Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BP in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every BP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BP in Gekko
BP (BP) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$44.58−0.84 (−1.8%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryBP closed at $44.58, down 1.8%, trading above both its 50-day average of $43.35 and its 200-day average of $41.21. The GekkoIndex reads 54.9, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 37.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $71.76. Over the past year the stock has returned 30%, with a three-month gain of 14% and a six-month decline of 2.8%.
This week's coverage centers on a mix of bullish valuation commentary and portfolio activity. One piece rated BP a Strong Buy, citing 29.2% revenue growth and a 193% surge in net profit alongside accelerated debt reduction, while another flagged the stock as still overvalued by GF Value measures after a 3.4% share decline to $45.38. Separately, Osaka Gas agreed to buy a 5% stake in the Browse gas project offshore Western Australia from BP, and BP held a second round of talks with the Whiting refinery union, with operations at the 440,000 barrels-per-day facility described as unaffected.
Looking ahead, BP's next earnings report is scheduled for 30 October, 40 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The last report on 4 August showed EPS of $2.22 against a $1.98 estimate, followed by a 6.9% reaction, with 5 beats in the last 8 quarters and an average absolute reaction of 3.8%. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 3.2% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 2 buy, 5 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a $48.59 price target implying 9% upside.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $44.58200-day averageGekko Fair Value $71.76
Key stats
- Market cap
- $116.9B
- P/E ratio
- 21.7
- Forward P/E
- 10.4
- EPS, TTM
- $2.09
- Revenue, TTM
- $215.5B
- Profit margin
- 2.6%
- Dividend yield
- 4.45%
- Beta
- -0.22
- Volume
- 11.22M avg 9.51M
- 1-year return
- +30.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- 50-day average
- $43.35
- 200-day average
- $41.21
- Next earnings
- Oct 30 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 2.58B
BP swing-trade checklist
BP scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $44.58 is above the 50-day ($43.35) and 200-day ($41.21) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
54.9, Neutral
Reading 54.9 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
37.9% below
Price is 37.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 40 days
Next report Oct 30, 2026, 40 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+3.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
BP stock chart and price history
BP closed at $44.58 on Sep 18, 2026, +30.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $32.72 to $48.27.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +1.9%
- 3 months
- +14.0%
- 6 months
- −2.8%
- 1 year
- +30.0%
The full BP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BP in Gekko
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About BP
BP works across the energy space, providing both traditional carbon-based products and newer, lower-carbon alternatives to a broad range of customers. It is widely associated with fuel retailing and lubricants, including its Castrol brand, alongside its long-standing role in oil and gas extraction.
The company runs its business through three main areas. One handles natural gas and power, covering trading in gas and electricity, wind farm operations, and development work in hydrogen and carbon capture. Another is dedicated to extracting crude oil. The third serves end customers and businesses more directly, spanning convenience retail, fuel stations, electric vehicle charging, aviation supply, business-to-business services, midstream transport and storage, refining, oil trading, and bioenergy.
BP was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom. Its shares trade under the ticker BP.
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Website
- bp.com
BP GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
BP’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.9, in the Neutral zone, up 6.9 points over five sessions.
54.9Neutral
Up 6.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 37 | +2.0% | +5.0% | ||
| Accumulation | 200 | +0.1% | −0.2% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 347 | +0.2% | +0.9% | ||
| Distribution | 30 | +0.1% | −0.8% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average BP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BP price, zone by zone.Track BP in Gekko
Is BP stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
BP trades 37.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $71.76, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what BP shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$71.76
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
37.9% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BP in Gekko
BP insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BP, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in BP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for BP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BP in Gekko
Buybacks
BP has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $836K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
- Trailing four quarters
- $3.33B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold BP.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
BP earnings: next date and track record
BP reports on Oct 30, 2026, before the open (40 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 30, 2026
Expected before the open, 40 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.82
- Revenue estimate
- $57.99B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- BP reported Q2 2026 underlying profit of $5.7 billion, up $2.5 billion from Q1, with operating cash flow of $10.9 billion. Upstream production was 2.2 million BOE/day, down 6% from Q1 due to maintenance and Middle East disruptions. Financial obligations including net debt reduced ~$7 billion versus Q1. BP announced a 4% dividend increase. New CEO Meg O'Neill acknowledged underperformance and outlined 5 strategic priorities including balance sheet strengthening and portfolio simplification.
- Guidance
- Management targets reducing financial obligations to at least in line with European competitors. Five strategic priorities aim to deliver step-change performance improvement and shareholder value growth by 2027. Portfolio simplification and high-grading are key near-term initiatives.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $2.22 est $1.98 | $69.11B est $62.24B | −6.9% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $1.24 est $0.93 | $52.26B est $48.50B | +1.8% |
| Feb 10, 2026 | $0.60 est $0.60 | $47.38B est $42.89B | −1.7% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.85 est $0.72 | $48.39B est $44.44B | +2.3% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $0.90 est $0.68 | $47.18B est $41.64B | +4.3% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $0.53 est $0.56 | $46.91B est $42.88B | −5.7% |
| Feb 11, 2025 | $0.44 est $0.45 | $45.75B est $46.95B | +0.8% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | $0.83 est $0.79 | $47.25B est $48.57B | −6.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
BP stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BP is $48.59, +9.0% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$48.59consensus 12-month target, +9.0% from the last close
Now $44.58Avg $48.59
Low $37High $53
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | Evercore ISI | $52 | +16.6% |
| Sep 3 | Piper Sandler | $46 | +3.2% |
| Aug 7 | Piper Sandler | $43 | −3.5% |
| Aug 6 | TD Cowen | $41 | −8.0% |
| Aug 6 | Freedom Capital Markets | $43 | −3.5% |
+0.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
BP seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, BP averaged +3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.3% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.5% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, BP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.7%.
BP market cap and key statistics
BP’s market cap is $116.9B, with a P/E ratio of 21.7 and revenue of $215.5B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $116.9B
- P/E ratio
- 21.7
- Forward P/E
- 10.4
- EPS, TTM
- $2.09
- Gekko Fair Value
- $71.76
Trading
- Volume
- 11.22M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 9.51M
- 52-week high
- $48.27
- 52-week low
- $32.72
- Shares outstanding
- 2.58B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $215.5B
- Profit margin
- 2.6%
- Return on equity
- 8.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +138.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- -0.22
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- Dividend yield
- 4.45%
BP stock news this week
Coverage of BP this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 3 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- BP: A New-Normal In The Energy Market Makes This A Strong BuySeeking Alpha, Sep 19
- Understanding the Setup: (BP) and Scalable RiskStock Traders Daily, Sep 18
- Osaka Gas to buy 5% stake in Australia's Browse gas project from BPReuters, Sep 18
- BP to Meet Whiting Refinery Union for Second Round of Talks This Weekmarketscreener.com, Sep 17
- BP PLC (BP) Shares Fall 3.4% -- GF Value Says Still OvervaluedGuruFocus, Sep 16
- BP (BP) Advances While Market Declines: Some Information for InvestorsZacks Investment Research, Sep 15
BP stock FAQ
What is BP’s market cap?
BP’s market cap is $116.9B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $44.58, with 2.58B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.7.
What is the BP stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BP is $48.59, +9.0% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is BP stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate BP is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $44.58 is 37.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $71.76. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does BP report earnings next?
BP is expected to report on Oct 30, 2026, before the market opens (40 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.82 per share on revenue of $57.99B. BP beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.8% on average across the report.
What is BP’s 52-week high and low?
BP’s 52-week high is $48.27 and its 52-week low is $32.72; it closed at $44.58 on Sep 18, 2026, +30.0% over the past year.
Is BP stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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