NASDAQ: ROST

Ross Stores (ROST) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$245.74+14.14 (+6.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Ross Stores shares rose this week after UBS upgraded the stock from Neutral to Buy, lifting its price target from $239 to $315, pointing to CEO James Conroy's productivity plan aimed at improving merchandising, store operations and marketing to narrow the gap with TJ Maxx. Wall Street Zen also upgraded the stock to "buy" from "hold," reinforcing a consensus "Moderate Buy" view with an average price target of $272.06. Shares were noted trading 3.12% above the latest UBS quote, with the stock still sitting 10.28% below its 52-week high of $257.00 as of 2 November.

ROST closed at $245.74, up 6.1%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $230.90 and 200-day average of $223.07, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 50.5, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down from a reading 9.9 points higher five sessions ago. Price sits 22.1% above the Gekko Fair Value of $201.18.

Ross Stores reports earnings on 19 November, 14 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw EPS of $2.06 against an estimate of $1.93 with a 1.9% reaction, part of a stretch of 8 beats over 8 quarters, though average absolute reactions have run 5.1%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 9.4% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, higher in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the earnings date and current valuation gap.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Ross Stores price vs fair value

$245.74$201.18Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $245.74200-day averageGekko Fair Value $201.18

Ross Stores quick facts

Market cap
$78.83B
P/E ratio
27.6
Forward P/E
25.6
EPS, TTM
$8.35
Revenue, TTM
$24.51B
Profit margin
10.8%
Dividend yield
0.74%
Beta
0.85
Volume
3.15M avg 2.11M
1-year return
+52.4%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$230.90
200-day average
$223.07
Next earnings
Nov 19 after close
Shares outstanding
320.8M
52-week range
$157.73$257.00

Ross Stores swing-trade checklist

Ross Stores scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $245.74 is above the 50-day ($230.90) and 200-day ($223.07) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    50.5, Neutral

    Reading 50.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    22.1% above

    Price is 22.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 14 days

    Reports on Nov 19, 2026, 14 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +9.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ross Stores stock chart and price history

Ross Stores closed at $245.74 on Nov 4, 2026, +52.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $157.73 to $257.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ross Stores share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$150$175$200$225DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct245.74

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+9.6%
3 months
−3.4%
6 months
+7.4%
1 year
+52.4%
The full ROST chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ROST in Gekko

Follow Ross Stores through every session

Put ROST on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Ross Stores

Ross Stores operates discount retail chains that sell clothing, accessories, shoes and items for the home. It runs two separate store brands for this business, Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS, both built around selling everyday goods at reduced prices rather than full retail rates.

Each brand is aimed at a different shopper. Ross Dress for Less markets to buyers with middle-range incomes, undercutting the prices found at standard department and specialty chains. dd's DISCOUNTS is pitched toward households with more modest incomes, keeping its price points beneath those of ordinary department and discount outlets. Together the two chains give the company a large footprint of stores spread across dozens of states as well as the District of Columbia and Guam.

The company traces its founding to 1957 and keeps its headquarters in Dublin, California. It is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ROST.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Apparel/Footwear retail
Website
rossstores.com

Ross Stores GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ross Stores’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.5, in the Neutral zone, down 9.9 points over five sessions.

010050.5Neutral

Down 9.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+0.6%+1.4%+5.0%+11.8%
Accumulation184+0.8%+1.5%+3.0%+5.8%
Neutral (current zone)406+0.4%+0.9%+1.4%+3.7%
Distribution69−0.7%−1.3%−1.8%−1.7%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average ROST share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ROST price, zone by zone.Track ROST in Gekko

Is Ross Stores stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ross Stores trades 22.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $201.18, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ross Stores shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$201.18

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

22.1% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 12.2% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$201$232Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ROST in Gekko

Ross Stores insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ross Stores, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ROST in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ROST insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ROST in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ROST were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ROST, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ROST in Gekko

Buybacks

Ross Stores has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
$321.2M
As a share of market cap
0.41%
Trailing four quarters
$1.23B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ROST.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Ross Stores earnings: next date and track record

Ross Stores reports on Nov 19, 2026, after the close (14 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.1%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.9%Nov ’24+1.3%Mar ’25−10.1%May ’25+0.6%Aug ’25+8.4%Nov ’25+5.5%Mar ’26+7.8%May ’26+1.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 20, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ross Stores reported Q2 2026 total sales of $6.3 billion, up 13% YoY, with comparable store sales growing 10% for the second consecutive quarter of double-digit comp growth. Customer traffic was the primary driver, with gains from new, lapsed, and existing customers across all demographics. Gross margin improved 625 basis points, aided by 405 basis points in tariff refunds and 110 basis points in merchandise margin improvement. Home and cosmetics led merchandise categories; Midwest led geographically.
Guidance
Ross increased planned store openings to 115 locations in 2026, up from prior guidance of 110, with 5-10 relocations/closures also planned. Management expressed confidence in continued market share gains and sustained sales momentum driven by merchandising, marketing, and store experience initiatives.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 20, 2026$2.06
est $1.93
+6.7%$6.26B
est $6.16B
+1.7%+1.9%
May 21, 2026$2.02
est $1.72
+17.4%$6.01B
est $5.64B
+6.5%+7.8%
Mar 3, 2026$2.00
est $1.90
+5.3%$6.64B
est $6.41B
+3.4%+5.5%
Nov 20, 2025$1.58
est $1.42
+11.3%$5.60B
est $5.42B
+3.4%+8.4%
Aug 21, 2025$1.56
est $1.53
+2.0%$5.53B
est $5.54B
−0.3%+0.6%
May 22, 2025$1.47
est $1.44
+2.1%$4.98B
est $4.96B
+0.5%−10.1%
Mar 4, 2025$1.79
est $1.66
+7.8%$5.91B
est $5.94B
−0.5%+1.3%
Nov 21, 2024$1.48
est $1.40
+5.7%$5.07B
est $5.15B
−1.5%+4.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ross Stores stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ross Stores is $271.83, +10.6% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$271.83consensus 12-month target, +10.6% from the last close
Low $234High $315
Buy14
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 27Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$258+5.0%
Oct 26UBSBuy, upgraded$315+28.2%
Oct 21Wolfe ResearchBuy, initiated$279+13.5%
Oct 13BernsteinHold, maintained$240−2.3%
Sep 25CitiBuy, reiterated——
+1.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+9.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ross Stores seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Ross Stores averaged +9.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−6.3%2021+25.0%2022+8.3%2023+9.3%2024+9.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.8%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.3%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+8.7%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+9.4%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.1%4 of 5

For scale, ROST’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.

Ross Stores market cap and key statistics

Ross Stores’s market cap is $78.83B, with a P/E ratio of 27.6 and revenue of $24.51B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$78.83B
P/E ratio
27.6
Forward P/E
25.6
EPS, TTM
$8.35
Gekko Fair Value
$201.18

Trading

Volume
3.15M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.11M
52-week high
$257.00
52-week low
$157.73
Shares outstanding
320.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$24.51B
Profit margin
10.8%
Return on equity
42.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+70.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.85
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
Dividend yield
0.74%

Ross Stores stock news this week

Coverage of Ross Stores this week reads positive: 9 positive, 4 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Ross Stores peers

Ross Stores’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TJXTJX Companies+2.3%Neutral8.7% above
TPRTapestry+1.9%Neutral11.6% above
BURLBurlington Stores+4.6%Accumulation14.5% below
GAPGap+5.6%Neutral32.8% below
URBNUrban Outfitters+3.1%Neutral30.6% above
ANFAbercrombie & Fitch+6.3%Neutral8.0% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Apparel/Footwear retail

Ross Stores stock FAQ

What is Ross Stores’s market cap?

Ross Stores’s market cap is $78.83B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $245.74, with 320.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 27.6.

What is the Ross Stores stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ross Stores is $271.83, +10.6% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ross Stores stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ross Stores is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $245.74 is 22.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $201.18. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ross Stores report earnings next?

Ross Stores is expected to report on Nov 19, 2026, after the market closes (14 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.85 per share on revenue of $6.21B. Ross Stores beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.1% on average across the report.

What is Ross Stores’s 52-week high and low?

Ross Stores’s 52-week high is $257.00 and its 52-week low is $157.73; it closed at $245.74 on Nov 4, 2026, +52.4% over the past year.

Is Ross Stores stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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