NYSE: BOOT

Boot Barn (BOOT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$119.97+0.01 (0.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Boot Barn shares touched a new 52-week low near $118.79 this week, with coverage noting the stock trades well below its 52-week high even as some commentary suggests the shares may be undervalued. Craig Hallum trimmed its price target on the name from $235.00 to $224.00 while keeping a buy rating, pointing to first-quarter revenue growth of 17.70% to $593.51 million that topped earnings expectations. Separate pieces debated Boot Barn's value profile against peers and flagged weak near-term sentiment alongside elevated downside risk.

The stock closes at $119.97, sitting below both its 50-day average of $143.61 and 200-day average of $163.06, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. Returns over the past month, three months, six months and year are all negative, down 16.9%, 22.9%, 23.3% and 28.6% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 67, placing BOOT in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 21.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $153.70.

Boot Barn's next earnings date falls on 4 November 2026, after the close, 22 days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 29 July showed EPS of $2.29 against a $1.69 estimate, with a -2.7% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 4 of its last 8 quarters. Average absolute reaction to earnings has run 7.2%. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +2.2% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Boot Barn price vs fair value

$153.70$119.97Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $119.97200-day averageGekko Fair Value $153.70

Boot Barn quick facts

Market cap
$3.63B
P/E ratio
15.4
Forward P/E
14.4
EPS, TTM
$7.90
Revenue, TTM
$2.34B
Profit margin
10.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.76
Volume
532,960 avg 753,611
1-year return
−28.6%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%
50-day average
$143.61
200-day average
$163.06
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
30.28M
52-week range
$117.67$210.25

Boot Barn swing-trade checklist

Boot Barn scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $119.97 is below the 50-day ($143.61) and 200-day ($163.06) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67, Accumulation

    Reading 67 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    21.9% below

    Price is 21.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +2.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Boot Barn stock chart and price history

Boot Barn closed at $119.97 on Oct 12, 2026, −28.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $117.67 to $210.25.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Boot Barn share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$140$160$180$200NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct119.97

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−16.9%
3 months
−22.9%
6 months
−23.3%
1 year
−28.6%
The full BOOT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BOOT in Gekko

Follow Boot Barn through every session

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About Boot Barn

Boot Barn runs retail stores centered on western and work-themed footwear, clothing, and related accessories. Shoppers can find boots, denim, hats, gifts, home goods, and work wear under one roof, and the company is recognized for bringing together a wide mix of western-style gear in its stores.

Its shelves carry a mix of branded merchandise, including names such as Ariat, Wrangler, Lucchese Boots, Idyllwind, and Cinch, giving customers a range of established labels alongside the broader product selection.

Boot Barn was started by Kenneth Meany in 1978 and operates out of Irvine, California. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker BOOT.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Apparel/Footwear retail
Website
bootbarn.com

Boot Barn GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Boot Barn’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.6 points over five sessions.

010067Accumulation

Up 1.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying48+1.1%+0.6%+4.6%+18.1%
Accumulation (current zone)184+0.6%+2.1%+5.0%+11.5%
Neutral397+0.3%+0.4%+0.7%+1.9%
Distribution52+2.9%+5.5%+6.5%+17.6%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average BOOT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BOOT price, zone by zone.Track BOOT in Gekko

Is Boot Barn stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Boot Barn trades 21.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $153.70, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Boot Barn shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$153.70

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

21.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 12.2% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$154$120Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BOOT in Gekko

Boot Barn insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Boot Barn, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BOOT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BOOT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BOOT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BOOT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BOOT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BOOT in Gekko

Buybacks

Boot Barn has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
$25.00M
As a share of market cap
0.69%
Trailing four quarters
$62.51M

From company filings.

Boot Barn earnings: next date and track record

Boot Barn reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.2%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−18.1%Oct ’24−7.3%Jan ’25+14.7%May ’25−3.4%Jul ’25−6.6%Oct ’25+3.7%Feb ’26−1.0%May ’26−2.7%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Boot Barn Q1 FY2027 revenue grew 18% driven by 27 new store openings and 4.7% same-store sales growth. EPS increased 32% YoY to $2.29, including a $0.38 tariff refund benefit. Merchandise margins and SG&A outperformed guidance. Work boots delivered high single-digit comps for fifth consecutive quarter. Company operates 566 stores across 49 states with a long-term target of 1,200 locations.
Guidance
Company remains on track to open 70 stores in FY2027. Early Q2 same-store sales are approximately flat, with July underperforming due to fewer Western lifestyle events and World Cup traffic impact. Management expressed confidence in full-year outlook.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$2.29
est $1.69
+35.5%$593.5M
est $583.2M
+1.8%−2.7%
May 14, 2026$1.45
est $1.43
+1.4%$538.8M
est $531.4M
+1.4%−1.0%
Feb 4, 2026$2.79
est $2.79
0.0%$705.6M
est $704.9M
+0.1%+3.7%
Oct 29, 2025$1.37
est $1.28
+7.0%$505.4M
est $494.5M
+2.2%−6.6%
Jul 31, 2025$1.74
est $1.55
+12.3%$504.1M
est $491.9M
+2.5%−3.4%
May 14, 2025$1.22
est $1.24
−1.6%$453.7M
est $458.4M
−1.0%+14.7%
Jan 30, 2025$2.21
est $2.38
−7.1%$608.2M
est $458.9M
+32.5%−7.3%
Oct 28, 2024$0.95
est $0.96
−1.0%$425.8M
est $424.4M
+0.3%−18.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Boot Barn stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Boot Barn is $217.00, +80.9% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$217.00consensus 12-month target, +80.9% from the last close
Low $160High $282
Buy14
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 29Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$160+33.4%
Sep 29Craig-HallumBuy, reiterated$224+86.7%
Sep 15BTIGBuy, reiterated$215+79.2%
Sep 15Williams TradingBuy, maintained$202+68.4%
Sep 15Goldman SachsBuy, reiterated$238+98.4%
+5.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Boot Barn seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Boot Barn averaged +2.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+27.7%2021−0.9%2022−8.3%2023−15.9%2024+14.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.6%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.1%3 of 5

For scale, BOOT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.8%.

Boot Barn market cap and key statistics

Boot Barn’s market cap is $3.63B, with a P/E ratio of 15.4 and revenue of $2.34B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.63B
P/E ratio
15.4
Forward P/E
14.4
EPS, TTM
$7.90
Gekko Fair Value
$153.70

Trading

Volume
532,960
Avg volume, 20 days
753,611
52-week high
$210.25
52-week low
$117.67
Shares outstanding
30.28M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.34B
Profit margin
10.3%
Return on equity
19.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+31.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.76
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%

Boot Barn stock news this week

Coverage of Boot Barn this week reads negative: 2 positive, 0 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

Boot Barn peers

Boot Barn’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TJXTJX Companies+2.5%Neutral7.9% above
ROSTRoss Stores+1.5%Accumulation13.0% above
TPRTapestry+0.7%Accumulation0.7% above
BURLBurlington Stores−1.6%Neutral16.6% below
GAPGap−1.0%Neutral34.3% below
URBNUrban Outfitters+1.7%Neutral21.1% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Boot Barn stock FAQ

What is Boot Barn’s market cap?

Boot Barn’s market cap is $3.63B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $119.97, with 30.28M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.4.

What is the Boot Barn stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Boot Barn is $217.00, +80.9% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Boot Barn stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Boot Barn is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $119.97 is 21.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $153.70. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Boot Barn report earnings next?

Boot Barn is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.64 per share on revenue of $582.5M. Boot Barn beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.2% on average across the report.

What is Boot Barn’s 52-week high and low?

Boot Barn’s 52-week high is $210.25 and its 52-week low is $117.67; it closed at $119.97 on Oct 12, 2026, −28.6% over the past year.

Is Boot Barn stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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