Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CVI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every CVI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CVI in Gekko
NYSE: CVI
CVR Energy (CVI) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$50.75−0.77 (−1.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryState Street Corp disclosed a raised stake in CVR Energy, lifting its holding by 11% according to its recent 13F filing, in the only notable item this week concerning the company.
CVI closes at $50.75, down 1.5% on the day, with the shares sitting above both the 50-day average of $40.87 and the 200-day average of $31.89, reflecting a supportive trend. The GekkoIndex reading of 50.2 places the stock in the Neutral zone, while price stands 57.8% above the Gekko Fair Value of $32.16.
The next earnings report is set for 4 November 2026, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior release on 29 July showed adjusted EPS of $0.34 against a $0.18 estimate, with a 12.9% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows, though one billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 12.1% gain over the past 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the stock's typical 20-day move of 9.8%.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
CVR Energy price vs fair value
Close $50.75200-day averageGekko Fair Value $32.16
CVR Energy quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.10B
- P/E ratio
- 74.7
- Forward P/E
- 40.5
- EPS, TTM
- $0.69
- Revenue, TTM
- $8.47B
- Profit margin
- 0.8%
- Dividend yield
- 1.11%
- Beta
- 0.84
- Volume
- 1.20M avg 1.25M
- 1-year return
- +41.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±5.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.8%
- 50-day average
- $40.87
- 200-day average
- $31.89
- Next earnings
- Nov 4
- Shares outstanding
- 100.5M
CVR Energy swing-trade checklist
CVR Energy scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $50.75 is above the 50-day ($40.87) and 200-day ($31.89) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
50.2, Neutral
Reading 50.2 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
57.8% above
Price is 57.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+12.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +12.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
CVR Energy stock chart and price history
CVR Energy closed at $50.75 on Sep 28, 2026, +41.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $19.62 to $55.19.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +27.6%
- 3 months
- +80.6%
- 6 months
- +45.7%
- 1 year
- +41.0%
The full CVI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CVI in Gekko
Follow CVR Energy through every session
Put CVI on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About CVR Energy
CVR Energy runs a group of subsidiaries that turn crude oil into fuel products and also make nitrogen fertilizers, with all of its plants located in the United States. Motorists and industry buyers alike depend on the fuels it produces, including gasoline and diesel, and this refining work is what the company is most associated with. Its operations are split into two divisions, one built around petroleum and the other around nitrogen fertilizer output.
Within the Petroleum division, crude oil is converted into usable fuels at a coking refinery situated in southeast Kansas capable of handling medium-sour crude, plus a second processing plant in Wynnewood, Oklahoma, with pipeline and storage assets tying the two together. Buyers of these fuels include gas stations, rail operators, farm cooperatives, and other companies that refine or market fuel. On the fertilizer side, one plant relies on gasifying pet coke to create nitrogen fertilizer, while a separate site in East Dubuque, Illinois, makes ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate. Farmers make up the main market for the UAN, whereas the ammonia is sold to both agricultural and industrial buyers.
The company dates back to 1906 and keeps its headquarters in Sugar Land, Texas. It operates as a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises L.P., and its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker CVI.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Industry
- Oil refining/Marketing
- Website
- cvrenergy.com
CVR Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
CVR Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.2, in the Neutral zone, up 5.6 points over five sessions.
50.2Neutral
Up 5.6 points over five sessions, from the Distribution zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 75 | +0.8% | +4.2% | ||
| Accumulation | 197 | +0.8% | +2.7% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 339 | +0.5% | +2.4% | ||
| Distribution | 59 | +1.6% | −1.5% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average CVI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CVI price, zone by zone.Track CVI in Gekko
Is CVR Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
CVR Energy trades 57.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $32.16, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what CVR Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$32.16
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
57.8% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CVI in Gekko
CVR Energy insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CVR Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in CVI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for CVI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CVI in Gekko
Buybacks
CVR Energy has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2022
- $12.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.24%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CVI.
1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
CVR Energy earnings: next date and track record
CVR Energy reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.42
- Revenue estimate
- $2.13B
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- CVR Energy reported Q2 2026 consolidated net income of $46 million, adjusted EBITDA of $209 million, and adjusted EPS of $0.34. Petroleum segment adjusted EBITDA surged to $106 million from $38 million in Q2 2025, driven by Group 3 2-1-1 crack spreads rising to $44.91/barrel vs $24.02/barrel prior year. Crude utilization hit 98% and ammonia utilization 99%. However, RIN expenses of $216 million ($11.16/barrel) significantly compressed capture rates to 28%.
- Guidance
- Management declared a $0.10/share Q2 dividend and indicated market conditions may support leverage reduction. No formal earnings guidance provided; significant uncertainty remains around EPA rulings on Wynnewood's SRE petition and 2025 RFS compliance obligations, with the compliance deadline approximately one month away.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $0.34 est $0.18 | $2.74B est $2.22B | +12.9% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | −$1.24 est −$0.62 | $1.98B est $1.73B | +1.5% |
| Feb 18, 2026 | −$0.80 est −$0.84 | $1.81B est $1.70B | −4.1% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $0.40 est $0.20 | $1.94B est $1.72B | −3.4% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | −$0.23 est −$0.13 | $1.76B est $1.69B | −8.0% |
| Apr 28, 2025 | −$0.58 est −$0.90 | $1.65B est $1.92B | +5.8% |
| Feb 18, 2025 | −$0.13 est −$0.01 | $1.95B est $1.56B | +7.0% |
| Oct 28, 2024 | −$0.50 est −$0.09 | $1.83B est $1.94B | −24.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
CVR Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for CVR Energy is $33.40, −34.2% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$33.40consensus 12-month target, −34.2% from the last close
Now $50.75Avg $33.40
Low $25High $34
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4 | Mizuho Securities | $29 | −42.9% |
| Jul 22 | Goldman Sachs | $34 | −33.0% |
| Jul 7 | Mizuho Securities | $28 | −44.8% |
| Jul 2 | J.P. Morgan | $25 | −50.7% |
+2.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+12.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
CVR Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, CVR Energy averaged +12.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +8.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +12.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +12.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +1.0% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, CVI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.8%.
CVR Energy market cap and key statistics
CVR Energy’s market cap is $5.10B, with a P/E ratio of 74.7 and revenue of $8.47B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.10B
- P/E ratio
- 74.7
- Forward P/E
- 40.5
- EPS, TTM
- $0.69
- Gekko Fair Value
- $32.16
Trading
- Volume
- 1.20M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.25M
- 52-week high
- $55.19
- 52-week low
- $19.62
- Shares outstanding
- 100.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $8.47B
- Profit margin
- 0.8%
- Return on equity
- 24.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −68.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.84
- Typical daily move
- ±5.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.8%
- Dividend yield
- 1.11%
CVR Energy stock news this week
1 headline about CVR Energy from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- State Street Corp Raises Stock Holdings in CVR Energy Inc. $CVIDefense World, Sep 25
CVR Energy peers
CVR Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MPCMarathon Petroleum | Neutral | 1.3% above |
| VLOValero Energy | Neutral | 15.3% above |
| PSXPhillips 66 | Neutral | 14.4% above |
| DINOHF Sinclair | Neutral | 22.3% above |
| PBFPBF Energy | Neutral | 3.4% below |
| IEPIcahn Enterprises | Accumulation | 26.4% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
CVR Energy stock FAQ
What is CVR Energy’s market cap?
CVR Energy’s market cap is $5.10B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $50.75, with 100.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 74.7.
What is the CVR Energy stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for CVR Energy is $33.40, −34.2% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is CVR Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate CVR Energy is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $50.75 is 57.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $32.16. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does CVR Energy report earnings next?
CVR Energy is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.42 per share on revenue of $2.13B. CVR Energy beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.3% on average across the report.
What is CVR Energy’s 52-week high and low?
CVR Energy’s 52-week high is $55.19 and its 52-week low is $19.62; it closed at $50.75 on Sep 28, 2026, +41.0% over the past year.
Is CVR Energy stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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