NASDAQ: ORLY

O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$92.34+2.35 (+2.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

O'Reilly Automotive's recent move follows its Q3 2026 report on 28 October, which showed comparable store sales growth of 7.2% and diluted EPS of $0.97 against a $0.93 estimate, though shares reacted -1.9% on the print. At an investor symposium on 3 November, executives Brad Beckham and Jeremy Fletcher detailed the company's distribution network, inventory strategy and Canada expansion plans as drivers of market-share ambitions. UBS raised its price target to $122.00 from $120.00 while maintaining a Buy rating, part of a broader run of analyst target adjustments ranging from $105 to $111 over the past 30 days; the consensus among 16 firms stands at 14 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $106.46.

ORLY closed at $92.34, up 2.6%, sitting between its 50-day average of $87.25 and 200-day average of $90.48, with the 1-month return at 8.5% even as the 3-month and 6-month returns remain negative at -1.1% and -2.6%. The GekkoIndex reads 52.3, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, and the price sits 0.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $93.17.

The next earnings date is 3 February 2027, 90 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows, though two billionaire holders are recorded. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 4.7% return across 5 years, with gains in 5 of those years, a pattern worth noting given the current Neutral reading.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

O'Reilly Automotive price vs fair value

$93.17$92.34Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $92.34200-day averageGekko Fair Value $93.17

O'Reilly Automotive quick facts

Market cap
$74.70B
P/E ratio
27.8
Forward P/E
24
EPS, TTM
$3.26
Revenue, TTM
$18.99B
Profit margin
14.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.55
Volume
10.84M avg 5.94M
1-year return
+0.7%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4%
50-day average
$87.25
200-day average
$90.48
Next earnings
Feb 3
Shares outstanding
804.6M
52-week range
$82.59$102.46

O'Reilly Automotive swing-trade checklist

O'Reilly Automotive scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $92.34 sits between the 50-day ($87.25) and 200-day ($90.48) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    52.3, Neutral

    Reading 52.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.9% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.9% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 90 days

    Next report Feb 3, 2027, 90 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.7% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

O'Reilly Automotive stock chart and price history

O'Reilly Automotive closed at $92.34 on Nov 4, 2026, +0.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $82.59 to $102.46.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
O'Reilly Automotive share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$85$90$95$100DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct92.34

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+8.5%
3 months
−1.1%
6 months
−2.6%
1 year
+0.7%
The full ORLY chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ORLY in Gekko

Follow O'Reilly Automotive through every session

Put ORLY on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About O'Reilly Automotive

O'Reilly Automotive sells auto parts and related supplies to everyday drivers and to shops that repair cars for a living. Its shelves cover both replacement hardware, like alternators, brakes, starters, and pumps, and everyday upkeep items such as oil, filters, fluids, wiper blades, and lighting. The stores also carry seat covers, floor mats, truck accessories, body paint, and tools built for professional mechanics.

Alongside the products, O'Reilly offers services that support the repair process itself, including battery and electrical testing, check engine code retrieval, brake drum and rotor resurfacing, hydraulic hose building, and paint mixing. It also runs a tool loan program and free installation for items like batteries and bulbs, plus recycling of used oil, filters, and batteries. This mix of goods and services reaches both do-it-yourself customers and professional repair facilities working on domestic and imported cars, vans, and trucks.

Founded in 1957 and based in Springfield, Missouri, O'Reilly runs thousands of stores across the United States along with a smaller number in Mexico. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker ORLY.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Specialty stores
Website
oreillyauto.com

O'Reilly Automotive GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

O'Reilly Automotive’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 52.3, in the Neutral zone, up 0.8 points over five sessions.

010052.3Neutral

Up 0.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying21+0.6%+1.6%+2.2%+0.2%
Accumulation201+0.4%+0.5%+1.9%+3.7%
Neutral (current zone)438+0.2%+0.5%+0.4%+1.2%
Distribution32−0.4%−0.8%+0.3%+1.0%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average ORLY share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ORLY price, zone by zone.Track ORLY in Gekko

Is O'Reilly Automotive stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

O'Reilly Automotive trades 0.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $93.17, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what O'Reilly Automotive shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$93.17

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

0.9% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 9.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$93$90Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ORLY in Gekko

O'Reilly Automotive insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for O'Reilly Automotive, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ORLY in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ORLY insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ORLY in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ORLY were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ORLY, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ORLY in Gekko

Buybacks

O'Reilly Automotive has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$2.00B, Jun 1, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$1.03B
As a share of market cap
1.39%
Trailing four quarters
$3.97B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold ORLY.

0added1opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

O'Reilly Automotive earnings: next date and track record

O'Reilly Automotive reports on Feb 3, 2027 (90 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.5%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.3%Feb ’25−3.0%Apr ’25+2.9%Jul ’25−3.0%Oct ’25−4.4%Feb ’26+8.6%Apr ’26−4.2%Jul ’26−1.9%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
O'Reilly Automotive reported Q3 2026 comparable store sales growth of 7.2%, surpassing expectations, with a 2-year stack of 12.8%. Professional business comps exceeded 10%, driven equally by ticket size and transaction count growth. Diluted EPS increased 14% year-over-year. Same-SKU inflation of slightly over 4% provided tailwind, primarily from petroleum-based products. Strong hot weather categories and broad-based performance across both professional and DIY segments drove outperformance.
Guidance
Management noted continued strength in October but provided limited formal guidance in the excerpt. Updated full-year 2026 outlook was referenced but not detailed in the available transcript. Management expressed confidence in sustaining compounding growth through execution.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 28, 2026$0.97
est $0.93
+4.3%$5.12B
est $5.02B
+2.1%−1.9%
Jul 29, 2026$0.86
est $0.85
+1.2%$4.89B
est $4.86B
+0.6%−4.2%
Apr 29, 2026$0.00
est $0.72
−100.0%$4.56B
est $4.46B
+2.3%+8.6%
Feb 4, 2026$0.71
est $0.73
−2.2%$4.41B
est $4.39B
+0.5%−4.4%
Oct 22, 2025$0.85
est $0.83
+2.0%$4.71B
est $4.69B
+0.3%−3.0%
Jul 23, 2025$0.78
est $0.78
−0.1%$4.53B
est $4.53B
−0.1%+2.9%
Apr 23, 2025$0.62
est $0.66
−5.6%$4.14B
est $4.17B
−0.8%−3.0%
Feb 5, 2025$0.63
est $0.65
−3.1%$4.10B
est $4.05B
+1.2%−0.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

O'Reilly Automotive stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for O'Reilly Automotive is $106.46, +15.3% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$106.46consensus 12-month target, +15.3% from the last close
Low $94High $122
Buy14
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 30Roth MKMBuy, reiterated$111+20.2%
Oct 30GuggenheimBuy, reiterated$110+19.1%
Oct 30Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$110+19.1%
Oct 30Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated——
Oct 30BarclaysHold, reiterated$98+6.1%
+0.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

O'Reilly Automotive seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, O'Reilly Automotive averaged +4.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.0%2021+3.4%2022+2.3%2023+7.8%2024+5.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.2%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.6%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.7%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.8%4 of 5

For scale, ORLY’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4%.

O'Reilly Automotive market cap and key statistics

O'Reilly Automotive’s market cap is $74.70B, with a P/E ratio of 27.8 and revenue of $18.99B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$74.70B
P/E ratio
27.8
Forward P/E
24
EPS, TTM
$3.26
Gekko Fair Value
$93.17

Trading

Volume
10.84M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.94M
52-week high
$102.46
52-week low
$82.59
Shares outstanding
804.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$18.99B
Profit margin
14.3%
Return on equity
58.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+13.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.55
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4%

O'Reilly Automotive peers

O'Reilly Automotive’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WMTWalmart+1.7%Neutral1.7% above
COSTCostco Wholesale+0.9%Neutral24.7% above
CVNACarvana+5.9%Distribution8.0% above
TGTTarget+3.2%Neutral8.6% above
AZOAutoZone+1.5%Neutral13.6% below
WSMWilliams-Sonoma+3.2%Neutral35.5% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

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O'Reilly Automotive stock FAQ

What is O'Reilly Automotive’s market cap?

O'Reilly Automotive’s market cap is $74.70B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $92.34, with 804.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 27.8.

What is the O'Reilly Automotive stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for O'Reilly Automotive is $106.46, +15.3% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is O'Reilly Automotive stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate O'Reilly Automotive is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $92.34 is 0.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $93.17. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does O'Reilly Automotive report earnings next?

O'Reilly Automotive is expected to report on Feb 3, 2027 (90 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.77 per share on revenue of $4.70B. O'Reilly Automotive beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.5% on average across the report.

What is O'Reilly Automotive’s 52-week high and low?

O'Reilly Automotive’s 52-week high is $102.46 and its 52-week low is $82.59; it closed at $92.34 on Nov 4, 2026, +0.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $108.72 on Sep 30, 2025.

Is O'Reilly Automotive stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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