Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BURL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every BURL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BURL in Gekko
NYSE: BURL
Burlington Stores (BURL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$266.39+11.70 (+4.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryBurlington Stores climbs this week as investors reassess a recent selloff, with the stock trading up following a strong late-August earnings report that showed double-digit sales and EPS growth alongside raised full-year guidance. Several Wall Street firms, including Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and Deutsche Bank, trimmed their price targets even as Goldman and BofA maintained "Buy" or "Overweight" ratings and Deutsche Bank shifted to "Hold." Sales strength is attributed in part to beauty and accessories categories, which contributed to an 11% year-over-year total sales increase and a 2% comparable-store sales rise in the second quarter, while the company continues to expand its store footprint, including a new Texas location opening October 2.
BURL closed at $266.39, up 4.6%, but remains below both its 50-day average of $308.00 and 200-day average of $310.85, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 60.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 19.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $330.70.
Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report falls outside this window, landing on 24 November. Options activity shows 1 unusual signal in the last 30 days, with call premium of $402,990 and no put premium recorded in that dataset. Seasonality over 5 years shows a mean 20-day return of 0.9%, positive in 2 of those years. The consensus among 16 analysts stands at 12 buy, 4 hold, 0 sell, with a consensus target of $364.75.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Burlington Stores price vs fair value
Close $266.39200-day averageGekko Fair Value $330.70
Burlington Stores quick facts
- Market cap
- $16.77B
- P/E ratio
- 22.9
- Forward P/E
- 21.5
- EPS, TTM
- $11.13
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.21B
- Profit margin
- 5.9%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.42
- Volume
- 2.08M avg 1.74M
- 1-year return
- +1.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.7%
- 50-day average
- $308.00
- 200-day average
- $310.85
- Next earnings
- Nov 24 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 62.82M
Burlington Stores swing-trade checklist
Burlington Stores scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $266.39 is below the 50-day ($308.00) and 200-day ($310.85) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
60.3, Accumulation
Reading 60.3 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
19.4% below
Price is 19.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 56 days
Next report Nov 24, 2026, 56 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+0.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.9% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Burlington Stores stock chart and price history
Burlington Stores closed at $266.39 on Sep 28, 2026, +1.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $226.85 to $378.33.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −8.1%
- 3 months
- −15.2%
- 6 months
- −14.8%
- 1 year
- +1.5%
The full BURL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BURL in Gekko
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About Burlington Stores
Burlington Stores runs a chain of retail outlets across the United States, selling branded clothing and other consumer goods at a range of price points. Its shelves carry current-season styles in women's, men's, and youth apparel, along with footwear, accessories, and outerwear, and the company is recognized for this fashion-driven merchandise mix.
Beyond clothing, Burlington Stores also carries toys, gifts, and goods for the home, baby, and beauty categories, broadening its appeal to shoppers looking for a wider variety under one roof. The business operates primarily under its namesake Burlington Stores banner, supplemented by a small number of Cohoes Fashions and MJM Designer Shoes locations. Its stores are spread across 45 states and Puerto Rico, giving it a broad geographic footprint within the country.
The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker BURL.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Retail trade
- Industry
- Apparel/Footwear retail
- Website
- burlington.com
Burlington Stores GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Burlington Stores’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.3, in the Accumulation zone, down 6.8 points over five sessions.
60.3Accumulation
Down 6.8 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 45 | −0.9% | +1.3% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 170 | +1.1% | +5.9% | ||
| Neutral | 422 | +0.3% | −0.2% | ||
| Distribution | 31 | −0.8% | −2.4% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average BURL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BURL price, zone by zone.Track BURL in Gekko
Is Burlington Stores stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Burlington Stores trades 19.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $330.70, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Burlington Stores shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$330.70
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
19.4% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BURL in Gekko
Burlington Stores insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Burlington Stores, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in BURL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for BURL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BURL in Gekko
Buybacks
Burlington Stores has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
- $88.04M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.53%
- Trailing four quarters
- $345.8M
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 2, $403K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold BURL.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Burlington Stores earnings: next date and track record
Burlington Stores reports on Nov 24, 2026, before the open (56 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 24, 2026
Expected before the open, 56 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.71
- Revenue estimate
- $2.99B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 27, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Burlington (BURL) reported Q2 2026 EPS growth of 38% (excluding $55M tariff refunds equating to $0.64/share benefit) on top of 39% growth last year. Total sales grew 11% with comp sales up 2% (5% growth prior year). The company opened 51 gross new stores (45 net) in Q2, with 178 gross new stores opened on a trailing 12-month basis. Management plans to reinvest tariff refunds into customer value pricing, making the refund impact neutral to full-year earnings.
- Guidance
- Burlington intends to reinvest $55M in tariff refunds in H2 2026, targeting neutral full-year earnings impact. New store cannibalization headwind expected at approximately 1.5 percentage points on comp through year-end. Updated full-year guidance was referenced but not fully detailed in the excerpt.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | $2.96 est $2.18 | $3.00B est $3.03B | −13.1% |
| May 28, 2026 | $2.01 est $1.77 | $2.85B est $2.80B | −0.7% |
| Mar 5, 2026 | $4.89 est $4.75 | $3.64B est $3.58B | +1.6% |
| Nov 25, 2025 | $1.80 est $1.64 | $2.71B est $2.72B | −8.4% |
| Aug 28, 2025 | $1.59 est $1.28 | $2.70B est $2.63B | +3.7% |
| May 29, 2025 | $1.60 est $1.43 | $2.50B est $2.53B | −4.3% |
| Mar 6, 2025 | $4.07 est $3.77 | $3.27B est $3.24B | +1.4% |
| Nov 26, 2024 | $1.55 est $1.55 | $2.53B est $2.55B | −1.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Burlington Stores stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Burlington Stores is $364.75, +36.9% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$364.75consensus 12-month target, +36.9% from the last close
Now $266.39Avg $364.75
Low $318High $440
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | Wells Fargo | $370 | +38.9% |
| Sep 21 | UBS | $440 | +65.2% |
| Sep 18 | Morgan Stanley | $432 | +62.2% |
| Sep 15 | Goldman Sachs | $382 | +43.4% |
| Sep 1 | J.P. Morgan | $370 | +38.9% |
+5.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Burlington Stores seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Burlington Stores averaged +0.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −3.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −2.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +0.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +7.0% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, BURL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.7%.
Burlington Stores market cap and key statistics
Burlington Stores’s market cap is $16.77B, with a P/E ratio of 22.9 and revenue of $12.21B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $16.77B
- P/E ratio
- 22.9
- Forward P/E
- 21.5
- EPS, TTM
- $11.13
- Gekko Fair Value
- $330.70
Trading
- Volume
- 2.08M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.74M
- 52-week high
- $378.33
- 52-week low
- $226.85
- Shares outstanding
- 62.82M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.21B
- Profit margin
- 5.9%
- Return on equity
- 41.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +95.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.42
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.7%
Burlington Stores stock news this week
Coverage of Burlington Stores this week reads positive: 7 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- BURL Stock Holds Up As Analysts Trim Price TargetsStocksToTrade, Sep 28
- BURL Stock Holds Up As Wall Street Trims Price TargetsStocksToTrade, Sep 28
- Burlington Stores Climbs as Investors Reassess Recent SelloffQuiver Quantitative, Sep 28
- Burlington Stores Sees Unusually Large Options Volume (NYSE:BURL)MarketBeat, Sep 25
- Burlington Stores (BURL) Looks 30% Below Fair Value, Is The Premium P/E Still Justified?Yahoo Finance, Sep 25
- Andra AP fonden Boosts Stock Position in Burlington Stores, Inc. $BURLMarketBeat, Sep 23
Burlington Stores peers
Burlington Stores’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| TJXTJX Companies | Accumulation | 0.6% below |
| ROSTRoss Stores | Neutral | 16.9% above |
| TPRTapestry | Accumulation | 3.4% below |
| GAPGap | Neutral | 33.2% below |
| URBNUrban Outfitters | Neutral | 13.0% above |
| ANFAbercrombie & Fitch | Neutral | 12.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Burlington Stores stock FAQ
What is Burlington Stores’s market cap?
Burlington Stores’s market cap is $16.77B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $266.39, with 62.82M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.9.
What is the Burlington Stores stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Burlington Stores is $364.75, +36.9% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Burlington Stores stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Burlington Stores is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $266.39 is 19.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $330.70. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Burlington Stores report earnings next?
Burlington Stores is expected to report on Nov 24, 2026, before the market opens (56 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.71 per share on revenue of $2.99B. Burlington Stores beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.3% on average across the report.
What is Burlington Stores’s 52-week high and low?
Burlington Stores’s 52-week high is $378.33 and its 52-week low is $226.85; it closed at $266.39 on Sep 28, 2026, +1.5% over the past year.
Is Burlington Stores stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Burlington Stores?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Burlington Stores over the last 30 days, with $403K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 2, 2026 with $403K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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