NASDAQ: TSEM

Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$226.04−4.43 (−1.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Tower Semiconductor moved this week on accelerating AI photonics demand, with shipments of laser-integrated silicon photonic optical engine chips for data centers and a roadmap toward 6.4T chipsets by 2027. The company joined the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index, announced a $4 billion investment in its Japanese operations to build an optical connectivity hub, and drew fresh analyst attention, including "Outperform" and strong buy ratings from Mizuho, Barclays and Stifel, alongside a "Moderate Buy" consensus from Wall Street brokerages with an average 12-month price target around $316.00.

TSEM closed at $226.04, down 1.9% on the day, sitting above both its 50-day average of $225.24 and 200-day average of $194.43, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 58.2, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 6.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $240.75.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 9 November 2026, before the open, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 4 August 2026 beat estimates ($0.79 versus $0.69) but was followed by a 9.9% reaction. Options activity over the last 30 days shows 1 unusual signal, with put premium of $542,790 and no call premium recorded. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.5% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Tower Semiconductor price vs fair value

$240.75$226.04Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $226.04200-day averageGekko Fair Value $240.75

Tower Semiconductor quick facts

Market cap
$25.50B
P/E ratio
90.9
Forward P/E
38.5
EPS, TTM
$2.39
Revenue, TTM
$1.71B
Profit margin
16.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.89
Volume
1.83M avg 1.95M
1-year return
+230.7%
Typical daily move
±5.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%
50-day average
$225.24
200-day average
$194.43
Next earnings
Nov 9 before open
Shares outstanding
113.0M
52-week range
$67.74$319.94

Tower Semiconductor swing-trade checklist

Tower Semiconductor scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $226.04 is above the 50-day ($225.24) and 200-day ($194.43) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.2, Neutral

    Reading 58.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    6.1% below

    Price is 6.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 41 days

    Next report Nov 9, 2026, 41 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Tower Semiconductor stock chart and price history

Tower Semiconductor closed at $226.04 on Sep 28, 2026, +230.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $67.74 to $319.94.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Tower Semiconductor share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$200$300NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep226.04

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+2.8%
3 months
−11.6%
6 months
+31.5%
1 year
+230.7%
The full TSEM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TSEM in Gekko

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About Tower Semiconductor

Tower Semiconductor runs foundry operations that turn out analog-focused, mixed-signal chips, selling them to buyers in markets worldwide. The company has built a name around a broad menu of adjustable process technologies, among them SiGe, BiCMOS, CMOS and mixed-signal variants, RF CMOS, CMOS image sensors, power-management circuitry, and MEMS.

Its work goes beyond running wafers, extending into tools that help customers design chips and into support for shifting processes or bringing new products to market. Tower Semiconductor sells to both integrated device makers and fabless firms, and the chips it produces end up in consumer electronics, computing gear, telecom equipment, cars, industrial machinery, aerospace and defense systems, and medical devices.

The company traces back to 1993 and keeps its headquarters in Migdal Haemek, Israel, while doing business in the United States, Japan, elsewhere in Asia, and Europe. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker TSEM.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
towersemi.com

Tower Semiconductor GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Tower Semiconductor’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.2, in the Neutral zone, up 2.6 points over five sessions.

010058.2Neutral

Up 2.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying10+2.5%+4.1%−4.9%+12.9%
Accumulation119+2.7%+4.8%+7.7%+17.3%
Neutral (current zone)460+1.8%+3.4%+7.3%+21.2%
Distribution75+0.8%+3.3%+8.4%+22.6%
Selling8Too few readings yet

Average TSEM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TSEM price, zone by zone.Track TSEM in Gekko

Is Tower Semiconductor stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Tower Semiconductor trades 6.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $240.75, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Tower Semiconductor shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$240.75

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

6.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TSEM in Gekko

Tower Semiconductor insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Tower Semiconductor, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TSEM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TSEM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TSEM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TSEM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TSEM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TSEM in Gekko

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 0% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 2, $543K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold TSEM.

0added1opened1trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Tower Semiconductor earnings: next date and track record

Tower Semiconductor reports on Nov 9, 2026, before the open (41 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.4%Nov ’24−5.9%Feb ’25+4.9%May ’25+12.2%Aug ’25+18.7%Nov ’25−2.2%Feb ’26+27.1%May ’26−9.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Tower Semiconductor reported record Q2 2026 revenue of $460 million with 30% gross margin, 20% operating margin, and 20% net margin, all company records. Q3 2026 guidance is $520 million midpoint, implying a $2B+ annualized run rate. The company updated its 2028 model to $3.6B revenue with 45% gross margin and 33% net margin. A dual-track 300mm capacity expansion in Japan targeting silicon photonics with METI government support was announced.
Guidance
Q3 2026 midrange revenue guided at $520 million, representing an annualized run rate above $2 billion. Long-term 2028 model targets $3.6B revenue, $1.63B gross profit (45% margin), and $1.2B net profit (33% margin), with R&D investment increasing over 40%.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$0.79
est $0.69
+14.5%$460.1M
est $454.7M
+1.2%−9.9%
May 13, 2026$0.65
est $0.55
+18.7%$413.6M
est $410.7M
+0.7%+27.1%
Feb 11, 2026$0.78
est $0.67
+16.4%$440.2M
est $439.8M
+0.1%−2.2%
Nov 10, 2025$0.55
est $0.54
+1.3%$395.7M
est $395.0M
+0.2%+18.7%
Aug 4, 2025$0.50
est $0.47
+6.4%$372.1M
est $395.0M
−5.8%+12.2%
May 14, 2025$0.45
est $0.38
+18.8%$358.2M
est $358.1M
0.0%+4.9%
Feb 10, 2025$0.59
est $0.54
+9.3%$387.2M
est $387.1M
0.0%−5.9%
Nov 13, 2024$0.57
est $0.53
+7.5%$370.5M
est $370.3M
+0.1%+7.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Tower Semiconductor stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Tower Semiconductor is $314.36, +39.1% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$314.36consensus 12-month target, +39.1% from the last close
Low $270High $367
Buy6
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, initiated$300+32.7%
Sep 18BarclaysBuy, maintained$310+37.1%
Sep 17Craig-HallumBuy, maintained——
Sep 16Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$367+62.4%
Sep 15StoneXBuy, reiterated$335+48.2%
+7.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Tower Semiconductor seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Tower Semiconductor averaged +1.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.2%2021−5.2%2022−5.5%2023+2.1%2024+12.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+10.8%3 of 5

For scale, TSEM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.2%.

Tower Semiconductor market cap and key statistics

Tower Semiconductor’s market cap is $25.50B, with a P/E ratio of 90.9 and revenue of $1.71B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$25.50B
P/E ratio
90.9
Forward P/E
38.5
EPS, TTM
$2.39
Gekko Fair Value
$240.75

Trading

Volume
1.83M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.95M
52-week high
$319.94
52-week low
$67.74
Shares outstanding
113.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.71B
Profit margin
16.9%
Return on equity
10%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+92.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.89
Typical daily move
±5.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%

Tower Semiconductor peers

Tower Semiconductor’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−0.4%Neutral13.2% below
AVGOBroadcom−0.9%Accumulation2.3% below
MUMicron Technology−2.0%Neutral4.7% above
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices−2.7%Neutral19.9% above
INTCIntel−3.8%Neutral19.1% above
TXNTexas Instruments+0.3%Neutral7.4% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Tower Semiconductor stock FAQ

What is Tower Semiconductor’s market cap?

Tower Semiconductor’s market cap is $25.50B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $226.04, with 113.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 90.9.

What is the Tower Semiconductor stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Tower Semiconductor is $314.36, +39.1% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Tower Semiconductor stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Tower Semiconductor is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $226.04 is 6.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $240.75. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Tower Semiconductor report earnings next?

Tower Semiconductor is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026, before the market opens (41 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.06 per share on revenue of $521.8M. Tower Semiconductor beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 11% on average across the report.

What is Tower Semiconductor’s 52-week high and low?

Tower Semiconductor’s 52-week high is $319.94 and its 52-week low is $67.74; it closed at $226.04 on Sep 28, 2026, +230.7% over the past year.

Is Tower Semiconductor stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Tower Semiconductor?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Tower Semiconductor over the last 30 days, with $0 of flagged premium in calls and $543K in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 2, 2026 with $543K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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