Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AEO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AEO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AEO in Gekko
NYSE: AEO
American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$18.07−0.10 (−0.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeAmerican Eagle Outfitters was cut to "Hold" by one research firm this week, aligning with a broader consensus rating, even as the note pointed to the company's strong quarterly EPS of $0.79 against estimates and 7.5% year-over-year revenue growth from the last report. A director, Cary D. McMillan, also sold $65,829 of AEO stock at $18.20 per share on October 6, after which he no longer holds direct common stock in the company. Coverage this week also included general commentary on AEO as a long-term value stock and separate pieces on a tokenized version of the shares trading as AEOc, unrelated to the company's own operations.
AEO closed at $18.07, down 0.6%, sitting between its 50-day average of $16.80 and its 200-day average of $18.96. The GekkoIndex reads 50.5, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. The current price sits 4.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $17.22.
The next earnings date falls on 1 December 2026, after the close, 49 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows tracked. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged a gain of 8.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the stock's typical 20-day move of 8.8%.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
American Eagle Outfitters price vs fair value
Close $18.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $17.22
American Eagle Outfitters quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.03B
- P/E ratio
- 9.2
- Forward P/E
- 11.3
- EPS, TTM
- $1.95
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.75B
- Profit margin
- 5.9%
- Dividend yield
- 2.83%
- Beta
- 1.26
- Volume
- 5.27M avg 5.32M
- 1-year return
- +19.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.8%
- 50-day average
- $16.80
- 200-day average
- $18.96
- Next earnings
- Dec 1 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 167.6M
American Eagle Outfitters swing-trade checklist
American Eagle Outfitters scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $18.07 sits between the 50-day ($16.80) and 200-day ($18.96) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
50.5, Neutral
Reading 50.5 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
4.9% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.9% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 50 days
Next report Dec 1, 2026, 50 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+8.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
American Eagle Outfitters stock chart and price history
American Eagle Outfitters closed at $18.07 on Oct 12, 2026, +19.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $14.06 to $28.46.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +20.3%
- 3 months
- +11.9%
- 6 months
- −0.1%
- 1 year
- +19.3%
The full AEO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AEO in Gekko
Follow American Eagle Outfitters through every session
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About American Eagle Outfitters
American Eagle Outfitters sells clothing, accessories and personal care products through a handful of brands aimed at different shoppers. Its main label, American Eagle, covers jeans and casual apparel for men and women, while the Aerie brand focuses on intimates, loungewear, activewear, swimwear and personal care items for women. The company also sells graphic tees and related apparel under the Tailgate name and offers menswear through its Todd Snyder New York line.
The business runs through both physical stores and online channels. As of January 29, 2022, it operated hundreds of American Eagle locations, dozens of standalone Aerie shops, and a small number of Todd Snyder stores across the United States, Canada, Mexico and Hong Kong. It also sells through its own websites for each brand, shipping to dozens of countries, and works with licensed partners operating in numerous nations abroad.
American Eagle Outfitters was founded in 1977 and is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AEO.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Retail trade
- Industry
- Apparel/Footwear retail
- Website
- aeo-inc.com
American Eagle Outfitters GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
American Eagle Outfitters’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.5, in the Neutral zone, up 1 point over five sessions.
50.5Neutral
Up 1 point over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 68 | −0.4% | −0.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 254 | +0.5% | −0.6% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 323 | −0.5% | +0.8% | ||
| Distribution | 33 | +6.1% | +6.7% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AEO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AEO price, zone by zone.Track AEO in Gekko
Is American Eagle Outfitters stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
American Eagle Outfitters trades 4.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $17.22, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what American Eagle Outfitters shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$17.22
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
4.9% above fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 10.4% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AEO in Gekko
American Eagle Outfitters insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for American Eagle Outfitters, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AEO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AEO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AEO in Gekko
Buybacks
American Eagle Outfitters has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
- $264K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.01%
- Trailing four quarters
- $105.1M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold AEO.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
American Eagle Outfitters earnings: next date and track record
American Eagle Outfitters reports on Dec 1, 2026, after the close (50 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Dec 1, 2026
Expected after the close, 50 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.49
- Revenue estimate
- $1.45B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.5%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Sep 9, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- AEO reported Q2 2026 revenue of $1.4 billion with 6% comparable sales growth. Operating income reached $211 million, including a ~$161 million net tariff refund benefit. Aerie was the standout performer with 19% comp growth and 25% total revenue growth to $536 million. American Eagle showed modest improvement with 1% revenue growth but -1% comps, with men's posting its fourth consecutive quarter of positive comps.
- Guidance
- New CFO Ravi Thanawala expressed comfort with the company's expectations for the balance of the year but provided no specific numerical targets. Management signaled continued focus on profitability, disciplined execution, and resource allocation with more detailed priorities to be shared over time.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | $0.79 est $0.22 | $1.38B est $1.37B | −15.6% |
| May 28, 2026 | $0.14 est $0.12 | $1.20B est $1.18B | −10.0% |
| Mar 4, 2026 | $0.50 est $0.71 | $1.76B est $1.74B | −13.1% |
| Dec 2, 2025 | $0.53 est $0.44 | $1.36B est $1.32B | +12.8% |
| Sep 3, 2025 | $0.45 est $0.20 | $1.28B est $1.30B | +39.1% |
| May 29, 2025 | −$0.29 est −$0.25 | $1.09B est $1.24B | −1.2% |
| Mar 12, 2025 | $0.54 est $0.50 | $1.60B est $1.16B | −4.4% |
| Dec 4, 2024 | $0.48 est $0.48 | $1.29B est $1.30B | −11.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
American Eagle Outfitters stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for American Eagle Outfitters is $18.55, +2.7% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$18.55consensus 12-month target, +2.7% from the last close
Now $18.07Avg $18.55
Low $15High $27
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29 | BMO Capital | $20 | +10.7% |
| Sep 11 | Barclays | $15 | −17.0% |
| Sep 11 | Citi | $18 | −0.4% |
| Sep 10 | J.P. Morgan | $21 | +16.2% |
| Sep 10 | Bank of America Securities | $16 | −11.5% |
+0.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+8.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
American Eagle Outfitters seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, American Eagle Outfitters averaged +8.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +4.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +4.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +6.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +8.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +10.9% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, AEO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.8%.
American Eagle Outfitters market cap and key statistics
American Eagle Outfitters’s market cap is $3.03B, with a P/E ratio of 9.2 and revenue of $5.75B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.03B
- P/E ratio
- 9.2
- Forward P/E
- 11.3
- EPS, TTM
- $1.95
- Gekko Fair Value
- $17.22
Trading
- Volume
- 5.27M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 5.32M
- 52-week high
- $28.46
- 52-week low
- $14.06
- Shares outstanding
- 167.6M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.75B
- Profit margin
- 5.9%
- Return on equity
- 20%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +75.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.26
- Typical daily move
- ±3.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.8%
- Dividend yield
- 2.83%
American Eagle Outfitters stock news this week
Coverage of American Eagle Outfitters this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 9 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Why American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-TermZacks Investment Research, Oct 12
- American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (Coinbase Tokenized Stock)CryptoRank, Oct 11
- American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) Cut to "Hold" at Zacks ResearchMarketBeat, Oct 10
- American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (Coinbase Tokenized Stock) (AEOC) Price Prediction for 2026 to 2031Bybit, Oct 9
- American Eagle (AEO) Up 23.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?Zacks Investment Research, Oct 9
- The Technical Signals Behind (AEO) That Institutions FollowStock Traders Daily, Oct 9
American Eagle Outfitters peers
American Eagle Outfitters’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| TJXTJX Companies | Neutral | 7.9% above |
| ROSTRoss Stores | Accumulation | 13.0% above |
| TPRTapestry | Accumulation | 0.7% above |
| BURLBurlington Stores | Neutral | 16.6% below |
| GAPGap | Neutral | 34.3% below |
| URBNUrban Outfitters | Neutral | 21.1% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
American Eagle Outfitters stock FAQ
What is American Eagle Outfitters’s market cap?
American Eagle Outfitters’s market cap is $3.03B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $18.07, with 167.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.2.
What is the American Eagle Outfitters stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for American Eagle Outfitters is $18.55, +2.7% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is American Eagle Outfitters stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate American Eagle Outfitters is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $18.07 is 4.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $17.22. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does American Eagle Outfitters report earnings next?
American Eagle Outfitters is expected to report on Dec 1, 2026, after the market closes (50 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.49 per share on revenue of $1.45B. American Eagle Outfitters beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.5% on average across the report.
What is American Eagle Outfitters’s 52-week high and low?
American Eagle Outfitters’s 52-week high is $28.46 and its 52-week low is $14.06; it closed at $18.07 on Oct 12, 2026, +19.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $29.19 on Nov 23, 2021.
Is American Eagle Outfitters stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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