NASDAQ: CASY

Caseys General Stores (CASY) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$606.24+7.78 (+1.3%)

Gekko Brief

Caseys General Stores closed at $606.24 on 28 September 2026, +1.3% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($765.70) and 200-day ($730.93) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $497.38 to $927.85. The GekkoIndex reads 69.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.5 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $600.83, so the price is 0.9% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 8 December 2026, 70 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 8 times, with an average move of 9% across the report. Over the last 30 days there was 1 unusual options signal. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +1.8% over the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

15 firms rate the stock: 11 buy, 4 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $790.53. A typical daily move is about 4.6%, and a typical 20-day move about 4.7%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 0 read as a headwind.

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Caseys General Stores price vs fair value

$606.24$600.83Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $606.24200-day averageGekko Fair Value $600.83

Caseys General Stores quick facts

Market cap
$22.43B
P/E ratio
28.8
Forward P/E
29.1
EPS, TTM
$20.81
Revenue, TTM
$18.67B
Profit margin
4.1%
Dividend yield
0.40%
Beta
0.59
Volume
806,960 avg 763,685
1-year return
+11.6%
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±4.7%
50-day average
$765.70
200-day average
$730.93
Next earnings
Dec 8
Shares outstanding
36.96M
52-week range
$497.38$927.85

Caseys General Stores swing-trade checklist

Caseys General Stores scores 3 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $606.24 sits between the 50-day ($765.70) and 200-day ($730.93) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.5, Accumulation

    Reading 69.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.9% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.9% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 70 days

    Next report Dec 8, 2026, 70 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Caseys General Stores stock chart and price history

Caseys General Stores closed at $606.24 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $497.38 to $927.85.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Caseys General Stores share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$500$700$800$900NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep606.24

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−20.6%
3 months
−22.3%
6 months
−15.1%
1 year
+11.6%
The full CASY chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CASY in Gekko

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About Caseys General Stores

Caseys General Stores runs a network of convenience stores paired with gasoline stations. Customers can fuel up at self-service pumps while shopping for groceries, prepared food made fresh on site, and everyday items such as beverages and tobacco. The stores are also known for offering health and beauty aids alongside automotive products, rounding out a mix aimed at people looking for a quick stop.

The company operates by combining fuel sales with in-store retail, giving it two connected ways to bring in revenue from the same customer visit. Its offerings are built around convenience, serving shoppers who want groceries, food, and fuel in one location rather than making separate trips.

Caseys General Stores was founded in 1968 by Donald F. Lamberti and is headquartered in Ankeny, Iowa. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker CASY.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Specialty stores
Website
caseys.com

Caseys General Stores GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Caseys General Stores’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.5 points over five sessions.

010069.5Accumulation

Down 4.5 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying31−2.9%−3.4%+7.3%+13.7%
Accumulation (current zone)111+2.1%+4.0%+7.5%+8.3%
Neutral478+0.7%+1.2%+1.8%+8.5%
Distribution51−0.5%−0.6%+2.4%+6.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average CASY share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CASY price, zone by zone.Track CASY in Gekko

Is Caseys General Stores stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Caseys General Stores trades 0.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $600.83, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Caseys General Stores shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$600.83

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

0.9% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CASY in Gekko

Caseys General Stores insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Caseys General Stores, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CASY in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CASY insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CASY in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CASY were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CASY, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CASY in Gekko

Buybacks

Caseys General Stores has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$1.00B, Jun 9, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026
$44.86M
As a share of market cap
0.20%
Trailing four quarters
$386.4M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 91% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 9, $2.69M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold CASY.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Caseys General Stores earnings: next date and track record

Caseys General Stores reports on Dec 8, 2026 (70 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.3%Dec ’24+5.3%Mar ’25+10.4%Jun ’25+7.1%Sep ’25−5.9%Dec ’25+3.8%Mar ’26+21.8%Jun ’26−16.8%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 8, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Casey's Q1 FY27 delivered diluted EPS of $7.37, up 28% YoY, with net income of $274M (+27%) and EBITDA of $485M (+17%, +40% on 2-year stack). Inside same-store sales rose 3.2% (7.7% two-year stack) with gross margin of 42.2%, up 30bps. Fuel margin was ~$0.48/gallon. Fikes acquisition integration is ahead of schedule, with remodeled Cefco stores performing well despite ~1% store base disruption.
Guidance
Management is executing its FY27-29 three-year strategic plan centered on a convenience/QSR flywheel model. Cefco-to-Casey's remodeling will continue throughout the fiscal year, with already-converted stores showing strong performance and synergy realization ongoing.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 8, 2026$7.37
est $6.60
+11.7%$5.68B
est $5.56B
+2.1%−16.8%
Jun 9, 2026$4.37
est $3.33
+31.2%$4.57B
est $4.33B
+5.7%+21.8%
Mar 9, 2026$3.49
est $2.90
+20.3%$3.92B
est $4.04B
−3.1%+3.8%
Dec 9, 2025$5.53
est $5.15
+7.4%$4.51B
est $4.49B
+0.3%−5.9%
Sep 8, 2025$5.77
est $5.02
+14.9%$4.57B
est $4.46B
+2.3%+7.1%
Jun 9, 2025$2.63
est $1.94
+35.6%$3.99B
est $3.93B
+1.7%+10.4%
Mar 11, 2025$2.33
est $2.06
+13.1%$3.90B
est $3.73B
+4.8%+5.3%
Dec 9, 2024$4.85
est $4.27
+13.6%$3.95B
est $4.03B
−2.0%−1.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Caseys General Stores stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Caseys General Stores is $790.53, +30.4% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$790.53consensus 12-month target, +30.4% from the last close
Low $687High $950
Buy11
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 11Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$775+27.8%
Sep 10Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$750+23.7%
Sep 10Deutsche Bank Buy, reiterated$933+53.9%
Sep 10JefferiesBuy, maintained$850+40.2%
Sep 10UBSHold, reiterated$720+18.8%
+7.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Caseys General Stores seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Caseys General Stores averaged +1.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.5%2021+11.4%2022−1.1%2023+6.6%2024−4.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.8%0 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.8%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.7%4 of 5

For scale, CASY’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.7%.

Caseys General Stores market cap and key statistics

Caseys General Stores’s market cap is $22.43B, with a P/E ratio of 28.8 and revenue of $18.67B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$22.43B
P/E ratio
28.8
Forward P/E
29.1
EPS, TTM
$20.81
Gekko Fair Value
$600.83

Trading

Volume
806,960
Avg volume, 20 days
763,685
52-week high
$927.85
52-week low
$497.38
Shares outstanding
36.96M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$18.67B
Profit margin
4.1%
Return on equity
20%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+27.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.59
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±4.7%
Dividend yield
0.40%

Caseys General Stores stock news this week

Coverage of Caseys General Stores this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Caseys General Stores peers

Caseys General Stores’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WMTWalmart+0.8%Neutral5.0% below
COSTCostco Wholesale−0.2%Neutral12.6% above
TGTTarget+1.2%Neutral10.7% above
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive+0.8%Neutral6.0% below
CVNACarvana−5.0%Accumulation18.8% below
AZOAutoZone+1.2%Neutral28.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Caseys General Stores stock FAQ

What is Caseys General Stores’s market cap?

Caseys General Stores’s market cap is $22.43B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $606.24, with 36.96M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 28.8.

What is the Caseys General Stores stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Caseys General Stores is $790.53, +30.4% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Caseys General Stores stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Caseys General Stores is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $606.24 is 0.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $600.83. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Caseys General Stores report earnings next?

Caseys General Stores is expected to report on Dec 8, 2026 (70 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $6.02 per share on revenue of $5.50B. Caseys General Stores beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 9% on average across the report.

What is Caseys General Stores’s 52-week high and low?

Caseys General Stores’s 52-week high is $927.85 and its 52-week low is $497.38; it closed at $606.24 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.6% over the past year.

Is Caseys General Stores stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Caseys General Stores?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Caseys General Stores over the last 30 days, with $2.46M of flagged premium in calls and $233K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 9, 2026 with $2.69M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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