritime platforms, alongside a broad range of defense-related technologies.
The company runs its business through two segments. One, Kratos Government Solutions, covers microwave electronics, space and satellite communications, training and cybersecurity work, C5ISR and modular systems, turbine technology, and defense and rocket support services. The other, Unmanned Systems, focuses on building autonomous vehicles for air, ground, and sea use. Its customers span national security bodies, the Department of Defense, intelligence and classified agencies, foreign government entities, and commercial businesses both in the United States and abroad.
Kratos was founded in 1994 and operates out of San Diego, California. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker KTOS.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Industry
- Aerospace & defense
- Website
- kratosdefense.com
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.7 points over five sessions.
68.9Accumulation
Up 4.7 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 23 | +1.9% | +13.0% |
| Accumulation (current zone) | 205 | +0.7% | +2.1% |
| Neutral | 364 | +1.1% | +6.8% |
| Distribution | 70 | +1.5% | −0.5% |
| Selling | 10 | +1.4% | −13.3% |
Average KTOS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KTOS price, zone by zone.Track KTOS in Gekko
Is Kratos Defense & Security Solutions stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions trades 36.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $69.50, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Kratos Defense & Security Solutions shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$69.50
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
36.6% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KTOS in Gekko
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in KTOS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for KTOS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KTOS in Gekko
Buybacks
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 28, 2025
- $800K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.01%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold KTOS.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions earnings: next date and track record
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions reports on Nov 3, 2026, after the close (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
Expected after the close, 35 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.21
- Revenue estimate
- $470.0M
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Kratos reported a strong Q2 2026 with revenue of $458.8M (above guidance) and adjusted EBITDA of $38.2M (above guidance). Organic revenue growth for Q2 was 19.1% (KGS +22%, Unmanned Systems +8.1%). Management raised its full-year 2026 organic revenue growth outlook to approximately 19%–23% and reiterated an expected ~100 bps improvement in adjusted EBITDA margin versus 2025. Bookings and backlog metrics were highlighted (last 12-month bookings $1.99B; book-to-bill 1.3:1; bid/proposal pipeline $15B). Management emphasized scaling and margin leverage in H2 2026 and into 2027 driven by hypersonics, engine production (turbojets and turbofans), Valkyrie production ramp, new awards (Kraken 1/2, Nemesis, directed energy C-UAS ~ $160M initial), and multiple classified/partner programs. Management also noted investments in facilities (hypersonic integration facility, turbojet/turbofan facilities, Anaconda radar facility, Helios arc-jet/laser) timed to contracted work. Cash used in operations was $11M in Q2 due to working capital growth tied to revenue expansion. Management flagged a currency headwind from a stronger Israeli shekel (estimated $5M–$7M for the year) and emphasized supply-chain and program confidentiality constraints tied to several classified awards.
- Guidance
- Q3 2026 organic revenue growth: approximately 19%–25% sequentially vs Q2. Q4 2026 organic revenue growth: approximately 19%–31% year-over-year. Full year 2026 organic revenue growth increased to approximately 19%–23%. Management expects adjusted EBITDA margins to improve ~100 basis points versus 2025 (full-year target) and for EBITDA margins to continue increasing in H2 2026 and into 2027. Hypersonics: incremental hypersonics revenue expected to increase approximately $20M–$25M in Q3 vs Q2, with another ramp in Q4 (potentially up to ~$30M incremental vs Q2). Engine production (turbojets): orders/components in place to support a minimum of 3,000 engines in 2027 and plans to order components for ~5,000 engines for 2028. Valkyrie production: targeted ~1.5 planes/month in 2027 (≈18/year) and potential higher run rates (35–40/year) depending on configuration/mix. Valkyrie EBITDA margin guidance: domestic 10%–15%; international 15%–20%.
- Risks flagged
- Currency exposure (strength of Israeli shekel; estimated $5M–$7M FY impact). Dependence on U.S. government funding/timing (possible Q4 Continuing Resolution/CRA and appropriations timing could create uncertainty). Execution and supply-chain risks tied to rapid production scale-ups (engines, Valkyrie, hypersonic motors) despite management reporting strong supplier performance. Program confidentiality and NDA/classified work limit disclosure and may cause lumpy, hard-to-model revenue recognition. Competition and industrial-base risks (need for second sources; competing private companies).
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $0.15 est $0.06 | $458.8M est $410.4M | +12.5% |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.16 est $0.13 | $371.0M est $345.0M | −3.9% |
| Feb 23, 2026 | $0.18 est $0.16 | $345.1M est $327.2M | −5.6% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.14 est $0.13 | $347.6M est $322.0M | −15.0% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.11 est $0.10 | $351.5M est $306.5M | +8.4% |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.12 est $0.09 | $302.6M est $292.3M | −5.5% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.13 est $0.09 | $283.1M est $288.3M | +4.6% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.11 est $0.08 | $275.9M est $290.4M | +7.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is $102.76, +133.2% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$102.76consensus 12-month target, +133.2% from the last close
Now $44.07Avg $102.76
Low $60High $145
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 | Guggenheim | $74 | +67.9% |
| Sep 2 | Noble Financial | $145 | +229.0% |
| Aug 18 | Clear Street | $86 | +95.1% |
| Aug 18 | KeyBanc | $130 | +195.0% |
| Aug 14 | BTIG | $104 | +136.0% |
+2.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions averaged +4.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +4.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.3% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, KTOS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.2%.
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions market cap and key statistics
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions’s market cap is $8.26B, with a P/E ratio of 276.6 and revenue of $1.52B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $8.26B
- P/E ratio
- 276.6
- Forward P/E
- 45.3
- EPS, TTM
- $0.17
- Gekko Fair Value
- $69.50
Trading
- Volume
- 4.54M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 3.84M
- 52-week high
- $134.00
- 52-week low
- $43.09
- Shares outstanding
- 187.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.52B
- Profit margin
- 2%
- Return on equity
- 1.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +7.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.11
- Typical daily move
- ±5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.2%
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions stock news this week
Coverage of Kratos Defense & Security Solutions this week reads positive: 10 positive, 6 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Kratos Announces Promotion of Bill Wilson to C5ISR Systems Division PresidentGlobeNewsWire, Sep 28
- Kratos Defense raises 2026 revenue guidance amid strong Q2 growth despite 49% share price dropPluang, Sep 26
- Kratos Defense & Security Solutions: Buy Even At A Double PremiumSeeking Alpha, Sep 26
- Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (NASDAQ:KTOS) Stock Price Down 3% - Should You Sell?MarketBeat, Sep 26
- Insider Selling: Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (NASDAQ:KTOS) CFO Sells $341,460.00 in StockDefense World, Sep 26
- Kratos Defense vs. Draganfly: Which Drone Stock Has More Potential?Yahoo Finance, Sep 25
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions peers
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GEGE Aerospace | Accumulation | 0.8% below |
| RTXRTX | Accumulation | 12.0% below |
| BABoeing | Buying | 22.4% below |
| LMTLockheed Martin | Accumulation | 19.7% below |
| HWMHowmet Aerospace | Accumulation | 3.2% below |
| GDGeneral Dynamics | Accumulation | 9.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions stock FAQ
What is Kratos Defense & Security Solutions’s market cap?
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions’s market cap is $8.26B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $44.07, with 187.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 276.6.
What is the Kratos Defense & Security Solutions stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is $102.76, +133.2% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Kratos Defense & Security Solutions stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $44.07 is 36.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $69.50. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Kratos Defense & Security Solutions report earnings next?
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.21 per share on revenue of $470.0M. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.8% on average across the report.
What is Kratos Defense & Security Solutions’s 52-week high and low?
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions’s 52-week high is $134.00 and its 52-week low is $43.09; it closed at $44.07 on Sep 28, 2026, −47.7% over the past year.
Is Kratos Defense & Security Solutions stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See Kratos Defense & Security Solutions the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.