NYSE: SAH

Sonic Automotive (SAH) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$60.81+0.25 (+0.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Sonic Automotive draws attention this week from a Seaport Global rating action and continued insider buying. Seaport Global downgraded SAH from Buy to Neutral while raising its price target from $185 to $205, citing an updated valuation outlook following significant price appreciation. Alongside this, insider purchases were reported, including director and 10% owner Paul P. Rusnak's acquisitions of 13,701 shares at $59.78 each and 21,645 shares at $59.50 each. The company also confirmed it will release third-quarter 2026 financial results on 29 October.

SAH closes at $60.81, down from both its 50-day average of $73.25 and 200-day average of $73.29, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at -19.9% and its three-month return at -34.2%, with a 52-week range of $54.11 to $113.67. The GekkoIndex reads 67.3, placing SAH in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $81.24.

Earnings arrive on 29 October, 17 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window, with the last reaction move at -18.7% and an average absolute reaction of 7.3% over recent quarters. Smart-money activity over the past 90 days includes 4 insider purchases totaling $3,832,651. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days have averaged +5.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus across 8 firms includes 4 buy, 2 hold, and 2 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $92.36.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Sonic Automotive price vs fair value

$81.24$60.81Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $60.81200-day averageGekko Fair Value $81.24

Sonic Automotive quick facts

Market cap
$2.02B
P/E ratio
9.7
Forward P/E
8.4
EPS, TTM
$6.37
Revenue, TTM
$15.47B
Profit margin
1.4%
Dividend yield
2.56%
Beta
0.93
Volume
201,577 avg 372,745
1-year return
−16.1%
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.6%
50-day average
$73.25
200-day average
$73.29
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
19.59M
52-week range
$54.11$113.67

Sonic Automotive swing-trade checklist

Sonic Automotive scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $60.81 is below the 50-day ($73.25) and 200-day ($73.29) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.3, Accumulation

    Reading 67.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    25.1% below

    Price is 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 4 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Sonic Automotive stock chart and price history

Sonic Automotive closed at $60.81 on Oct 12, 2026, −16.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $54.11 to $113.67.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Sonic Automotive share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$80$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct60.81

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−19.9%
3 months
−34.2%
6 months
−10.7%
1 year
−16.1%
The full SAH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SAH in Gekko

Follow Sonic Automotive through every session

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About Sonic Automotive

Sonic Automotive sells new and used cars and light trucks to consumers across the United States. The company runs its business through two divisions, Franchised Dealerships and EchoPark, and is recognized for pairing traditional new-car dealership operations with a separate chain focused on pre-owned vehicles.

The Franchised Dealerships division handles new and used vehicle sales, replacement parts, and a range of services such as routine maintenance, manufacturer-backed warranty repairs, and collision and paint work. It also connects buyers with add-on offerings like extended warranties, service contracts, financing, and insurance. The EchoPark division concentrates solely on used vehicles, operating through dedicated specialty stores that likewise help customers arrange financing and insurance. As of the end of 2021, the company's footprint included 140 new vehicle franchises spanning 28 brands, 17 collision repair centers, and 46 EchoPark locations, the latter including a group of pre-owned outlets operating under the Northwest Motorsport name.

Sonic Automotive was founded in 1997 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker SAH.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Specialty stores
Website
sonicautomotive.com

Sonic Automotive GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Sonic Automotive’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.3, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.1 points over five sessions.

010067.3Accumulation

Down 0.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+0.6%−0.7%+1.3%+10.8%
Accumulation (current zone)233+0.4%+1.1%+1.4%+6.9%
Neutral357+0.4%+0.6%+1.4%+2.4%
Distribution53−1.2%−1.1%−1.6%−0.6%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average SAH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SAH price, zone by zone.Track SAH in Gekko

Is Sonic Automotive stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Sonic Automotive trades 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $81.24, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Sonic Automotive shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$81.24

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

25.1% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 17.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$81$61Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SAH in Gekko

Sonic Automotive insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 4 open-market purchases in Sonic Automotive worth $3.83M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$3.83Min 4 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Oct 9Rusnak Paul P.
10 percent owner
Purchase13,701$819K
Oct 7Rusnak Paul P.
10 percent owner
Purchase1,119$67K
Oct 6Rusnak Paul P.
10 percent owner
Purchase27,756$1.66M
Oct 6Rusnak Paul P.
10 percent owner
Purchase21,645$1.29M

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SAH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SAH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SAH in Gekko

Buybacks

Sonic Automotive has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$6.30M
As a share of market cap
0.31%

From company filings.

Sonic Automotive earnings: next date and track record

Sonic Automotive reports on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.5%Oct ’24−1.6%Feb ’25+2.0%Apr ’25−1.4%Jul ’25−17.4%Oct ’25+10.7%Feb ’26+4.3%Apr ’26−18.7%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Sonic Automotive reported record Q2 2026 total revenues of $3.9 billion (+8% YoY) and all-time record quarterly gross profit of $616.2 million (+2% YoY). Non-GAAP EPS was $1.82 per diluted share. Franchise dealership revenues rose 6% to $3.3 billion, though same-store gross profit declined 3%. Fixed operations hit a record $263.8 million gross profit (+6%), while EchoPark revenues surged 15% to $582.9 million.
Guidance
New vehicle GPU guidance raised to $2,850-$3,000 per unit. Used vehicle GPU expected to decline in H2 2026 as volume throughput is prioritized. Management targets mid-single-digit same-store fixed operations gross profit growth for full year 2026.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$1.82
est $1.75
+4.0%$3.93B
est $3.78B
+4.0%−18.7%
Apr 30, 2026$1.62
est $1.40
+15.7%$3.69B
est $3.73B
−1.1%+4.3%
Feb 18, 2026$1.52
est $1.53
−0.7%$3.87B
est $3.94B
−1.7%+10.7%
Oct 23, 2025$1.41
est $1.74
−19.0%$3.97B
est $3.94B
+0.8%−17.4%
Jul 24, 2025$2.19
est $1.63
+34.4%$3.66B
est $3.58B
+2.2%−1.4%
Apr 24, 2025$1.48
est $1.44
+2.8%$3.65B
est $3.65B
+0.1%+2.0%
Feb 12, 2025$1.51
est $1.46
+3.3%$3.90B
est $3.61B
+7.9%−1.6%
Oct 24, 2024$1.26
est $1.43
−11.9%$3.49B
est $3.59B
−2.8%+2.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Sonic Automotive stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Sonic Automotive is $92.36, +51.9% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$92.36consensus 12-month target, +51.9% from the last close
Low $57High $139
Buy4
Hold2
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 7UBSBuy, maintained$74+21.7%
Oct 6J.P. MorganSell, maintained$64+5.2%
Oct 6BarclaysHold, maintained$75+23.3%
Oct 5Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$57−6.3%
Oct 4Morgan StanleySell, maintained$57−6.3%
+1.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Sonic Automotive seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Sonic Automotive averaged +5.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−6.5%2021+7.5%2022+16.8%2023+20.5%2024−12.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.3%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.8%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.0%3 of 5

For scale, SAH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.6%.

Sonic Automotive market cap and key statistics

Sonic Automotive’s market cap is $2.02B, with a P/E ratio of 9.7 and revenue of $15.47B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.02B
P/E ratio
9.7
Forward P/E
8.4
EPS, TTM
$6.37
Gekko Fair Value
$81.24

Trading

Volume
201,577
Avg volume, 20 days
372,745
52-week high
$113.67
52-week low
$54.11
Shares outstanding
19.59M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$15.47B
Profit margin
1.4%
Return on equity
20.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−12.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.93
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.6%
Dividend yield
2.56%

Sonic Automotive stock news this week

Coverage of Sonic Automotive this week reads positive: 3 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Sonic Automotive peers

Sonic Automotive’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WMTWalmart+1.4%Neutral2.5% below
COSTCostco Wholesale+1.1%Neutral16.4% above
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive−0.2%Neutral4.7% below
TGTTarget+0.2%Accumulation5.7% above
CVNACarvana−6.6%Accumulation19.7% below
AZOAutoZone−0.7%Neutral28.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Sonic Automotive stock FAQ

What is Sonic Automotive’s market cap?

Sonic Automotive’s market cap is $2.02B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $60.81, with 19.59M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.7.

What is the Sonic Automotive stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Sonic Automotive is $92.36, +51.9% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Sonic Automotive stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Sonic Automotive is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $60.81 is 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $81.24. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Sonic Automotive report earnings next?

Sonic Automotive is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.72 per share on revenue of $4.04B. Sonic Automotive beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.3% on average across the report.

What is Sonic Automotive’s 52-week high and low?

Sonic Automotive’s 52-week high is $113.67 and its 52-week low is $54.11; it closed at $60.81 on Oct 12, 2026, −16.1% over the past year.

Is Sonic Automotive stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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