NYSE: TJX

TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

TJX Companies, Inc. (The). Retail trade sector, apparel/footwear retail industry. Market cap $140.6B.

$127.24+0.69 (+0.5%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

TJX closes at $127.24, up 0.5%, well below both its 50-day average of $145.29 and 200-day average of $153.65, with the shorter average sitting under the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 69.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, though the reading has slipped 3.9 points over the last five sessions. Shares sit 4.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $133.65, a gap of less than 5%. Over the past year the stock is down 9.1%, with steeper declines of 22.3% over three months and 17.7% over six months.

This week's news centers on governance and shareholder returns rather than operating results. TJX added Craig A. Pintoff, an executive from United Rentals, to its board effective 16 September, and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.48 per share, payable 3 December to shareholders of record on 12 November, an annualized $1.92 with a payout ratio of 38.7%. CEO Ernie Herrman also commented that the company's "hold and flow" distribution model offers flexibility to manage inventory around unpredictable events such as El Niño. Shares rose 3.02% in regular trading and were trending after-hours following this news, though the stock remains down about 10.1% since its last earnings report on 19 August.

The next earnings date falls on 18 November, 59 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the last report showed EPS of $1.36 against a $1.18 estimate, with a 6.7% reaction, and TJX has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.7% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows, while analyst coverage from 18 firms remains skewed toward buy ratings, with a consensus target of $169.80.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $127.24200-day averageGekko Fair Value $133.65

Key stats

Market cap
$140.6B
P/E ratio
22.7
Forward P/E
23.3
EPS, TTM
$5.57
Revenue, TTM
$62.36B
Profit margin
9.7%
Dividend yield
1.47%
Beta
0.59
Volume
17.34M avg 8.95M
1-year return
−9.1%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±3.7%
50-day average
$145.29
200-day average
$153.65
Next earnings
Nov 18
Shares outstanding
1.10B
52-week range
$122.78$170.00

TJX Companies swing-trade checklist

TJX Companies scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $127.24 is below the 50-day ($145.29) and 200-day ($153.65) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.5, Accumulation

    Reading 69.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.8% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.8% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 59 days

    Next report Nov 18, 2026, 59 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −0.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

TJX Companies stock chart and price history

TJX Companies closed at $127.24 on Sep 18, 2026, −9.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $122.78 to $170.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−11.9%
3 months
−22.3%
6 months
−17.7%
1 year
−9.1%
The full TJX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TJX in Gekko

Follow TJX Companies through every session

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About TJX Companies

TJX Companies runs a chain of off-price stores that sell discounted clothing and items for the home to everyday shoppers. Its merchandise spans apparel for men, women and kids, footwear and accessories, plus furniture, lighting, rugs, linens, dinnerware and kitchen tools. The retailer has also added pet supplies, children's goods and specialty food to its lineup, along with jewelry and other general merchandise.

The company organizes its operations into four segments: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada and TJX International. These segments run store banners such as T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods, Sierra and Homesense in the United States, Winners, HomeSense and Marshalls in Canada, T.K. Maxx and Homesense in Europe, and T.K. Maxx in Australia, with several of these banners also selling through their own websites.

TJX Companies traces its founding back to 1962 and keeps its main offices in Framingham, Massachusetts. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker TJX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Apparel/Footwear retail
Website
tjx.com

TJX Companies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

TJX Companies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.9 points over five sessions.

010069.5Accumulation

Down 3.9 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying28−0.2%+0.1%+8.5%+3.9%
Accumulation (current zone)152+0.6%+1.5%+3.1%+6.9%
Neutral441+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%+2.9%
Distribution40−0.6%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average TJX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TJX price, zone by zone.Track TJX in Gekko

Is TJX Companies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

TJX Companies trades 4.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $133.65, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what TJX Companies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$133.65

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

4.8% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TJX in Gekko

TJX Companies insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TJX Companies, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TJX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TJX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TJX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TJX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TJX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TJX in Gekko

Buybacks

TJX Companies has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
$814.0M
As a share of market cap
0.58%
Trailing four quarters
$2.80B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds TJX.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

TJX Companies earnings: next date and track record

TJX Companies reports on Nov 18, 2026 (59 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.6%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.2%Nov ’24+0.6%Feb ’25−4.0%May ’25+2.1%Aug ’25+1.7%Nov ’25+0.7%Feb ’26+4.5%May ’26−6.7%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 19, 2026 AI summary

What they said
TJX reported Q2 FY27 consolidated comparable sales growth of 4%, exceeding plan, driven by 6-7% comps at three divisions offsetting Marmaxx's disappointing 1% comp growth. Adjusted diluted EPS of $1.22 rose 11% year-over-year, well above plan. Adjusted pretax profit margin expanded 50 basis points to 11.9%, with gross margin up 70 basis points to 31.4%, aided by tariff favorability. Marmaxx underperformance was attributed to self-inflicted execution issues in store merchandise mix.
Guidance
TJX raised its full-year outlook for pretax profit margin and EPS following strong Q2 profitability. Management noted Q3 is off to a strong start with improving Marmaxx trends, and expects further improvement by the holiday selling season.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 19, 2026$1.36
est $1.18
+15.3%$15.18B
est $15.17B
+0.1%−6.7%
May 20, 2026$0.00
est $1.01
−100.0%$14.32B
est $14.02B
+2.2%+4.5%
Feb 25, 2026$1.43
est $1.39
+2.9%$17.74B
est $17.36B
+2.2%+0.7%
Nov 19, 2025$1.28
est $1.23
+4.1%$15.12B
est $14.85B
+1.8%+1.7%
Aug 20, 2025$1.10
est $1.01
+8.9%$14.40B
est $14.14B
+1.8%+2.1%
May 21, 2025$0.92
est $0.92
+0.5%$13.11B
est $13.02B
+0.7%−4.0%
Feb 26, 2025$1.23
est $1.17
+5.1%$16.35B
est $16.21B
+0.9%+0.6%
Nov 20, 2024$1.14
est $1.10
+3.6%$14.06B
est $13.95B
+0.8%+0.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

TJX Companies stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for TJX Companies is $169.80, +33.4% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$169.80consensus 12-month target, +33.4% from the last close
Low $140High $198
Buy14
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 14Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$175+37.5%
Sep 10BarclaysBuy, maintained$188+47.8%
Sep 2Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$178+39.9%
Sep 1JefferiesHold, maintained$145+14.0%
Aug 31GuggenheimBuy, maintained$152+19.5%
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

TJX Companies seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, TJX Companies averaged −0.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−6.5%2021+0.5%2022−0.4%2023−0.7%2024+2.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.3%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.1%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days0.0%2 of 5

For scale, TJX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.7%.

TJX Companies market cap and key statistics

TJX Companies’s market cap is $140.6B, with a P/E ratio of 22.7 and revenue of $62.36B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$140.6B
P/E ratio
22.7
Forward P/E
23.3
EPS, TTM
$5.57
Gekko Fair Value
$133.65

Trading

Volume
17.34M
Avg volume, 20 days
8.95M
52-week high
$170.00
52-week low
$122.78
Shares outstanding
1.10B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$62.36B
Profit margin
9.7%
Return on equity
62.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+23.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.59
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±3.7%
Dividend yield
1.47%

TJX Companies stock news this week

Coverage of TJX Companies this week reads positive: 15 positive, 5 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

TJX Companies peers

TJX Companies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ROSTRoss Stores−0.8%Accumulation12.1% above
TPRTapestry−0.6%Accumulation2.5% below
BURLBurlington Stores−0.9%Buying29.8% below
GAPGap−1.3%Accumulation40.7% below
URBNUrban Outfitters−0.7%Accumulation12.9% above
ANFAbercrombie & Fitch−0.8%Neutral12.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

TJX Companies stock FAQ

What is TJX Companies’s market cap?

TJX Companies’s market cap is $140.6B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $127.24, with 1.10B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.7.

What is the TJX Companies stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for TJX Companies is $169.80, +33.4% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is TJX Companies stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate TJX Companies is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $127.24 is 4.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $133.65. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does TJX Companies report earnings next?

TJX Companies is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026 (59 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.33 per share on revenue of $15.86B. TJX Companies beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.6% on average across the report.

What is TJX Companies’s 52-week high and low?

TJX Companies’s 52-week high is $170.00 and its 52-week low is $122.78; it closed at $127.24 on Sep 18, 2026, −9.1% over the past year.

Is TJX Companies stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (fair value and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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