Nov 4 close
Taiwan Semiconductor's shares bounced this week as the broader Taiwan market rebounded alongside a recovery in U.S. semiconductor names, with TSM jumping at the open on 4 November. Coverage this week centered on TSMC's position in AI chip manufacturing, with comparisons drawn to ASML and Broadcom highlighting its role supplying advanced process nodes to major AI chip designers. Insider buying activity, including a purchase by VP Lipen Yuan, also drew attention alongside continued "Buy" consensus commentary from analysts.
TSM closed at $395.75, down 2.2% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $433.97 and 200-day average of $401.10, with one-month returns of -17.9% against a one-year return of 29.8%. The GekkoIndex reads 64.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 4.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $415.32.
The next earnings date falls on 21 January 2027, outside a typical 20-trading-day window, following a Q3 report on 15 October where EPS of 4.6 beat the 4.45 estimate but the stock reacted -4%. Over the last 90 days, smart money activity includes 4 insider purchases and 5 Congressional buys with no sales. Analyst consensus stands at 8 buy, 0 hold, 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $584.39. Seasonality for this point in the calendar has averaged +8.4% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 5 of them, worth noting alongside the current gap to Gekko Fair Value.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing scores 4 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
Averages disagree
Close $395.75 sits between the 50-day ($433.97) and 200-day ($401.10) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart64.6, Accumulation
Reading 64.6 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex4.7% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.7% below).
See fair valueLeans bullish
Last 90 days: 4 open-market insider purchases; Congress 5 buys / 0 sales.
See smart moneyReports in 77 days
Next report Jan 21, 2027, 77 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+8.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.4% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing closed at $395.75 on Nov 4, 2026, +29.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $266.82 to $487.47.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put TSM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing makes chips for clients worldwide, covering the fabrication, packaging, testing and shipping of integrated circuits and related components. It works with several wafer-processing methods that yield logic chips, mixed-signal parts, radio-frequency components, embedded memory and other specialized semiconductor types. These products end up in computing hardware, mobile devices, connected sensors, vehicle electronics and everyday consumer gadgets.
Beyond producing chips for other firms, the company helps clients with technical and engineering questions, builds custom masks, and puts capital into newer technology ventures. It also handles color filters from early design work through to finished sales, and offers some investment-related services on top of its manufacturing business. Its operations stretch across Taiwan, China, Japan, the United States, and parts of Europe, the Middle East and Africa.
The company traces back to 1987 and runs its main offices out of Hsinchu City, Taiwan. Its stock trades under the ticker TSM.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 8.1 points over five sessions.
Up 8.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 10 | +2.5% | +3.5% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 142 | +1.0% | +6.3% | ||
| Neutral | 453 | +1.1% | +3.4% | ||
| Distribution | 45 | −0.2% | +4.5% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average TSM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing trades 4.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $415.32, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$415.32
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
4.7% below fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 14.8% above the estimate.
Insiders filed 4 open-market purchases in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing worth $297K, and members of Congress disclosed 5 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
$297Kin 4 open-market purchases
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | Yuan Lipen officer: VP | Purchase | $71K |
| Sep 4 | Fang Shu-Hua officer: SVP and GC | Purchase | $77K |
| Aug 20 | Yuan Lipen officer: VP | Purchase | $75K |
| Aug 20 | Yuan Lipen officer: VP | Purchase | $74K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
5trades disclosed: 5 purchases and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Cleo Fields House, LA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 23 traded Oct 9 |
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 9 traded Sep 23 |
| Gilbert Cisneros House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 12 traded Sep 22 |
| Michael McCaul House, TX, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 16 traded Aug 25 |
| Rick Allen House, GA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 23 traded Aug 12 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
19of the funds Gekko tracks hold TSM.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing reports on Jan 21, 2027, before the open (77 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Jan 21, 2027
Expected before the open, 77 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | $4.60 est $4.45 | $46.06B est $45.67B | −4.0% |
| Jul 16, 2026 | $4.31 est $3.87 | $39.36B est $39.83B | −5.0% |
| Apr 15, 2026 | $3.49 est $3.31 | $35.98B est $35.35B | −4.4% |
| Jan 15, 2026 | $3.09 est $2.90 | $33.14B est $33.01B | +4.7% |
| Oct 16, 2025 | $2.92 est $2.63 | $32.36B est $32.07B | −3.2% |
| Jul 17, 2025 | $2.50 est $2.38 | $31.75B est $30.21B | +1.2% |
| May 15, 2025 | $2.14 est $2.07 | $25.80B est $25.46B | −0.3% |
| Jan 16, 2025 | $2.19 est $2.20 | $26.38B est $26.24B | +2.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is $584.39, +47.7% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | JLPascual | $262 | −33.8% |
| Oct 16 | D.A. Davidson | $500 | +26.3% |
| Oct 16 | Bank of America Securities | $620 | +56.7% |
| Oct 16 | Barclays | $670 | +69.3% |
| Oct 15 | Needham | $560 | +41.5% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing averaged +8.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +5.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +7.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +5.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +8.4% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.3% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, TSM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7%.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing’s market cap is $2.05T, with a P/E ratio of 25.8 and revenue of $4.94T over the last twelve months.
Coverage of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing this week reads positive: 13 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing’s market cap is $2.05T at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $395.75, with 5.19B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 25.8.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is $584.39, +47.7% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $395.75 is 4.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $415.32. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is expected to report on Jan 21, 2027, before the market opens (77 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $5.16 per share on revenue of $52.80B. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.1% on average across the report.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing’s 52-week high is $487.47 and its 52-week low is $266.82; it closed at $395.75 on Nov 4, 2026, +29.8% over the past year.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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