NYSE: AN

AutoNation (AN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$161.36−5.62 (−3.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

AutoNation's stock touched a new 52-week low this week, closing at $161.36 after falling 3.4%, extending a decline that has taken shares down 25.3% over the past year despite the company's recent earnings beat. Citigroup lowered its price target on the stock from USD 290 to USD 255 while maintaining a buy rating, and other coverage has flagged the stock's oversold technical condition alongside debate over whether it remains overvalued. Separately, the company marked the tenth anniversary of its DRV PNK cancer initiative, announcing $1 million in new grants on top of more than $50 million raised and donated to date.

The close of $161.36 sits well below both the 50-day average of $200.15 and the 200-day average of $199.71, reflecting the broad downtrend across the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 72.7, placing the stock in the Buying zone. Fair value work puts the gap at 42.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $279.92.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 22 October 2026, before the open, falling inside the next 20 trading days. Options activity shows 1 unusual signal over the last 30 days, with put premium of $431,400 against no call premium recorded. Seasonality over the same calendar stretch has averaged a 8.2% decline across 5 years, rising in 1 of them. Analyst coverage stands at 7 buy and 2 hold ratings among 9 firms, with a consensus target of $245.67.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

AutoNation price vs fair value

▲$279.92$161.36Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $161.36200-day averageGekko Fair Value $279.92

AutoNation quick facts

Market cap
$5.40B
P/E ratio
7.7
Forward P/E
6.9
EPS, TTM
$21.57
Revenue, TTM
$27.45B
Profit margin
2.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.72
Volume
479,325 avg 611,924
1-year return
−25.3%
Typical daily move
±5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.7%
50-day average
$200.15
200-day average
$199.71
Next earnings
Oct 22 before open
Shares outstanding
33.06M
52-week range
$161.33$235.81

AutoNation swing-trade checklist

AutoNation scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $161.36 sits between the 50-day ($200.15) and 200-day ($199.71) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    72.7, Buying

    Reading 72.7 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    42.4% below

    Price is 42.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −8.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −8.2% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

AutoNation stock chart and price history

AutoNation closed at $161.36 on Sep 28, 2026, −25.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $161.33 to $235.81.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
AutoNation share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$180$200$220NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep161.36

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−18.8%
3 months
−14.6%
6 months
−16.2%
1 year
−25.3%
The full AN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AN in Gekko

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Put AN on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About AutoNation

AutoNation operates as a car dealership business serving customers throughout the United States, with new and used vehicles making up the core of what it sells. It also keeps vehicles running through repair and maintenance work, supplies parts on a wholesale basis, and repairs collision damage, giving it a presence well beyond the initial sale.

The business is split into three groups, Domestic, Import, and Premium Luxury, based on the types of vehicle brands each covers. On top of selling cars, AutoNation generates revenue from finance and insurance offerings like service agreements and protection plans, and it connects buyers with outside lenders to help cover the cost of a vehicle. Its store network, along with collision centers, used vehicle outlets, auction sites, and parts warehouses, sits mostly in larger cities across the Sunbelt.

The company traces its founding to 1991 and keeps its headquarters in Fort Lauderdale, Florida. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker AN.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Specialty stores
Website
autonation.com

AutoNation GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

AutoNation’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72.7, in the Buying zone, down 10.7 points over five sessions.

010072.7Buying

Down 10.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)26+0.8%+3.0%+6.9%+9.8%
Accumulation196+1.4%+2.5%+4.0%+6.5%
Neutral402−0.2%−0.3%+0.1%+0.9%
Distribution43−1.3%−2.1%−4.6%−0.2%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average AN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AN price, zone by zone.Track AN in Gekko

Is AutoNation stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

AutoNation trades 42.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $279.92, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what AutoNation shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$279.92

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

42.4% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AN in Gekko

AutoNation insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AutoNation, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AN in Gekko

Buybacks

AutoNation has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$168.7M
As a share of market cap
3.12%
Trailing four quarters
$1.09B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 0% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $431K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold AN.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

AutoNation earnings: next date and track record

AutoNation reports on Oct 22, 2026, before the open (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.8%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.2%Oct ’24−0.5%Feb ’25−1.0%Apr ’25−2.0%Jul ’25−7.5%Oct ’25+3.1%Feb ’26−4.6%May ’26+0.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 31, 2026 AI summary

What they said
AutoNation reported Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $5.56, up from $5.46 year-over-year, marking six consecutive quarters of growth. Aftersales delivered record gross profit of $607 million with 7% customer pay growth and 16% wholesale parts revenue increase. CFS per vehicle profitability reached $2,800, a 3% year-over-year increase. Free cash flow rose 11% YTD, with $317 million deployed in M&A and $457 million in share repurchases. AutoNation Finance generated $11 million profit.
Guidance
Management expects SG&A to reach 66%-67% target range by year-end. Volume comparison headwinds from 2025 tariff and EV credit impacts are expected to lapse in H2 2026, with improving consumer sentiment and June SAAR at a 4-year high supporting outlook.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 31, 2026$5.56
est $5.43
+2.4%$6.93B
est $7.00B
−1.0%+0.4%
May 1, 2026$4.69
est $4.60
+2.0%$6.55B
est $6.65B
−1.4%−4.6%
Feb 6, 2026$5.08
est $4.85
+4.7%$6.93B
est $7.20B
−3.8%+3.1%
Oct 23, 2025$5.01
est $4.85
+3.3%$7.04B
est $7.23B
−2.7%−7.5%
Jul 25, 2025$5.46
est $4.70
+16.2%$6.97B
est $6.68B
+4.5%−2.0%
Apr 25, 2025$4.68
est $4.38
+6.8%$6.69B
est $6.65B
+0.7%−1.0%
Feb 11, 2025$4.97
est $4.26
+16.7%$7.21B
est $6.46B
+11.7%−0.5%
Oct 25, 2024$4.02
est $4.38
−8.2%$6.59B
est $6.69B
−1.5%−3.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

AutoNation stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AutoNation is $245.67, +52.2% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$245.67consensus 12-month target, +52.2% from the last close
Low $210High $260
Buy7
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21CitiBuy, maintained$255+58.0%
Aug 19BarclaysBuy, maintained$260+61.1%
Aug 10Argus ResearchBuy, reiterated$246+52.5%
Aug 10StephensHold, maintained$232+43.8%
Aug 6Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$250+54.9%
+6.9%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−8.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

AutoNation seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, AutoNation averaged −8.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−6.7%2021+4.4%2022−13.8%2023−11.7%2024−10.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−5.1%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−5.6%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−6.8%0 of 5
Next 20 trading days−8.2%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−3.7%1 of 5

For scale, AN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.7%.

AutoNation market cap and key statistics

AutoNation’s market cap is $5.40B, with a P/E ratio of 7.7 and revenue of $27.45B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.40B
P/E ratio
7.7
Forward P/E
6.9
EPS, TTM
$21.57
Gekko Fair Value
$279.92

Trading

Volume
479,325
Avg volume, 20 days
611,924
52-week high
$235.81
52-week low
$161.33
Shares outstanding
33.06M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$27.45B
Profit margin
2.8%
Return on equity
32.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+138.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.72
Typical daily move
±5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.7%

AutoNation peers

AutoNation’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WMTWalmart+0.8%Neutral5.0% below
COSTCostco Wholesale−0.2%Neutral12.6% above
TGTTarget+1.2%Neutral10.7% above
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive+0.8%Neutral6.0% below
CVNACarvana−5.0%Accumulation18.8% below
AZOAutoZone+1.2%Neutral28.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

AutoNation stock FAQ

What is AutoNation’s market cap?

AutoNation’s market cap is $5.40B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $161.36, with 33.06M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.7.

What is the AutoNation stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AutoNation is $245.67, +52.2% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is AutoNation stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate AutoNation is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $161.36 is 42.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $279.92. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does AutoNation report earnings next?

AutoNation is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026, before the market opens (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $5.68 per share on revenue of $7.09B. AutoNation beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.8% on average across the report.

What is AutoNation’s 52-week high and low?

AutoNation’s 52-week high is $235.81 and its 52-week low is $161.33; it closed at $161.36 on Sep 28, 2026, −25.3% over the past year.

Is AutoNation stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (trend) and 3 as headwinds (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in AutoNation?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in AutoNation over the last 30 days, with $0 of flagged premium in calls and $431K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $431K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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