NYSE: PSX

Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$259.63−12.31 (−4.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Phillips 66 pulled back this week after strong Q3 2026 results that beat EPS and revenue estimates, with 98% refining utilization, record distillate yield of 41%, and midstream volumes exceeding 1 million barrels per day. Citigroup raised its price target to $302.00 while keeping a neutral rating, following the earnings beat. The stock also fell sharply in a single session, dropping to a close of $251.95 and erasing billions in market value, amid broader energy sector selling pressure. Separately, a new renewable fuel supply deal with Restaurant Technologies was announced for the Rodeo Renewable Energy Complex, and union workers at the Bayway refinery ratified a tentative labor agreement.

PSX closed at $259.63, down 4.5%, sitting below its 50-day average of $267.95 but well above its 200-day average of $200.86. The GekkoIndex reading of 64.7 places the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 4.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $247.61.

The next earnings date is 3 February 2027, 90 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Smart money data shows no insider, Congress, or unusual options activity in the respective windows, though one billionaire holder and one trailblazer holder are noted. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 3.2% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus across 17 firms includes 8 buy and 9 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $292.11.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Phillips 66 price vs fair value

$259.63$247.61Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $259.63200-day averageGekko Fair Value $247.61

Phillips 66 quick facts

Market cap
$101.3B
P/E ratio
9.1
Forward P/E
10.7
EPS, TTM
$30.32
Revenue, TTM
$168.2B
Profit margin
7.5%
Dividend yield
1.77%
Beta
0.67
Volume
5.47M avg 2.75M
1-year return
+88.2%
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
50-day average
$267.95
200-day average
$200.86
Next earnings
Feb 3
Shares outstanding
390.1M
52-week range
$127.16$299.39

Phillips 66 swing-trade checklist

Phillips 66 scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $259.63 sits between the 50-day ($267.95) and 200-day ($200.86) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.7, Accumulation

    Reading 64.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.9% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.9% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 90 days

    Next report Feb 3, 2027, 90 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Phillips 66 stock chart and price history

Phillips 66 closed at $259.63 on Nov 4, 2026, +88.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $127.16 to $299.39.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Phillips 66 share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$150$200$300DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct259.63

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.8%
3 months
+26.3%
6 months
+51.2%
1 year
+88.2%
The full PSX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PSX in Gekko

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About Phillips 66

Phillips 66 works across the energy supply chain, covering manufacturing and logistics rather than a single stage of production. It is best known for turning crude oil and other feedstocks into everyday fuels such as gasoline, distillates, aviation fuel and renewable fuels, produced at a group of refineries spread across the United States and Europe.

The company organizes its work into four segments. Midstream handles the movement, storage and processing of crude oil, refined products and natural gas liquids, along with related fractionation, export and marketing activity, plus gathering and transporting natural gas. Chemicals makes olefins, aromatics, styrenics and specialty chemicals, including solvents, catalysts and compounds used in drilling and mining. Refining converts raw feedstocks into fuel products, while Marketing & Specialties buys, resells and markets refined fuels and also produces base oils and lubricants, with customers mainly in the United States and Europe.

Phillips 66 traces its founding to 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker PSX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Energy minerals
Industry
Oil refining/Marketing
Website
phillips66.com

Phillips 66 GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Phillips 66’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 6 points over five sessions.

010064.7Accumulation

Up 6 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying30+1.9%+4.8%+8.4%+11.4%
Accumulation (current zone)173+1.0%+2.7%+4.6%+6.5%
Neutral432+0.6%+0.8%+0.9%+4.3%
Distribution57−0.3%−0.7%+5.0%+10.4%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average PSX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PSX price, zone by zone.Track PSX in Gekko

Is Phillips 66 stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Phillips 66 trades 4.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $247.61, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Phillips 66 shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$247.61

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

4.9% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 15.8% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$248$272Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PSX in Gekko

Phillips 66 insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Phillips 66, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PSX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PSX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PSX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PSX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PSX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PSX in Gekko

Buybacks

Phillips 66 has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$2.27B
As a share of market cap
2.24%
Trailing four quarters
$3.20B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold PSX.

1added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Phillips 66 earnings: next date and track record

Phillips 66 reports on Feb 3, 2027 (90 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.5%Jan ’25+1.0%Apr ’25+2.7%Jul ’25+2.6%Oct ’25+4.3%Feb ’26+8.5%Apr ’26−0.2%Aug ’26+1.9%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Phillips 66 reported strong Q3 2026 results with 98% refining utilization and record distillate yield of 41%. Midstream achieved fractionation volumes exceeding 1 million barrels/day and 105% utilization at Freeport LPG export dock. The company reduced debt by $2 billion and announced a 10.8% dividend increase. WRB transaction delivered over $50 million in annual synergies. CPChem's major petrochemical projects remain on track for 2027.
Guidance
Management targets mid single-digit adjusted EBITDA growth through the decade via Permian expansion, new gas plants, and fractionation capacity additions. CPChem's Golden Triangle and Ras Laffan projects expected fully operational in 2027. Commitment to returning greater than 50% of net operating cash flow to shareholders remains unchanged.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 28, 2026$14.08
est $11.73
+20.0%$51.23B
est $44.91B
+14.1%+1.9%
Aug 5, 2026$9.41
est $7.50
+25.5%$51.93B
est $43.60B
+19.1%−0.2%
Apr 29, 2026$0.49
est $2.07
−76.3%$33.00B
est $35.86B
−8.0%+8.5%
Feb 4, 2026$2.47
est $2.12
+16.5%$36.33B
est $33.86B
+7.3%+4.3%
Oct 29, 2025$2.52
est $2.14
+17.8%$34.98B
est $33.54B
+4.3%+2.6%
Jul 25, 2025$2.38
est $1.72
+38.4%$33.32B
est $33.28B
+0.1%+2.7%
Apr 25, 2025−$0.90
est −$0.72
−24.5%$30.43B
est $31.70B
−4.0%+1.0%
Jan 31, 2025−$0.15
est −$0.23
+34.8%$33.69B
est $34.32B
−1.9%−2.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Phillips 66 stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Phillips 66 is $292.11, +12.5% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$292.11consensus 12-month target, +12.5% from the last close
Low $220High $346
Buy8
Hold9
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$290+11.7%
Oct 30Freedom Capital MarketsHold, upgraded$258−0.6%
Oct 29BarclaysHold, maintained$282+8.6%
Oct 29Piper SandlerHold, maintained$268+3.2%
Oct 28Bank of America SecuritiesHold, maintained$303+16.7%
+4.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Phillips 66 seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Phillips 66 averaged +3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−8.9%2021+0.6%2022+9.3%2023+11.1%2024+3.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.1%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.9%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.2%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.8%1 of 5

For scale, PSX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.5%.

Phillips 66 market cap and key statistics

Phillips 66’s market cap is $101.3B, with a P/E ratio of 9.1 and revenue of $168.2B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$101.3B
P/E ratio
9.1
Forward P/E
10.7
EPS, TTM
$30.32
Gekko Fair Value
$247.61

Trading

Volume
5.47M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.75M
52-week high
$299.39
52-week low
$127.16
Shares outstanding
390.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$168.2B
Profit margin
7.5%
Return on equity
39.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+4,299.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.67
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
Dividend yield
1.77%

Phillips 66 peers

Phillips 66’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MPCMarathon Petroleum−6.0%Accumulation10.6% below
VLOValero Energy−3.4%Accumulation4.0% below
DINOHF Sinclair−7.3%Accumulation5.8% above
PBFPBF Energy−4.8%Neutral14.5% below
CVICVR Energy−8.9%Buying5.1% above
DKDelek US−6.1%Accumulation16.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Oil refining/Marketing

Phillips 66 stock FAQ

What is Phillips 66’s market cap?

Phillips 66’s market cap is $101.3B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $259.63, with 390.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.1.

What is the Phillips 66 stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Phillips 66 is $292.11, +12.5% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Phillips 66 stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Phillips 66 is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $259.63 is 4.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $247.61. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Phillips 66 report earnings next?

Phillips 66 is expected to report on Feb 3, 2027 (90 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $10.94 per share on revenue of $46.44B. Phillips 66 beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3% on average across the report.

What is Phillips 66’s 52-week high and low?

Phillips 66’s 52-week high is $299.39 and its 52-week low is $127.16; it closed at $259.63 on Nov 4, 2026, +88.2% over the past year.

Is Phillips 66 stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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