NASDAQ: FIVE

Five Below (FIVE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$228.00+5.40 (+2.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Five Below draws attention this week from Crocs and its Jibbitz subsidiary, which have filed a lawsuit alleging that Five Below's Juniors Charm Clog and related accessories copy the Classic Clog design and infringe on patents for decorative shoe charms. Separately, coverage highlights a fresh lineup of affordable October products, including home decor, fitness gear, and seasonal items such as Halloween decorations. Filings also show routine share awards to the company's chief information officer and chief operating officer, increasing their respective holdings.

Shares closed at $228.00, up 2.4%, sitting between the 50-day average of $233.24 and the 200-day average of $213.96, with the one-month return at -7.7% against a three-month gain of 27.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 62.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $231.17, putting the current price about 1.4% below that level.

The next earnings report is set for 2 December, 64 days out, beyond the typical 20-trading-day window. Over the last 90 days there has been one open-market insider purchase valued at $93,309, and in the last 30 days one unusual options signal with call premium of $314,720 against no put premium. Seasonal data over five years shows an average 20-day gain of 2.6% from this point, rising in 4 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the pending litigation.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Five Below price vs fair value

$231.17$228.00Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $228.00200-day averageGekko Fair Value $231.17

Five Below quick facts

Market cap
$12.61B
P/E ratio
20
Forward P/E
22.1
EPS, TTM
$11.15
Revenue, TTM
$5.31B
Profit margin
11.7%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.99
Volume
910,212 avg 1.27M
1-year return
+50.3%
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.3%
50-day average
$233.24
200-day average
$213.96
Next earnings
Dec 2 after close
Shares outstanding
55.05M
52-week range
$137.77$263.88

Five Below swing-trade checklist

Five Below scores 4 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $228.00 sits between the 50-day ($233.24) and 200-day ($213.96) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.8, Accumulation

    Reading 62.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.4% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.4% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 64 days

    Next report Dec 2, 2026, 64 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Five Below stock chart and price history

Five Below closed at $228.00 on Sep 28, 2026, +50.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $137.77 to $263.88.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Five Below share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$150$200$250NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep228.00

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.7%
3 months
+27.9%
6 months
+2.8%
1 year
+50.3%
The full FIVE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FIVE in Gekko

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About Five Below

Five Below is a discount retailer that sells low-priced merchandise to shoppers across the United States. Its shelves cover a broad mix of everyday goods, including accessories like socks, sunglasses and jewelry, beauty items such as nail polish and fragrances, and home touches like lamps, blankets and candles. The chain is best known for stretching this range further into sports gear, games, toys, tech accessories, craft supplies, school items, party goods and candy, giving customers a wide spread of inexpensive products under one roof.

The business is built around this varied product assortment rather than a single category, drawing in customers looking for affordable everyday items and seasonal goods. Its stock rotates with the calendar, bringing in holiday and event-themed merchandise alongside the regular lineup of accessories, home goods, snacks and school supplies, which keeps the offering geared toward frequent, low-cost purchases.

Five Below traces its roots to a company originally named Cheap Holdings, Inc., which was incorporated and renamed Five Below, Inc. in August 2002. The company is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker FIVE.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Discount stores
Website
fivebelow.com

Five Below GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Five Below’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.5 points over five sessions.

010062.8Accumulation

Up 1.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying47−0.1%−1.5%−4.3%+12.2%
Accumulation (current zone)208−0.8%−1.3%−0.6%+1.6%
Neutral374+1.2%+2.5%+4.6%+7.1%
Distribution42−0.2%+0.2%+1.6%+5.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average FIVE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FIVE price, zone by zone.Track FIVE in Gekko

Is Five Below stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Five Below trades 1.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $231.17, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Five Below shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$231.17

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

1.4% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FIVE in Gekko

Five Below insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Five Below worth $93K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$93Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Jul 1Robert Lynch
Director
Purchase530$93K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FIVE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FIVE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FIVE in Gekko

Buybacks

Five Below has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$600.0M, Sep 2, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
$60.36M
As a share of market cap
0.48%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 24, $315K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold FIVE.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Five Below earnings: next date and track record

Five Below reports on Dec 2, 2026, after the close (64 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+12.4%Dec ’24+3.0%Mar ’25+4.8%Jun ’25+5.7%Aug ’25+6.0%Dec ’25+9.9%Mar ’26−12.8%Jun ’26−2.1%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 2, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Five Below delivered Q2 2026 sales of $1.3 billion, up 23% YoY, with comparable sales growth of 14% and adjusted diluted EPS of $1.68, more than doubling last year. Traffic growth drove transactions across all customer cohorts, geographies, and product categories. The company opened 52 net new stores and celebrated its 2,000th store milestone, entering Idaho as its 47th state. Management raised full-year outlook on strong first-half performance.
Guidance
Five Below raised its full year 2026 outlook based on strong first-half results and increased second-half expectations. The company plans to enter Puerto Rico in the back half of 2027 with an initial handful of stores, signaling continued geographic expansion.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 2, 2026$1.68
est $1.40
+20.0%$1.26B
est $1.22B
+3.3%−2.1%
Jun 3, 2026$2.22
est $1.77
+25.4%$1.29B
est $1.23B
+4.6%−12.8%
Mar 18, 2026$4.31
est $4.00
+7.7%$1.73B
est $1.71B
+1.0%+9.9%
Dec 3, 2025$0.68
est $0.25
+173.4%$1.04B
est $981.0M
+5.8%+6.0%
Aug 27, 2025$0.81
est $0.62
+30.0%$1.03B
est $995.0M
+3.2%+5.7%
Jun 4, 2025$0.86
est $0.83
+3.5%$970.5M
est $966.5M
+0.4%+4.8%
Mar 19, 2025$3.48
est $3.38
+3.0%$1.39B
est $1.39B
+0.3%+3.0%
Dec 4, 2024$0.42
est $0.17
+147.1%$843.7M
est $801.5M
+5.3%+12.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Five Below stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Five Below is $310.95, +36.4% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$310.95consensus 12-month target, +36.4% from the last close
Low $235High $420
Buy14
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25Goldman SachsBuy, reiterated$306+34.2%
Sep 22BernsteinBuy, maintained$272+19.3%
Sep 14Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$306+34.2%
Sep 11BarclaysHold, maintained$254+11.4%
Sep 8Telsey AdvisoryBuy, maintained$305+33.8%
−0.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Five Below seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Five Below averaged +2.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+3.4%2021+6.5%2022+5.5%2023+3.1%2024+3.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.6%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.4%3 of 5

For scale, FIVE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.3%.

Five Below market cap and key statistics

Five Below’s market cap is $12.61B, with a P/E ratio of 20 and revenue of $5.31B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$12.61B
P/E ratio
20
Forward P/E
22.1
EPS, TTM
$11.15
Gekko Fair Value
$231.17

Trading

Volume
910,212
Avg volume, 20 days
1.27M
52-week high
$263.88
52-week low
$137.77
Shares outstanding
55.05M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.31B
Profit margin
11.7%
Return on equity
28.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+418.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.99
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.3%

Five Below peers

Five Below’s 2 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DGDollar General+1.1%Neutral28.0% below
DLTRDollar Tree+2.8%Accumulation10.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Five Below stock FAQ

What is Five Below’s market cap?

Five Below’s market cap is $12.61B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $228.00, with 55.05M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.

What is the Five Below stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Five Below is $310.95, +36.4% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Five Below stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Five Below is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $228.00 is 1.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $231.17. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Five Below report earnings next?

Five Below is expected to report on Dec 2, 2026, after the market closes (64 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.12 per share on revenue of $1.22B. Five Below beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.1% on average across the report.

What is Five Below’s 52-week high and low?

Five Below’s 52-week high is $263.88 and its 52-week low is $137.77; it closed at $228.00 on Sep 28, 2026, +50.3% over the past year.

Is Five Below stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Five Below?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Five Below over the last 30 days, with $315K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 24, 2026 with $315K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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