NYSE: FND

Floor & Decor (FND) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$46.36−0.70 (−1.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news centers on Floor & Decor's competitive positioning and store network expansion, with one comparison piece weighing the company against Home Depot on Pro exposure, digital growth, store expansion and category specialization. Separately, the company announced a new store opening in Fredericksburg, VA, and plans to relocate its Clearwater, Florida location to a new US-19 North site, both part of its ongoing footprint growth.

FND closed at $46.36, down 1.5%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $53.03 and 200-day average of $56.85, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at -13.1% and its one-year return at -39.8%, with a 52-week range spanning $42.64 to $77.78. The GekkoIndex reads 64.1, placing it in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 16.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $55.25.

Earnings are scheduled for 28 October 2026 after close, 29 days out and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 30 July showed adjusted EPS of $0.58 against a $0.57 estimate, with a 3.2% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Seasonality from this point has averaged -5.6% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst consensus among 17 firms includes 6 buy, 10 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $58.59.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Floor & Decor price vs fair value

$55.25$46.36Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $46.36200-day averageGekko Fair Value $55.25

Floor & Decor quick facts

Market cap
$4.94B
P/E ratio
22
Forward P/E
32.8
EPS, TTM
$2.14
Revenue, TTM
$4.71B
Profit margin
4.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.55
Volume
2.83M avg 2.60M
1-year return
−39.8%
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±8.4%
50-day average
$53.03
200-day average
$56.85
Next earnings
Oct 28 after close
Shares outstanding
106.5M
52-week range
$42.64$77.78

Floor & Decor swing-trade checklist

Floor & Decor scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $46.36 is below the 50-day ($53.03) and 200-day ($56.85) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.1, Accumulation

    Reading 64.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    16.1% below

    Price is 16.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −5.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −5.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Floor & Decor stock chart and price history

Floor & Decor closed at $46.36 on Sep 28, 2026, −39.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $42.64 to $77.78.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Floor & Decor share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$50$60$70$80NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep46.36

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−13.1%
3 months
−20.8%
6 months
−7.8%
1 year
−39.8%
The full FND chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FND in Gekko

Follow Floor & Decor through every session

Put FND on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Floor & Decor

Floor & Decor is a retailer and distributor of hard surface flooring, offering tile, wood, laminate, vinyl and natural stone alongside the trim, tools and installation supplies that accompany a flooring job. Customers can shop in its warehouse-style stores, visit its design studios, or order through its online site. The business is known for combining a large in-person shopping experience with the kind of supply relationships more typical of a distributor.

Its buyer base spans three groups: homeowners tackling their own renovation work, licensed installers who fit flooring for others, and businesses purchasing on a commercial basis. By serving all three at once, the company blends retail-style sales with bulk trade transactions within the same operation.

The company traces its start to 2000, when it operated under the name FDO Holdings, Inc., before it became Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. in 2017. It runs its operations from Atlanta, Georgia, and its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker FND.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Home improvement chains
Website
flooranddecor.com

Floor & Decor GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Floor & Decor’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.1, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.9 points over five sessions.

010064.1Accumulation

Down 4.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying64−1.0%−1.7%+1.2%+3.2%
Accumulation (current zone)255−0.1%−0.1%−0.7%−1.4%
Neutral330−0.5%−1.2%−2.9%−8.5%
Distribution20−1.0%−3.1%−3.8%−9.5%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average FND share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FND price, zone by zone.Track FND in Gekko

Is Floor & Decor stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Floor & Decor trades 16.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $55.25, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Floor & Decor shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$55.25

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

16.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FND in Gekko

Floor & Decor insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Floor & Decor, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FND in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FND insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FND in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FND were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FND, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FND in Gekko

Buybacks

Floor & Decor has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$400.0M, Apr 30, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 25, 2026
$65.70M
As a share of market cap
1.33%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds FND.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Floor & Decor earnings: next date and track record

Floor & Decor reports on Oct 28, 2026, after the close (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.9%Oct ’24−1.1%Feb ’25+3.7%May ’250.0%Jul ’25−9.6%Oct ’25−1.4%Feb ’26+6.1%Apr ’26+3.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Floor & Decor reported Q2 2026 total sales of $1,250.3M, up 3% YoY, with adjusted diluted EPS of $0.58, flat versus prior year. Comparable store sales declined 2.1%, an improvement from Q1's 3.7% decline, with sequential monthly improvement: -5.1% in April, -1.3% in May, -0.3% in June. Pro sales grew ~4% YoY, representing 55% of total sales. The company repurchased $65.7M in stock during the quarter.
Guidance
Q3 2026 comparable store sales are down 2.2% to date, though management noted improving trends in late July and early August. Management continues navigating a constrained housing market while investing in strategic priorities and long-term growth.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$0.58
est $0.57
+1.8%$1.25B
est $1.23B
+1.5%+3.2%
Apr 30, 2026$0.37
est $0.41
−9.8%$1.15B
est $1.19B
−2.9%+6.1%
Feb 19, 2026$0.36
est $0.35
+3.2%$1.13B
est $1.13B
−0.3%−1.4%
Oct 30, 2025$0.53
est $0.46
+16.3%$1.18B
est $1.18B
−0.3%−9.6%
Jul 31, 2025$0.58
est $0.57
+1.8%$1.21B
est $1.18B
+2.5%0.0%
May 1, 2025$0.45
est $0.45
0.0%$1.16B
est $1.16B
−0.3%+3.7%
Feb 20, 2025$0.39
est $0.25
+56.0%$1.11B
est $1.08B
+2.1%−1.1%
Oct 30, 2024$0.48
est $0.43
+11.6%$1.12B
est $1.08B
+3.9%+2.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Floor & Decor stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Floor & Decor is $58.59, +26.4% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$58.59consensus 12-month target, +26.4% from the last close
Low $41High $75
Buy6
Hold10
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15Goldman SachsHold, maintained$53+14.3%
Aug 20JefferiesHold, maintained$59+27.3%
Aug 4J.P. MorganHold, maintained$59+27.3%
Aug 4Telsey AdvisoryBuy, maintained$68+46.7%
Aug 3TD CowenHold, maintained$58+25.1%
−0.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−5.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Floor & Decor seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Floor & Decor averaged −5.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.8%2021+0.7%2022−14.3%2023−18.0%2024−3.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−4.1%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−6.3%0 of 5
Next 15 trading days−6.0%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−5.6%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−7.4%2 of 5

For scale, FND’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.4%.

Floor & Decor market cap and key statistics

Floor & Decor’s market cap is $4.94B, with a P/E ratio of 22 and revenue of $4.71B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.94B
P/E ratio
22
Forward P/E
32.8
EPS, TTM
$2.14
Gekko Fair Value
$55.25

Trading

Volume
2.83M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.60M
52-week high
$77.78
52-week low
$42.64
Shares outstanding
106.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.71B
Profit margin
4.9%
Return on equity
9.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+53.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.55
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±8.4%

Floor & Decor stock news this week

3 headlines about Floor & Decor from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Floor & Decor peers

Floor & Decor’s 3 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
HDHome Depot−0.1%Buying9.2% below
LOWLowe's Companies+0.3%Buying6.3% below
BLDRBuilders FirstSource−0.1%Accumulation37.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Floor & Decor stock FAQ

What is Floor & Decor’s market cap?

Floor & Decor’s market cap is $4.94B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $46.36, with 106.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.

What is the Floor & Decor stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Floor & Decor is $58.59, +26.4% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Floor & Decor stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Floor & Decor is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $46.36 is 16.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $55.25. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Floor & Decor report earnings next?

Floor & Decor is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.58 per share on revenue of $1.22B. Floor & Decor beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.5% on average across the report.

What is Floor & Decor’s 52-week high and low?

Floor & Decor’s 52-week high is $77.78 and its 52-week low is $42.64; it closed at $46.36 on Sep 28, 2026, −39.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $145.89 on Nov 4, 2021.

Is Floor & Decor stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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