Insider buying last 90 days
$1.28Min 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11 | Franklin Myers CEO | Purchase | $1.28M |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NYSE: DINO
HF Sinclair (DINO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$106.19−0.63 (−0.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryHF Sinclair reaches new highs this week, with shares touching $117.70 before easing back, prompting renewed attention from analysts and screeners. Coverage points to a "Moderate Buy" consensus with an average target price of $94.25 from sixteen brokerages, alongside separate commentary flagging a high growth momentum and breakout setup. The company also confirmed it will release third-quarter 2026 earnings before the market opens on 28 October, with a conference webcast the same day. Comparisons with peer Delek and broader notes on refining diversification and crack spreads also circulated, alongside a separate valuation view describing the stock as significantly overvalued relative to an outside fair-value estimate.
DINO closed at $106.19, down 0.6%, but remains firmly above both its 50-day ($97.83) and 200-day ($69.92) moving averages, with the shorter average above the longer one, reflecting an established uptrend. The GekkoIndex reads 53.3, placing it in the Neutral zone. Against this, Gekko Fair Value stands at $86.82, putting the current price 22.3% above that level.
Over the next 20 trading days, the earnings date on 28 October falls just outside that window. Smart-money activity includes one open-market insider purchase within the last 90 days and two unusual options signals within the last 30 days, with call premium of $1,955,000 and no put premium recorded. Seasonally, the stock has averaged a 2.5% gain over this stretch across five years, rising in three of them.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
HF Sinclair price vs fair value
Close $106.19200-day averageGekko Fair Value $86.82
HF Sinclair quick facts
- Market cap
- $18.88B
- P/E ratio
- 10.1
- Forward P/E
- 10
- EPS, TTM
- $10.45
- Revenue, TTM
- $31.23B
- Profit margin
- 6.1%
- Dividend yield
- 1.88%
- Beta
- 0.70
- Volume
- 2.52M avg 2.93M
- 1-year return
- +96.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.8%
- 50-day average
- $97.83
- 200-day average
- $69.92
- Next earnings
- Oct 28
- Shares outstanding
- 177.8M
HF Sinclair swing-trade checklist
HF Sinclair scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $106.19 is above the 50-day ($97.83) and 200-day ($69.92) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
53.3, Neutral
Reading 53.3 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
22.3% above
Price is 22.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase. Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 29 days
Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
HF Sinclair stock chart and price history
HF Sinclair closed at $106.19 on Sep 28, 2026, +96.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $45.71 to $118.39.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +9.5%
- 3 months
- +50.0%
- 6 months
- +66.6%
- 1 year
- +96.6%
The full DINO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DINO in Gekko
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About HF Sinclair
HF Sinclair produces and sells a wide range of petroleum-based products, including gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, as well as renewable diesel, lubricants, chemicals, and asphalt. It runs refineries across Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming, and its fuels reach customers throughout the Southwestern United States, the Rocky Mountain area, the Pacific Northwest, and nearby Plains states.
The company supplies fuel to around 1,300 independently owned service stations carrying the Sinclair brand and licenses its branding to roughly 300 additional locations. Beyond fuel production, it makes base oils and specialty lubricants, and offers transportation, terminalling, storage, and throughput services for crude oil and refined products to other companies in the energy business.
HF Sinclair was established in 2021 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker DINO.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Industry
- Oil refining/Marketing
- Website
- hfsinclair.com
HF Sinclair GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
HF Sinclair’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.3, in the Neutral zone, up 5.4 points over five sessions.
53.3Neutral
Up 5.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 44 | +0.8% | +5.0% | ||
| Accumulation | 192 | +0.4% | +1.3% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 361 | +0.8% | +3.1% | ||
| Distribution | 72 | +0.9% | +2.5% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average DINO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DINO price, zone by zone.Track DINO in Gekko
Is HF Sinclair stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
HF Sinclair trades 22.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $86.82, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what HF Sinclair shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$86.82
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
22.3% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DINO in Gekko
HF Sinclair insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in HF Sinclair worth $1.28M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in DINO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for DINO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DINO in Gekko
Buybacks
HF Sinclair has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $1.50B, Aug 26, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $179.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.95%
- Trailing four quarters
- $559.0M
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
2signals, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 16, $762K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold DINO.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
HF Sinclair earnings: next date and track record
HF Sinclair reports on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 28, 2026
29 days away
- EPS estimate
- $6.52
- Revenue estimate
- $8.51B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.4%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- HF Sinclair reported a strong Q2 with significant year-over-year earnings and EBITDA improvement driven by Refining and Renewables. Management highlighted operational execution with crude oil throughput above guidance (≈640kbd), Marketing growth through branded site additions, and Renewables EBITDA improvement supported by higher RINs/pricing and tax credits. The company announced a planned separation of the Lubricants & Specialties (L&S) business via a tax-efficient capital markets spin, and the retirement of the Mississauga base oil refinery; separation is targeted over 12–18 months. Strategic initiatives include the Go West midstream project (Phase 1 ~35kbd, target FID this year) and continued optimization and reliability projects across refining. Management reiterated disciplined capital allocation (target ~50% payout ratio), opportunistic tuck-in M&A, and potential share repurchases while emphasizing capital-light structure for spinco. Key near-term items: planned turnarounds at El Dorado (Sept) and Cheyenne (Q3), pending regulatory/RIN (SRE/FRE) outcomes, and ongoing separation planning costs.
- Guidance
- • Lubes/ Specialties SpinCo: management cites a trailing-12-month EBITDA run-rate of ~$300–$350M for the standalone business and expects a capital-light model going forward. • Lubes separation targeted to be executed in a tax-efficient manner over the next 12–18 months. • Branded site growth: expect ~10% annual increase in branded sites. • Go West Phase 1 capacity target: ~35,000 barrels per day, with FID targeted this year (no economic guidance yet). • Payout policy: target ~50% distribution of capital to shareholders (tracking near ~40% YTD).
- Risks flagged
- • RIN/SRE regulatory uncertainty and pending FRE petitions—management expects imminent relief but outcomes are material to compliance costs and RIN bank trajectory. • Closure/retirement of Mississauga base oil refinery: transition risks, logistics, and potential short-term supply impacts; structural competition from lower-cost global base oil capacity. • Turnarounds (El Dorado, Cheyenne) and other maintenance can impact near-term volumes. • Market cyclicality: tightening/loosening of product markets and geopolitical developments could reverse current favorable crack spreads. • Separation execution risk: additional public-company costs, execution timing (12–18 months), and possible integration/distribution agreements must be executed as planned.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $5.31 est $4.39 | $10.39B est $8.68B | −0.9% |
| May 1, 2026 | $0.69 est $0.71 | $7.12B est $6.83B | +6.8% |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $1.20 est $0.44 | $6.46B est $6.04B | −12.7% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $2.44 est $1.94 | $7.25B est $6.27B | −4.4% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $1.70 est $1.09 | $6.78B est $7.03B | −2.5% |
| May 1, 2025 | −$0.27 est −$0.41 | $6.37B est $6.99B | +6.5% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | −$1.02 est $0.01 | $6.50B est $6.66B | −4.1% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $0.51 est $0.34 | $7.21B est $6.67B | −5.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
HF Sinclair stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for HF Sinclair is $102.33, −3.6% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$102.33consensus 12-month target, −3.6% from the last close
Now $106.19Avg $102.33
Low $73High $140
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 | Raymond James | $140 | +31.8% |
| Sep 14 | UBS | $126 | +18.7% |
| Sep 14 | Morgan Stanley | $127 | +19.6% |
| Sep 8 | UBS | $126 | +18.7% |
| Sep 1 | Wells Fargo | $93 | −12.4% |
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
HF Sinclair seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, HF Sinclair averaged +2.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.0% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, DINO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.8%.
HF Sinclair market cap and key statistics
HF Sinclair’s market cap is $18.88B, with a P/E ratio of 10.1 and revenue of $31.23B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $18.88B
- P/E ratio
- 10.1
- Forward P/E
- 10
- EPS, TTM
- $10.45
- Gekko Fair Value
- $86.82
Trading
- Volume
- 2.52M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.93M
- 52-week high
- $118.39
- 52-week low
- $45.71
- Shares outstanding
- 177.8M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $31.23B
- Profit margin
- 6.1%
- Return on equity
- 19.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +350.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.70
- Typical daily move
- ±4.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.8%
- Dividend yield
- 1.88%
HF Sinclair stock news this week
Coverage of HF Sinclair this week reads positive: 3 positive, 2 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Corient Private Wealth LP Sells 15,771 Shares of HF Sinclair Corporation $DINOMarketBeat, Sep 28
- HF Sinclair Corporation (NYSE:DINO) Stock Has Average Target Price of $94.25 According to BrokeragesMarketBeat, Sep 28
- HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Screens for High Growth Momentum and a Breakout SetupChartMill, Sep 26
- Here's Why HF Sinclair (DINO) is a Strong Growth StockZacks Investment Research, Sep 24
- HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Reaches New 1-Year High – Still a Buy?Defense World, Sep 23
- HF Sinclair Corporation Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference WebcastYahoo Finance, Sep 22
HF Sinclair peers
HF Sinclair’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MPCMarathon Petroleum | Neutral | 1.3% above |
| VLOValero Energy | Neutral | 15.3% above |
| PSXPhillips 66 | Neutral | 14.4% above |
| PBFPBF Energy | Neutral | 3.4% below |
| CVICVR Energy | Neutral | 57.8% above |
| IEPIcahn Enterprises | Accumulation | 26.4% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
HF Sinclair stock FAQ
What is HF Sinclair’s market cap?
HF Sinclair’s market cap is $18.88B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $106.19, with 177.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.1.
What is the HF Sinclair stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for HF Sinclair is $102.33, −3.6% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is HF Sinclair stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate HF Sinclair is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $106.19 is 22.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $86.82. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does HF Sinclair report earnings next?
HF Sinclair is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $6.52 per share on revenue of $8.51B. HF Sinclair beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.4% on average across the report.
What is HF Sinclair’s 52-week high and low?
HF Sinclair’s 52-week high is $118.39 and its 52-week low is $45.71; it closed at $106.19 on Sep 28, 2026, +96.6% over the past year.
Is HF Sinclair stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in HF Sinclair?
Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in HF Sinclair over the last 30 days, with $1.96M of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 16, 2026 with $762K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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