NASDAQ: PENG

Penguin Solutions (PENG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$79.16+2.88 (+3.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Penguin Solutions shares rose 3.8% this week, extending a sharp advance following record fiscal fourth-quarter results reported on 6 October, with net sales of $567M, up 68% year over year, and EPS of $1.00 versus an estimate of $0.77. Non-hyperscale AI infrastructure and integrated memory made up 78% of net sales and grew 141% year over year, while full-year net sales reached approximately $1.73 billion, up 26%. Analysts have since raised estimates, with one forecast citing 2027 statutory revenue of $2.5 billion and EPS of $4.06, and a separate price target raised to $85.62 from $83.57, alongside a consensus of 5 buy ratings, 0 hold and 1 sell among 6 firms.

The stock closed at $79.16, above both its 50-day average of $55.72 and 200-day average of $41.26, with the shorter average above the longer one, reflecting a one-month return of 54.7% and a six-month return of 224.7%. The GekkoIndex reads 31.6, placing it in the Selling zone after a five-point change of -17. Price sits 30% above Gekko Fair Value of $60.87.

The next earnings date is 5 January 2027, 85 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. The consensus analyst target of $83.57 implies upside of 5.6%, while a separate raised target of $85.62 implies about 20% from an earlier close. The gap to Gekko Fair Value bears watching given the Selling zone reading.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Penguin Solutions price vs fair value

$79.16$60.87Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $79.16200-day averageGekko Fair Value $60.87

Penguin Solutions quick facts

Market cap
$4.06B
P/E ratio
28
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$2.56
Revenue, TTM
$1.73B
Profit margin
10.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.86
Volume
5.27M avg 3.87M
1-year return
+259.2%
Typical daily move
±6.3%
Typical 20-day move
±11%
50-day average
$55.72
200-day average
$41.26
Next earnings
Jan 5 after close
Shares outstanding
51.24M
52-week range
$16.04$89.86

Penguin Solutions swing-trade checklist

Penguin Solutions scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $79.16 is above the 50-day ($55.72) and 200-day ($41.26) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    31.6, Selling

    Reading 31.6 is in the Selling zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    30.0% above

    Price is 30% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 85 days

    Next report Jan 5, 2027, 85 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Penguin Solutions stock chart and price history

Penguin Solutions closed at $79.16 on Oct 12, 2026, +259.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $16.04 to $89.86.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Penguin Solutions share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$40$60NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct79.16

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+54.7%
3 months
+1.7%
6 months
+224.7%
1 year
+259.2%
The full PENG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PENG in Gekko

Follow Penguin Solutions through every session

Put PENG on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track PENG in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Penguin Solutions

Penguin Solutions builds and supplies technology used in data centers, edge locations, and specialized computing environments. It is known for products that span memory hardware, high-performance and AI-focused computing systems, and LED components, serving customers that range from networking and telecommunications firms to government, healthcare, manufacturing, and financial services organizations.

The company operates through three divisions. Its memory unit produces DRAM modules, solid-state drives, and flash storage, alongside supply chain services such as procurement, logistics, warehousing, and packaging. Its computing division covers technical computing for data centers and cloud settings under the Penguin Computing name, edge computing under Penguin Edge, and fault-tolerant hardware and software systems under the Stratus brand. Its LED division, operating as Cree LED, makes gallium nitride-based LED chips and surface mount devices. Customers include original equipment manufacturers, enterprises, and government bodies, reached through direct sales, distributors, resellers, and field engineers.

Penguin Solutions was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands. It previously operated under the name SMART Global Holdings before adopting its current name. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker PENG.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
penguinsolutions.com

Penguin Solutions GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Penguin Solutions’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 31.6, in the Selling zone, down 17 points over five sessions.

010031.6Selling

Down 17 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying28+5.4%+9.9%+7.0%+14.6%
Accumulation140+0.7%+3.4%+8.1%+42.9%
Neutral282+1.2%+0.8%+1.4%+9.6%
Distribution60+4.9%+11.7%+26.3%+41.3%
Selling (current zone)4Too few readings yet

Average PENG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Selling readings averaged +7.4% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Selling zone: Smart money likely exiting positions. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PENG price, zone by zone.Track PENG in Gekko

Is Penguin Solutions stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Penguin Solutions trades 30.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $60.87, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Penguin Solutions shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$60.87

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

30.0% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 29.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$61$76Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PENG in Gekko

Penguin Solutions insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Penguin Solutions, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PENG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PENG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PENG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PENG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PENG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PENG in Gekko

Buybacks

Penguin Solutions has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Aug 28, 2026
$17.09M
As a share of market cap
0.42%
Trailing four quarters
$85.98M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold PENG.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Penguin Solutions earnings: next date and track record

Penguin Solutions reports on Jan 5, 2027, after the close (85 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.1%Jan ’25−6.3%Apr ’25+11.9%Jul ’25−22.6%Oct ’25−11.8%Jan ’26+17.6%Apr ’26+15.9%Jul ’26+19.6%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Penguin Solutions reported record Q4 FY2026 results with net sales of $567M, up 68% YoY, and EPS of $1.00, up 133% YoY. Non-hyperscale AI infrastructure and integrated memory represented 78% of net sales, growing 141% YoY. Full-year net sales reached approximately $1.73B, up 26% YoY. The company ended FY2026 with record backlog, driven by accelerating neocloud customer demand for its AI Factory Platform strategy.
Guidance
Management raised FY2027 guidance above preliminary views, expecting record net sales with EPS growth outpacing revenue growth through continued operating leverage. Growth is supported by strong bookings momentum, memory business strength, and accelerating neocloud demand.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 6, 2026$1.00
est $0.77
+29.5%$566.7M
est $521.0M
+8.8%+19.6%
Jul 7, 2026$0.71
est $0.49
+44.9%$478.7M
est $407.5M
+17.5%+15.9%
Apr 1, 2026$0.52
est $0.43
+20.9%—
est $339.0M
—+17.6%
Jan 6, 2026$0.49
est $0.41
+19.5%$343.1M
est $338.4M
+1.4%−11.8%
Oct 7, 2025$0.43
est $0.37
+14.8%$337.9M
est $342.1M
−1.2%−22.6%
Jul 8, 2025$0.47
est $0.42
+12.9%$324.3M
est $342.1M
−5.2%+11.9%
Apr 2, 2025$0.09
est $0.07
+28.6%$365.5M
est $330.8M
+10.5%−6.3%
Jan 8, 2025$0.49
est $0.39
+25.6%$341.1M
est $320.0M
+6.6%+4.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Penguin Solutions stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Penguin Solutions is $83.57, +5.6% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$83.57consensus 12-month target, +5.6% from the last close
Low $60High $100
Buy5
Hold0
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 9Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, initiated$100+26.3%
Oct 7Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$85+7.4%
Oct 7NeedhamBuy, maintained$85+7.4%
Oct 7Rosenblatt SecuritiesBuy, maintained$100+26.3%
Oct 7BarclaysSell, maintained$60−24.2%
±6.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Penguin Solutions market cap and key statistics

Penguin Solutions’s market cap is $4.06B, with a P/E ratio of 28 and revenue of $1.73B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.06B
P/E ratio
28
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$2.56
Gekko Fair Value
$60.87

Trading

Volume
5.27M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.87M
52-week high
$89.86
52-week low
$16.04
Shares outstanding
51.24M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.73B
Profit margin
10.4%
Return on equity
27.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+1,189.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.86
Typical daily move
±6.3%
Typical 20-day move
±11%

Penguin Solutions peers

Penguin Solutions’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−1.0%Neutral14.8% below
AVGOBroadcom−1.3%Neutral1.3% below
MUMicron Technology−1.3%Accumulation27.3% below
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices−0.9%Neutral13.2% above
INTCIntel−1.1%Accumulation1.5% above
TXNTexas Instruments+0.4%Neutral8.2% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Penguin Solutions stock FAQ

What is Penguin Solutions’s market cap?

Penguin Solutions’s market cap is $4.06B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $79.16, with 51.24M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 28.

What is the Penguin Solutions stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Penguin Solutions is $83.57, +5.6% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Penguin Solutions stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Penguin Solutions is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $79.16 is 30.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $60.87. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Penguin Solutions report earnings next?

Penguin Solutions is expected to report on Jan 5, 2027, after the market closes (85 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.01 per share on revenue of $569.2M. Penguin Solutions beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.7% on average across the report.

What is Penguin Solutions’s 52-week high and low?

Penguin Solutions’s 52-week high is $89.86 and its 52-week low is $16.04; it closed at $79.16 on Oct 12, 2026, +259.2% over the past year.

Is Penguin Solutions stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Penguin Solutions the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.