Equinor (EQNR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Equinor ASA. Energy minerals sector. Market cap $105.4B.

$44.09−0.24 (−0.5%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Equinor trades at $44.09, down 0.5% on the day, sitting above both its 50-day ($40.93) and 200-day ($34.41) moving averages, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock has returned 4.9% over one month, 36.2% over three months and 78.6% over the past year, trading near the top of its 52-week range of $22.26 to $45.84. The GekkoIndex reads 51.6, placing it in the Neutral zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $70.73, leaving the current price 37.7% below that level.

This week's coverage centers on institutional positioning and an analyst upgrade. Engineers Gate Manager LP took a new $1.20 million stake in Equinor, while Bank of America Corp DE cut its holding by 17%, selling over 1.1 million shares; institutional investors collectively hold 5.51% of the company. Separately, BofA Securities upgraded the stock to "buy" from "neutral" and raised its price target to 465 Norwegian kroner, citing a stronger European gas price outlook. Equinor also disclosed share buy-back transactions tied to employee incentive programmes and outlined plans to expand its LNG supply portfolio to 10-15 million metric tons per year by the early 2030s to meet Europe and Asia demand.

Looking ahead, Equinor's next earnings report is scheduled for 28 October 2026, 38 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The last report on 4 February 2026 showed EPS of $0.81 against an estimate of $0.60, with the stock beating estimates in 3 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonality data show the next 20 trading days averaging a 2.9% gain over 5 years, though positive in only 2 of those years. Analyst views remain split, with 1 buy, 1 hold and 1 sell among 3 firms, and a consensus target of $36.49.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $44.09200-day averageGekko Fair Value $70.73

Key stats

Market cap
$105.4B
P/E ratio
12
Forward P/E
10.8
EPS, TTM
$3.70
Revenue, TTM
$113.7B
Profit margin
8%
Dividend yield
3.53%
Beta
-0.73
Volume
3.52M avg 3.02M
1-year return
+78.6%
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
50-day average
$40.93
200-day average
$34.41
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
2.37B
52-week range
$22.26$45.84

Equinor swing-trade checklist

Equinor scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $44.09 is above the 50-day ($40.93) and 200-day ($34.41) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    51.6, Neutral

    Reading 51.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    37.7% below

    Price is 37.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 38 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +2.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.9% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Equinor stock chart and price history

Equinor closed at $44.09 on Sep 18, 2026, +78.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $22.26 to $45.84.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+4.9%
3 months
+36.2%
6 months
+8.8%
1 year
+78.6%
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About Equinor

Equinor works in the energy field, active both inside Norway and abroad. Its business spans finding and assessing new oil and gas resources, bringing fields into production, and handling the wells and supply work that go with them. Alongside this, the company builds out renewable energy activities, including offshore wind, green hydrogen, storage, and solar.

The company is structured into separate segments covering exploration and production in Norway, international markets, and the United States, along with a marketing, midstream and processing arm and a renewables division. Beyond producing oil and gas, it markets, trades, and moves crude oil, condensate, natural gas, NGLs and refined products, running refineries, terminals and processing plants. It also trades power and emissions, builds transport infrastructure such as pipelines and shipping and rail links for gas and liquids, and offers services aimed at reducing carbon output.

Equinor is headquartered in Stavanger, Norway, and traces its incorporation back to 1972; it was previously named Statoil ASA before adopting its current name in 2018. Its shares trade under the ticker EQNR.

Sector
Energy minerals
Website
equinor.com

Equinor GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Equinor’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 51.6, in the Neutral zone, up 5.1 points over five sessions.

010051.6Neutral

Up 5.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying22+1.7%+5.2%+12.2%+20.0%
Accumulation209+0.9%+1.7%+2.7%+3.8%
Neutral (current zone)3520.0%−0.1%+0.5%+3.8%
Distribution32+2.5%+5.1%+4.9%+2.9%
Selling0Not available

Average EQNR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EQNR price, zone by zone.Track EQNR in Gekko

Is Equinor stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Equinor trades 37.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $70.73, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Equinor shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$70.73

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

37.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EQNR in Gekko

Equinor insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Equinor, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EQNR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every EQNR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EQNR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in EQNR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for EQNR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EQNR in Gekko

Buybacks

Equinor has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$83.00M
As a share of market cap
0.08%
Trailing four quarters
$5.47B

From company filings.

Equinor earnings: next date and track record

Equinor reports on Oct 28, 2026 (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.2%Apr ’24−0.7%Jul ’24+5.2%Oct ’24−6.9%Feb ’25−3.3%Apr ’25+1.4%Jul ’25−0.5%Oct ’25+0.5%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Equinor reported a strong operational year in 2025 with record production and solid deliveries despite heightened geopolitical tension and market uncertainty. Management emphasized three priorities: maximizing long-term shareholder value, strengthening free cash flow by reducing CapEx and maintaining cost discipline, and developing an attractive portfolio with oil & gas production growth while prudently progressing sanctioned power and low-carbon projects. Key actions include a $4 billion reduction in the renewables/low-carbon CapEx outlook, prioritized capital allocation (roughly 60% to Norwegian Continental Shelf, 30% to international oil & gas, 10% to integrated power), and a focus on keeping a strong balance sheet and a robust, growing cash dividend. Management expects production growth (including international oil & gas) and is targeting more than 900,000 barrels per day by 2030 for international production. They highlighted a one-off arbitration win (price review) boosting results, provided clarity on Johan Sverdrup declining >10% but <20% in 2026, and outlined measures to accelerate NCS subsea tie-ins and reduce time from discovery to production. They discussed Empire Wind (U.S.) execution challenges tied to political/legal risk and tariffs but expressed confidence in continuing the project and noted expected tax credit (ITC) and project cash flow contributions. Financial framework highlights: cash flow from operations expected to increase to about $18 billion by 2027 (assumes $65 oil, $9 Europe gas, $3.5 US gas), share buyback guidance reduced to $1.5 billion for 2026, continued bankable dividend focus, and a conservative approach to further low-carbon investments until market/profitability conditions improve.
Guidance
Cash flow from operations: increase from $16bn to $18bn by 2027 (assumes $65/bbl oil, $9/MMbtu Europe gas, $3.5/MMbtu US gas). Capital allocation: ~60% Norway, ~30% international oil & gas, ~10% integrated power for 2026-27. CapEx outlook reduced by $4bn (mainly renewables/low-carbon). Share buyback: $1.5bn (2026). Empire Wind: equity cash flow contribution ~ $600m (project-level, plus portfolio tax effect); ITC assumed recognition ~ $2bn impact in 2027 (company share $2bn of $2.5bn). Production target: international oil & gas >900,000 barrels/day by 2030. No explicit 2028 CapEx guidance; more detail at Capital Markets Day in June.
Risks flagged
Geopolitical tension and market uncertainty; volatility in oil and gas prices; increased LNG supply and variable demand; lower-than-average European gas storage (circa 40%) increasing volatility; political and legal risks (notably U.S. politicalization impacting Empire Wind and tariff uncertainties); execution risks for large projects (tariffs, stop-work orders); slower-than-expected development of CO2 transport & storage and hydrogen markets; arbitration/legal dependencies (one-off outcomes); potential downside if oil/gas prices fall materially below assumed levels.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 4, 2026$0.81
est $0.60
+35.0%$25.30B
est $22.06B
+14.7%+0.5%
Oct 29, 2025$0.37
est $0.57
−35.1%$26.02B
est $21.36B
+21.8%−0.5%
Jul 22, 2025$0.64
est $0.65
−1.2%$25.29B
est $23.26B
+8.7%+1.4%
Apr 30, 2025$0.66
est $0.83
−20.5%$29.38B
est $24.76B
+18.7%−3.3%
Feb 5, 2025$0.63
est $0.82
−23.2%$26.54B
est $24.97B
+6.3%−6.9%
Oct 24, 2024$0.79
est $0.74
+6.8%$25.42B
est $24.40B
+4.2%+5.2%
Jul 24, 2024$0.84
est $0.85
−1.2%$25.46B
est $23.72B
+7.3%−0.7%
Apr 25, 2024$0.96
est $0.80
+20.0%$25.09B
est $23.72B
+5.8%+2.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Equinor stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Equinor is $36.49, −17.2% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$36.49consensus 12-month target, −17.2% from the last close
Low $34.33High $49.36
Buy1
Hold1
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, upgraded$49.36+12.0%
Jul 24TD CowenHold, reiterated$38−13.8%
Jul 24TD CowenHold, maintained$38−13.8%
Jul 23Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated
Jul 23Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated
+0.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Equinor seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Equinor averaged +2.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+18.5%2021−0.7%2022+4.8%2023−2.2%2024−4.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.1%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.6%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.9%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.2%3 of 5

For scale, EQNR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.

Equinor market cap and key statistics

Equinor’s market cap is $105.4B, with a P/E ratio of 12 and revenue of $113.7B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$105.4B
P/E ratio
12
Forward P/E
10.8
EPS, TTM
$3.70
Gekko Fair Value
$70.73

Trading

Volume
3.52M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.02M
52-week high
$45.84
52-week low
$22.26
Shares outstanding
2.37B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$113.7B
Profit margin
8%
Return on equity
21.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+298.0%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.73
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
Dividend yield
3.53%

Equinor stock news this week

Coverage of Equinor this week reads positive: 5 positive, 5 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

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Equinor stock FAQ

What is Equinor’s market cap?

Equinor’s market cap is $105.4B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $44.09, with 2.37B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.

What is the Equinor stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Equinor is $36.49, −17.2% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Equinor stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Equinor is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $44.09 is 37.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $70.73. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Equinor report earnings next?

Equinor is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.38 per share on revenue of $32.73B. Equinor beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.6% on average across the report.

What is Equinor’s 52-week high and low?

Equinor’s 52-week high is $45.84 and its 52-week low is $22.26; it closed at $44.09 on Sep 18, 2026, +78.6% over the past year.

Is Equinor stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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