NYSE: DK

Delek US (DK) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$67.47−0.37 (−0.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Delek US shares have gained 48.3% over six months, with strength attributed to favorable refining conditions and strategic initiatives across its four refineries. The main headline this week concerns a $400 million private offering of convertible senior notes due 2031, with proceeds earmarked for capped call transactions to reduce dilution and to partially repay a term loan; the announcement was followed by a 4.9% drop in the stock price as investors weighed potential dilution concerns.

DK closed at $67.47, down 0.5%, sitting between its 50-day average of $69.08 and 200-day average of $47.69. The GekkoIndex reading of 66.8 places the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $71.45.

The next earnings date falls on 6 November 2026, 38 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window; the prior report showed EPS of $5.48 against an estimate of $2.21, though the stock reacted with an 11.3% move. In the last 30 days, 2 unusual options signals were recorded, with call premium of $704,700 against put premium of $739,800. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 5.8% return across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 5 buy, 4 hold, and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $75.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Delek US price vs fair value

$71.45$67.47Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $67.47200-day averageGekko Fair Value $71.45

Delek US quick facts

Market cap
$4.14B
P/E ratio
18.5
Forward P/E
20.3
EPS, TTM
$3.67
Revenue, TTM
$12.06B
Profit margin
1.9%
Dividend yield
1.52%
Beta
0.57
Volume
2.40M avg 2.85M
1-year return
+100.9%
Typical daily move
±6.3%
Typical 20-day move
±10%
50-day average
$69.08
200-day average
$47.69
Next earnings
Nov 6
Shares outstanding
61.23M
52-week range
$25.85$82.27

Delek US swing-trade checklist

Delek US scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $67.47 sits between the 50-day ($69.08) and 200-day ($47.69) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.8, Accumulation

    Reading 66.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    5.6% below

    Price is 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 38 days

    Next report Nov 6, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Delek US stock chart and price history

Delek US closed at $67.47 on Sep 28, 2026, +100.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $25.85 to $82.27.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Delek US share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$40$60$80NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep67.47

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.0%
3 months
+30.8%
6 months
+42.3%
1 year
+100.9%
The full DK chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DK in Gekko

Follow Delek US through every session

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About Delek US

Delek US turns crude oil into everyday fuels and products for the American market, running a business built around refining, moving, and selling petroleum. It processes raw crude into gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and asphalt at four refineries in Texas, Arkansas, and Louisiana, supported by three biodiesel plants, and it is also recognized for its network of convenience stores selling fuel and merchandise across West Texas and New Mexico.

The company works through three connected segments. Refining converts crude into finished fuels distributed through its own and outside facilities. Logistics moves and stores crude oil and refined products using pipelines, a gathering network, storage tanks, and distribution terminals, while also marketing fuel for outside parties. Retail runs hundreds of convenience stores under the DK, Alon, and 7-Eleven names, offering fuel alongside food, beverages, tobacco, and general goods. Its customers range from major oil companies and independent refiners to distributors, transportation firms, government buyers, and retail fuel operators.

Delek US was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker DK.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Energy minerals
Industry
Oil refining/Marketing
Website
delekus.com

Delek US GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Delek US’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 12.7 points over five sessions.

010066.8Accumulation

Up 12.7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying71+1.7%+3.1%+1.6%+11.5%
Accumulation (current zone)192+0.5%+2.0%+6.5%+11.5%
Neutral332+1.4%+2.4%+4.8%+11.4%
Distribution73+0.9%+1.8%+1.3%+11.3%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average DK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DK price, zone by zone.Track DK in Gekko

Is Delek US stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Delek US trades 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $71.45, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Delek US shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$71.45

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

5.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DK in Gekko

Delek US insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Delek US, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DK in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DK in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DK in Gekko

Buybacks

Delek US has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$20.00M
As a share of market cap
0.48%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

2signals, 49% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 16, $705K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds DK.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Delek US earnings: next date and track record

Delek US reports on Nov 6, 2026 (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+10.7%Nov ’24−7.7%Feb ’25+8.8%May ’25−1.6%Aug ’25+5.8%Nov ’25+13.6%Feb ’26+13.5%Apr ’26−11.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Delek US reported strong Q2 2026 execution across all four refineries, with Big Spring showing improved reliability and yields post-turnaround. The Enterprise Optimization Plan (EOP) contributed approximately $60 million to Q2 P&L, targeting $220 million annual run rate cash flow improvement. DKL reaffirmed 2026 EBITDA guidance of $520-$560 million, with third-party EBITDA expected to exceed 80%. The company returned approximately $36 million to shareholders via dividends and buybacks.
Guidance
DKL reaffirmed 2026 EBITDA guidance of $520-$560 million. No planned turnarounds for the remainder of the year positions refining system to capture market strength. Management expects additional EOP improvements and further details on incremental free cash flow enhancements to be provided in the near future.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$5.48
est $2.21
+148.0%$4.09B
est $3.44B
+18.8%−11.3%
Apr 29, 2026$0.08
est −$1.61
+105.0%$2.65B
est $2.33B
+13.9%+13.5%
Feb 27, 2026$0.44
est −$0.19
+327.1%$2.43B
est $2.55B
−4.7%+13.6%
Nov 7, 2025$1.52
est $0.28
+442.9%$2.89B
est $2.55B
+13.2%+5.8%
Aug 6, 2025−$0.56
est −$0.92
+39.1%$2.76B
est $2.69B
+2.6%−1.6%
May 7, 2025−$2.32
est −$2.43
+4.5%$2.64B
est $2.76B
−4.3%+8.8%
Feb 25, 2025−$2.54
est −$2.82
+9.9%$2.37B
est $2.69B
−11.9%−7.7%
Nov 6, 2024−$1.45
est −$1.61
+9.9%$3.04B
est $2.48B
+22.6%+10.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Delek US stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Delek US is $75.00, +11.2% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$75.00consensus 12-month target, +11.2% from the last close
Low $52High $90
Buy5
Hold4
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 14TD CowenBuy, maintained$90+33.4%
Sep 14Raymond JamesBuy, maintained$90+33.4%
Sep 14Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$81+20.1%
Sep 10Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained$58−14.0%
Sep 1Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$82+21.5%
+6.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Delek US seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Delek US averaged +5.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+17.1%2021+20.5%2022−10.2%2023−11.9%2024+14.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.6%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.4%2 of 5

For scale, DK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10%.

Delek US market cap and key statistics

Delek US’s market cap is $4.14B, with a P/E ratio of 18.5 and revenue of $12.06B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.14B
P/E ratio
18.5
Forward P/E
20.3
EPS, TTM
$3.67
Gekko Fair Value
$71.45

Trading

Volume
2.40M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.85M
52-week high
$82.27
52-week low
$25.85
Shares outstanding
61.23M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$12.06B
Profit margin
1.9%
Return on equity
78.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+1,870.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.57
Typical daily move
±6.3%
Typical 20-day move
±10%
Dividend yield
1.52%

Delek US stock news this week

Coverage of Delek US this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 4 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Delek US peers

Delek US’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MPCMarathon Petroleum−1.7%Neutral1.3% above
VLOValero Energy+0.1%Neutral15.3% above
PSXPhillips 66−1.4%Neutral14.4% above
DINOHF Sinclair−0.9%Neutral22.3% above
PBFPBF Energy−0.5%Neutral3.4% below
CVICVR Energy−2.4%Neutral57.8% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Delek US stock FAQ

What is Delek US’s market cap?

Delek US’s market cap is $4.14B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $67.47, with 61.23M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.5.

What is the Delek US stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Delek US is $75.00, +11.2% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Delek US stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Delek US is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $67.47 is 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $71.45. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Delek US report earnings next?

Delek US is expected to report on Nov 6, 2026 (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $6.31 per share on revenue of $3.55B. Delek US beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.1% on average across the report.

What is Delek US’s 52-week high and low?

Delek US’s 52-week high is $82.27 and its 52-week low is $25.85; it closed at $67.47 on Sep 28, 2026, +100.9% over the past year.

Is Delek US stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Delek US?

Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Delek US over the last 30 days, with $705K of flagged premium in calls and $740K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 16, 2026 with $705K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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