Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:14 pm ET.
TSM closed at $434.67, up 1% on the day, holding above both its 50-day average of $417.37 and its 200-day average of $379.33. The GekkoIndex reading sits at 53, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price stands 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $398.99, a gap that has widened even as the stock trades near the upper half of its 52-week range of $257.98 to $479.00.
Coverage this week centers on TSMC's dominance in advanced chip manufacturing and packaging, with several pieces framing the company alongside ASML and comparing its foundry position to GlobalFoundries. Recurring themes include TSMC's control of CoWoS advanced packaging, its role in AI accelerator production, and broader labor supply concerns across U.S. chip manufacturing, with estimates of a shortage of up to 157,000 skilled workers by 2030 affecting peers including Samsung and Micron. None of the coverage centers on new guidance or deals; it largely revisits TSMC's competitive standing following its Q2 2026 results.
The next earnings date falls on 15 October 2026, before the open, 25 days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 16 July 2026 produced a 5% reaction despite an EPS beat of $4.31 against a $3.87 estimate. Over the last 90 days, insiders made 17 open-market purchases totaling $1,257,360, alongside 2 Congressional buys and no sales. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst coverage from 8 firms shows 7 buy ratings and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $552.26.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $434.67 is above the 50-day ($417.37) and 200-day ($379.33) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart53, Neutral
Reading 53 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex8.9% above
Price is 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair valueLeans bullish
Last 90 days: 17 open-market insider purchases; Congress 2 buys / 0 sales.
See smart moneyReports in 25 days
Reports on Oct 15, 2026, 25 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+2.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing closed at $434.67 on Sep 18, 2026, +65.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $257.98 to $479.00.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put TSM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing makes chips for clients worldwide, covering the fabrication, packaging, testing and shipping of integrated circuits and related components. It works with several wafer-processing methods that yield logic chips, mixed-signal parts, radio-frequency components, embedded memory and other specialized semiconductor types. These products end up in computing hardware, mobile devices, connected sensors, vehicle electronics and everyday consumer gadgets.
Beyond producing chips for other firms, the company helps clients with technical and engineering questions, builds custom masks, and puts capital into newer technology ventures. It also handles color filters from early design work through to finished sales, and offers some investment-related services on top of its manufacturing business. Its operations stretch across Taiwan, China, Japan, the United States, and parts of Europe, the Middle East and Africa.
The company traces back to 1987 and runs its main offices out of Hsinchu City, Taiwan. Its stock trades under the ticker TSM.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53, in the Neutral zone, down 1 point over five sessions.
Down 1 point over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 10 | +2.5% | +3.5% | ||
| Accumulation | 133 | +0.9% | +6.2% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 429 | +1.2% | +3.6% | ||
| Distribution | 43 | +0.2% | +4.5% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average TSM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing trades 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $398.99, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$398.99
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
8.9% Overvalued
Insiders filed 17 open-market purchases in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing worth $1.26M, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
$1.26Min 17 open-market purchases
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | Fang Shu-Hua officer: SVP and GC | Purchase | $77K |
| Aug 20 | Yuan Lipen officer: VP | Purchase | $75K |
| Aug 20 | Yuan Lipen officer: VP | Purchase | $74K |
| Aug 4 | Bor-Zen Tien VP | Purchase | $73K |
| Jul 30 | Bor-Zen Tien VP | Purchase | $68K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Cleo Fields House, LA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 31 traded Jul 10 |
| Cleo Fields House, LA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 31 traded Jul 9 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
19of the funds Gekko tracks hold TSM.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing reports on Oct 15, 2026, before the open (25 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Oct 15, 2026
Expected before the open, 25 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | $4.31 est $3.87 | $39.36B est $39.83B | −5.0% |
| Apr 15, 2026 | $3.49 est $3.31 | $35.98B est $35.35B | −4.4% |
| Jan 15, 2026 | $3.09 est $2.90 | $33.14B est $33.01B | +4.7% |
| Oct 16, 2025 | $2.92 est $2.63 | $32.36B est $32.07B | −3.2% |
| Jul 17, 2025 | $2.50 est $2.38 | $31.75B est $30.21B | +1.2% |
| May 15, 2025 | $2.14 est $2.07 | $25.80B est $25.46B | −0.3% |
| Jan 16, 2025 | $2.19 est $2.20 | $26.38B est $26.24B | +2.3% |
| Nov 14, 2024 | $1.95 est $1.79 | $23.60B est $23.31B | −0.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is $552.26, +27.1% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | Susquehanna | $600 | +38.0% |
| Sep 11 | Stifel Nicolaus | $515 | +18.5% |
| Sep 8 | Bernstein | $554 | +27.5% |
| Sep 2 | Stifel Nicolaus | $515 | +18.5% |
| Sep 1 | Stifel Nicolaus | $515 | +18.5% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing averaged +2.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +1.2% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, TSM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7%.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing’s market cap is $2.25T, with a P/E ratio of 32.1 and revenue of $4.44T over the last twelve months.
Coverage of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing’s market cap is $2.25T at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $434.67, with 5.19B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 32.1.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is $552.26, +27.1% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $434.67 is 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $398.99. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is expected to report on Oct 15, 2026, before the market opens (25 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.41 per share on revenue of $45.17B. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.7% on average across the report.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing’s 52-week high is $479.00 and its 52-week low is $257.98; it closed at $434.67 on Sep 18, 2026, +65.4% over the past year.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
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