NASDAQ: PSMT

PriceSmart (PSMT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$172.97−1.76 (−1.0%)

Gekko Brief

PriceSmart closed at $172.97 on 28 September 2026, -1% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($177.28) and 200-day ($161.49) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $111.68 to $199.84. The GekkoIndex reads 58, in the Neutral zone, down 5.9 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $148.66, so the price is 16.4% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 26 October 2026, 27 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 4 times, with an average move of 6% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged -1.3% over the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

2 firms rate the stock: 1 buy, 1 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $166.00. A typical daily move is about 2.3%, and a typical 20-day move about 4.8%. On the swing-trade checklist, 0 items read supportive and 3 read as a headwind (fair value, earnings risk, seasonality).

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

PriceSmart price vs fair value

$172.97$148.66Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $172.97200-day averageGekko Fair Value $148.66

PriceSmart quick facts

Market cap
$5.34B
P/E ratio
33.2
Forward P/E
27.5
EPS, TTM
$5.22
Revenue, TTM
$5.69B
Profit margin
2.8%
Dividend yield
0.77%
Beta
0.77
Volume
230,811 avg 213,926
1-year return
+47.8%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
50-day average
$177.28
200-day average
$161.49
Next earnings
Oct 26
Shares outstanding
30.86M
52-week range
$111.68$199.84

PriceSmart swing-trade checklist

PriceSmart scores 0 supportive, 2 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

0 supportive2 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $172.97 sits between the 50-day ($177.28) and 200-day ($161.49) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58, Neutral

    Reading 58 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    16.4% above

    Price is 16.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 27 days

    Reports on Oct 26, 2026, 27 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

PriceSmart stock chart and price history

PriceSmart closed at $172.97 on Sep 28, 2026, +47.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $111.68 to $199.84.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
PriceSmart share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$120$140$160$180$200NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep172.97

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
0.0%
3 months
−11.6%
6 months
+17.3%
1 year
+47.8%
The full PSMT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PSMT in Gekko

Follow PriceSmart through every session

Put PSMT on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About PriceSmart

PriceSmart runs membership-based warehouse clubs modeled on the U.S. style, serving shoppers across the United States, Central America, the Caribbean, and Colombia. It is known for stocking its stores with a wide mix of everyday goods, from groceries and cleaning supplies to meat, produce, and seafood, much of it sold under its own Member's Selection label.

Beyond food, the clubs carry electronics, appliances, automotive items, hardware, sporting goods, seasonal merchandise, clothing, and home furnishings. The company also runs in-store food and bakery counters and offers health-related services such as optical, audiology, and pharmacy care. Shoppers can additionally buy through its e-commerce platform, with curbside pickup and delivery options rounding out how members get their goods.

PriceSmart was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in San Diego, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker PSMT.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Specialty stores
Website
pricesmart.com

PriceSmart GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

PriceSmart’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58, in the Neutral zone, down 5.9 points over five sessions.

010058Neutral

Down 5.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying8Too few readings yet
Accumulation168+1.4%+2.4%+5.5%+12.0%
Neutral (current zone)457+0.4%+0.9%+1.7%+6.1%
Distribution38+0.5%+1.7%+1.9%−1.0%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average PSMT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PSMT price, zone by zone.Track PSMT in Gekko

Is PriceSmart stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

PriceSmart trades 16.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $148.66, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what PriceSmart shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$148.66

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

16.4% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PSMT in Gekko

PriceSmart insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PriceSmart, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PSMT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PSMT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PSMT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PSMT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PSMT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PSMT in Gekko

Buybacks

PriceSmart has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended May 31, 2026
$113K
As a share of market cap
0.00%
Trailing four quarters
$9.77M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds PSMT.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

PriceSmart earnings: next date and track record

PriceSmart reports on Oct 26, 2026 (27 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.0%Oct ’24−3.2%Jan ’25+11.7%Apr ’25+6.0%Jul ’25−5.1%Oct ’25+4.9%Jan ’26+7.0%Apr ’26−1.9%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 8, 2026 AI summary

What they said
PriceSmart reported strong Q3 FY2026 results with improved margins and operating income growth. Management highlighted a 20-basis-point increase in gross margin to 16% of net merchandise sales and a 30-basis-point improvement in total revenue margins to 17.7% driven by non-food margin improvements and strong membership renewals and Platinum growth. Operating income rose 16.7% year-over-year to $65.6 million (4.4% of revenue). SG&A increased slightly to 13.3% of revenue, mainly due to higher warehouse club and other operations costs tied to preopening and launch activities in Chile. Management announced leadership changes (new CIO Shweta Bhatia and CMO Sherry White) and discussed strategic execution, membership strategy for the Chile expansion, and operational challenges in specific markets (Colombia and Trinidad). They also noted currency volatility and macro uncertainties but emphasized disciplined cost management and opportunistic sourcing of USD in constrained markets.
Risks flagged
Currency volatility and illiquidity (notably Trinidad TTD-USD access), evolving trade policy and broader macroeconomic pressures, labor and regulatory changes in Colombia (minimum wage increases and reduced work week), preopening/expansion costs related to Chile launch, and potential delays or lower profitability during market scaling.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 8, 2026$1.28
est $1.19
+7.6%$1.48B
est $1.43B
+3.4%−1.9%
Apr 8, 2026$1.62
est $1.51
+7.3%$1.50B
est $1.48B
+1.4%+7.0%
Jan 7, 2026$1.29
est $1.35
−4.4%$1.38B
est $1.35B
+2.3%+4.9%
Oct 30, 2025$1.02
est $1.10
−7.3%$1.33B
est $1.33B
+0.1%−5.1%
Jul 10, 2025$1.14
est $1.09
+4.6%$1.32B
est $1.33B
−0.9%+6.0%
Apr 9, 2025$1.45
est $1.41
+2.8%$1.36B
est $1.36B
+0.3%+11.7%
Jan 8, 2025$1.21
est $1.29
−6.2%$1.26B
est $1.34B
−6.3%−3.2%
Oct 30, 2024$0.94
est $1.03
−8.7%$1.23B
est $1.22B
+0.7%−8.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

PriceSmart stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for PriceSmart is $166.00, −4.0% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$166.00consensus 12-month target, −4.0% from the last close
Low $165High $198
Buy1
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 13JefferiesBuy, maintained$198+14.5%
Jul 9ScotiabankHold, maintained$165−4.6%
+1.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−1.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

PriceSmart seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, PriceSmart averaged −1.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−11.3%2021+7.6%2022−3.0%2023−0.7%2024−0.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.3%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.1%1 of 5

For scale, PSMT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.8%.

PriceSmart market cap and key statistics

PriceSmart’s market cap is $5.34B, with a P/E ratio of 33.2 and revenue of $5.69B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.34B
P/E ratio
33.2
Forward P/E
27.5
EPS, TTM
$5.22
Gekko Fair Value
$148.66

Trading

Volume
230,811
Avg volume, 20 days
213,926
52-week high
$199.84
52-week low
$111.68
Shares outstanding
30.86M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.69B
Profit margin
2.8%
Return on equity
12.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+12.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.77
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
Dividend yield
0.77%

PriceSmart stock news this week

Coverage of PriceSmart this week reads positive: 6 positive, 6 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

PriceSmart peers

PriceSmart’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WMTWalmart+0.8%Neutral5.0% below
COSTCostco Wholesale−0.2%Neutral12.6% above
TGTTarget+1.2%Neutral10.7% above
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive+0.8%Neutral6.0% below
CVNACarvana−5.0%Accumulation18.8% below
AZOAutoZone+1.2%Neutral28.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

PriceSmart stock FAQ

What is PriceSmart’s market cap?

PriceSmart’s market cap is $5.34B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $172.97, with 30.86M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 33.2.

What is the PriceSmart stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for PriceSmart is $166.00, −4.0% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is PriceSmart stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate PriceSmart is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $172.97 is 16.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $148.66. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does PriceSmart report earnings next?

PriceSmart is expected to report on Oct 26, 2026 (27 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.27 per share on revenue of $1.46B. PriceSmart beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 6% on average across the report.

What is PriceSmart’s 52-week high and low?

PriceSmart’s 52-week high is $199.84 and its 52-week low is $111.68; it closed at $172.97 on Sep 28, 2026, +47.8% over the past year.

Is PriceSmart stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 0 of the 5 items with data read as supportive, 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 3 as headwinds (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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