NASDAQ: FCEL

FuelCell Energy (FCEL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$16.37−1.66 (−9.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

FuelCell Energy fell this week amid a wave of securities class action notices from multiple law firms, with a lead plaintiff deadline of November 10, 2026, tied to allegations that the company's SEC risk disclosures framed manufacturing capacity shortfalls as hypothetical while output was already trailing contract needs. Separately, shares dropped after news that the company will expand a Connecticut factory to support 500 megawatts of annual fuel cell production, an expansion that could cost up to $275 million. These developments follow the Q3 FY2026 report in which the company cited a committed backlog of $1.3 billion and $2.4 billion in awarded capacity backlog, along with a first FuelCell Energy Blocks order from Fit Energy covering up to 380 MW across 4 phases.

The stock closed at $16.37, down 9.2%, sitting between its 50-day average of $18.21 and 200-day average of $14.60. The GekkoIndex reads 61.4, placing FCEL in the Accumulation zone, up 4.6 over five days. Price sits 15.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.43.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 17 December 2026, 65 days out, beyond a typical holding window. The last report missed with an EPS of -0.67 against an estimate of -0.35, producing a 14.1% reaction. In the past 90 days, insiders made 2 open-market purchases totaling $741,919. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6% return over 5 years, positive in 3 of them. Analyst consensus across 9 firms includes 5 buy, 3 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $21.10.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

FuelCell Energy price vs fair value

$19.43$16.37Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $16.37200-day averageGekko Fair Value $19.43

FuelCell Energy quick facts

Market cap
$1.31B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
17.1
EPS, TTM
−$2.76
Revenue, TTM
$154.1M
Profit margin
-113.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.46
Volume
7.64M avg 6.49M
1-year return
+65.7%
Typical daily move
±9.5%
Typical 20-day move
±16.7%
50-day average
$18.21
200-day average
$14.60
Next earnings
Dec 17
Shares outstanding
79.95M
52-week range
$5.71$37.88

FuelCell Energy swing-trade checklist

FuelCell Energy scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $16.37 sits between the 50-day ($18.21) and 200-day ($14.60) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.4, Accumulation

    Reading 61.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    15.7% below

    Price is 15.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 66 days

    Next report Dec 17, 2026, 66 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

FuelCell Energy stock chart and price history

FuelCell Energy closed at $16.37 on Oct 12, 2026, +65.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $5.71 to $37.88.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
FuelCell Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$20$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct16.37

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+3.0%
3 months
−23.3%
6 months
+139.7%
1 year
+65.7%
The full FCEL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FCEL in Gekko

Follow FuelCell Energy through every session

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About FuelCell Energy

FuelCell Energy designs, builds, and maintains stationary fuel cell power plants that produce steady, on-site electricity rather than relying on a centralized grid. Its SureSource line spans several output sizes, from smaller 250 and 400 kilowatt units up to multi-megawatt systems, with a hydrogen-focused platform capable of generating sizable daily hydrogen output. The company is also known for its carbon capture system, which pulls carbon dioxide from exhaust gases at power and industrial plants, and for its work in solid oxide fuel cell and electrolysis cell technology.

Beyond manufacturing, FuelCell Energy handles the full project arc for its customers, including engineering, procurement, and construction work, financing arrangements, and ongoing support such as remote monitoring, maintenance, spare parts, training, and equipment refurbishment. Its customer base spans utilities and independent power producers, industrial sites, hospitals and schools, data centers, wastewater facilities, government bodies, microgrid operators, and businesses in food, beverage, and hospitality. The company operates across the United States, South Korea, England, Germany, and Switzerland.

FuelCell Energy was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, Connecticut. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker FCEL.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Electronic equipment/Instruments
Website
fuelcellenergy.com

FuelCell Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

FuelCell Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.4, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.6 points over five sessions.

010061.4Accumulation

Up 4.6 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying42+5.9%+8.0%+14.8%+4.3%
Accumulation (current zone)328+0.4%+1.5%+4.5%+17.1%
Neutral271−0.3%−1.2%−5.2%−4.8%
Distribution32+5.0%+11.6%+18.9%+11.3%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average FCEL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FCEL price, zone by zone.Track FCEL in Gekko

Is FuelCell Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

FuelCell Energy trades 15.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.43, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what FuelCell Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$19.43

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

15.7% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 23.4% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$19$18Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FCEL in Gekko

FuelCell Energy insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in FuelCell Energy worth $742K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$742Kin 2 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 15Livingston III Homer John
director
Purchase16,404$247K
Jul 20Homer John Livingston III
Director
Purchase26,343$495K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FCEL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FCEL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FCEL in Gekko

FuelCell Energy earnings: next date and track record

FuelCell Energy reports on Dec 17, 2026 (66 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±15.1%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.1%Dec ’24+8.2%Mar ’25+43.7%Jun ’25+35.1%Sep ’25+5.6%Dec ’25−7.2%Mar ’26+0.9%Jun ’26−14.1%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 2, 2026 AI summary

What they said
FuelCell Energy reported Q3 FY2026 results with committed backlog reaching $1.3 billion and $2.4 billion in awarded capacity backlog, totaling $3.6 billion. The company secured its first FuelCell Energy Blocks order from Fit Energy covering up to 380 MW across 4 phases for data center applications, with initial 30 MW delivery expected in Q4. Post-quarter, FCEL closed a 75 MW capacity reservation with a major co-location data center operator in Texas. Active pipeline grew to ~10 GW, with data centers representing 97% of Q3 pipeline.
Guidance
Initial 30 MW phase of Fit Energy contract expected to begin delivery in Q4 FY2026. Management is focused on converting pipeline to commercial commitments while scaling manufacturing capacity. Additional contract details expected upon execution of definitive agreements.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 2, 2026−$0.67
est −$0.35
−91.4%$33.00M
est $38.79M
−14.9%−14.1%
Jun 8, 2026−$0.53
est −$0.43
−23.3%$35.59M
est $40.46M
−12.0%+0.9%
Mar 9, 2026−$0.52
est −$0.68
+23.1%$30.53M
est $42.17M
−27.6%−7.2%
Dec 18, 2025−$0.93
est −$1.18
+21.3%$55.02M
est $47.65M
+15.5%+5.6%
Sep 9, 2025−$1.02
est −$1.63
+37.4%$46.74M
est $47.42M
−1.4%+35.1%
Jun 6, 2025−$1.75
est −$1.38
−26.8%$37.41M
est $32.42M
+15.4%+43.7%
Mar 11, 2025−$1.44
est −$1.35
−6.7%$19.00M
est $33.86M
−43.9%+8.2%
Dec 19, 2024−$1.99
est −$1.60
−24.4%$49.33M
est $41.46M
+19.0%+6.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

FuelCell Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for FuelCell Energy is $21.10, +28.9% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$21.10consensus 12-month target, +28.9% from the last close
Low $8High $30
Buy5
Hold3
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 29OppenheimerBuy, initiated$24+46.6%
Sep 24BarclaysHold, initiated$20+22.2%
Sep 15CitiHold, initiated$19+16.1%
Sep 9Craig-HallumBuy, initiated$22+34.4%
Sep 8JefferiesBuy, maintained$20+22.2%
+4.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±9.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

FuelCell Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, FuelCell Energy averaged +6.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+61.1%2021+1.0%2022−15.6%2023−10.0%2024−18.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.8%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−4.7%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.6%2 of 5

For scale, FCEL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 16.7%.

FuelCell Energy market cap and key statistics

FuelCell Energy’s market cap is $1.31B and revenue of $154.1M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.31B
Forward P/E
17.1
EPS, TTM
−$2.76
Gekko Fair Value
$19.43

Trading

Volume
7.64M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.49M
52-week high
$37.88
52-week low
$5.71
Shares outstanding
79.95M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$154.1M
Profit margin
-113.6%
Return on equity
-21.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.46
Typical daily move
±9.5%
Typical 20-day move
±16.7%

FuelCell Energy peers

FuelCell Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
EMREmerson Electric+0.4%Neutral16.0% above
KEYSKeysight Technologies−1.1%Neutral17.2% above
QQnity Electronics−1.7%Neutral3.5% below
FTVFortive+0.2%Neutral0.3% below
ONTOOnto Innovation−5.6%Neutral4.7% below
NXTNextpower−1.0%Neutral18.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

FuelCell Energy stock FAQ

What is FuelCell Energy’s market cap?

FuelCell Energy’s market cap is $1.31B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $16.37, with 79.95M shares outstanding.

What is the FuelCell Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for FuelCell Energy is $21.10, +28.9% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is FuelCell Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate FuelCell Energy is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $16.37 is 15.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.43. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does FuelCell Energy report earnings next?

FuelCell Energy is expected to report on Dec 17, 2026 (66 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.39 per share on revenue of $48.41M. FuelCell Energy beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 15.1% on average across the report.

What is FuelCell Energy’s 52-week high and low?

FuelCell Energy’s 52-week high is $37.88 and its 52-week low is $5.71; it closed at $16.37 on Oct 12, 2026, +65.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $348.87 on Nov 12, 2021.

Is FuelCell Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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