NASDAQ: DIOD

Diodes (DIOD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$96.37+0.53 (+0.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Diodes drew attention this week on a mix of product news and analyst commentary. The company launched a new family of field-plated Super Barrier Rectifier devices aimed at automotive systems, emphasizing efficiency and reliability. Separately, Wall Street Zen lowered its rating on the stock from "strong-buy" to "buy," while noting the broader analyst consensus remains "Buy" with an average price target of $135. Other coverage highlighted a high-growth momentum and breakout setup screen, alongside a report noting the stock's 5.7% single-day gain to $95.94 as part of a longer advance.

Diodes closed at $96.37, up 0.6%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $92.23 and 200-day average of $83.23. The stock's one-month return stands at 6.1%, its six-month return at 41.3%, and its one-year return at 81.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 54, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 4.3 over five days. Gekko Fair Value is set at $102.35, putting the current price 5.8% below that level.

Diodes next reports earnings on 5 November 2026, after the close, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Its last quarterly report showed an EPS beat of $0.70 versus $0.61 expected, with a 11.8% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 6 of 8 recent quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.1% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the two analyst firms currently rating the stock "Buy."

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Diodes price vs fair value

$102.35$96.37Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $96.37200-day averageGekko Fair Value $102.35

Diodes quick facts

Market cap
$4.43B
P/E ratio
51.2
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$1.85
Revenue, TTM
$1.63B
Profit margin
5.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.90
Volume
465,476 avg 521,796
1-year return
+81.9%
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.9%
50-day average
$92.23
200-day average
$83.23
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
46.05M
52-week range
$42.28$125.99

Diodes swing-trade checklist

Diodes scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $96.37 is above the 50-day ($92.23) and 200-day ($83.23) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    54, Neutral

    Reading 54 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    5.8% below

    Price is 5.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Diodes stock chart and price history

Diodes closed at $96.37 on Sep 28, 2026, +81.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $42.28 to $125.99.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Diodes share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$60$80$120NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep96.37

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+6.1%
3 months
−7.3%
6 months
+41.3%
1 year
+81.9%
The full DIOD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DIOD in Gekko

Follow Diodes through every session

Put DIOD on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Diodes

Diodes designs, manufactures, and distributes semiconductor components used in electronic devices around the world. Its work spans discrete parts such as transistors, rectifiers, and diodes, along with analog products like power management chips, voltage regulators, amplifiers, and sensors. The company is also known for mixed-signal and logic devices, including switches, interface components, clock circuits, and CMOS logic parts, many of which are built with a small number of pins while combining active and passive elements.

Beyond individual components, Diodes makes multi-chip products that combine discrete, analog, and mixed-signal silicon in single packages, as well as wafers, crystals, and oscillators. Its components are used across consumer electronics, computing, telecommunications, industrial equipment, and automotive systems, reflecting a product line built to serve varied electronic manufacturing needs rather than a single market.

Diodes trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker DIOD.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
diodes.com

Diodes GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Diodes’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54, in the Neutral zone, down 4.3 points over five sessions.

010054Neutral

Down 4.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+3.5%+4.2%+0.8%+8.0%
Accumulation222+1.0%+2.0%+2.6%+4.9%
Neutral (current zone)389−0.1%−0.2%+1.6%+4.7%
Distribution37+2.2%+4.6%+0.6%+5.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average DIOD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DIOD price, zone by zone.Track DIOD in Gekko

Is Diodes stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Diodes trades 5.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $102.35, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Diodes shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$102.35

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

5.8% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DIOD in Gekko

Diodes insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Diodes, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DIOD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DIOD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DIOD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DIOD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DIOD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DIOD in Gekko

Buybacks

Diodes has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$8.69M
As a share of market cap
0.20%
Trailing four quarters
$36.67M

From company filings.

Diodes earnings: next date and track record

Diodes reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.1%Nov ’24−1.4%Feb ’25+14.1%May ’25+5.8%Aug ’25−15.5%Nov ’25+27.6%Feb ’26−4.0%May ’26+11.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Diodes Incorporated reported strong second quarter 2026 results with revenue of $445.5 million, up 22% year-over-year and 10% sequentially, driven by broad-based demand across regions and end markets. Management highlighted record global POS and record automotive revenue (21% of product revenue). Gross margin improved by 160 basis points year-over-year and non-GAAP earnings more than doubled year-over-year. The company is executing cost and operating initiatives implemented during the slowdown, which have improved margins and cash flow and enabled reinvestment and strategic M&A (proposed acquisition of ElevATE Semiconductor). Management emphasized AI infrastructure, automotive, and industrial end markets as key growth drivers, and described ongoing capacity expansion through improved utilization of internal fabs, migration from 6-inch to 8-inch wafers, selective packaging investments, and partnerships with external foundries and back-end providers. Channel inventory decreased in dollars and weeks to below historical ranges, and management does not currently see evidence of double ordering. Q&A responses were confident; management acknowledged pockets of supply constraints but emphasized customer focus and capacity plans. The company provided near-term guidance for a strong Q3 (management cited ~14.5% quarter-over-quarter growth) and reiterated a full-year effective tax rate of ~18% ±3%.
Guidance
Third quarter guidance: management indicated a very strong Q3 with ~14.5% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth (per management commentary). Full-year 2026 effective tax rate guidance: approximately 18%, plus or minus 3%. (Management noted they typically provide only one-quarter forward guidance beyond which they do not provide specifics.)
Risks flagged
Management noted ongoing supply disruptions and pockets of supply constraints in certain areas. Channel inventory remains below normal weeks range, which could complicate visibility. The press release and Leanne's opening remarks emphasized forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties (SEC filings). Integration and execution risk associated with the proposed ElevATE acquisition and capital investment/expansion execution risks were implied.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.70
est $0.61
+14.8%$445.5M
est $436.6M
+2.0%+11.8%
May 7, 2026$0.43
est $0.33
+30.3%$405.5M
est $396.3M
+2.3%−4.0%
Feb 10, 2026$0.22
est $0.19
+15.8%$391.6M
est $381.3M
+2.7%+27.6%
Nov 6, 2025$0.37
est $0.38
−2.6%$392.2M
est $380.0M
+3.2%−15.5%
Aug 7, 2025$0.32
est $0.25
+28.0%$366.2M
est $384.8M
−4.8%+5.8%
May 8, 2025$0.19
est $0.15
+26.7%$332.1M
est $323.3M
+2.7%+14.1%
Feb 11, 2025$0.27
est $0.32
−15.6%$339.3M
est $337.1M
+0.7%−1.4%
Nov 7, 2024$0.43
est $0.42
+2.4%$350.1M
est $346.3M
+1.1%+0.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Diodes stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Diodes is $162.50, +68.6% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$162.50consensus 12-month target, +68.6% from the last close
Low $133High $192
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 6Truist FinancialBuy, reiterated$133+38.0%
Aug 5Robert W. BairdBuy, reiterated$192+99.2%
+1.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Diodes seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Diodes averaged +1.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.6%2021+5.9%2022−11.9%2023−0.9%2024+7.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.1%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.3%3 of 5

For scale, DIOD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.9%.

Diodes market cap and key statistics

Diodes’s market cap is $4.43B, with a P/E ratio of 51.2 and revenue of $1.63B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.43B
P/E ratio
51.2
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$1.85
Gekko Fair Value
$102.35

Trading

Volume
465,476
Avg volume, 20 days
521,796
52-week high
$125.99
52-week low
$42.28
Shares outstanding
46.05M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.63B
Profit margin
5.3%
Return on equity
4.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+1.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.90
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.9%

Diodes peers

Diodes’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−0.4%Neutral13.2% below
AVGOBroadcom−0.9%Accumulation2.3% below
MUMicron Technology−2.0%Neutral4.7% above
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices−2.7%Neutral19.9% above
INTCIntel−3.8%Neutral19.1% above
TXNTexas Instruments+0.3%Neutral7.4% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Diodes stock FAQ

What is Diodes’s market cap?

Diodes’s market cap is $4.43B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $96.37, with 46.05M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 51.2.

What is the Diodes stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Diodes is $162.50, +68.6% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Diodes stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Diodes is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $96.37 is 5.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $102.35. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Diodes report earnings next?

Diodes is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.06 per share on revenue of $510.5M. Diodes beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 10% on average across the report.

What is Diodes’s 52-week high and low?

Diodes’s 52-week high is $125.99 and its 52-week low is $42.28; it closed at $96.37 on Sep 28, 2026, +81.9% over the past year.

Is Diodes stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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