NASDAQ: CGNX

Cognex (CGNX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$58.75+0.09 (+0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Cognex announces its acquisition of RealSense, a depth-sensing and 3D vision specialist spun out of Intel, for approximately $500 million in cash, a deal aimed at extending its machine-vision platform into robotic perception and Physical AI; some reports cite the price as $600 million. Separately, Cognex has launched the In-Sight 1750 Series wafer and panel identification system for semiconductor manufacturers, built on AI-enabled imaging for traceability and throughput. Cognex also carries a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from covering analysts.

Cognex shares closed at $58.75, up 0.2%, sitting below the 50-day average of $62.09 but above the 200-day average of $55.25, with the stock down 6.7% over one month, down 14.1% over three months, yet up 23.5% over six months and 30.9% over a year. The GekkoIndex reads 64.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 6.1 over five days. The price sits 2.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.05.

The next earnings report is due 28 October 2026, before the open, 29 days away and outside a typical 20-day holding window; the prior quarter beat estimates, with $0.45 actual EPS against a $0.42 estimate, though the stock reacted -5.8%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -0.2% over 5 years, higher in 3 of them. Analyst consensus target stands at $79.63.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Cognex price vs fair value

$60.05$58.75Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $58.75200-day averageGekko Fair Value $60.05

Cognex quick facts

Market cap
$9.78B
P/E ratio
56.6
Forward P/E
29.5
EPS, TTM
$1.02
Revenue, TTM
$1.09B
Profit margin
16.1%
Dividend yield
0.58%
Beta
1.49
Volume
1.53M avg 1.52M
1-year return
+30.9%
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7.5%
50-day average
$62.09
200-day average
$55.25
Next earnings
Oct 28 before open
Shares outstanding
168.2M
52-week range
$34.60$72.88

Cognex swing-trade checklist

Cognex scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $58.75 sits between the 50-day ($62.09) and 200-day ($55.25) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.5, Accumulation

    Reading 64.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.2% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.2% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −0.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Cognex stock chart and price history

Cognex closed at $58.75 on Sep 28, 2026, +30.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $34.60 to $72.88.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Cognex share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$70NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep58.75

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.7%
3 months
−14.1%
6 months
+23.5%
1 year
+30.9%
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About Cognex

Cognex builds machine vision technology that allows factories and warehouses to automate the way they manufacture, inspect and track products. Its systems interpret visual data to locate, identify, measure and check items as they move from production through to delivery, and its customers include makers of mobile devices, pharmaceutical packaging and automotive components. The company is recognized for this kind of image-based automation used across manufacturing and logistics settings.

Its product range spans software tools such as VisionPro and QuickBuild for building vision applications, along with deep learning vision software, vision sensors, the In-Sight line of integrated vision systems, and the DataMan barcode reading and verification products. These tools handle tasks like confirming part presence, measuring dimensions, checking assembly accuracy and guiding robotic equipment. Cognex reaches customers in consumer electronics, automotive, consumer goods, food and beverage, pharmaceuticals and medical device production, selling both directly and through a network of partners and system integrators worldwide.

Cognex was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Natick, Massachusetts. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker CGNX.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Electronic equipment/Instruments
Website
cognex.com

Cognex GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Cognex’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 6.1 points over five sessions.

010064.5Accumulation

Up 6.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying42+0.6%+3.1%+5.1%+4.3%
Accumulation (current zone)186+1.1%+1.6%+2.5%+8.7%
Neutral394+0.4%+1.0%+2.9%+5.7%
Distribution44−0.4%−1.3%−3.6%−0.7%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average CGNX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CGNX price, zone by zone.Track CGNX in Gekko

Is Cognex stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Cognex trades 2.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.05, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Cognex shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$60.05

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

2.2% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CGNX in Gekko

Cognex insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Cognex, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CGNX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CGNX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CGNX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CGNX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CGNX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CGNX in Gekko

Buybacks

Cognex has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$500.0M, Feb 11, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jul 5, 2026
$6.24M
As a share of market cap
0.06%
Trailing four quarters
$154.2M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold CGNX.

0added1opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Cognex earnings: next date and track record

Cognex reports on Oct 28, 2026, before the open (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.9%Oct ’24−14.4%Feb ’25+3.8%Apr ’25+19.0%Jul ’25−12.6%Oct ’25+34.6%Feb ’26+12.1%May ’26−5.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Cognex reported a strong Q2 2026 with record quarterly revenue, significant adjusted EBITDA margin expansion (32.2%, +1,150 bps YoY), and 80% adjusted EPS growth. Management attributed results to both an improving industrial cycle and execution against strategic initiatives: AI-enabled OneVision platform, new product launches (In-sight 2800, Insight L38, 3900, 6900), expanded channel focus, and customer base diversification (notably packaging and data center supply chain). China and Americas were key growth regions, while Europe declined (impacted in part by procurement ordering entity shifts and automotive weakness). Management reiterated a $35M net cost reduction target, reported strong free cash flow conversion (~114% trailing 12 months), and provided full-year guidance alongside Q2 (citing short-cycle visibility but sufficient near-term visibility to issue a guide). They flagged a near-term headwind from rising memory prices (~75 bps gross margin headwind expected in Q3) but expect to offset through pricing and to be net positive on pricing for 2026. Management expressed confidence in semiconductor and electronics end markets and sees data center as a nascent but fast-growing opportunity (low-single-digit revenue today, growing ~30%).
Guidance
Management issued full-year 2026 guidance alongside Q2 results (no specific numeric totals disclosed in the transcript). Key guidance points: Q3 includes roughly a 75-basis-point gross margin headwind from rising memory prices; OpEx expected to remain below prior-year levels and below first-half 2026; net $35M cost reduction target reconfirmed; revenue flow-through expected ~87% at midpoint for full year; management expects to offset memory cost headwinds through pricing over time and to be net positive on pricing for 2026.
Risks flagged
Near-term gross margin pressure from rising memory prices (75 bps headwind in Q3, possibly into Q4); short-cycle, limited visibility (~3-4 months) particularly for year-end demand; Europe weakness and automotive softness; potential demand impact in consumer electronics if higher memory prices slow volumes; supply-chain/commodity cost volatility that may necessitate further pricing and could affect sales cycles.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.45
est $0.42
+7.1%$291.3M
est $292.1M
−0.3%−5.8%
May 6, 2026$0.34
est $0.25
+36.0%$268.4M
est $246.0M
+9.1%+12.1%
Feb 11, 2026$0.27
est $0.22
+22.7%$252.3M
est $239.0M
+5.6%+34.6%
Oct 29, 2025$0.33
est $0.27
+22.2%$276.9M
est $238.9M
+15.9%−12.6%
Jul 30, 2025$0.25
est $0.23
+8.7%$249.1M
est $248.2M
+0.4%+19.0%
Apr 30, 2025$0.16
est $0.13
+23.1%$216.0M
est $248.8M
−13.2%+3.8%
Feb 12, 2025$0.20
est $0.15
+33.3%$229.7M
est $220.7M
+4.1%−14.4%
Oct 30, 2024$0.20
est $0.19
+5.3%$234.7M
est $220.9M
+6.3%−0.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Cognex stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Cognex is $79.63, +35.5% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$79.63consensus 12-month target, +35.5% from the last close
Low $65High $91
Buy9
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28UBSBuy, maintained$80+36.2%
Sep 23J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$75+27.7%
Sep 23BernsteinBuy, reiterated$85+44.7%
Sep 23Robert W. BairdHold, maintained$70+19.1%
Sep 23Truist FinancialHold, maintained——
+2.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Cognex seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Cognex averaged −0.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.7%2021+8.5%2022−18.4%2023−3.2%2024+6.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.4%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.2%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.8%3 of 5

For scale, CGNX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.5%.

Cognex market cap and key statistics

Cognex’s market cap is $9.78B, with a P/E ratio of 56.6 and revenue of $1.09B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$9.78B
P/E ratio
56.6
Forward P/E
29.5
EPS, TTM
$1.02
Gekko Fair Value
$60.05

Trading

Volume
1.53M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.52M
52-week high
$72.88
52-week low
$34.60
Shares outstanding
168.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.09B
Profit margin
16.1%
Return on equity
11.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+79.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.49
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7.5%
Dividend yield
0.58%

Cognex stock news this week

Coverage of Cognex this week reads positive: 11 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Cognex peers

Cognex’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
EMREmerson Electric+1.8%Neutral14.8% above
KEYSKeysight Technologies−0.4%Neutral14.3% above
QQnity Electronics+0.2%Neutral3.4% below
FTVFortive+0.3%Accumulation3.6% below
ONTOOnto Innovation+0.6%Neutral2.1% above
NXTNextpower−0.9%Accumulation24.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Cognex stock FAQ

What is Cognex’s market cap?

Cognex’s market cap is $9.78B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $58.75, with 168.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 56.6.

What is the Cognex stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Cognex is $79.63, +35.5% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Cognex stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Cognex is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $58.75 is 2.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.05. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Cognex report earnings next?

Cognex is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.51 per share on revenue of $313.5M. Cognex beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.9% on average across the report.

What is Cognex’s 52-week high and low?

Cognex’s 52-week high is $72.88 and its 52-week low is $34.60; it closed at $58.75 on Sep 28, 2026, +30.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $92.17 on Nov 3, 2021.

Is Cognex stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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