NASDAQ: ROST

Ross Stores (ROST) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Ross Stores, Inc. Retail trade sector, apparel/footwear retail industry. Market cap $72.69B.

$226.61−2.87 (−1.3%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Ross Stores closes at $226.61, down 1.3%, sitting between its 50-day average of $236.98 and 200-day average of $215.17. The GekkoIndex reads 65.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price stands 12.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $202.11.

Recent attention centers on portfolio activity and board changes. Nykredit A/S disclosed a new $33.04 million investment in Ross Stores after purchasing 155,218 shares, citing quarterly results showing revenue up 13.3% year-over-year with EPS beating estimates. Separately, the company announced board changes effective 1 October 2026: Shelley H. Bransten and Christian B. Johnson join as directors while Sharon D. Garrett retires after serving since 2000, expanding the board to ten members. Coverage also notes Ross Stores and Target drawing shoppers from rivals amid value-seeking demand, alongside commentary on strong closeout supply benefiting off-price retailers. The company further announced a $500 million investment to build a 1.75 million-square-foot distribution center in southeast Bakersfield, expected to break ground in 2027 and create nearly 1,000 jobs.

The next earnings date falls on 19 November 2026, after the close, 60 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window. The last report on 20 August showed EPS of $2.06 versus a $1.93 estimate, with an 8-for-8 beat streak and a 1.9% reaction, against an average absolute reaction of 5.1%. Over the last 30 days, one unusual options signal registered, with put premium of $2,432,570 against zero call premium. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.8% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst consensus holds 12 buy and 5 hold ratings among 17 firms, with a consensus target of $269.94.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $226.61200-day averageGekko Fair Value $202.11

Key stats

Market cap
$72.69B
P/E ratio
27.7
Forward P/E
26.5
EPS, TTM
$8.28
Revenue, TTM
$24.51B
Profit margin
10.8%
Dividend yield
0.76%
Beta
0.86
Volume
3.96M avg 2.28M
1-year return
+54.5%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
50-day average
$236.98
200-day average
$215.17
Next earnings
Nov 19 after close
Shares outstanding
320.8M
52-week range
$143.39$257.00

Ross Stores swing-trade checklist

Ross Stores scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $226.61 sits between the 50-day ($236.98) and 200-day ($215.17) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.1, Accumulation

    Reading 65.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    12.1% above

    Price is 12.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 60 days

    Next report Nov 19, 2026, 60 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ross Stores stock chart and price history

Ross Stores closed at $226.61 on Sep 18, 2026, +54.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $143.39 to $257.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.4%
3 months
−2.7%
6 months
+7.6%
1 year
+54.5%
The full ROST chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ROST in Gekko

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About Ross Stores

Ross Stores operates discount retail chains that sell clothing, accessories, shoes and items for the home. It runs two separate store brands for this business, Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS, both built around selling everyday goods at reduced prices rather than full retail rates.

Each brand is aimed at a different shopper. Ross Dress for Less markets to buyers with middle-range incomes, undercutting the prices found at standard department and specialty chains. dd's DISCOUNTS is pitched toward households with more modest incomes, keeping its price points beneath those of ordinary department and discount outlets. Together the two chains give the company a large footprint of stores spread across dozens of states as well as the District of Columbia and Guam.

The company traces its founding to 1957 and keeps its headquarters in Dublin, California. It is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ROST.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Apparel/Footwear retail
Website
rossstores.com

Ross Stores GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ross Stores’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.4 points over five sessions.

010065.1Accumulation

Up 1.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+0.6%+1.4%+5.0%+11.8%
Accumulation (current zone)165+0.7%+1.4%+3.5%+6.1%
Neutral390+0.5%+1.0%+1.5%+3.9%
Distribution69−0.7%−1.3%−1.8%−0.4%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average ROST share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ROST price, zone by zone.Track ROST in Gekko

Is Ross Stores stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ross Stores trades 12.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $202.11, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ross Stores shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$202.11

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

12.1% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ROST in Gekko

Ross Stores insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ross Stores, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ROST in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ROST insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ROST in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ROST were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ROST, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ROST in Gekko

Buybacks

Ross Stores has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
$321.2M
As a share of market cap
0.44%
Trailing four quarters
$1.23B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 0% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Aug 26, $2.43M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ROST.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Ross Stores earnings: next date and track record

Ross Stores reports on Nov 19, 2026, after the close (60 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.1%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.9%Nov ’24+1.3%Mar ’25−10.1%May ’25+0.6%Aug ’25+8.4%Nov ’25+5.5%Mar ’26+7.8%May ’26+1.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 20, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ross Stores reported Q2 2026 total sales of $6.3 billion, up 13% YoY, with comparable store sales growing 10% for the second consecutive quarter of double-digit comp growth. Customer traffic was the primary driver, with gains from new, lapsed, and existing customers across all demographics. Gross margin improved 625 basis points, aided by 405 basis points in tariff refunds and 110 basis points in merchandise margin improvement. Home and cosmetics led merchandise categories; Midwest led geographically.
Guidance
Ross increased planned store openings to 115 locations in 2026, up from prior guidance of 110, with 5-10 relocations/closures also planned. Management expressed confidence in continued market share gains and sustained sales momentum driven by merchandising, marketing, and store experience initiatives.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 20, 2026$2.06
est $1.93
+6.7%$6.26B
est $6.16B
+1.7%+1.9%
May 21, 2026$2.02
est $1.72
+17.4%$6.01B
est $5.64B
+6.5%+7.8%
Mar 3, 2026$2.00
est $1.90
+5.3%$6.64B
est $6.41B
+3.4%+5.5%
Nov 20, 2025$1.58
est $1.42
+11.3%$5.60B
est $5.42B
+3.4%+8.4%
Aug 21, 2025$1.56
est $1.53
+2.0%$5.53B
est $5.54B
−0.3%+0.6%
May 22, 2025$1.47
est $1.44
+2.1%$4.98B
est $4.96B
+0.5%−10.1%
Mar 4, 2025$1.79
est $1.66
+7.8%$5.91B
est $5.94B
−0.5%+1.3%
Nov 21, 2024$1.48
est $1.40
+5.7%$5.07B
est $5.15B
−1.5%+4.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ross Stores stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ross Stores is $269.94, +19.1% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$269.94consensus 12-month target, +19.1% from the last close
Low $234High $298
Buy12
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 10Truist FinancialBuy, maintained
Aug 31GuggenheimBuy, reiterated$290+28.0%
Aug 21UBSHold, reiterated$239+5.5%
Aug 21Deutsche Bank Buy, reiterated$294+29.7%
Aug 21Telsey AdvisoryBuy, maintained$280+23.6%
+3.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ross Stores seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Ross Stores averaged −0.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.2%2021−7.2%2022+1.5%2023−3.4%2024+6.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.8%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.9%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.8%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.5%3 of 5

For scale, ROST’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.4%.

Ross Stores market cap and key statistics

Ross Stores’s market cap is $72.69B, with a P/E ratio of 27.7 and revenue of $24.51B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$72.69B
P/E ratio
27.7
Forward P/E
26.5
EPS, TTM
$8.28
Gekko Fair Value
$202.11

Trading

Volume
3.96M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.28M
52-week high
$257.00
52-week low
$143.39
Shares outstanding
320.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$24.51B
Profit margin
10.8%
Return on equity
42.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+70.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.86
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
Dividend yield
0.76%

Ross Stores stock news this week

Coverage of Ross Stores this week reads positive: 9 positive, 2 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Ross Stores peers

Ross Stores’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TJXTJX Companies+0.7%Accumulation4.8% below
TPRTapestry−0.6%Accumulation2.5% below
BURLBurlington Stores−0.9%Buying29.8% below
GAPGap−1.3%Accumulation40.7% below
URBNUrban Outfitters−0.7%Accumulation12.9% above
ANFAbercrombie & Fitch−0.8%Neutral12.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Ross Stores stock FAQ

What is Ross Stores’s market cap?

Ross Stores’s market cap is $72.69B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $226.61, with 320.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 27.7.

What is the Ross Stores stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ross Stores is $269.94, +19.1% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ross Stores stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ross Stores is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $226.61 is 12.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $202.11. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ross Stores report earnings next?

Ross Stores is expected to report on Nov 19, 2026, after the market closes (60 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.82 per share on revenue of $6.21B. Ross Stores beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.1% on average across the report.

What is Ross Stores’s 52-week high and low?

Ross Stores’s 52-week high is $257.00 and its 52-week low is $143.39; it closed at $226.61 on Sep 18, 2026, +54.5% over the past year.

Is Ross Stores stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 3 as headwinds (fair value, smart money and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Ross Stores?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Ross Stores over the last 30 days, with $0 of flagged premium in calls and $2.43M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Aug 26, 2026 with $2.43M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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