NYSE: TJX

TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$144.76+7.13 (+5.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

TJX confirmed it will report third-quarter Fiscal 2027 results on 18 November, with CEO Ernie Herrman hosting a call that morning, ahead of a preview noting discount retail is expected to retain appeal even as shares remain roughly flat on the year. Separately, TJX paid $674,526 in back wages to 7,577 New York workers following a wage investigation tied to a Bronx Marshalls visit. A Form 4 filing on 1 November disclosed an insider ownership change.

TJX closed at $144.76, up 5.2%, sitting between its 50-day average of $135.74 and 200-day average of $150.96, with a one-month return of 5.6% but a three-month decline of 10.7%. The GekkoIndex reads 55.3, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 3.5 over five days. Price sits 8.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $133.15.

The next earnings date falls on 18 November, 13 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior release on 19 August saw adjusted EPS of $1.36 beat the $1.18 estimate, yet shares reacted -6.7%, with average absolute reactions around 2.6% across eight quarters of mostly beats. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 3 buys and 0 sells. Seasonality from this point in the calendar shows a 5.3% average 20-day return across 5 years, with gains in 4 of them. Consensus among 19 firms includes 14 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a target of $171.42.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

TJX Companies price vs fair value

$144.76$133.15Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $144.76200-day averageGekko Fair Value $133.15

TJX Companies quick facts

Market cap
$159.2B
P/E ratio
26.1
Forward P/E
24.2
EPS, TTM
$5.40
Revenue, TTM
$62.36B
Profit margin
9.7%
Dividend yield
1.29%
Beta
0.59
Volume
6.84M avg 5.80M
1-year return
+3.1%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±3.7%
50-day average
$135.74
200-day average
$150.96
Next earnings
Nov 18
Shares outstanding
1.10B
52-week range
$122.78$170.00

TJX Companies swing-trade checklist

TJX Companies scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $144.76 sits between the 50-day ($135.74) and 200-day ($150.96) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    55.3, Neutral

    Reading 55.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    8.7% above

    Price is 8.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 3 buys / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 13 days

    Reports on Nov 18, 2026, 13 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

TJX Companies stock chart and price history

TJX Companies closed at $144.76 on Nov 4, 2026, +3.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $122.78 to $170.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
TJX Companies share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$130$140$150$160$170DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct144.76

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+5.6%
3 months
−10.7%
6 months
−6.9%
1 year
+3.1%
The full TJX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TJX in Gekko

Follow TJX Companies through every session

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About TJX Companies

TJX Companies runs a chain of off-price stores that sell discounted clothing and items for the home to everyday shoppers. Its merchandise spans apparel for men, women and kids, footwear and accessories, plus furniture, lighting, rugs, linens, dinnerware and kitchen tools. The retailer has also added pet supplies, children's goods and specialty food to its lineup, along with jewelry and other general merchandise.

The company organizes its operations into four segments: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada and TJX International. These segments run store banners such as T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods, Sierra and Homesense in the United States, Winners, HomeSense and Marshalls in Canada, T.K. Maxx and Homesense in Europe, and T.K. Maxx in Australia, with several of these banners also selling through their own websites.

TJX Companies traces its founding back to 1962 and keeps its main offices in Framingham, Massachusetts. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker TJX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Apparel/Footwear retail
Website
tjx.com

TJX Companies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

TJX Companies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.3, in the Neutral zone, down 3.5 points over five sessions.

010055.3Neutral

Down 3.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying37+0.1%+0.3%+4.9%+3.3%
Accumulation161+0.7%+1.8%+3.1%+4.7%
Neutral (current zone)456+0.3%+0.4%+0.4%+2.4%
Distribution42−0.7%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average TJX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TJX price, zone by zone.Track TJX in Gekko

Is TJX Companies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

TJX Companies trades 8.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $133.15, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what TJX Companies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$133.15

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

8.7% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$133$138Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TJX in Gekko

TJX Companies insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TJX Companies, and members of Congress disclosed 3 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TJX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TJX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TJX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

3trades disclosed: 3 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$15,001 - $50,000Oct 9
traded Sep 11
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$15,001 - $50,000Oct 9
traded Sep 4

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

TJX Companies has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
$814.0M
As a share of market cap
0.51%
Trailing four quarters
$2.80B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds TJX.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

TJX Companies earnings: next date and track record

TJX Companies reports on Nov 18, 2026 (13 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.6%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.2%Nov ’24+0.6%Feb ’25−4.0%May ’25+2.1%Aug ’25+1.7%Nov ’25+0.7%Feb ’26+4.5%May ’26−6.7%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 19, 2026 AI summary

What they said
TJX reported Q2 FY27 consolidated comparable sales growth of 4%, exceeding plan, driven by 6-7% comps at three divisions offsetting Marmaxx's disappointing 1% comp growth. Adjusted diluted EPS of $1.22 rose 11% year-over-year, well above plan. Adjusted pretax profit margin expanded 50 basis points to 11.9%, with gross margin up 70 basis points to 31.4%, aided by tariff favorability. Marmaxx underperformance was attributed to self-inflicted execution issues in store merchandise mix.
Guidance
TJX raised its full-year outlook for pretax profit margin and EPS following strong Q2 profitability. Management noted Q3 is off to a strong start with improving Marmaxx trends, and expects further improvement by the holiday selling season.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 19, 2026$1.36
est $1.18
+15.3%$15.18B
est $15.17B
+0.1%−6.7%
May 20, 2026$0.00
est $1.01
−100.0%$14.32B
est $14.02B
+2.2%+4.5%
Feb 25, 2026$1.43
est $1.39
+2.9%$17.74B
est $17.36B
+2.2%+0.7%
Nov 19, 2025$1.28
est $1.23
+4.1%$15.12B
est $14.85B
+1.8%+1.7%
Aug 20, 2025$1.10
est $1.01
+8.9%$14.40B
est $14.14B
+1.8%+2.1%
May 21, 2025$0.92
est $0.92
+0.5%$13.11B
est $13.02B
+0.7%−4.0%
Feb 26, 2025$1.23
est $1.17
+5.1%$16.35B
est $16.21B
+0.9%+0.6%
Nov 20, 2024$1.14
est $1.10
+3.6%$14.06B
est $13.95B
+0.8%+0.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

TJX Companies stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for TJX Companies is $171.42, +18.4% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$171.42consensus 12-month target, +18.4% from the last close
Low $140High $198
Buy14
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 27Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$170+17.4%
Oct 21Wolfe ResearchHold, initiated——
Oct 20Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Oct 8Erste GroupHold, maintained——
Oct 7Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$178+23.0%
+0.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

TJX Companies seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, TJX Companies averaged +5.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.4%2021+11.6%2022−3.1%2023+10.7%2024+5.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.9%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.2%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.3%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.7%4 of 5

For scale, TJX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.7%.

TJX Companies market cap and key statistics

TJX Companies’s market cap is $159.2B, with a P/E ratio of 26.1 and revenue of $62.36B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$159.2B
P/E ratio
26.1
Forward P/E
24.2
EPS, TTM
$5.40
Gekko Fair Value
$133.15

Trading

Volume
6.84M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.80M
52-week high
$170.00
52-week low
$122.78
Shares outstanding
1.10B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$62.36B
Profit margin
9.7%
Return on equity
62.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+23.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.59
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±3.7%
Dividend yield
1.29%

TJX Companies stock news this week

Coverage of TJX Companies this week reads positive: 8 positive, 8 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

TJX Companies peers

TJX Companies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ROSTRoss Stores+3.4%Neutral22.1% above
TPRTapestry+1.9%Neutral11.6% above
BURLBurlington Stores+4.6%Accumulation14.5% below
GAPGap+5.6%Neutral32.8% below
URBNUrban Outfitters+3.1%Neutral30.6% above
ANFAbercrombie & Fitch+6.3%Neutral8.0% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Apparel/Footwear retail

TJX Companies stock FAQ

What is TJX Companies’s market cap?

TJX Companies’s market cap is $159.2B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $144.76, with 1.10B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 26.1.

What is the TJX Companies stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for TJX Companies is $171.42, +18.4% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is TJX Companies stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate TJX Companies is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $144.76 is 8.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $133.15. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does TJX Companies report earnings next?

TJX Companies is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026 (13 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.34 per share on revenue of $15.86B. TJX Companies beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.6% on average across the report.

What is TJX Companies’s 52-week high and low?

TJX Companies’s 52-week high is $170.00 and its 52-week low is $122.78; it closed at $144.76 on Nov 4, 2026, +3.1% over the past year.

Is TJX Companies stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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