NYSE: OXY

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Occidental Petroleum Corporation. Energy minerals sector, integrated oil industry. Market cap $58.52B.

$58.84−0.45 (−0.8%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Occidental Petroleum closes at $58.84, down 0.8%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $58.05 and its 200-day average of $53.26, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 63.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 22.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $76.13, a gap that bears watching.

The week's news centers on two threads: sector-wide pressure from falling crude, which pulled OXY down alongside peers EOG and ConocoPhillips, and continued institutional accumulation, with Corient Private Wealth LP raising its stake by 30% to 214,439 shares valued at approximately $10.42 million, and NewEdge Advisors LLC lifting its position by 39.2% to 78,828 shares worth $3.83 million. Separately, UBS maintained a Neutral rating while raising its price target from $59.00 to $67.00, and other outlets flagged valuation questions relative to differing fair-value estimates.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 9 November, 50 days out and beyond a typical short-term hold. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days shows one open-market insider purchase valued at $249,853, alongside one unusual options signal in the last 30 days, with call premium of $1,171,495 and no put premium recorded. Seasonality over five years shows the next 20 trading days from this point averaging a 4.2% gain, though positive in only 2 of those years. Analyst coverage spans 18 firms, with 7 at buy and 11 at hold, and a consensus target of $68.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $58.84200-day averageGekko Fair Value $76.13

Key stats

Market cap
$58.52B
P/E ratio
17.5
Forward P/E
15.3
EPS, TTM
$3.39
Revenue, TTM
$23.93B
Profit margin
30.3%
Dividend yield
1.68%
Beta
0.16
Volume
14.04M avg 7.75M
1-year return
+24.7%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
50-day average
$58.05
200-day average
$53.26
Next earnings
Nov 9
Shares outstanding
999.6M
52-week range
$38.80$67.45

Occidental Petroleum swing-trade checklist

Occidental Petroleum scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $58.84 is above the 50-day ($58.05) and 200-day ($53.26) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.3, Accumulation

    Reading 63.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    22.7% below

    Price is 22.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 50 days

    Next report Nov 9, 2026, 50 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +4.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Occidental Petroleum stock chart and price history

Occidental Petroleum closed at $58.84 on Sep 18, 2026, +24.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $38.80 to $67.45.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.1%
3 months
+13.5%
6 months
−1.2%
1 year
+24.7%
The full OXY chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open OXY in Gekko

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About Occidental Petroleum

Occidental Petroleum is engaged in finding, developing, and pulling oil and gas out of the ground, working across sites both domestically and in other countries. The company draws out crude oil, condensate, natural gas liquids, and natural gas, and this upstream work forms the core of what it is recognized for.

Its business is split into two areas. One side handles the search for reserves and the actual production work, along with managing pipeline capacity, storage space, and ownership positions in other ventures. The other side takes those raw materials further along the chain, buying, selling, collecting, refining, moving, and holding oil, condensate, natural gas liquids, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and electric power.

The company dates back to the year 1920 and runs its operations from a base in Houston, Texas. Investors can find its stock on the NYSE, trading under the symbol OXY.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Energy minerals
Industry
Integrated oil
Website
oxy.com

Occidental Petroleum GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Occidental Petroleum’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 11.7 points over five sessions.

010063.3Accumulation

Up 11.7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying39+2.4%+4.2%+6.9%+6.7%
Accumulation (current zone)242+0.2%+0.5%−0.7%−1.7%
Neutral321−0.2%−0.6%−0.2%+1.2%
Distribution55+0.5%+2.0%+5.1%+1.0%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average OXY share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the OXY price, zone by zone.Track OXY in Gekko

Is Occidental Petroleum stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Occidental Petroleum trades 22.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $76.13, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Occidental Petroleum shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$76.13

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

22.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open OXY in Gekko

Occidental Petroleum insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Occidental Petroleum worth $250K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$250Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Jun 24Richard A. Jackson
President and CEO
Purchase4,770$250K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in OXY were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for OXY, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OXY in Gekko

Buybacks

Occidental Petroleum has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$61.00M
As a share of market cap
0.10%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Aug 28, $1.17M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds OXY.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Occidental Petroleum earnings: next date and track record

Occidental Petroleum reports on Nov 9, 2026 (50 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.7%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.6%Nov ’24+6.1%Feb ’25+5.5%May ’25+1.2%Aug ’25+1.3%Nov ’25+12.2%Feb ’26−8.7%May ’26+1.7%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
OXY reported strong Q2 2026 results with debt reduced to $11.8 billion, generating approximately $630 million in annualized interest savings versus 2025. The company raised its quarterly dividend by 8% and delivered a production beat in Q2. OXY targets over $1.2 billion in free cash flow improvement for 2026 and projects $4 billion in incremental annual sustainable cash flow by 2030, representing ~95% growth versus 2025, with 85% achievable at lower oil prices.
Guidance
OXY targets $4 billion in additional annual sustainable cash flow by 2030 without requiring production growth, achievable at low oil prices. The company expects to exceed $1.2 billion in 2026 free cash flow improvement driven by cost efficiencies, lower sustaining capital, and balance sheet optimization.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$2.40
est $1.92
+25.0%$8.07B
est $7.07B
+14.0%+1.7%
May 5, 2026$1.06
est $0.60
+76.4%$5.23B
est $5.44B
−3.9%−8.7%
Feb 18, 2026$0.31
est $0.16
+88.0%$5.11B
est $5.55B
−7.9%+12.2%
Nov 10, 2025$0.64
est $0.51
+25.0%$6.62B
est $6.75B
−1.9%+1.3%
Aug 6, 2025$0.39
est $0.30
+31.2%$6.41B
est $6.38B
+0.6%+1.2%
May 7, 2025$0.87
est $0.78
+11.1%$6.80B
est $6.83B
−0.3%+5.5%
Feb 18, 2025$0.80
est $0.68
+18.2%$6.76B
est $6.98B
−3.1%+6.1%
Nov 12, 2024$1.00
est $0.75
+33.3%$7.17B
est $7.12B
+0.7%+0.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Occidental Petroleum stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Occidental Petroleum is $68.00, +15.6% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$68.00consensus 12-month target, +15.6% from the last close
Low $55High $82
Buy7
Hold11
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 14UBSHold, maintained$67+13.9%
Sep 14Wells FargoBuy, maintained$82+39.4%
Sep 11Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$70+19.0%
Sep 10Stifel NicolausHold, initiated$68+15.6%
Sep 9Stifel NicolausHold, initiated$68+15.6%
−0.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Occidental Petroleum seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Occidental Petroleum averaged +4.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+29.2%2021+4.1%2022−0.4%2023−0.6%2024−11.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.1%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.9%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.8%2 of 5

For scale, OXY’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.

Occidental Petroleum market cap and key statistics

Occidental Petroleum’s market cap is $58.52B, with a P/E ratio of 17.5 and revenue of $23.93B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$58.52B
P/E ratio
17.5
Forward P/E
15.3
EPS, TTM
$3.39
Gekko Fair Value
$76.13

Trading

Volume
14.04M
Avg volume, 20 days
7.75M
52-week high
$67.45
52-week low
$38.80
Shares outstanding
999.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$23.93B
Profit margin
30.3%
Return on equity
10.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+965.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.16
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
Dividend yield
1.68%

Occidental Petroleum peers

Occidental Petroleum’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
XOMExxon Mobil+0.4%Neutral11.4% above
CVXChevron−0.7%Neutral6.3% above
TTETotalEnergies+0.3%Neutral29.4% below
CNQCanadian Natural Resources−1.9%Neutral21.8% below
SUSuncor Energy+0.2%Neutral21.4% below
EOGEOG Resources−0.6%Accumulation26.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Occidental Petroleum stock FAQ

What is Occidental Petroleum’s market cap?

Occidental Petroleum’s market cap is $58.52B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $58.84, with 999.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 17.5.

What is the Occidental Petroleum stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Occidental Petroleum is $68.00, +15.6% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Occidental Petroleum stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Occidental Petroleum is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $58.84 is 22.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $76.13. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Occidental Petroleum report earnings next?

Occidental Petroleum is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026 (50 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.21 per share on revenue of $6.44B. Occidental Petroleum beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.7% on average across the report.

What is Occidental Petroleum’s 52-week high and low?

Occidental Petroleum’s 52-week high is $67.45 and its 52-week low is $38.80; it closed at $58.84 on Sep 18, 2026, +24.7% over the past year.

Is Occidental Petroleum stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Occidental Petroleum?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Occidental Petroleum over the last 30 days, with $1.17M of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Aug 28, 2026 with $1.17M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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