NASDAQ: NXT

Nextpower (NXT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$79.13−1.72 (−2.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Nextpower shares moved this week against a backdrop of both company-specific and macro pressure. At the BNP Paribas Annual Power Up Conference, the company presented a cautiously optimistic outlook on U.S. solar demand, pointing to data centers, AI and manufacturing growth as drivers even as tariffs and permitting delays persist, a message echoed by solar industry executives citing strong near-term demand despite policy uncertainty. At the same time, shares fell alongside those of Sterling, Axon, Herc and FTAI Aviation as the 10-year Treasury yield jumped to 5.14%, its highest since 2007, pressuring risk assets. Separately, Nextpower received a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from covering brokerages.

Nextpower closed at $79.13, down 2.1% on the day, and sits below both its 50-day average of $90.59 and 200-day average of $107.93, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock is down 11.7% over one month, 28.5% over three months and 34.1% over six months, though still up 7.6% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 65.2, placing Nextpower in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 24.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $104.98.

Nextpower next reports earnings on 22 October 2026, after the close, 23 days away and within a typical 20-day holding window; its last report showed EPS of $1.20 versus a $1.05 estimate, with a -3% reaction. Options activity shows 1 unusual signal in the past 30 days, with put premium of $288,420 against no call premium. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -1.1% across 3 years, rising in 1 of them.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Nextpower price vs fair value

$104.98$79.13Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $79.13200-day averageGekko Fair Value $104.98

Nextpower quick facts

Market cap
$12.00B
P/E ratio
21.2
Forward P/E
18.2
EPS, TTM
$3.78
Revenue, TTM
$3.63B
Profit margin
16.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.92
Volume
1.98M avg 2.12M
1-year return
+7.6%
Typical daily move
±5.1%
Typical 20-day move
±10.7%
50-day average
$90.59
200-day average
$107.93
Next earnings
Oct 22 after close
Shares outstanding
151.7M
52-week range
$70.92$163.13

Nextpower swing-trade checklist

Nextpower scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 4 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed4 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $79.13 is below the 50-day ($90.59) and 200-day ($107.93) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.2, Accumulation

    Reading 65.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    24.6% below

    Price is 24.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.1% over 3 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Nextpower stock chart and price history

Nextpower closed at $79.13 on Sep 28, 2026, +7.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $70.92 to $163.13.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Nextpower share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$100$120$140$160NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep79.13

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−11.7%
3 months
−28.5%
6 months
−34.1%
1 year
+7.6%
The full NXT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NXT in Gekko

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About Nextpower

Nextpower makes tracker systems paired with software for large-scale solar installations, including utility power plants and ground-mounted distributed generation projects. The equipment tilts solar panels so they track the sun through the day, with the aim of getting more output from a given plant. This combination of hardware and software for solar tracking is the core of what the company is recognized for.

The business centers on selling these integrated tracking solutions to operators and developers of utility-scale and ground-mounted solar projects, pairing physical tracker hardware with software designed to improve how a plant performs over time.

Nextpower was started in 2013 by Daniel S. Shugar, Alexander Au, Nicholas Miller, Michael Mehavich, Marco Garcia, and Tyroan Hardy, and its headquarters are in Fremont, California. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker NXT.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Electronic equipment/Instruments
Website
nextpower.com

Nextpower GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Nextpower’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.3 points over five sessions.

010065.2Accumulation

Up 1.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying37+1.1%+1.6%+0.1%+2.5%
Accumulation (current zone)227+0.8%+1.5%+4.3%+11.2%
Neutral348+0.7%+1.0%+2.0%+6.8%
Distribution46+1.6%+3.5%+0.2%−7.9%
Selling14+1.3%+11.3%+18.9%+7.3%

Average NXT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NXT price, zone by zone.Track NXT in Gekko

Is Nextpower stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Nextpower trades 24.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $104.98, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Nextpower shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$104.98

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

24.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NXT in Gekko

Nextpower insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Nextpower, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NXT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NXT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NXT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NXT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NXT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NXT in Gekko

Buybacks

Nextpower has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$500.0M, Jan 27, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$395K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 0% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 24, $288K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds NXT.

0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Nextpower earnings: next date and track record

Nextpower reports on Oct 22, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.3%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+23.2%Oct ’24+24.2%Jan ’25+13.9%May ’25−10.0%Jul ’25+12.3%Oct ’25+11.8%Jan ’26+8.0%May ’26−3.0%Jul ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$1.20
est $1.05
+14.3%$935.2M
est $935.4M
0.0%−3.0%
May 12, 2026$1.05
est $0.93
+12.9%$880.5M
est $826.3M
+6.6%+8.0%
Jan 27, 2026$1.10
est $0.93
+18.3%$909.4M
est $815.3M
+11.5%+11.8%
Oct 23, 2025$1.19
est $1.06
+12.3%$905.3M
est $857.7M
+5.6%+12.3%
Jul 29, 2025$1.16
est $1.02
+13.7%$864.3M
est $840.8M
+2.8%−10.0%
May 14, 2025$1.29
est $0.96
+34.0%$924.3M
est $829.1M
+11.5%+13.9%
Jan 28, 2025$1.03
est $0.59
+74.6%$679.4M
est $828.1M
−18.0%+24.2%
Oct 30, 2024$0.97
est $0.61
+59.0%$635.6M
est $613.3M
+3.6%+23.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Nextpower stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nextpower is $139.18, +75.9% from the last close, from 22 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$139.18consensus 12-month target, +75.9% from the last close
Low $111High $175
Buy19
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 22 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 22Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$116+46.6%
Sep 11BarclaysBuy, maintained$147+85.8%
Sep 8Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, initiated$116+46.6%
Sep 8Piper SandlerBuy, initiated$116+46.6%
Aug 4GLJ ResearchBuy, reiterated$149+88.3%
+4.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 3 years
±5.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Nextpower seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Nextpower averaged −1.1% across the last 3 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−13.8%2023−13.1%2024+29.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−6.1%1 of 3
Next 10 trading days−2.2%1 of 3
Next 15 trading days−4.1%1 of 3
Next 20 trading days−1.1%1 of 3
Next 30 trading days+10.1%2 of 3

For scale, NXT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.7%.

Nextpower market cap and key statistics

Nextpower’s market cap is $12.00B, with a P/E ratio of 21.2 and revenue of $3.63B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$12.00B
P/E ratio
21.2
Forward P/E
18.2
EPS, TTM
$3.78
Gekko Fair Value
$104.98

Trading

Volume
1.98M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.12M
52-week high
$163.13
52-week low
$70.92
Shares outstanding
151.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.63B
Profit margin
16.4%
Return on equity
27.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+2.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.92
Typical daily move
±5.1%
Typical 20-day move
±10.7%

Nextpower stock news this week

Coverage of Nextpower this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Nextpower peers

Nextpower’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
EMREmerson Electric+1.8%Neutral14.8% above
KEYSKeysight Technologies−0.4%Neutral14.3% above
QQnity Electronics+0.2%Neutral3.4% below
FTVFortive+0.3%Accumulation3.6% below
ONTOOnto Innovation+0.6%Neutral2.1% above
NVMINova+1.4%Neutral1.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Nextpower stock FAQ

What is Nextpower’s market cap?

Nextpower’s market cap is $12.00B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $79.13, with 151.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.2.

What is the Nextpower stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nextpower is $139.18, +75.9% from the last close. Of the 22 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 19 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Nextpower stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Nextpower is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $79.13 is 24.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $104.98. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Nextpower report earnings next?

Nextpower is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.10 per share on revenue of $1.06B. Nextpower beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.3% on average across the report.

What is Nextpower’s 52-week high and low?

Nextpower’s 52-week high is $163.13 and its 52-week low is $70.92; it closed at $79.13 on Sep 28, 2026, +7.6% over the past year.

Is Nextpower stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 4 as headwinds (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Nextpower?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Nextpower over the last 30 days, with $0 of flagged premium in calls and $288K in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 24, 2026 with $288K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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