Sep 28 close
Matador Resources trades against a backdrop of continued analyst attention and commentary on its valuation. Recent coverage points to varying fair value targets tied to production, free cash flow and energy demand, alongside notes on the company's revenue growth, gross margins and cash generation. KeyCorp has highlighted upside potential even as the stock has pulled back, and separate reporting notes insider share purchases over recent months.
MTDR closes at $51.45, down 0.2%, sitting between its 50-day average of $54.58 and 200-day average of $52.85, reflecting a mixed trend. Shares are down 9.3% over one month and down 21.4% over six months, though up 3.4% over three months and 7.1% over the past year, within a 52-week range of $37.14 to $66.84. The GekkoIndex reads 68.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 5.6 over five days. Gekko Fair Value stands at $52.62, putting the current price 2.2% below that mark.
Earnings are scheduled for 27 October 2026, 28 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 5 August 2026 beat EPS estimates ($2.61 versus $2.08) with a -0.3% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters. Over the last 90 days there have been 4 open-market insider purchases totaling $1,080,155. Seasonality data show the next 20 trading days averaging 8.2% over 5 years, positive in 4 of them. Analyst coverage from 15 firms shows 12 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $70.05.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Matador Resources scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
Averages disagree
Close $51.45 sits between the 50-day ($54.58) and 200-day ($52.85) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart68.1, Accumulation
Reading 68.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex2.2% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.2% below).
See fair valueLeans bullish
Last 90 days: 4 open-market insider purchases.
See smart moneyReports in 28 days
Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+8.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Matador Resources closed at $51.45 on Sep 28, 2026, +7.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $37.14 to $66.84.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put MTDR on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Matador Resources’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.6 points over five sessions.
Up 5.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 34 | +1.8% | +2.5% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 245 | +0.7% | +0.8% | ||
| Neutral | 356 | −0.2% | +0.2% | ||
| Distribution | 36 | −1.5% | +3.5% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MTDR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
Matador Resources trades 2.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $52.62, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Matador Resources shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$52.62
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
2.2% below fair value · About fair value
Insiders filed 4 open-market purchases in Matador Resources worth $1.08M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
$1.08Min 4 open-market purchases
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31 | Calvert Christopher P officer: EVP and CFO | Purchase | $142K |
| Aug 14 | Joseph Wm Foran Chairman and CEO | Purchase | $522K |
| Aug 14 | Joseph Wm Foran Chairman and CEO | Purchase | $257K |
| Aug 12 | Joseph Wm Foran Chairman and CEO | Purchase | $160K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
No trades in MTDR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Matador Resources has been buying back its own shares.
From company filings.
Matador Resources reports on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Oct 27, 2026
28 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $2.61 est $2.08 | $1.19B est $1.06B | −0.3% |
| May 6, 2026 | $1.53 est $1.26 | $671.6M est $871.6M | −11.7% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $0.87 est $1.00 | $848.0M est $803.4M | −2.8% |
| Oct 21, 2025 | $1.36 est $1.22 | $915.1M est $826.8M | −8.6% |
| Jul 22, 2025 | $1.53 est $1.41 | $925.7M est $910.8M | +0.9% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $1.99 est $1.78 | $1.01B est $964.2M | −0.7% |
| Feb 18, 2025 | $1.83 est $1.75 | $970.4M est $967.1M | −1.0% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | $1.89 est $1.72 | $860.1M est $1.00B | −0.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Matador Resources is $70.05, +36.2% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | Siebert Williams Shank & Co | $78 | +51.6% |
| Sep 15 | UBS | $64 | +24.4% |
| Sep 15 | KeyBanc | $73 | +41.9% |
| Sep 15 | UBS | $64 | +24.4% |
| Sep 14 | UBS | $64 | +24.4% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Matador Resources averaged +8.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +5.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +10.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +11.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +8.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +9.6% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, MTDR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.7%.
Matador Resources’s market cap is $6.39B, with a P/E ratio of 8.9 and revenue of $3.84B over the last twelve months.
Coverage of Matador Resources this week reads positive: 4 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
Matador Resources’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| XOMExxon Mobil | Neutral | 11.4% above |
| CVXChevron | Accumulation | 4.2% above |
| TTETotalEnergies | Neutral | 27.5% below |
| CNQCanadian Natural Resources | Accumulation | 23.0% below |
| SUSuncor Energy | Neutral | 19.7% below |
| EOGEOG Resources | Accumulation | 26.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Matador Resources’s market cap is $6.39B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $51.45, with 123.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.9.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Matador Resources is $70.05, +36.2% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Matador Resources is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $51.45 is 2.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $52.62. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Matador Resources is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.85 per share on revenue of $1.10B. Matador Resources beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.3% on average across the report.
Matador Resources’s 52-week high is $66.84 and its 52-week low is $37.14; it closed at $51.45 on Sep 28, 2026, +7.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $73.78 on Nov 7, 2022.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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